April 22, 2025

Who’ll benefit most from gold mania?

With gold rocketing, we start the show by running through interesting undeveloped Aussie gold projects flying under the radar.  


Next we move to MP Materials, which has been caught in the cross hairs of the trade war, followed by an ‘around the grounds’ chat of all the big news from the past couple days, including, Bellevue, WA1, Gorilla Gold, CZR, Strickland, Santana, Deep Yellow & De Grey. 


Sign-up for the Director’s Special

 

Please read our Privacy Policy and Disclaimer here

 

Discounted tickets available for Global Resources Innovation Expo (GRX) exclusively via Money of Mine. 

 

Austmine and AusIMM Members enter code MOM at checkout for $190 off your registration.

 

Non-members enter code MOMNM at checkout for $160 off your registration.


 Brisbane, 20 - 22 May, 2025

 

Thank you to our Partners:

 

Mineral Mining Services – Your preferred mining contractor

 

https://www.mineralminingservices.com.au/join-us/ - 1300 546 117

 

Grounded - Infrastructure for remote mining and civil projects Australia wide


Paul Natoli - pn@groundedgroup.com.au


Sandvik Ground Support – The only ground support you’ll ever need


http://www.rocktechnology.sandvik/groundsupport


CRE Insurance – Insurance Brokers for the Construction, Resources and Energy sectors

 

davidh@creinsurance.com.au - +61 2 9493 6100


K-Drill – Safe, reliable, and productive surface RC drilling


drew@k-drill.com.au - +61 416 015 876


WA Water Bores – WA’s premier water well drilling company


James@wawaterbores.com.au - +61 429 695 538


Quattro Project Engineering - Global Engineering partnerships delivered with efficiency, innovation and energy


info@quattrope.com - +61 8 9373 1140


KCA Site Services - Recruitment services, equipment hire, labour hire, civil works, underground projects & services and shutdown maintenance

 

admin@kcasiteservices.com.au – 1300 143 947

 

Black Diamond Drilling Services – Drilling consumables supplier for the open pit and underground mining industries

 

support@bddrill.com.au - +61 450 944 489

 

Cross Boundary Energy – Independent Power Producer for the global mining industry

 

tim.taylor@crossboundary.com - +61 466 184 943  

 

Buy Money of Mine MERCH

 

Join our exclusive Money Miners Facebook Group & request access to the Hooteroo chat group.

 

Money of Mine on YouTube, Twitter


(0:00:00)Intro


(0:03:19)Who’ll benefit most from gold mania?


(0:14:16)Is the MP Materials outlook as rosy as it seems


(0:24:21)What's happening around the grounds

1
00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:02,120
As a side note though we talk
about Mcfilmy's.

2
00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:05,120
Do you remember when Mcfilmy
study came out nine months ago

3
00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:07,920
and it was pretty underwhelming
and we we were a bit, a bit

4
00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:10,800
unimpressed by the numbers.
But when it came out the the

5
00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:14,520
base case scenario development
scenario used the gold price of

6
00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:19,160
an Australian dollar terms $3000
per oz which gave it an

7
00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:23,480
underwhelming post tax NPV of
just $451 million.

8
00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:27,800
Now Spot gold price is $2400 an
ounce higher than that as of

9
00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:30,120
today.
Chuck that gold, Bryce in the

10
00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:33,480
model Mcfilmies MPV is suddenly
$2.3 billion.

11
00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:37,560
That is the sort of talk that
these development projects have

12
00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:39,920
in a in a rising gold market
and.

13
00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:46,560
Righto money miners.
Big big news that is completely

14
00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:48,440
fucked my day.
Shaken westward.

15
00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:52,480
Let's eat lunch bar is closed.
Oh, Q&T have obviously taken a

16
00:00:52,480 --> 00:00:55,000
holiday and I just, you've seen
me today.

17
00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:58,360
I've been in turmoil.
I had to eat something else and

18
00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:00,680
I just felt like I was cheating
on.

19
00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:04,040
Him do you notice how much more
quiet the streets are when when

20
00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:05,200
there's no line out the front
of.

21
00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:06,800
Let's it barn me.
Apocalypse.

22
00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:08,640
Yeah, it's friggin.
Oh.

23
00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:13,120
Anyway, you know, I'll tell you
what, I've got live footage of a

24
00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:16,640
place that isn't closes, closed
and never closes. 24 hours.

25
00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:18,360
The Black Diamond drilling
factory.

26
00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:21,520
Have a look at this shit.
Berries, bloody drill,

27
00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:25,040
consumables, open pit,
underground flying out

28
00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:27,840
everywhere.
This is live footage from today

29
00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:30,480
today.
Today, rattle off to us what

30
00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:32,120
they can.
What can they do to you?

31
00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:33,960
Pretty.
Much you want a bloody drill, A

32
00:01:33,960 --> 00:01:36,400
hole that doesn't need a Ryobi
handheld thing.

33
00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:40,320
Black Diamond the team for you.
We're talking down the hall.

34
00:01:40,320 --> 00:01:44,560
Hammer bits, Rotary bits, bloody
RC hammers mate.

35
00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:48,000
Just top hammer diamond drill
consumables.

36
00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:51,200
They make rigs.
Oh they bloody, they bloody do.

37
00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:54,320
They're probably making a rig
right now if you want it mate.

38
00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:57,920
They're just and we're talking
open pit and underground mate.

39
00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:02,120
They are the full drill
consuming book turnkey solution.

40
00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:05,120
They might.
It is freaking impressive.

41
00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:08,240
This factory, it is frigging
hectares.

42
00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:11,080
Like mate, it is flying.
So they're working today.

43
00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:15,720
Q&T are not, but that is OK.
Yeah, and they work with the the

44
00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:18,120
best in the industry, from the
from the new monster, the Rios

45
00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:21,160
of the world to whoever you're
working for, because you can

46
00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:22,880
just pick up the phone, give
them a call.

47
00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:26,040
Mate get business shy nights.
If you need an intro, you just

48
00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:30,360
give me a buzz because it sounds
good coming from me, right?

49
00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:32,480
What do we got?
So she's she's a bit slighted.

50
00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:34,960
I also because I've got to get
all antsy on public holidays

51
00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:37,360
because the market's not open
and like, what do I do with my

52
00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:39,800
life?
Can't scroll watch list and oh

53
00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:43,680
there's not apes out today but.
You found quite it, Yeah, in the

54
00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:45,280
end.
The gold price is the news to, I

55
00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:46,920
mean the gold price is up 5%
today.

56
00:02:46,960 --> 00:02:49,520
And as a result, the things that
are moving in the market are the

57
00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:51,080
gold stocks and that's what I'm
going to talk about.

58
00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:53,040
Very good, JD, what do you got?
Bras.

59
00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:56,120
There's quite a bit going on at
MP material, so I touched on the

60
00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:59,560
rare earth stuff last week, but
I think there's there's quite a

61
00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,080
bit of fallout from the tariffs,
so I'm going to talk about that.

62
00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:06,960
I'd like to special shout out to
Maddie Gabriel from Market Index

63
00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:09,800
for providing me the feature to
just look at all the

64
00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:13,280
announcements since Thursday.
So I've just taken about 6000

65
00:03:13,280 --> 00:03:15,920
screenshots and we're doing it
around the grounds for the last

66
00:03:15,920 --> 00:03:16,600
couple of days.
Let's.

67
00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:18,080
Do it.
Let's start with the Goldies,

68
00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:19,240
Trev.
Yeah.

69
00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:22,600
I mean this is it's quite
remarkable to see in the gold

70
00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:25,400
price go up 5% in a single day
and it's like a couple 100 bucks

71
00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:27,760
in Australian dollar terms.
It's just one day it.

72
00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:30,600
Used to be 10%.
It's, it's, it's, it's kind of

73
00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:32,360
remarkable.
And yeah.

74
00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:34,680
And we're, we're seeing, we're
seeing gold equities obviously

75
00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,240
like follow that trend.
A lot of gold, gold companies

76
00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:40,040
are, are, are, you know, heading
a fair bit north of where they

77
00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:41,320
were just at the start of the
year.

78
00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:45,920
And we, we love, we love
commodity markets because of

79
00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:48,560
that dynamic that can sometimes
happen in, in a commodity market

80
00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:52,200
where you get the, you know,
the, the, the, the thing that's

81
00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:55,240
not priced in happen that the
commodity price goes up, the

82
00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:57,240
stocks go up.
And sometimes you get these like

83
00:03:57,240 --> 00:03:59,240
option, like dynamics with the
undeveloped projects that are

84
00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:01,760
now in the money.
And I'm kind of keen to have a

85
00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:04,840
look at some of those, some of
those, you know, option like

86
00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:06,840
projects out there in the gold
market, because everyone's

87
00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:09,520
trying to think like, oh, if
gold price stays up or keeps

88
00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,240
going up, then, you know,
where's, where is value left in

89
00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:14,120
this trade?
And a lot of people will argue

90
00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,200
that there's still, there's
still value in the trade for the

91
00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:18,240
producers, which aren't pricing.
And that spot will be where it

92
00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:20,079
is for forever and all that sort
of stuff.

93
00:04:20,079 --> 00:04:23,720
And but you know, but I'm kind
of keen to just see the option

94
00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:27,200
like kind of come, you know, the
projects that that are, you

95
00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,680
know, that might have gone
through a a a bit of a cycle to

96
00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:31,880
be pretty in the money now and
what?

97
00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:33,840
What are the sort of parameters
for companies you're looking at

98
00:04:33,840 --> 00:04:35,480
mate?
Well, I'm, I'm just thinking

99
00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:38,720
like, yeah, advanced an advanced
gold development project in

100
00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:40,520
Australia.
I just kind of, you know, wanted

101
00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:43,520
to to to limit, limit it.
And I'm not all that interested

102
00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:46,360
in the the projects which are
held by existing producers, you

103
00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:47,560
know, or a major or anything
like that.

104
00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:50,000
So I'm not talking about the,
the hemis of that or the have

105
00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,720
runs of the world or even like,
you know, the Mcphillamys which,

106
00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,680
which are development projects
or, or growth projects that are

107
00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:57,800
within the portfolio of an
existing producer.

108
00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:00,640
I, I want the, I want the, the
stock that has exposure to the

109
00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:01,760
development, if that makes
sense.

110
00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:04,920
As a side note, though, we
talked about Mcphillamys.

111
00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:07,920
Do you remember when Mcphillamys
study came out nine months ago

112
00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:10,680
and it was pretty underwhelming
that we, we were a bit, a bit

113
00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:13,560
unimpressed by the numbers.
But when it came out the, the

114
00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:17,840
base case scenario development
scenario used a gold price of in

115
00:05:17,840 --> 00:05:22,000
Australian dollar terms $3000
per oz which gave it an

116
00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:26,360
underwhelming post tax NPV of
just $451 million.

117
00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:30,640
Now Spot gold price is $2400 an
ounce higher than that as of

118
00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:32,880
today.
If you Chuck that gold price in

119
00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:36,320
the model Mcfillum is NPV
suddenly $2.3 billion.

120
00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:40,400
That is the sort of talk that
these development projects have

121
00:05:40,840 --> 00:05:43,560
in a, in a rising gold market.
And so you know what, what was

122
00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,720
underwhelming kind of nine
months ago can be pretty damn

123
00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:48,920
attractive right now.
And I'm kind of, I'm kind of on

124
00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:53,080
a mission to, to, to try and
identify or look at, you know,

125
00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:55,720
you know, projects that sort of
fit that bill that might, might

126
00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:57,840
all of a sudden be be pretty
valuable in this kind of market.

127
00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:00,440
So it's pretty unreal.
The IRR is probably going from

128
00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:03,480
what, 17% into like 35 or
something?

129
00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:05,840
Probably a fair bit higher and
like you just think about the

130
00:06:05,840 --> 00:06:08,600
payback period and developing
these things too because the

131
00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:11,160
gold price is so high, the
payback period is is super,

132
00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:13,160
super quick.
And I'm also kind of limiting my

133
00:06:13,280 --> 00:06:16,720
my search to, you know, those
developers which are kind of

134
00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:19,280
producing right now, you know,
think, think of blackout or

135
00:06:19,280 --> 00:06:21,240
maker.
I'm, I'm kind of, you know, not

136
00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,240
looking at them either because I
just want to want to look at

137
00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:25,440
these.
Yeah, the, the, the pure kind of

138
00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:27,920
undeveloped project sort of
suite, so.

139
00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:29,920
Take it away.
What have we got on the list?

140
00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:36,560
You and me rocks resources, $235
million market cap DFS is is

141
00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:39,560
underway and FID targeted for
the for the end of the year.

142
00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:41,760
It's refractory it you know,
looks like they're they're going

143
00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:44,200
to use the Albion process.
But if it gets developed, you

144
00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:47,480
know to produce over 100,000 oz
per annum and it's, it's

145
00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:50,040
advanced enough that you can,
you can certainly see a pathway

146
00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:51,760
for this thing reaching FID by
the end of the year.

147
00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:53,880
Yeah.
And it's like a lot of Oz good

148
00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:55,720
grade.
Like, you know, you trim a bit

149
00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:59,280
on the, a little bit on the
refractory process, but it's

150
00:06:59,280 --> 00:07:01,080
it's.
Got the permit as well, right?

151
00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:04,680
Yeah, well, it's an existing
underground mine, yeah.

152
00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:07,040
Yeah, not a, not a given in this
in this day.

153
00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:10,400
So that's important.
Katanning, which is owned by

154
00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:13,080
Osgold.
Osgold has a $200 million market

155
00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:15,440
cap at the moment.
The approvals process is is

156
00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,440
still largely ahead of them.
But yeah, another of the

157
00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:22,400
roadblocks historically has been
the holdout of our freehold

158
00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:24,360
property owners over the
project.

159
00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:27,640
Unfortunately, it kind of got
got to the point where it's, you

160
00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:30,280
know, part of that negotiation
is going to the warden's court

161
00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:33,160
where, where there's a hearing
scheduled next month.

162
00:07:33,160 --> 00:07:35,520
But it also appears there are
other freehold land owners in

163
00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:39,520
addition not covered by that
claim, which also still require

164
00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:42,120
an agreement.
So, yeah, there's, there's

165
00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:45,080
unfortunately kind of the, the
timing to production as a result

166
00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:46,960
of these things that they still
have to work through is

167
00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:49,920
uncertain because because of
these kind of factors.

168
00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:53,720
And, and that stops me getting
like super excited about about

169
00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:56,280
this project.
But, but if they can get there

170
00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:58,720
and, and get past those sort of
hurdles and, and there's a, you

171
00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:01,280
know, a decent endowment and A
and A, and a respectable

172
00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:02,960
production profile that can come
out of Catang.

173
00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:07,960
Very much so.
Apollo Hill, this is Saturn and

174
00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:11,040
Saturn has $130 million market
cap right now.

175
00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:13,880
I, I, I'd just be rehashing what
what Headley said about Saturn

176
00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:17,280
in our podcast recently.
And this is a bit earlier stage

177
00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:19,080
than the others I've spoken
about.

178
00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:23,720
It's only got APEA out so far.
There's APFS due by December and

179
00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:26,440
then a DFS after that.
So best case scenario

180
00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:30,560
construction in 2027.
But they position it as 120,000

181
00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:34,120
oz per annum gold producer and
if the gold price kind of holds

182
00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:35,440
up, I do.
I do think this will get

183
00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:38,840
constructed so.
Be good to say hey hey bleach in

184
00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:40,400
WI.
It's the sort of market that

185
00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,640
yeah, you you see all kinds of,
you know, things that things

186
00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:47,440
that are where unfamiliar kind
of come, come, you know, Albion,

187
00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:49,600
for example, the hate bleach,
you know, these these sorts of

188
00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:51,040
things can happen in this sort
of market, I think.

189
00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:53,360
It's well, because it's only
like half a Graham, isn't it?

190
00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,400
It did. 0.54 from memory, yeah.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.

191
00:08:56,560 --> 00:08:59,040
Next step, tongue killer.
So this is Button gold.

192
00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:01,560
Button has $100 million market
cap right now, but it's been

193
00:09:01,560 --> 00:09:05,640
soaring over the last month.
We're talking SA and it's

194
00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:10,240
another earlier stage of the lot
it it it's only got a scoping

195
00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,880
study on dunk killer so far, but
but there's potential for

196
00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:15,560
respectable production profile
if the study numbers of, you

197
00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:18,280
know, 130,000 oz per annum kind
of stack up.

198
00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:21,160
Again though, it's timeline to
production bit uncertain because

199
00:09:21,160 --> 00:09:25,040
it's a you know it's a bit
earlier stage, but financing

200
00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:27,200
would be would would certainly
be doable if you have a a

201
00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,600
sustained gold bull market.
They're all back to WI.

202
00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:33,560
Yeah, Mandela.
So this is Astral's, Astral's

203
00:09:33,560 --> 00:09:35,160
project, the, the Mandela gold
project.

204
00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:37,760
Astral's capped at $240 million.
And it's it's not the the

205
00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:40,920
cheapest of the developers out
there, but it has, you know, a

206
00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:44,440
lot of good things going for it.
It's it's in the right post code

207
00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:46,760
being the gold fields.
It's, you know, this project can

208
00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:48,280
produce over 100,000 oz per
annum.

209
00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:52,200
It's got PFS on it due by June.
But yeah, I think the company

210
00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:54,600
will have plenty of kind of
corporate appeal as well, just

211
00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,320
just given its location and all
of the different players in the

212
00:09:57,320 --> 00:10:00,440
vicinity and the type of gold
market we're in where if you

213
00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:03,480
can, if you can get answers to A
to a mill in a in a shorter

214
00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:05,840
period of time, that's, you
know, incredibly creative it it

215
00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:08,200
can't go prices.
Interesting with that one here,

216
00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:12,600
they did the just did the merger
with the Maximus because the big

217
00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:15,280
constraint on them before was
the size of their tenement.

218
00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:18,440
So they're effectively going to
have to mine, mine a pit and

219
00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:22,400
then use that pit to put waste
in for the next one because they

220
00:10:22,400 --> 00:10:24,560
didn't have enough area for
waste dumps.

221
00:10:24,560 --> 00:10:29,080
But now just securing that
tenement, it is, it's

222
00:10:29,080 --> 00:10:32,360
essentially sort of paid for
itself because they can now mine

223
00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:35,000
everything a lot quicker without
having to do all this funky

224
00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,560
trying to squeeze it in in the
tenements.

225
00:10:37,560 --> 00:10:38,960
Yeah, yeah.
No, it was a good play.

226
00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:44,640
Speaking of the corporate
appeal, Minari Dome by Antipa,

227
00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:48,000
Antipa has a market cap of $326
million now.

228
00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:50,520
And there's, there's plenty of
conjecture from plenty of angles

229
00:10:50,760 --> 00:10:53,280
that Greatland Gold will look to
acquire Antipa.

230
00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:56,360
And if gold prices hold up, even
though it's, you know, over a

231
00:10:56,360 --> 00:11:00,560
$300 million company, it'd still
be quite accretive to do so.

232
00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:04,160
However, there's, there's some
uncertainty on the timeline that

233
00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:07,440
could, could it, could it be
mined in, in, in what period of

234
00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:08,800
time?
And what's the gold price going

235
00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:10,600
to look like then?
But you know, if you could, you

236
00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:14,000
could mine it tomorrow and pay,
pay it's market cap right now.

237
00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:16,360
You do it.
So that's the, that's the

238
00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:17,040
equation.
Great.

239
00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:19,040
That's going to have to have to
weigh up, but at least there's a

240
00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:22,040
logical mill for it to go to.
Very much so, yeah.

241
00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:24,120
Go to the other end of the
state.

242
00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:28,120
Ravensthorpe So Medallion Metals
Medallion has $120 million

243
00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:31,680
market cap at the moment and
they, they, they, they now have

244
00:11:31,680 --> 00:11:35,280
a, they seem to have a low CapEx
pathway to production via Igos

245
00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:37,960
Cosmic Boy plant where they've
got, you know, this exclusive

246
00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:39,920
arrangement to, to, to pick that
up.

247
00:11:40,760 --> 00:11:43,400
This could be one of the more
advanced players of the bunch as

248
00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:47,440
a result, and FID could be
announced by the end of the

249
00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:49,760
year.
It's not, yeah, you know, plus

250
00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:54,800
100,000 oz per annum production
profile, but it 70,000 oz per

251
00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,160
annum production could still be
formidable in this kind of gold

252
00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:59,880
price environment.
And that's the positioning that

253
00:11:59,880 --> 00:12:01,840
Medallion is taking.
Be interesting to see if they

254
00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:05,120
get the gold rights, expiration
rights up at Forest Forest

255
00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:07,600
starting here as well, so they
could have a bit of a hub gown

256
00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:09,080
on there.
Yep, right here.

257
00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:11,440
Do your neck of the woods, yeah.
Yeah.

258
00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:14,000
So I wanted to mention Horizon
Minerals.

259
00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:17,640
They're, they're capped at $150
million and it's, it's a company

260
00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:20,240
I haven't spent a heap of time
looking at in the past, but I

261
00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:22,360
think it's worthy of a fresh
look with new eyes.

262
00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:26,080
They've got a bunch of Oz oz
scattered across various

263
00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:28,000
tenements in and around
Kalgoorlie.

264
00:12:28,080 --> 00:12:30,600
And, and what's changed in
recent history is they acquired

265
00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:32,920
Poseidon nickel.
Importantly, that has come with

266
00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:36,640
the Black Swan processing plant
and Horizon has GI engineering

267
00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:39,120
on the job to repurpose that for
gold production.

268
00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:42,080
It'll, it'll be an important
piece of infrastructure that

269
00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:45,680
plant in a, in a pretty hot
district, especially if if gold

270
00:12:45,680 --> 00:12:48,720
prices hold up as plenty of
people are looking to monetise

271
00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:52,120
their, you know, they're in the
money gold, gold, gold project.

272
00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:55,760
And Horizon has plenty of gold
themselves that they can, you

273
00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:57,960
know, likely mine profitably in
this market.

274
00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:00,720
And if they have their own meal
to send it through, then that

275
00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:02,440
then that just helps them
capture more of that margin.

276
00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,440
So I'm gonna keep a closer eye
on Horizon now.

277
00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:06,200
Yeah.
That's Kalgoorlie through and

278
00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:09,720
through that company yes Now
this next one you know gold

279
00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:12,480
prices at 5400 if this is
getting to mention it's.

280
00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:14,840
A bit of a left field one for
you guys.

281
00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:19,520
Mount Todd, which is Vista Gold.
Yeah, I think there's like an

282
00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:21,600
adage, you know, it's a gold
bull market when Mount Todd gets

283
00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:24,240
a rebirth.
And then the NT project is

284
00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:26,720
currently held by this North
American junior called Vista

285
00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:29,720
Gold, which is capped at about
100 million U.S. dollars.

286
00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,800
Yeah, Mount Todd is like it's
the largest, hardest 0.9g per

287
00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:38,320
tonne all body you'll find.
But talk about talk to you, you,

288
00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:42,200
you this, this project must have
plenty of leverage in this this

289
00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,920
kind of market.
So, yeah, just just one that

290
00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:46,560
you've got to throw in the mix
in this sort of market.

291
00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:51,360
For you to watch there, yeah.
Very good, good bloody Chuck em

292
00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:53,800
all Chuck.
Make that bloody get down to

293
00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:55,800
Comsec.
Put Trav's gold watch list.

294
00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:57,120
Gold watch list, Chuck em all in
there.

295
00:13:57,120 --> 00:13:58,320
I don't think it should be
understated.

296
00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:00,720
There's a lot of downside if
gold prices fall off here, but

297
00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:04,600
you know, people are people are
looking for yeah for like a the

298
00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:07,080
names to watch if if the if the
bull market continues.

299
00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:09,760
These are the ones that I'm
watching because of that option

300
00:14:09,760 --> 00:14:13,840
like dynamic, yeah, yeah and and
and you know, hopefully nearest

301
00:14:13,840 --> 00:14:15,000
chain production that they have
to.

302
00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:18,360
Very good.
Good segment, right JD?

303
00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,120
Right.
Are we talking about a rare

304
00:14:21,120 --> 00:14:23,840
Earth's rebirth?
No.

305
00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,000
Just Chuck a bit of Mayo on it.
Why not?

306
00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:27,880
I wish I could.
I'm not quite sure, Maddie.

307
00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:31,480
I think there's quite a bit of
nuance to this story given the

308
00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:33,840
the trade war dynamics.
You get pretty distorted

309
00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:36,080
markets.
You get high prices for the same

310
00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:38,120
commodity in one part of the
world versus the other.

311
00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:42,400
But you know, look at the stock
price of MP materials.

312
00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:47,080
It it peeled off 12% on it's
last trading day before the

313
00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:51,200
before the Easter holidays and
off over 20% in space for a

314
00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:53,400
couple days.
You know, you soon a bit further

315
00:14:53,400 --> 00:14:58,040
and there'd been a real run up
there, but this is all a fallout

316
00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:00,520
of the the trade war and and the
tariffs and there's quite a bit

317
00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:02,480
going on here.
So based on those stock

318
00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:04,520
movements, we're not looking
like a rebirth.

319
00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:08,960
I well for for MP materials, I,
I don't think so.

320
00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:12,000
I do think there's opportunity
for for some players in the

321
00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:16,080
market, but this is the most
opaque market we speak about.

322
00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:18,120
It has been flooded with Chinese
supplies.

323
00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:21,600
So I'm not going to come here
and and profess that I can just

324
00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,920
sort of see the future with it
because it's as as muddy as the

325
00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:27,360
waters sort of get.
So what's the what's the ghost

326
00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:30,400
that's there?
So when we spoke about it last

327
00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:34,160
week, I mentioned that MP
Materials sends about 2/3 if you

328
00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:38,000
go off last year of their
concentrate to China and the

329
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:42,280
rest of that they try and turn
into NDPR themselves.

330
00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:46,080
Now importantly, that's all of
their profitability pretty much

331
00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:49,800
because the product that they
turn into NDPR, they're still

332
00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:52,440
ramping that up and they can't
do it profitably yet.

333
00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:55,760
So that is loss making
essentially.

334
00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:59,240
And you're talking about a
company that does about 45,000

335
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:05,200
tons of REO rare earth oxide
32,000 last year was sent to

336
00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,200
Shanghai, their partner in
China, who's also one of their

337
00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:11,320
biggest shareholders.
And like I said that the rest is

338
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,080
consumed.
This ratio is coming down.

339
00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:16,480
So they're going to be
internally consuming more as

340
00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:20,680
they ramp up NDPR production.
But exports have come to a

341
00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:25,280
pretty abrupt halt over the
weekend because of these 100%

342
00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:28,800
plus tariffs, meaning it's not
economic to do so.

343
00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:33,000
So in MP materials wording, they
say selling rare earth

344
00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:37,800
concentrate to China under 125%
tariff regime is neither

345
00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:40,600
commercially rational.
Or.

346
00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:43,960
Nor aligned with America's
national interest and they sort

347
00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:47,800
of added that their California
refinery is processing now about

348
00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:52,360
half so no longer just one third
that's going up like I said of

349
00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:55,360
their product into materials
that they're selling ex China,

350
00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:59,080
so Korea, Japan and these sorts
of countries now they also added

351
00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:02,400
that they they want to step up
oxide production as well as

352
00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:06,560
getting into separation of
heavies as well as bringing

353
00:17:06,599 --> 00:17:09,839
magnet production.
And yeah, suffice to say none of

354
00:17:09,839 --> 00:17:11,359
these are easy things to
achieve.

355
00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:12,400
What?
Do you what do you think of the

356
00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:16,680
spin?
I think a lot of people are

357
00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:19,359
reading through it.
I think this is a massive blow

358
00:17:19,839 --> 00:17:22,520
for the company.
No matter how they can try and

359
00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:27,079
spin it like this puts them in a
very tough position because it

360
00:17:27,079 --> 00:17:28,880
was all of their profitability,
right.

361
00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:31,320
So, you know, you can, you can
look at the earnings of the

362
00:17:31,320 --> 00:17:34,560
company and they they fluctuated
with the run up that we saw 2122

363
00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:36,800
and they they earned a bit of
money, but they haven't been

364
00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:41,000
earning money in recent times
given that the weak pricing and

365
00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:43,880
the revenue that was coming in
the door has just been pretty

366
00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,960
much wiped.
So I'm not buying the the

367
00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:49,160
national interest spin.
This was a big part of the

368
00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:52,080
narrative for MP materials that
they are going to be the the

369
00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:54,960
national champion.
But you know, self-interest

370
00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:59,280
triumphs, all right, And they,
I'm sure they're very patriotic

371
00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:02,400
people, but that's not at the
expense of that the company

372
00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:06,440
functioning properly.
So if you want to paint a pretty

373
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:08,520
picture like the company's tried
to do, they are saying they're

374
00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:11,360
going to be ex China and they're
going to be more independent

375
00:18:11,360 --> 00:18:13,640
earlier than they would have
otherwise been.

376
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,520
But you know, if you're going to
be a bit bearish about it, their

377
00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:18,840
profitability is gone.
There's a lot of pressure on

378
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:22,120
ramping up NDPI production,
magnet production and all these

379
00:18:22,120 --> 00:18:25,480
other parts of the supply chain.
And they're a company that has

380
00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:30,200
US 280 million in cash and US
$900 million in debt.

381
00:18:30,360 --> 00:18:34,960
So I mean that's not coming to
tomorrow, but it does put

382
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:38,600
pressure on as we as we know.
So if you look at what they did

383
00:18:38,600 --> 00:18:43,680
last year, 1.3000 tons of NDPR
production, they want to scale

384
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:49,440
that up to 6000 tons and less
than 10% of that probably is

385
00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:52,520
going to be used in their magnet
facility when they can get that

386
00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,680
up and running.
So I'm sure there's a lot of

387
00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:57,840
questions they're going to be
trying to answer internally and

388
00:18:58,120 --> 00:19:01,560
tell the tell the market.
And I sort of I thought I'd just

389
00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:03,360
run through a couple of them
that kind of come to mind,

390
00:19:03,360 --> 00:19:06,240
right.
So curious mate, will MP

391
00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:10,000
materials be able to consume
100% of their mine production?

392
00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:13,520
IE do they even have capacity to
try and turn that into NDPR?

393
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:16,080
The answer is pretty much no,
it's not.

394
00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:19,000
Because you're saying the
midstream they're doing 50% of

395
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:21,680
their current production, but
they're looking to four times

396
00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:23,920
that production.
Yeah, they, they wanted to ramp

397
00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,960
that up, but at the moment and
for the foreseeable future, they

398
00:19:27,360 --> 00:19:29,840
they don't have anywhere to to
put all that REO.

399
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:32,960
So they're just going to have to
stockpile it that, you know, you

400
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,600
see the inventory on the the
balance sheet tick up, but it's

401
00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:40,000
money not coming in the door.
And it is not easy to find a

402
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:42,640
buyer of rare earth oxide that
isn't in China.

403
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,720
So it's not an easy question to
answer for the company, right.

404
00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:49,000
And then you get the the point.
What do they even do with the

405
00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:52,440
NPNPPR when they produce it,
right?

406
00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:56,320
Because we know Japan's pretty
much maxed out with, with Linus

407
00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:58,160
and a lot of stuff ends up in,
in China.

408
00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:02,320
It's it's very convoluted, but.
There is no demand in America

409
00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:05,360
for the NDPR or not enough
demand for what they going to

410
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,400
produce.
So another big unanswered

411
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:10,960
question.
You've got more unanswered

412
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:14,760
questions like can U.S.
companies in any sort of shape

413
00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:18,760
or form, whether that be magnet
demand, NDPR demand scale up

414
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:22,560
quick enough in line with what
NP materials want to do?

415
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:26,160
They're talking about this
completely ex China supply

416
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:28,320
chamber that is not going to
happen overnight.

417
00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:31,040
That's going to take a while to
to come into effect.

418
00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:34,880
And you know, as you'd expect,
MP materials tries to answer

419
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:37,200
these questions.
They say in their announcement

420
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,600
that they've got manufacturers,
manufacturers rather reaching

421
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:43,800
out saying, you know, we've got
demand for, for whatever you

422
00:20:43,800 --> 00:20:46,240
want to produce, whether that's
the, you know, halfway through

423
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,360
the chain or further down the
chain.

424
00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:52,440
That is a positive, right?
But no contract is signed like

425
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:53,680
that.
That's not money coming in the

426
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,080
door.
Can I throw in company just

427
00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:58,400
something into the mix there?
And that's yeah, one of the

428
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:01,000
rumours we heard sometime last
year and it's really talking

429
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:03,080
about the Australian government.
But I wouldn't be surprised if

430
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:05,720
it was like, yeah, there were
members of a similar thing

431
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:06,800
overseas and all that sort of
stuff.

432
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:12,080
But it was that that the the
government would would sign the

433
00:21:12,080 --> 00:21:15,680
offtake like that could sign,
you know, full price longevity

434
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:17,680
at at at X price.
And that would that would

435
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,320
underwrite that and the
independent supply chain and

436
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:22,840
also in some instances
development of certain projects

437
00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:25,360
which which otherwise you
couldn't get an off take 4.

438
00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:27,280
Absolutely.
I think if you're buying MP

439
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:28,960
materials.
You're counting on that.

440
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:33,520
You're kind of counting on that
like this is trading way, you

441
00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,680
know, over its its earnings or
anything like that.

442
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:40,760
It's at a well after peeling off
probably a 60% run this year

443
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:42,640
alone.
You know, compare that to the

444
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,040
rest of the market.
That's, that's pretty outrageous

445
00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:48,560
for a company that's earnings
have been massively hit, right?

446
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,400
Absolutely.
That, that is a super valid

447
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:54,160
point to make.
And I'll sort of add to it that

448
00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:55,720
there's, there's a lot of nuance
to this.

449
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:57,800
So they talk about magnet
production.

450
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:01,280
Magnets come in all different
shapes and sizes like magnets

451
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:05,040
for they, they have a contract
with GM to produce a magnet.

452
00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:08,760
That is from what I understand,
one of the easier quote UN quote

453
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:12,080
magnets to produce magnets for
defence and these sort of other

454
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:15,720
high tech applications.
Very difficult and difficult

455
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,880
means more CapEx needs to be
spent to learn how to do it.

456
00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,720
Also, their mountain pass
project is sort of more slanted

457
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:25,400
towards the light rare earths as
opposed to the heavies.

458
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,800
Where do they kind of get the,
the feedstock that they might

459
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:31,280
need?
Who knows, maybe there's maybe

460
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:33,600
there's a deal to be done in
this sort of capacity given the

461
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,440
value of their, their paper as
well.

462
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:39,440
The ionic clay producers, we all
saw them jump up massively last

463
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:41,160
week.
A lot of them have peeled back a

464
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:43,840
little bit, but these get thrown
up because they're generally

465
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,480
easier to to extract the the
heavies from.

466
00:22:48,120 --> 00:22:51,080
MPs say they have enough heavies
for the contracts they have at

467
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:52,320
hand, but maybe they want to
expand.

468
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:55,560
Maybe they want to do a bit
more, add, add new magnet and

469
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,280
different types of magnet supply
down the line.

470
00:22:57,280 --> 00:23:00,640
So maybe they use their paper
for a couple of these kind of

471
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:03,160
beaten up projects.
Who kind of knows?

472
00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:07,920
I just sort of think all this to
say is that the road to being a

473
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:11,680
national champion in the USMP
materials is perhaps not as

474
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:13,200
simple as everyone makes it out
to be.

475
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,760
Yet you still have to be able to
execute on it.

476
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:19,360
And it's not something that the
US in any shape or form has

477
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,840
executed on in any kind of
capacity.

478
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:24,640
And it becomes increasingly
tougher if you had all your

479
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:26,880
revenue cut.
You need to just hold your hand

480
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:28,160
out to the government a bit
more.

481
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:32,080
And it's interesting to see that
the the CEO sold over 50 million

482
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,720
U.S. dollars worth of stock in
the last month alone.

483
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:38,280
I think, you know, actions
sometimes speak louder than

484
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:39,520
words.
And, you know, maybe they were

485
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,760
were reasons.
No, nothing wrong with someone

486
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,400
just taking a few chips off the
table, but yeah.

487
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,640
How much has he got left?
A substantial amount.

488
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,760
They sort of spun this company
together a bit over five years

489
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,040
ago now.
So, you know, yeah.

490
00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:59,520
And, and I also think it's worth
keeping in mind that I saw last

491
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,840
week almost every single rarest
producer on my watch list

492
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,800
drawing out junior, chucking up
an announcement about what's

493
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,360
going on.
So just remember, like the old

494
00:24:08,360 --> 00:24:10,880
adages like Greater King and,
you know, jurisdiction, all

495
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,720
these things matter because
there are a lot of juniors out

496
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:15,960
there trying to trying to milk
it a bit at the moment.

497
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:19,080
And yeah, you need to really go
through the the checklist of

498
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:20,920
what what passed must start at
this point.

499
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,240
Yeah, yeah, very good.
Bloody.

500
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:28,040
We chatted about all this stuff
with our Sammy Berridge

501
00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,800
interview, which will be out
later this week, about these

502
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,680
pending bloody commodities.
Which one's going to go first?

503
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,200
Rare earths definitely in that
basket.

504
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,480
It's an interesting one, right?
Super interesting.

505
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:41,080
Very much right.
Let's do a bit of a we'll do it

506
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:45,480
around the grounds.
It's like a bloody visual, A

507
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:47,760
video director special.
What have you got for us?

508
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:48,480
What?
Have you Thursday?

509
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:53,440
Well, the the first thing that
really caught my attention end

510
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:56,760
of last week was this LinkedIn
post.

511
00:24:57,120 --> 00:24:59,440
Have a look at Adam Wilson, the
action figure.

512
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:03,200
Not just the action figure from
KCI, it's the title day on the

513
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:04,680
bottom.
It's taken off.

514
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:11,400
Just call KCA.
It is even KCA are even using

515
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,200
it.
So there is just going to be a

516
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:17,040
money of mine legacy with KCA
forever because obviously

517
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:20,120
they've thought they'll probably
on the phone to a customer

518
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:23,280
searching for people, searching
for equipment, searching for

519
00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:26,840
mining expertise, which KCA is
the one stop shop for.

520
00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:30,240
I'm just so stoked that we've
got this to take off.

521
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,840
Isn't that brilliant?
Just call KCA.

522
00:25:33,360 --> 00:25:34,600
I'm not sure.
I think you're out there,

523
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:37,120
Maddie.
And you can get everything from

524
00:25:37,120 --> 00:25:40,480
KCA mostly, mostly kit and
people, but you can also get

525
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:41,760
these action figures.
You can get that.

526
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:43,800
Why not take an Adam Wilson
action figure?

527
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:45,760
But it's like that thing.
It's like it's him.

528
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:50,120
The it's not just call Adam,
it's just call KCA because it's

529
00:25:50,120 --> 00:25:53,520
the team that he's built to
deliver you, the people, the

530
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:56,760
machinery and whatever you want.
Problem solvers.

531
00:25:56,760 --> 00:26:01,280
Just call kca.
Anyway, back back to more not as

532
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:03,920
good mining stories as KCI, what
do you got?

533
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:08,640
But we'll get on it.
So de Grey will be into Northern

534
00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:10,960
Star.
It's official scheme meeting

535
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:14,080
results.
Scheme meeting votes happened.

536
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:18,920
99.64% voted yes for those that
voted.

537
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:22,320
Actually tuned into that webinar
and it was pretty boring, must

538
00:26:22,360 --> 00:26:25,200
admit.
Yeah, it's like the whole deal's

539
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:28,320
just been boring, really.
It's like no one interloped, no

540
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:31,520
one liked.
Good for Northern Star, I guess.

541
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:35,480
But so yeah, that's final.
They'll have the final.

542
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:39,240
What do they have a final court
hearing, don't they?

543
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:41,480
That's all.
That's all straightforward.

544
00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:45,560
Yeah, anyway, 5th of
implementation, 5th of May and

545
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:47,880
Degraw will be delisted on the
6th of May.

546
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:52,240
So congratulations to all people
involved in that company and

547
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:55,160
getting a pretty bloody big
outcome for shareholders.

548
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:58,840
What a bloody, what a journey.
So now she's Northern Stars

549
00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:00,160
Problem all.
Right Next up.

550
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:07,280
Bellevue so near term hedge book
closeout confirmed so it's.

551
00:27:07,360 --> 00:27:09,680
Just sort of flagged wasn't.
It yeah, but you can you can

552
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:14,320
actually see that there's about
about 5000 oz left in December.

553
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:17,440
So I think we everyone, it's
very small amount of their

554
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:19,600
production.
So they're pretty bloody close

555
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:24,240
to fully unhedged for the next
the remainder of this calendar

556
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:28,040
year. 5000 ounces to deliver in
December.

557
00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:30,520
Even even the difference between
when they came out with the

558
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,240
announcement and when they
managed to do it would have cost

559
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:35,080
them a few 1,000,000 bucks.
Here's the gold price.

560
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:36,240
Yeah, yeah.
Yeah, yeah.

561
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:40,400
I think it's, I think I saw a
note that cost them 5000 oz or

562
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:43,880
something in changing gold price
with the hedge book and the the

563
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:45,960
liability.
So you've seen that actually

564
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:48,560
creeped up back up.
So they raised at $0.85.

565
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,160
Remember they actually crept
back up to a bit over a buck,

566
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:55,040
but they've pulled back today 93
cents.

567
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,120
They said that a bit of an
underperformer.

568
00:27:57,120 --> 00:28:01,840
So this next quarter is going to
be, if they don't hit this 40 to

569
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:07,200
45 that they've said it's going
to be, should be bloody mayhem.

570
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:08,480
So.
Work cut out for them.

571
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,360
Type that high grade comes along
Parenti.

572
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:18,760
So they've So was it AUMS
parenti?

573
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:21,360
Baminko.
Yeah, but I think it was over

574
00:28:21,360 --> 00:28:23,120
there.
So it was probably AUMS, African

575
00:28:23,120 --> 00:28:26,040
Underground Mining Services.
They had the contract over at

576
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:31,480
Comic Con in Botswana, but it
was a five year contract and it

577
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,800
looks like they unfortunately
haven't been able to get it

578
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:35,880
extended.
I think they extended it last

579
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:39,440
year for a confirmed the
extension for a year last year,

580
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:43,400
but it will be finishing up 30th
of June 2025.

581
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:45,320
Chinese company going owner,
operator.

582
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,440
That's a big surprise.
That's the one though that'd be

583
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:53,960
yeah, it's a bit of float there
deep yellow quarterly out as we

584
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:57,880
haven't talked about it that so
they've deferred their FID for

585
00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:04,040
the two mass project in Namibia
citing you the sufficient

586
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:07,520
uranium price incentivization
for a Greenfield development

587
00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,880
project.
So it's, it's just, I find this

588
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:16,680
very interesting purely because
a 30 year mine life, it's going

589
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:20,400
to take a, it's going to be
three £3.6 million producer.

590
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:24,520
Not like a huge, huge, but I'm
just, I'm like, what does it

591
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:27,640
say?
Like what does it say about the,

592
00:29:27,720 --> 00:29:30,400
the uranium outlook versus the
project outlook?

593
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:34,360
Because it's like, OK, 30 year
mine life, if you're going to

594
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,040
bloody be gone that long, you're
going to, there's going to be

595
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:39,120
nibs and flows in the, in the
cycle.

596
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:42,080
Why wouldn't you commit to
developing it now?

597
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,800
And the term price is what,
$81.00?

598
00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:49,840
The, you know, the, the DFS
costing was US 75.

599
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:53,440
We're above that.
Just interested to see why

600
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:56,760
they're not going to progress
such a long life project.

601
00:29:57,280 --> 00:30:00,400
I'm thinking are they looking
for a Chinese company to buy it

602
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:04,000
off them so they don't have to,
which makes sense in Namibia,

603
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:08,320
looking at the cash they've got,
they've got 227,000,000, but as

604
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:14,240
you can see here for initial
CapEx is US 470, so about 750

605
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:17,680
Aussie circa.
It's like are they?

606
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,200
Do they want the price to run so
they can raise a shit load more

607
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:23,520
capital to equity fund it?
Which is probably what I'm

608
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:25,800
leaning to.
Yeah, that makes sense too.

609
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:29,280
Like, I know, I know, John
Borschel says it's fully equity

610
00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:32,080
funded already, but in reality,
you're going to raise a bit more

611
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:35,280
money on FID and you want to
minimize dilution when you do

612
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:35,880
that.
Yeah.

613
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:39,520
And so I think announcing FID
now it's they don't want to take

614
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,320
bloody half a billion in debt, I
wouldn't imagine.

615
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:48,800
So I don't do it and look the
project may be at US 8250, it's

616
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:55,280
only a 19% IRR like it's pretty
it, it needs projects like this,

617
00:30:55,280 --> 00:31:00,760
these low grade open pits in
these jurisdictions I think need

618
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:05,760
the big prices to really make it
feasible so.

619
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:09,440
Especially if you're on the
debt, you need an offtake and

620
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:11,440
then.
Yeah, because that that's a, you

621
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:15,280
know, four year payback for all
that at these deck prices, which

622
00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:19,520
we know are never true.
So I'll be Yeah, I think unless

623
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:24,360
the uranium price goes into the
hundreds, I don't see projects

624
00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:28,000
like this potentially being
developed by these people unless

625
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:31,040
China buys it off them.
So anyway, we'll wait and see

626
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:35,640
Santana go across bloody because
of Anzac Day coming up.

627
00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:38,080
So we're going to talk about the
New Zealand's New Zealand

628
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:42,280
operations a bit.
They put out a some new open pit

629
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:46,520
stages for their Ras project.
Looks like pretty bloody Thistle

630
00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:51,800
bloody overview pretty much
saying they've dropped a shit

631
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:54,920
load of waste off a new new
excavation strategy.

632
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:59,040
It looks to pretty much drop the
amount of waste they have to pre

633
00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:02,560
strip to get to 1st off.
So pretty pretty much gone from

634
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:06,960
15,000,000 BCM down to 7.9.
So and you could, because you

635
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:10,480
can see these stages here, you
look at the volume at the start

636
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,960
compared to the waste volume for
that stage.

637
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:16,320
So extremely high strip ratio at
the start because you can see

638
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:19,840
you've got to essentially take
out a bloody mountain to get

639
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:21,840
down to the ore.
But you can look at once you get

640
00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:26,320
down to those later stages,
there's a lot, lot lower strip

641
00:32:26,320 --> 00:32:29,280
ratio to deal with.
And it's just got that real that

642
00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:32,920
Karla window look about it in
the ore body like that, that

643
00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:37,640
shallow dipping very, very
similar layout.

644
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,880
I'm not can't comment on the
continuity of it compared to

645
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,280
Karla window.
But look at it, look at it, the

646
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:48,520
resource grades, like once you
get to stages four and five, you

647
00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:52,040
it's like 3 1/2 gram dirt in an
open pit.

648
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:55,440
So that's, that's bloody
underground dirt these days.

649
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:59,200
High grade underground.
So yeah, 11 to watch.

650
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,440
New study on the way.
Yeah, Ding Ding, Ding on the

651
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:06,880
next one for U2 WA 1 hasn't been
hasn't been talked about much

652
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:08,840
thought we'd just just say good
day to it.

653
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:12,480
Good old WA one, they put out
some they're, they're still

654
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,680
drilling, still got a couple of
rigs on site, one sort of doing

655
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:21,280
the resource in filling sort of
things than others doing like a

656
00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:25,040
lot of stuff for the PFS, like
probably a bit of water drilling

657
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:31,080
and all that sort of stuff.
So pretty amazing to look at

658
00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:33,960
this, the size of the deposit,
what is it, 200 million tonne or

659
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:37,080
something.
The joys of having shallow

660
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:41,200
bloody holes and not having to
drill deep. 55,000 meters of

661
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:44,760
drilling to find that whole
resource to date, which is

662
00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:47,040
pretty phenomenal.
They they, they never, they

663
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:49,280
never really raised a huge
amount of money when you think

664
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:50,640
about it.
They always the cap raise is

665
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:53,800
always pretty pretty small size
compared to what the market.

666
00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:57,200
Was yeah, hence why the you know
it's got a share price that is

667
00:33:57,520 --> 00:34:00,160
11 like in the double digits
because it doesn't got shit

668
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:03,160
loads of shares on issue and the
the founders rightfully so I

669
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:06,640
have a good lick of stock.
So, yeah, well, I guess we're

670
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:11,199
waiting on, I think they're
going to do a resource update by

671
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:12,920
late this quarter.
Yeah.

672
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:16,440
And then we'll be waiting on
some sort of some sort of study.

673
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:21,800
But that study is going to be a
that's a big study.

674
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:27,679
Like that is a lot of scenarios
to plot out for something that's

675
00:34:27,679 --> 00:34:31,080
never been done in Australia.
So it's like they've especially

676
00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:34,400
these these poor bastards when
they outside niobium, they're

677
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:36,719
like, holy shit, we're going to
learn about this commodity.

678
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:41,080
They come from probably a 0
based but yeah, but and now

679
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:42,560
doing a study on it.
So it's.

680
00:34:43,159 --> 00:34:45,840
Thing to watch for with that
study to you it's just how is a

681
00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:50,040
very high grade kind of subset
of that resource which yeah the

682
00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:52,400
beauty of when you have a very
high grade portion of of any

683
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:55,080
resource is what what that means
for your financing like you you

684
00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:59,800
can get earlier cash flows and
reduces your kind of yeah yeah

685
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:01,800
total spend you.
Know what I mean?

686
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:05,640
It's it's just been forgotten
about in terms of is one of the

687
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:09,000
Aussie billionaires going to
step in and have a look at this

688
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:13,960
or a big major?
Yeah, it's it appears not at the

689
00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:16,600
moment, but we'll see what
happens once the I guess the

690
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:18,720
study comes out if that's what
they're waiting on.

691
00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:22,040
But it's definitely drift back
and doesn't have not talked

692
00:35:22,040 --> 00:35:26,040
about at the moment.
So Ding Allegc, you're

693
00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:28,840
diversified into lithium.
Good on you.

694
00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:32,960
Diversified counter cyclical
play from ALLEGC on Pilgrim

695
00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:34,800
Minerals.
Their quarterly coming out the

696
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:38,120
other way you can see.
PLS now Maddie.

697
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:39,920
Oh, it's just PLS isn't.
It.

698
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:41,440
Yeah, yeah.
Because we, you know, you go as

699
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:42,840
well.
Because we've got, we've got

700
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:47,120
Brazil, we've got the Pascal J,
we're in a international lithium

701
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:48,560
company.
They deal with IGO.

702
00:35:48,720 --> 00:35:52,760
So everyone always says, right,
is Pilbara making money or not

703
00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:54,360
in this lithium price
environment?

704
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:57,480
So it looks like they spent
about 100 mil on CapEx to

705
00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:01,640
finalize the the P-1000, which
is going to be essentially

706
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:05,600
operate essentially the P-1000
expansion happened.

707
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:10,400
They've put the their the
Ningaju plant on care of

708
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:14,040
maintenance, which has dropped
the site back to AP850 operating

709
00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:16,200
model.
So they sounds like they

710
00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:20,120
invested 100 odd mil in CapEx,
went back about 100 mil.

711
00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:23,280
It said their opera that
operational cash flow was about

712
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:28,080
30 mil and I think the all in
sustaining was about 14 mil

713
00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:30,560
profits.
So it's like pretty bloody close

714
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,320
to break even.
So you can see the tonnages and

715
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:37,440
the revenue were down for the
month to reflect the Ningaju

716
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:39,840
plant going on care and
maintenance look.

717
00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:42,400
At the revenue right, like 1.
150 million do.

718
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:43,840
You remember?
Remember when we were talking

719
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:46,080
about it?
That used to be about 20% of

720
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:49,200
their profit, yeah.
Amazing.

721
00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:53,880
So on that number they trade it
like a 7 or 8 times revenue.

722
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:57,520
Yeah, yeah.
And what are they about four $5

723
00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:00,600
billion company now?
4.4 when I last looked and.

724
00:37:00,640 --> 00:37:02,840
And a quarter of it's in cash.
1.1 yeah.

725
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,400
Yeah.
So obviously had the impacts of

726
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:09,520
Tropical Cyclone Zelia as well
and then obviously the ramp up

727
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:13,200
of their pay 1000 expansion.
So it sounds like the the CapEx

728
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:17,000
has been sort of most of it has
been spent for that.

729
00:37:17,000 --> 00:37:18,720
Now they're going to be
optimizing.

730
00:37:18,720 --> 00:37:23,240
So it appears now I reckon even
at these prices like you look at

731
00:37:23,240 --> 00:37:29,480
their realized price for the 5.3
was 747 US probably helped along

732
00:37:29,480 --> 00:37:31,600
bit along by the exchange rate.
So that was up.

733
00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:35,000
It appears once I optimize and
not spending CapEx, there

734
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:38,800
probably will be cash flow
positive a little bit.

735
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:43,880
So hopefully you'd assume based
on the amount of the lower tons

736
00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:48,320
they got.
So yes, we will wait and see The

737
00:37:48,600 --> 00:37:52,680
the, the, what do you call them?
The just the, the bloody

738
00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:56,280
Australian lithium workhorse.
That's great bushes, really.

739
00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:57,280
But.
Yeah.

740
00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:00,000
Anyway, they'll have a decision
to make up in Korea as well.

741
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:03,800
Sooner or later.
They want to take up that that

742
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:05,800
estate to take them up to 30%,
yeah.

743
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:10,360
And and on comments about the
Latin as well, it sounds like

744
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:13,160
they're not.
It says they're going to put out

745
00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:17,080
a study optimization June
quarter 2026.

746
00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:19,880
So you can see probably as we
initially talked about with that

747
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:22,240
deal, it's like they pretty much
got four years though they'll

748
00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:26,400
probably just push the whole
thing out, which appears what

749
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:29,320
they're going to do as you would
in this environment.

750
00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:31,120
So it doesn't look like
anything's going to be

751
00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:33,560
progressing over there in the in
the short term.

752
00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:39,120
So black cap, first gold bloody
delivered to him by MMS.

753
00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:43,800
Don't you, don't you mind first
gold, First Lakewood gold?

754
00:38:44,080 --> 00:38:47,840
They're in the middle.
From Calais so and you you see

755
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:53,160
when they're talking about
better grade and recoveries all

756
00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:56,720
above expectations sure helps
when you're processing it

757
00:38:56,720 --> 00:38:59,440
yourself yeah so you can't blame
anyone else.

758
00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:04,720
So they're 60,000 tonne Marie
all hold on 1st April.

759
00:39:04,720 --> 00:39:09,840
So they got about 2700 ounces of
production and they bloody

760
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:16,040
poured 750 oz so Rachi gold is
flying out of my room right

761
00:39:16,120 --> 00:39:19,320
Gorilla Jesus Christ, this
bloody thing is just going off

762
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:21,240
its head.
They put out a gorilla girl put

763
00:39:21,240 --> 00:39:23,720
out a maiden mineral resource
for Vivian.

764
00:39:23,960 --> 00:39:27,000
So I remember, I'm pretty sure
Amelius, they got this offer.

765
00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:30,040
Amelius for not bloody much.
Peanuts.

766
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:34,480
Yeah, and so they put out a
maiden resource for Vivian,

767
00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:41,440
278,000 oz at 4.1g.
So also once I checked the

768
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:44,400
light, they put some drill heads
out from Lakeview.

769
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:48,280
That's part of the comet valve
project and just bloody it's 52

770
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:52,600
1/2 cents even after raising a
good chunk of cash previously,

771
00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:59,360
like what is it, 300 mil market
cap, Now it's just Genesis

772
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:01,560
signs.
What, 7.37% of it?

773
00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:05,600
And it's they're obviously
putting all the value in the

774
00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:07,800
drill bit.
I'm just.

775
00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:11,800
Say 300 mil, That's right.
So that's more that's yeah, a

776
00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:14,440
bigger market cap than any of
the advanced gold developers I

777
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:15,640
mentioned at the top of the
show.

778
00:40:15,680 --> 00:40:16,760
That's very interesting.
Well.

779
00:40:17,240 --> 00:40:20,320
I mean, EUR Artleys just
initiated coverage on them and

780
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:25,080
put a a graph up of EV to
resource answer.

781
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:28,560
It's like top of the second to
Spartan effectively.

782
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:31,800
They're obviously going to be
growing those resources, but

783
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:34,680
it's just got that.
But it's interesting, you know,

784
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:37,080
we talk about like you don't you
want competitive tension and

785
00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:39,240
everything like, you know,
Genesis have effectively got

786
00:40:39,240 --> 00:40:41,520
their foot on it.
Yeah, in a way, yeah.

787
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:44,280
But it's like.
This is just a market dialling.

788
00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:48,480
And all the bloody people there
now work for Genesis and Buddy.

789
00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:52,880
I'll be interested to see what
the what the what the outcome

790
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,760
will be if it's like are they
going to build these projects up

791
00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:59,920
individually like 'cause my wary
that they pulled out of Genesis

792
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,240
will and which is right next to
or a band or are they going to

793
00:41:03,240 --> 00:41:06,040
try to dress that up so
horribanda takes it or is it all

794
00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:08,720
of this stuff going to be I
think I've talked about it.

795
00:41:08,720 --> 00:41:12,400
I just got a lot the exploration
vehicle for Genesis because

796
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:14,760
Genesis have made money out of
the stock.

797
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:18,680
Are they going to, is it all
going to be then just all

798
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:21,480
purchase agreements back into
Genesis in the future?

799
00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:24,280
Because I can't say there's no
other company that's going to go

800
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:28,200
take a swing at them with
Genesis being a 7% shareholder.

801
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:30,120
Maybe they would, maybe they'll
keep it low.

802
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:33,000
So it's not too much of A
deterrent, but it's obviously

803
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:37,560
just all drill bit value at the
moment.

804
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:41,800
So yeah, I don't know, it's just
it could, it could just go so

805
00:41:41,800 --> 00:41:44,880
many different ways.
Like Vivian, for instance, could

806
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:48,480
be your some of your closest
mills to that is that there's

807
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:51,640
obviously Agnew and Bellevue,
but there's always also Darla

808
00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:55,440
and King of the Hills, which is
red 5.

809
00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:59,160
So we'll, oh, there's so many.
I'll need one of those mind maps

810
00:41:59,160 --> 00:42:01,280
of how many different ways this
could go.

811
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:05,840
So there's obviously a goal
insight holder.

812
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:07,040
Shame.
No, I'm not sure.

813
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:12,160
So sure I'd say insight, right.
This whole management teams MO

814
00:42:12,160 --> 00:42:14,600
is just drill.
Yeah, just real.

815
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:17,160
And you want a?
Liquidity outcome for you, for

816
00:42:17,160 --> 00:42:19,800
those big holders.
You do, but yeah, absolutely.

817
00:42:19,800 --> 00:42:22,400
But they've sort of learnt the
lesson that prolonging that and

818
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:25,520
teasing it out has has netted
them a fair bit more fruit.

819
00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:29,680
So wouldn't be surprised to see
them sort of keep adding adding

820
00:42:29,680 --> 00:42:32,080
value through the the drill bit
for as long as possible.

821
00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:35,640
But but if imagine if gold pulls
off like you, you said like

822
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:37,240
which who knows if it's going to
happen.

823
00:42:37,240 --> 00:42:39,800
Look at like their Wildcat
journey, like it went up.

824
00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:43,560
Now it's back down.
It's so that without the sort of

825
00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:45,720
event they're still left with
the shares.

826
00:42:45,720 --> 00:42:50,240
So they want they would want an
outcome to realize the cash.

827
00:42:50,320 --> 00:42:52,720
I would assume so.
Very nice.

828
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:56,600
It's, it's, it's tricky to
realize the liquidity event when

829
00:42:56,600 --> 00:42:58,760
you're priced kind of for
perfection as well.

830
00:42:58,760 --> 00:43:01,640
You know, like, like people
aren't willingly going to pay

831
00:43:01,640 --> 00:43:04,080
overs for for something just
because it's got a A-Team

832
00:43:04,080 --> 00:43:06,280
attached to it.
Maybe, maybe retail will, but a

833
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:07,280
corporate won't.
Yeah.

834
00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:11,760
Yeah, yeah, Once I get out of
this drill baby drill phase,

835
00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:15,120
I'll be just interested to see
because there's there's a mining

836
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:18,240
story attached to each of these
projects that could go to either

837
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,400
Genesis or other companies like
all their Cometvale stuff

838
00:43:22,400 --> 00:43:25,120
straight up the road to Leonora.
Perfect spot for it.

839
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:28,400
What that'll look like, I don't
know.

840
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:31,320
I can't see Genesis buying the
assets back.

841
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:33,880
I think they'll just operate
independently.

842
00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:37,560
Not sure.
So yeah, bloody.

843
00:43:37,600 --> 00:43:42,080
Anything else, Maddie?
Phoenix didn't action the

844
00:43:42,480 --> 00:43:44,720
matching right for the CSR
takeover.

845
00:43:44,720 --> 00:43:48,120
So that's it in the robe.
What is it?

846
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:49,880
Robe River.
Robe River joint venture.

847
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,320
Yeah, so.
As we sort of suspected.

848
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:55,000
It yeah, so it hasn't really
affected Phoenix's share price

849
00:43:55,000 --> 00:43:56,720
still ticking along.
So I'm sure they'll be looking

850
00:43:56,720 --> 00:43:59,080
to do another deal in the
future.

851
00:43:59,080 --> 00:44:04,320
So they got close. 75 buckaroos
heading to CZR.

852
00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:06,880
Phoenix netted a bit of cash for
the travel.

853
00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:07,960
What was the break fee?
Well, it.

854
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:11,880
Wasn't just a break fee, but
they ended up accumulating 15%,

855
00:44:12,240 --> 00:44:17,480
yeah.
That's right, Strickland Z Gin

856
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:22,040
taken a stake in Strickland.
So $5,000,000 placement to Z Gin

857
00:44:22,040 --> 00:44:26,040
now 2.4% holder in Strickland.
All about Serbia.

858
00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:30,200
Our friends from China, yeah.
Do you see it there that the

859
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:33,400
reaction to, to to Trev's piece
on on Z Gin?

860
00:44:33,680 --> 00:44:36,080
People thought you were the the
proxy for the CCP.

861
00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:40,800
Oh Jesus, that was it it.
It couldn't have been any less

862
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:44,880
about Z Gin, the minor.
It was ageing the stock

863
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:47,400
performance like it was very
simple the way you.

864
00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:52,600
Articulated I, I, I think
there's, yeah, a cohort of

865
00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:55,360
people that are pretty
frustrated by, by seaging from a

866
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:59,240
certain stock and that cohort of
people can't be reasoned with.

867
00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:02,360
So, but they're frustrated, you
know, I empathise with their

868
00:45:02,360 --> 00:45:03,720
frustration.
Yeah, yeah.

869
00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:07,040
But yeah, no, it wasn't.
It wasn't a bloody yes.

870
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:10,320
Then you're getting questioned
about how much money do you take

871
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:12,480
off?
Oh God.

872
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:14,520
CCP have not given us money,
yes.

873
00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:20,320
Yeah, strictly.
So they're be interested to see

874
00:45:20,320 --> 00:45:21,840
what happens with their oxide
stuff.

875
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:26,240
So this looks they're the Zijin
you would assume solely focused

876
00:45:26,240 --> 00:45:29,760
on that Serbian asset still got
their oxide stuff up in the

877
00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:32,480
handle.
Is that going to get flicked out

878
00:45:32,480 --> 00:45:37,360
to someone else in the District,
Northern Star, or maybe someone

879
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:40,840
a bit further South?
Who knows, maybe they flick the

880
00:45:41,680 --> 00:45:43,440
Serbian asset out and they keep
going.

881
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,360
Maybe cool could could go either
way JD.

882
00:45:46,640 --> 00:45:48,360
Could go either way.
Literary thinking.

883
00:45:48,680 --> 00:45:51,520
Right there we go, that's
everyone's up to date, including

884
00:45:51,520 --> 00:45:53,280
myself.
It starts right.

885
00:45:53,280 --> 00:45:54,680
Thanks all the partners as
always.

886
00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:56,880
Get your JRX tickets like I
have.

887
00:45:57,080 --> 00:46:00,760
May 2020 second in Brisbane, the
centre of tech and innovation

888
00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:04,800
Discount card in the show notes.
Bloody use it makes us look

889
00:46:04,800 --> 00:46:06,960
good.
Our great friends at Mineral

890
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:11,320
Mining Services, Grounded Sandy
grounds, Port CR Insurance, K

891
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:17,560
Drill, WA Waterfalls, Quattro,
KCAKCA, Black Diamond Drilling

892
00:46:17,560 --> 00:46:20,440
Services and Cross Boundary
Energy.

893
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:24,000
Information contained in this
episode of Money of Mine is of

894
00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:26,080
general nature only and does not
take into account the

895
00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:29,680
objectives, financial situation
or needs of any particular

896
00:46:29,680 --> 00:46:31,720
person.
Before making any investment

897
00:46:31,720 --> 00:46:34,760
decision, you should consult
with your financial advisor and

898
00:46:34,760 --> 00:46:37,920
consider how appropriate the
advice is to your objectives,

899
00:46:38,120 --> 00:46:40,120
financial situation and needs.