Feb. 27, 2026

The Uranium Deal 10 Years in the Making (Brandon Munro)

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We sat down with Brandon Munro from Bannerman Energy to discuss their transformative deal with CNNC and the broader uranium market landscape.


Brandon has been at the helm of Bannerman for a decade, guiding the company through one of the most challenging financing environments in mining. With deep expertise in the uranium sector and years of experience operating in Namibia, he shares unique insight into the uranium supply crunch, the contracting cycle, and how to get a deal done.


In this episode, we cover:


  • How the deal came together
  • Negotiating with a Chinese SOE
  • Why now was the right time
  • Choosing strategic equity over project finance
  • Whether partnering with the Chinese was the only choice
  • China's voracious long-term uranium demand
  • Why the uranium market will overshoot

Follow Brandon on:


LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/brandonmunro/

X - https://x.com/brandon_munro


This was recorded on 26.2.2026.   

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TIMESTAMPS  

(00:00) China’s Uranium Imperative

(03:50) Uranium Cycle Since Fukushima

(07:00) Etango-8 Rethink Explained

(08:50) CNNC JV Deal Breakdown with Bannerman

(34:40) Why Build Now

(38:00) Financing Tradeoffs

(41:50) Regulatory Guardrails

(47:00) China Demand Surge

(52:00) AI Power and Wrap-Up

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1
00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:03,560
The Chinese state apparatus is
not going to put themselves at

2
00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:07,040
risk of investing hundreds of
billions of dollars going from

3
00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:10,840
2% of their grid being nuclear
to something more like 15 or 20%

4
00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,240
of their grid if they don't have
100 years of uranium to make

5
00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:16,160
sure that they're not going to
get screwed by the rest of the

6
00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:20,560
world.
Jonas It's been a long time

7
00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:22,960
since we've talked about
uranium, but we haven't stopped

8
00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:25,000
paying attention to the sector.
We're curious.

9
00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:26,880
We are.
We find a riveting.

10
00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,240
It's just often, I don't know,
there's something, there's

11
00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:32,280
something that stops us from
kind of going deep on anyone

12
00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:34,760
story, be it a whole host of
reasons.

13
00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:38,160
And just a couple of weeks ago,
a deal popped up and I was

14
00:00:38,160 --> 00:00:40,840
excited because it's the first
uranium company deal I've seen

15
00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:42,240
in ages.
It wasn't an equity raising.

16
00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:47,640
So, so to kind of really check
out what's going on, I'm of

17
00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:51,040
course talking about Batterman's
deal with CNNC to to

18
00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:54,120
effectively, you know, well CNC
is acquiring a stake in

19
00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:58,000
Batterman's project and that the
development of the T8 is all

20
00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:01,840
steam ahead to talk about it.
We've got Brandon Monroe in just

21
00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,680
a moment who we ask some really
interesting questions about

22
00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,160
uranium and the sector.
Yeah. 100% I really enjoyed this

23
00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:10,240
one Brandon is a is a guy who's
lived in Namibia for for a

24
00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:12,280
number of years, has been
involved in the uranium space

25
00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:17,960
for ages, been involved with the
WNA deeply, deeply experienced

26
00:01:17,960 --> 00:01:20,120
when it comes to the space and
he's been on this Bannerman

27
00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:21,720
journey specifically for 10
years.

28
00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:25,480
The transaction itself has been
underway for, for a long time.

29
00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:29,000
So we get into to all of that
and I'm sure all EU balls out

30
00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:31,120
there will, will love it.
And people, you know, more

31
00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,680
broadly interested in their, in
the commodity market, like all

32
00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:35,320
the money miners are going to
get a kick out of it because

33
00:01:35,320 --> 00:01:38,760
there's so many fascinating
layers about cycles in, in

34
00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:41,360
commodities and getting a deal
done and all these sorts of

35
00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:43,320
things.
So I'm I'm pumped to share it

36
00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:45,720
mate.
Mate, this one, this one's

37
00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:48,280
brought to you by our good
friend Derek Hurd at Sandvik

38
00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:50,320
Ground Support, Sandvik.
Grounds Euro man.

39
00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:52,760
Billion EUR, I keep calling it a
billion dollars.

40
00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:55,400
You know what I'm I'm excited
about are lots of things, but

41
00:01:55,400 --> 00:01:57,760
Sandvik ground support, they are
reliable.

42
00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,200
They're reliable that we're
going to plug them on our

43
00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:02,840
podcast just like it's reliable
kit that is going to keep the

44
00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:06,080
ground supported no matter the
minds are all over the world.

45
00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:07,800
All over the world.
Yeah, all over the world.

46
00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:10,400
Make underground minds
everywhere utilising Sandvik

47
00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,040
ground support because it's
reliable.

48
00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:14,560
And you know what mate, I think
we're going to see the Billion

49
00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:15,880
Dollar Man in a couple weeks
time.

50
00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:17,480
In a couple weeks time, here we
go.

51
00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:20,120
Thank you Sandvik.
And let's go to Brandon Monroe

52
00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:22,680
from Bannerman.
Brandon, hot off the heels on a

53
00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:28,600
enormous deal with CNNC and
just, you know, coinciding with

54
00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:32,640
the uranium market coming to
life and believe it or not, you

55
00:02:32,640 --> 00:02:37,800
and your your description and
you're laying of the land of the

56
00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:41,880
uranium world about 7 years ago
was my introduction to uranium.

57
00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,280
So when I was just starting out,
Trevor and I just started

58
00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,760
working together and you were
giving a presentation you

59
00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:51,000
running Bannerman obviously, and
John Borshoff there as well.

60
00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:55,160
And this is the first time I
learnt about this macro cycle

61
00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:58,360
that we're on the cusp of.
We're 2019, uranium's starting

62
00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:00,480
to find its way up.
And yeah, here we are.

63
00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:01,920
I didn't.
Even know about this?

64
00:03:01,920 --> 00:03:05,800
Yeah, here we are seven years
later, uranium spot is called 90

65
00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:10,440
bucks and and term is in and
around there and spot and yellow

66
00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:12,880
cake are gobbling up more and
more uranium by the day.

67
00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:15,080
So I'm very excited for this
conversation, appreciate you

68
00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:17,440
making the time to join us.
Yeah, it's great to be on the

69
00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:21,040
pod, guys.
Back in those days, 2019 uranium

70
00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:23,200
spot price would have been below
$30.

71
00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:25,200
Yeah, yeah.
It's come a long way.

72
00:03:25,920 --> 00:03:29,280
It was dire and you'd you'd see
these sort of broker notes and

73
00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,040
some of them might be a bit
bullish and right you.

74
00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:32,640
Know broken nose.
No one was covering it mate.

75
00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:34,240
They were.
They were just.

76
00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:35,120
Broken.
Nose.

77
00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,720
Broker individual chores and,
and they're right, you know,

78
00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:42,320
maybe 45 bucks long term price
or 50 and they get the headshot

79
00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:44,880
off these sorts of things.
So the world has come a long way

80
00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:47,560
since then, hasn't it?
Yeah, it sure has.

81
00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:50,800
It's that they were the days
when we were deep in the shadow

82
00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:54,320
of Fukushima.
And it wasn't just the fact that

83
00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:57,680
the commodity itself was going
through a cyclical downturn.

84
00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:02,600
It was that that's so many
cycles in this sector that in a

85
00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:06,040
downturn become a reinforcing
vicious cycle.

86
00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:09,760
Now, what's really interesting
and the reason I'm quite a fan

87
00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:14,440
of this history from that era is
because those cycles, in most

88
00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:17,079
cases, they reverse and they
become virtuous cycles.

89
00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:20,160
So the perfect example is the
contracting from Fukushima,

90
00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:23,520
because the producers were all
contracted and therefore

91
00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:27,760
protected from declining prices.
They just kept pushing the

92
00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:30,480
material out.
It was really only two beginning

93
00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:35,720
of 2017 when Khazadamprom eased
back a little bit on the pedal,

94
00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:39,000
they didn't have that kind of
contract protection.

95
00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:43,360
And then 2018 as when Kamiko
started making changes to their

96
00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:45,360
supply.
But really all that that did was

97
00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:50,440
that just elongated the impacts
of Fukushima.

98
00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:54,200
So a demand event became a
demand and a supply event

99
00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:57,360
because there was no appropriate
supply response 'cause everyone

100
00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,320
who was producing was either
protected or they were Kazakh.

101
00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:03,600
Yeah, it's it's wild.
I think MacArthur River from

102
00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:07,000
from getting the the names right
got shut down in and around that

103
00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,280
time maybe 2018.
I want to say correct.

104
00:05:09,280 --> 00:05:12,560
And to your point that that is 7
years after Fukushima had

105
00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:15,120
happened.
It was a a very slow burn as the

106
00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:17,080
as the cycle started to to
churn.

107
00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:19,600
And it was a wild move for
Camico in those days because

108
00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:22,440
because of that contract
protection, they were able to

109
00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:26,600
buy in the spot price, deliver
into their contracts and make

110
00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:29,240
better money than they could
depleting the minor.

111
00:05:29,840 --> 00:05:31,720
That's a crazy time.
That only works for a period of

112
00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:34,800
time.
And and now that literally

113
00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:39,080
happening in reverse now before
our Isos, that supply response

114
00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:43,000
has now gone 180, but we've
still got the suppression in

115
00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:45,760
place because of that lack of
investment over that entire

116
00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:47,680
period.
Such, such is the nature of the

117
00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,080
beautiful cyclical businesses
that we, we pay attention to.

118
00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:55,120
It is, it's funny kind of
overlaying Bannerman's like long

119
00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,000
term share price over, over this
cyclical period.

120
00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:01,840
Because, you know, even even
though the, the, the company's

121
00:06:01,840 --> 00:06:04,880
just just done a deal at a, at
a, at a relative, you know,

122
00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:09,080
high, high price, you zoom out
and 2007 is still a long way

123
00:06:09,080 --> 00:06:12,440
down, right?
The the, the, the horrendous

124
00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:15,080
impacts of dilution through a
long and enduring bear market.

125
00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:19,840
Don't kind of yeah, don't don't
fare well for for an undeveloped

126
00:06:19,840 --> 00:06:22,080
project that needs to progress
things over time.

127
00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:25,480
I know your history doesn't
extend all that way back.

128
00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:29,320
Brandon with with Bannerman.
It's it's it's more recent, but

129
00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,640
but but the company has like a
bunch of like, you know, lore

130
00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:35,760
around that.
I would I would describe yeah,

131
00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:37,480
you you talked about your early
experiences.

132
00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:39,480
JDR.
I remember like first first

133
00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:43,480
hearing about Bannerman and just
just being informed of how many

134
00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:46,720
how many how many studies the
the like there's there's

135
00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:49,440
probably no no company with more
feasibility studies on the same

136
00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:53,240
asset.
In fact, back in the day tango,

137
00:06:53,280 --> 00:06:55,480
it was only a quarter tango.
When did it become a T8?

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I'm not sure but I thought to
myself maybe it's become a T8

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00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:00,120
because there's been 8
feasibility studies on this

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thing.
Then I counted them before

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00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:02,720
recording this.
It's actually 9.

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00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:08,480
It became a T8 because we made
it smaller, so in our defence,

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00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:13,440
and it's a fair poke, but in our
defence we really changed the

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mine plan and the whole
development pathway.

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00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:19,160
It was an enormous development,
20 million tons per annum

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00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:24,120
throughput, moving 85,000,000
tons per annum of dirt.

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00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:27,520
Now for an open pit mine, that's
not just iron ore stripping,

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that's pretty big
internationally, Namibia does

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00:07:31,160 --> 00:07:33,320
open pit really well.
So it is the right environment

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00:07:33,320 --> 00:07:35,800
to tackle a project like that.
That looked great.

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00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,800
Before Fukushima, the world was
crying out for uranium.

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We were going to produce £7.2
million per annum.

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00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:43,520
That was going to easily find a
home.

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00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:49,040
And then Fukushima happened.
So the company produced an

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00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:53,400
updated DFS, one of them in
2015.

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00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:55,720
And then it was shortly after
that that I came into the

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00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:57,360
company.
And really one of the

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00:07:57,360 --> 00:08:00,840
breakthroughs that we had in
that period was defying the

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00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:03,600
advice of the mining engineers
who told me if you want to make

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00:08:03,600 --> 00:08:06,400
it cheaper, you go bigger still.
And we did work out that we

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00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:08,840
could make it smaller and make
it modular.

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00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:12,600
And the T8 is because we
decreased the initial

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00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:15,880
development pathway from 20
million tons per annum to 8

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00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:19,560
million tons per annum.
And we'll see in just about

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00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:22,000
every note that came out.
And now you have multiple

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00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:25,320
brokers covering you these days.
I think almost everyone on the

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00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:27,360
back of this deal, which we're
obviously going to discuss in in

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00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:30,560
a big way talking about, hey,
the capital's going to be there

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00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:33,960
to look at the bigger.
You know, you have two studies

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00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:36,600
that you've done. 1 is the the
longer mine life, one is the,

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00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:39,480
the doubling of throughput to up
to 16.

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00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:42,720
So I'm very keen to see how that
kind of lands as you guys

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00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:45,760
regress the the early works that
you've kind of done over the

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00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:47,800
past year and a bit and and get
into it.

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00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:50,840
But let's talk about this deal.
It's a it's a belter.

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00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:56,560
So as we mentioned before, CNNC,
the big Chinese state owned

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00:08:56,560 --> 00:09:01,840
behemoth coming in and buying
what is effectively for 43 call

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00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:05,840
it percent of the project.
We could see, you know,

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00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:08,720
discussions have been away on
underway for for quite some time

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00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:12,880
given the the cash they will
send your way to make up for

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00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:14,560
their part of the the early
works.

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00:09:14,560 --> 00:09:17,840
But give us the the quick one O
1 on on how this deal kind of

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00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:19,680
came about.
How many other bidders were in

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00:09:19,680 --> 00:09:22,400
the room that you were fending
off and what brings us up to to

185
00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:24,360
where we are today?
Yeah, thanks.

186
00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:27,200
Look, we're absolutely delighted
with the deal and it won't

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00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,440
surprise you to know that we've
had a bit of time to think about

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00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:33,120
these things.
We've, we've in as part of our

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00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:38,520
corporate strategy really we've
been considering amongst all of

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00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:42,760
the various constraints how to
develop this asset as a single

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00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:46,000
asset developer.
For most of that journey, the

192
00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:49,680
CapEx well exceeded our own
market capitalisation.

193
00:09:49,760 --> 00:09:53,240
And if I put that in context,
the original development CapEx

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00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:56,960
with the larger project was
873,000,000 US.

195
00:09:56,960 --> 00:10:00,880
Now when I came in as CEO, we
were a $20 million company.

196
00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:03,680
So there weren't too many
options in those days, but

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00:10:03,680 --> 00:10:06,600
things started to pick up and
the first step on that journey

198
00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:11,040
was we engaged some debt
advisors out of Sydney and we

199
00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:14,160
spent a year with them really
understanding what does a

200
00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:18,200
conventional project financing,
syndicated debt facility look

201
00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,760
like?
Where are the disadvantages for

202
00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:23,200
us?
Where is it going to make it

203
00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:27,560
hard slash impossible
realistically for a single asset

204
00:10:27,560 --> 00:10:31,280
developer to get started?
Now that was more than three

205
00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:34,800
years ago and that heavily
informed our thinking.

206
00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:38,000
Some of the aspects of this
business that we knew were hard,

207
00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:41,720
we knew were challenging just
came screaming home to bite us

208
00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:43,760
when we started to get this
analysis done.

209
00:10:44,120 --> 00:10:49,120
So you mentioned $45.00, which
is what found its way into many

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00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:52,480
of the long term average price
targets.

211
00:10:53,560 --> 00:10:57,760
The problem is in those days, a
banking syndicate, just by the

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00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:02,200
nature of the way they finance
things, there's a heavy recency

213
00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:05,440
bias and a heavy regression
aspect to how they price

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00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:08,120
everything.
So anything that's not sold,

215
00:11:08,240 --> 00:11:12,000
they would put in at best $45.
And that's assuming they haven't

216
00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:14,160
got a look back over the last
five years that would have

217
00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:18,840
averaged it more like 3233.
So the first thing is it

218
00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:21,320
confirmed what we suspected,
which to go to a traditional

219
00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:24,200
syndicated finance, you've got
to be heavily contracted.

220
00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:28,480
And we understood at that point
that the market was still some

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00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:31,760
way off producing the type of
market signals that would help

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00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:34,240
us there.
But we also went deep into what

223
00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:37,200
covenants would look like, how
that would affect many of the

224
00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:41,480
aspects that have really gaining
prominence as advantages to this

225
00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:44,160
deal that we've just signed,
such as working capital and how

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00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:47,720
you interact between maintaining
financing covenants when you've

227
00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:51,720
got a huge working capital draw
because of the way that

228
00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:54,960
deliveries work in our sector
and how much flexibility the

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00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:58,280
customers have got as to when
they can ask for the product and

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00:11:58,280 --> 00:11:59,760
when they have to pay for the
product.

231
00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:02,600
So that was step one.
That was a year worth of work.

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00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:09,080
We also took the chance to use
that time to do a gap analysis

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00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:12,640
of not only the nine studies,
but also where we're at from an

234
00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:17,280
ESG point of view.
The original permitting for this

235
00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:21,520
project had all been done
according to Equator Principles,

236
00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:24,480
but they'd moved on since then.
So there was a fair bit of

237
00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:26,360
infilling that was very valuable
for us.

238
00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:31,880
This project, this process
itself started a bit more than

239
00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:38,600
two years ago and the market at
that point hadn't really matured

240
00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:41,480
enough for us to want to have
strategic financing

241
00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:43,960
conversations.
It just wasn't enough tension.

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00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,480
We didn't like where the price
was at that point, but we were

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00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:52,760
starting to field enough inbound
inquiries, I suppose, inbound

244
00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:55,760
interest that we decided to
formalise the process

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00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:59,640
recognising that if we were
going to deal with the preferred

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00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:02,160
partners, which weren't only
Chinese, but they tend to be

247
00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:05,600
sovereign or SOS around the
world because of the nature of

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00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:07,840
our industry, it's always going
to take time.

249
00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:12,880
So we formalized that a bit more
than two years ago, engaged Azur

250
00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:16,800
and Vermilion partners via
Natixis, which has got a strong

251
00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:18,920
French presence.
And between between that

252
00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:21,400
organization, they gave us
coverage in everywhere except

253
00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:25,840
Russia.
And that's when we started

254
00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:29,400
working more earnestly on what
would a strategic financing

255
00:13:29,400 --> 00:13:33,840
ultimately look like.
And then a little bit later in

256
00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:37,160
that process, we then started to
firm up on a debt alternative.

257
00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:40,880
It wasn't a typical syndicated
finance for the reasons that I

258
00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:46,040
described, but we went to a very
credible, very experienced

259
00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:51,640
resource debt provider who had
the most sophisticated view on

260
00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:53,720
the uranium sector that we'd
come across.

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00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:56,840
And therefore they weren't going
to start dumping $45.00 into

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00:13:56,840 --> 00:13:58,920
their model for anything that
was unsold.

263
00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,040
And what we came up with there
was a structurally very

264
00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:05,880
attractive debt alternative
because it gave us a lot of

265
00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:08,240
flexibility.
We could lock in the debt

266
00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:14,440
facility without having any
minimum levels of contracting.

267
00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:17,720
And then they would exist
basically as covenants as we

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00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:20,440
started to draw on the debt.
And given you've got to spend

269
00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:23,440
your equity first, that would
have given us the time and the

270
00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:26,840
flexibility to then fold in
contracts without being under

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00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:30,320
duress.
So that that was a well formed

272
00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:33,120
alternative.
And that gave us the ability as

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00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:38,480
the NBIOS and as as started to
come in from various parties.

274
00:14:38,480 --> 00:14:44,160
And as we developed a a clear
sense of what was available to

275
00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:47,640
us in the strategic financing,
we were able to very quite

276
00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:50,840
accurately compare it against
what does a debt and equity

277
00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:53,800
scenario look for to develop the
asset in that way.

278
00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:56,160
I.
Think that the, the, the, the

279
00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:59,480
reality is to fund, you know,
the CapEx that's required your,

280
00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:02,720
your alternative is project sell
down, which you've ultimately

281
00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,840
chosen to do and have more
flexibility and freedom or, or

282
00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:09,600
take on, you know, the, the,
the, the onerous, yeah,

283
00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:12,080
covenants that come with the
more project finance kind of

284
00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:15,000
perspective.
I am which which we say so, so

285
00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:18,800
often kind of does a company
that is developing and has, has

286
00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:21,560
has contractual commitments that
they've got to make with, with

287
00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:26,840
counterparties that that aren't
flexible is there's yeah,

288
00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:28,040
they're important kind of
trade-offs.

289
00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:29,200
It's not just kind of cost of
capital.

290
00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:33,960
I think the, the I got to, I got
to peel into this deal a bit

291
00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:38,440
because you look at the region,
you look at maybe you look at

292
00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:41,640
the neighborhood and from the
outside it sort of looks like

293
00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:44,160
there's only ever really one
option here.

294
00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:48,280
Like to, if you want to go into
development, which I, there's

295
00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:50,080
debate about whether or not
going into development is the

296
00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:51,800
right strategy because the
powers in the ground for longer

297
00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:54,480
have more optionality.
And then B, if you do choose to

298
00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:57,880
go into development, like is
there actually a credible

299
00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:02,040
alternative to develop than
partnering with CNNC?

300
00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:04,920
Yeah.
I mean, in Namibia, you have a

301
00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:07,800
number of the majors in there.
There's two different Chinese

302
00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:10,840
utilities.
The French are in there via

303
00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:14,160
Rono.
We've seen Paladin being able to

304
00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:18,520
equity fund now that that wasn't
entirely dissimilar when they

305
00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:22,240
did that in 2000 and four, 2005
to where we find ourselves.

306
00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:29,320
And the one boundary condition
that we put on this financing is

307
00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:32,600
it just wasn't tenable for
various reasons to partner with

308
00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:35,520
Russian entities.
But they're in Namibia.

309
00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:40,560
So Namibia is very open to the
entire geopolitical spectrum.

310
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:45,240
It it's really just your pariah
states like Iran and North Korea

311
00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:48,280
that they can't deal with.
So that does open it up.

312
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:53,560
The the other thing is not in
uranium, but in phosphate and

313
00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:55,440
other minerals.
We've seen Middle Eastern

314
00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:59,600
investment into Namibia, which
as you can imagine, the way

315
00:16:59,960 --> 00:17:04,119
nuclear is progressing in ENEC
and what in Emirates and the way

316
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:07,240
that the Saudis are talking
about nuclear, it's also an area

317
00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:09,480
that they will be investing in
going forward.

318
00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:13,079
The off the offtake that
coincides with this deal, I

319
00:17:13,079 --> 00:17:18,960
think he's super interesting.
And Bannerman retains 40%.

320
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:21,720
But like the way I read this off
take is it's 40%.

321
00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:28,760
So like the, the, the off take
commitment with CNNC, it's 60%

322
00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,920
of actual production as opposed
to, I mean, I mean, we all know

323
00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:33,760
there's like production that's
in the model and then there's

324
00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:35,920
reality and there's often a lot
of discrepancy.

325
00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:40,120
So the way I interpret the
there's, there's some kind of

326
00:17:40,120 --> 00:17:43,440
alignment because they're,
they're the major off taker, but

327
00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:47,520
they're also like a, an equity
holder of the JV And and hence

328
00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:50,560
they're aligned to not want to
fix data in a certain quantity.

329
00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:53,600
They, they have that alignment
to wanting the, the, you know,

330
00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:55,800
what's actually coming out of
the ground a certain proportion

331
00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:58,600
instead of wearing a potential
uncertain cost.

332
00:17:59,120 --> 00:18:04,360
And then but that that that
entire 60% is, is is market

333
00:18:04,360 --> 00:18:08,960
linked combination of of term
and and spot linked, if I, if

334
00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:10,440
I'm not mistaken, correct.
Yeah.

335
00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:12,200
Yeah, Yeah.
You've basically unpicked the

336
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:16,760
magic in this deal.
It's because our partner CNNC is

337
00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:22,400
a 45% joint venture holder in
the JV code, there is another 5%

338
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:25,560
that's a local Namibian partner.
So hence the read through that

339
00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:28,840
you talked about before.
So because they're a 45% holder,

340
00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:34,960
they've been willing to grant
the JV an extraordinary level of

341
00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:38,360
flexibility in this offtake.
And as a result of that, we were

342
00:18:38,360 --> 00:18:41,360
happy to make it 60%
disproportionate to their 40

343
00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:45,600
percent, 45% ownership.
And frankly, most companies

344
00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:49,360
would be happy to make it 100%.
In our case, we wanted

345
00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:53,000
diversification for obvious
reasons given where geopolitics

346
00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,640
is at the moment, but also we
wanted to build a broader

347
00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:59,720
uranium business.
And that's where the 40% that's

348
00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:03,880
not sold to CNNC Group, that's
where that becomes really

349
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:06,680
important for us.
But you, you touched on what do

350
00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:07,880
you?
Mean by that, a broader uranium

351
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:11,440
business.
This we don't want to be a

352
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:14,120
single asset producer forever.
We've we've got a broader

353
00:19:14,120 --> 00:19:16,120
strategy.
We've got some very good

354
00:19:16,120 --> 00:19:20,400
capability in the organization.
We have executed a corporate

355
00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:24,600
strategy where patience has I
think been rewarded and has

356
00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:27,960
certainly produced appropriate
shareholder returns.

357
00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:33,200
But with our primary asset
financed soon upon completion

358
00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,560
and then into construction with
a relatively low risk operation

359
00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:40,200
and profile that puts us in
great shape to build our

360
00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:44,000
business further.
Now there aren't many companies

361
00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:48,760
in the world who market uranium.
It's a very concentrated sector.

362
00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:54,600
So to be to have a full scale
marketing capability coupled

363
00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,800
with some of the smarts that we
believe we have, that puts us in

364
00:19:57,800 --> 00:20:01,560
a really strong position to
partner with further assets, to

365
00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:05,520
develop other assets, other
forms of corporate activity.

366
00:20:06,360 --> 00:20:10,160
And you only have that value in
your business if you own those

367
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:15,720
customer relationships.
So it needs to be us, not the JV

368
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,280
code.
Now of course, we're doing it

369
00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:19,800
for the benefit of the JV code
and it gives us a variety of

370
00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:23,760
alternatives to if we really
like where we're seeing uranium

371
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,640
prices in a year's time, then
we'll start fixing some of those

372
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:32,240
using that, some of that 40%
given we've got so much at

373
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:38,160
market exposure of either 60%,
but it's this total control and

374
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:45,520
some really strong ring fencing
confidentiality and so on inside

375
00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:50,560
Banneman that enables us to
effectively have that 40%

376
00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:53,000
attributable portfolio that we
can market.

377
00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:56,120
I think I know the answer to the
question I'm I'm about to ask.

378
00:20:56,120 --> 00:20:59,800
But do you think in building out
that business, there'll be any

379
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:03,920
kind of challenges you run into
being so linked with the Chinese

380
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,840
partner now?
We tested that a lot.

381
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:10,880
We tested it with investors, we
tested the concept more broadly

382
00:21:12,080 --> 00:21:15,160
with customers.
You know, we, it was well known

383
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:17,600
that we're in a strategic
financing process.

384
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:20,720
And to your earlier comment,
Trev, you know, you, you only

385
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,280
need one hand to come up with
the obvious contenders being in

386
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:27,760
Namibia.
And because it's not majority

387
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:32,160
owned by a Chinese entity, our
feedback so far is that

388
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:34,480
utilities are comfortable.
Now we've got some work to do to

389
00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:37,440
demonstrate just how thorough
that ring fencing is.

390
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:39,720
In many respects, they're
competitors.

391
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:44,280
So there was a, there was a lot
of attention during the

392
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:48,400
negotiations paid to ensuring
the integrity of those

393
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,600
confidentiality arrangements and
those ring fencing arrangements.

394
00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:54,920
And it was a bit
counterintuitive to our

395
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:56,400
partners, right?
Because they're saying, well,

396
00:21:56,400 --> 00:22:00,120
hang on a SEC, we've got a 45%
economic interest in what you're

397
00:22:00,120 --> 00:22:02,600
selling and you won't even tell
us the terms on which you're

398
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,120
selling it.
And we said that's how it has to

399
00:22:05,120 --> 00:22:07,280
be.
And I think, you know, a, a

400
00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:10,960
genuine demonstration of the
trust and rapport that's built

401
00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:16,560
up between US and, and the
executives at CNOL, they agreed

402
00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,640
to it.
So, so you do probably about 10

403
00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:22,720
years by yourself at the
company, you're in this sort of

404
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:25,400
sales process for two plus years
working away.

405
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:29,160
And then you come out with the
announcement a couple weeks ago,

406
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,600
understand it was very exciting,
which I want to talk about at

407
00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:32,960
the site with analysts and
stuff.

408
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:34,960
But you come out with the
announcement in the evening and

409
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:38,720
the next morning and the market
just shits itself and the stock

410
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:41,080
is down like 1010%.
Called it a magic deal.

411
00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:43,120
I don't think they might
interpret it as magic straight

412
00:22:43,120 --> 00:22:45,560
away, but.
It was, it was a bad day all

413
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:46,960
around.
To, to, to be fair.

414
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:48,440
Thank you.
Yeah, that is, that is.

415
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:53,680
The benefit of the doubt there,
you know, in, in hindsight, it's

416
00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:56,080
just another day in, in the
journey of building a company.

417
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:58,920
But how do you take the reaction
from the market and what was the

418
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,400
broader reaction from from
investors, from the brokers,

419
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:04,080
from the the whole white of that
investor community?

420
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:06,400
Yeah.
So look, on the day we traded in

421
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:09,840
line with our peers, if if you
were looking at your watch list

422
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:12,560
that day and you didn't see that
there's an announcement, you

423
00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:14,160
would have, you wouldn't have
looked twice.

424
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:18,400
Straight away, I reckon early
market it you Batman LED, LED

425
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:21,440
down it recovered more yeah, in
the day in line with the years,

426
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:23,040
but straight away, yeah, I
think.

427
00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:25,040
There was, yeah, there was an A
reaction a.

428
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:28,160
Reaction people immediately
backed out the implied, you

429
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:32,440
know, implied yeah deal value to
your market cap and thought well

430
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,960
this is kind of like neutral but
and there's new ones not every

431
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:37,160
deal it's the same yeah.
Yeah.

432
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,160
And to that point had factored
in perhaps a 30% sell down.

433
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:43,200
So do you think part of it was
on the the percentage you sold

434
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:46,560
down or how do you take it?
I think it was just a, you know

435
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,760
how markets are when there's
information that they haven't

436
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:53,040
unpacked, it tends to be a sell
first, ask questions later.

437
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:58,120
And part of the reason why we've
recovered since then and why

438
00:23:58,120 --> 00:24:00,800
we're actually leading our peers
and we've significantly

439
00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:03,480
outperformed our peers since
then, it's because key

440
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:05,520
shareholders on our register are
buying.

441
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:11,480
And I think that reaction that
we saw on that day is indicative

442
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:14,880
of a broader evolution of
understanding of this deal.

443
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,360
The initial reaction is question
marks.

444
00:24:17,360 --> 00:24:19,880
It's question marks about the
degree of the sell down.

445
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:23,560
It's question marks about what
the implied valuation is because

446
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:26,960
of the the valuation that we use
to strike the investment into

447
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:31,320
the joint venture.
But my experience talking to

448
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:36,680
both shareholders and non
shareholder investors is just

449
00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:38,960
with a little bit of
understanding about the deal and

450
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:42,200
what it delivers and how it
repositions us and effectively

451
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,600
transforms us as an investment
proposition.

452
00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:47,400
It then switches very quickly to
positive.

453
00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:53,680
So we're up about 15% from when
we announced the deal or when we

454
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,320
went into a trading halt before
the deal was announced.

455
00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:00,200
Our peers are up anywhere
between, well, our peers are

456
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:04,440
anywhere between sort of -3 and
plus 10% over that period.

457
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:09,080
So this is a slow release
benefit for our company.

458
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:11,000
And there's a couple of key
reasons for that.

459
00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:15,600
If you just purely look at it
from an investment perspective,

460
00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:17,840
if you don't even try and worry
about what it does for the

461
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:22,720
business and how how it changes
the way that we can produce and

462
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:27,400
sell uranium into this market.
The single biggest challenge for

463
00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:32,160
me talking about Bannerman since
we got our mining license

464
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:36,680
granted to us, was concerned
about a multi $100 million

465
00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:41,720
overhang, an equity overhang.
I feel like I've been walking

466
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:45,240
through thick mud telling the
story ever since then.

467
00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:49,320
And I'll get it right.
Like no one wants to start

468
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,480
laying down a position in a
company and then get hit from

469
00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,160
behind.
And we've just raised or put

470
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:57,320
into the joint venture the
equivalent of 450 million bucks

471
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:02,160
and that's on as we stand today,
a 950 million market cap.

472
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:05,680
So there was still a lot to go
until last week.

473
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:08,680
Now you could couple that with a
bit of debt and we've talked

474
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:10,760
about some of the disadvantages
to that.

475
00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:14,160
But even with a reasonable debt
burden there, there was still a

476
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:17,640
multi $100 million overhang on
our stock.

477
00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:21,200
That will take time for those
perceptions and those concerns

478
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:23,800
to clear.
It's the nature of things.

479
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,400
And then the other one is we've
just, we transformed our risk

480
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:34,800
profile.
And I suppose when analysts put

481
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,600
out their reports, you know, for
a company like ourselves, they

482
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:40,400
don't grade us on risk.
So it's not thinking, they're

483
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:42,880
not going to say, right, this
has gone from a six out of 10 on

484
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:46,240
risk to a three out of 10.
But what it does do is it opens

485
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:48,840
up the number of investors who
will be comfortable with us.

486
00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:53,120
And in particular, given our
market cap sits below a few of

487
00:26:53,120 --> 00:26:56,800
our peers, we believe that it
will start to put us more in the

488
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,200
crosshairs of generalist
investors going forward.

489
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,000
And we're just breaking through
that billion dollar market cap,

490
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:05,280
which means increased liquidity
and increased opportunity for

491
00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:09,440
some of those generalists.
There's there's a, there's a,

492
00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:12,240
yeah, a few, a few ways I want
to go with this Brandon.

493
00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:14,120
I hope, I hope we get to cover
them all.

494
00:27:14,120 --> 00:27:19,640
But if I, if I think about the,
the JV dynamic in particular,

495
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:23,320
like we're, we're also
acquainted with certain JV

496
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:26,840
agreements that might exist
where with when you're in a JV

497
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:30,480
with in particular Chinese
parties and those JV agreements

498
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,560
are so onerous that in reality
you kind of just get vetoed for

499
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:36,240
the sake of it.
Like Igos kind of case in point

500
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,640
for this with a TLEAJV.
Now they that was a JV that they

501
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:41,680
signed because they wanted to
buy it into the asset.

502
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:45,200
And so, you know, chance you
kind of just dictated terms, as

503
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:49,560
I understand it in in this case,
Bannerman like maintains the

504
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:52,320
majority, you know, equity
ownership at at the project Co

505
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:55,080
level.
There's, there's effectively,

506
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,640
you know, an outnumbered number
of people on, on the JV go board

507
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:02,120
equal on the steering committee.
But but for all intensive

508
00:28:02,120 --> 00:28:05,400
purposes, it seems like
Bannerman has the outnumbering

509
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:07,840
when it comes to voting.
Is there any, is there any

510
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,240
capacity like let's say you
didn't agree on something, is

511
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,640
there any capacity that we've
foreseen and say to to

512
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:16,520
effectively stalemate progress
in some way, shape or form here?

513
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:21,080
So one thing that's really
interesting with this deal and

514
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:23,520
I'll come back to answer your
question, but this is context.

515
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:26,480
It's useful to understand the
whole process.

516
00:28:27,120 --> 00:28:31,640
CNNC, like many Chinese
companies, has got a very long

517
00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:36,280
term outlook on this sector,
which is such a pleasure after,

518
00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:38,960
you know, dealing with investors
with six weeks can be an awful

519
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:43,440
long time.
The the consequence of that is

520
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:47,240
effectively they're looking for
this to be AJV showpiece.

521
00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:51,880
Their preference over time has
been majority ownership and

522
00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:55,200
control and operatorship.
They did have an experience with

523
00:28:55,200 --> 00:29:00,280
Paladin which has had, you know,
a interesting history since they

524
00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:03,160
invested in their 25% in
Paladin, which hasn't all been

525
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:09,040
positive over that journey.
And this was an unusual

526
00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:12,920
transaction for them in that
they were going to be minority

527
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:17,240
partners and secondary partners.
Now it was the the result of I

528
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,600
think the respect that we've
developed for each other that we

529
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,360
could strike a deal like this.
And they came to understand that

530
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:27,600
this can be a showpiece example
of how they can partner with

531
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:33,400
companies and compete against
other nuclear players to

532
00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:36,120
basically attract the off take
and attract the product.

533
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,840
And there's a number of ways
where that came through in a

534
00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:43,800
sincere way in the negotiations.
Much to our surprise, I've got

535
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:47,560
to say we we've been nothing but
impressed with the executives

536
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,160
and the way that they've done
things throughout this entire

537
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:53,080
process.
So then it comes back to your

538
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:57,560
question, Trev, which is when we
said to them, you know,

539
00:29:57,560 --> 00:30:02,200
investors will be looking at
this JV to find out where is the

540
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:07,240
pathway to control and we said,
so we don't want that.

541
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,240
They just understood the
implications and agreed.

542
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,800
So unlike a typical joint
venture where you would have

543
00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:18,040
disproportionate funding
mechanisms which necessarily

544
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:21,320
lead you down a path to being
diluted, they agreed to take it

545
00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:24,120
out.
There's a standstill in the

546
00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:27,520
agreement, which is as strong as
you will ever see in these types

547
00:30:27,520 --> 00:30:31,920
of documents.
And there's no other mechanism

548
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:34,520
where we can be diluted.
That's specified in the

549
00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:37,920
agreement.
And the underlying principle

550
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:44,920
here is that apart from ensuring
that no one can be concerned

551
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:48,440
about a predatory risk here from
a much bigger, much stronger

552
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:51,960
partner, the underlying
principle is they want the

553
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,560
pounds out of the ground at
least as much as we do.

554
00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:56,880
They need those pounds out of
the ground.

555
00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,960
So some of the techniques that
an aggressive joint venture

556
00:30:59,960 --> 00:31:04,880
partner might use, starving cash
flow, starving capital and so

557
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,080
on, that they just wouldn't be
effective.

558
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:12,960
And based on my relationship
with the people we've been

559
00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:15,640
dealing with, I just don't think
that that's part of their

560
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:17,560
contemplation or part of their
playbook.

561
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:19,640
What was it?
What was it actually like to

562
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,440
negotiate with an SOE?
Like what are the nuances that

563
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:24,800
that are, you know, peculiar
about that sort of entity?

564
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:28,000
Oh God, it was fascinating.
We had very good advisors who

565
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:32,080
were able to really talk us
through the constraints.

566
00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:37,960
You know, in many cases I felt
like they were negotiating

567
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:41,080
against their own organizational
constraints, particularly the

568
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:44,200
approvals, as much as they were
negotiating with us.

569
00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:47,600
It's an SOE.
But isn't, isn't that just like

570
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,480
your classic?
Oh, you know, yeah, you're

571
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,960
negotiating with someone who's
got to go up the line themselves

572
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:56,200
and then in.
Yeah, in reality, they, they

573
00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:58,520
they tell you that they are
trying to get but but they're

574
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:00,440
actually getting a win on you
because they're telling you that

575
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:02,360
they're trying to get an
approval from their head, the

576
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:03,240
person that's in charge of
their.

577
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:05,920
Negotiating one O 1.
This is classic Chinese as well,

578
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:08,080
so.
So let me just say, you know, we

579
00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:11,200
had advisors and we had board
members who were waiting for the

580
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,280
waiting for the rub and we
didn't see it on.

581
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:20,520
It was a very respectful
negotiation where all of the

582
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,760
so-called Chinese games were
absent.

583
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:27,520
And I really mean that.
It was done very, very quickly

584
00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:31,640
once we'd been able to agree key
terms astonishingly quickly.

585
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:35,320
Like I'd in in the various deal
making that I've done in my

586
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:37,680
career, I've never seen a
Western party move that quickly.

587
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:43,760
And they, they understood the
constraints that they were

588
00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:47,880
under.
So we had a negotiation which

589
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:50,280
was quite intense that went for
several days where we were

590
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:53,480
working through everything.
So for example, they asked one

591
00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:56,760
of their compliance people from
all the way up the tree to sit

592
00:32:56,760 --> 00:32:59,520
in on that entire negotiation
because they knew having a

593
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:02,160
compliance person in the room in
addition to their lawyers and

594
00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:05,720
their financial advisors and the
the various in house lawyers

595
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:10,320
that they had, that would just
smooth the path to having the

596
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:14,160
the agreement and the deal
approved all the way up.

597
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:17,800
So that's an example where at
times we felt like they were

598
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:21,160
playing their own system as much
as they were trying to negotiate

599
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:26,800
with us.
And I think one of the, the real

600
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:30,120
lessons from it is quite early
in the process because we,

601
00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:34,760
because we had other
alternatives and, and we were in

602
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:38,880
a very different situation in
many parties who go to a big

603
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:44,160
joint venture partner for money,
we were very issues focused when

604
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:46,680
we were negotiating things.
So if something didn't work for

605
00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:49,960
us, we would really work with
them to understand, well, what's

606
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:54,600
your problem with this?
And so we in very early in the

607
00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:57,640
negotiation, we got away from
the idea of just saying no to

608
00:33:57,640 --> 00:33:59,600
each other.
We would go through the process

609
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:04,120
of explaining and they had, they
had Canaccord advising them in

610
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:07,640
Beijing and that was a huge
advantage because they trusted

611
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:11,080
their Canaccord advisor.
And if he said to them, yeah,

612
00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:13,360
what they're saying about the
way the market will interpret

613
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:15,719
that is correct.
And that was kind of the end of

614
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:17,400
the discussion.
They said OK, so now we

615
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:18,840
understand that you've got a
problem with that.

616
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:23,000
Let's see how we can fix it.
I think it was, I think it was

617
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,600
Bill Beaman that said a while
ago that JVS always start

618
00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:28,280
fantastic and they always end
like shit.

619
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:32,120
It really made me laugh.
But it does, you know, seem if

620
00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:36,280
you can line every incentive
impossible, then then you can

621
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:39,760
get as as close as possible to
to to a great outcome.

622
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,480
I'm really curious in tying up
this relationship, though,

623
00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:44,719
Brandon, why is now the the
right deal?

624
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:47,120
Trev made reference before to
the the pounds in the ground

625
00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:49,719
strategy.
There's various incarnations of

626
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,400
that that have been pretty
effective in in the uranium

627
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:53,840
land.
Everyone's going to comp this to

628
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:56,360
deep yellow strategy of just
kicking the can down the road.

629
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:58,200
Yeah, so why now?
Why?

630
00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:01,560
Why is now the right time?
We've had a view on the sector

631
00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:05,120
that has been pretty nuanced and
pretty sophisticated.

632
00:35:05,120 --> 00:35:07,480
And you know, before we got on
air, we talked about some of my

633
00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:10,760
background here that's enabled
us to call it right so far.

634
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:14,640
And we just see a real crunch
point coming in, in 20292030.

635
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:19,280
This market will overshoot.
There's a bunch of structural

636
00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:23,560
reasons why it will to support
that assertion, not only because

637
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:25,560
most commodity markets do
overshoot anyway.

638
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:30,280
And we took the decision about a
year ago that we wanted to keep

639
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,680
moving the project forward.
So we would be amongst it and we

640
00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:36,560
would be putting those market
conditions into a bank account,

641
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:40,000
not into a spreadsheet.
So we started with the early

642
00:35:40,240 --> 00:35:43,920
works development and it's been
quite extensive on site what

643
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:46,560
we've done.
We were lucky because that early

644
00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:50,680
works a lot of it was low on
CapEx but very consumptive of

645
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:52,680
time.
So we were able to chew months

646
00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:56,000
and months and months with our
of the construction timeline

647
00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:59,800
with our cash balance.
But we're starting to push

648
00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:03,840
against the point in the
construction time frame where it

649
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:06,160
starts to become expensive.
It starts to be big leaks of

650
00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:09,720
capital.
And if you pause the project at

651
00:36:09,720 --> 00:36:13,920
that point, history tells us
that they the CapEx becomes more

652
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:19,720
difficult to control your
legally binding responses to

653
00:36:19,720 --> 00:36:22,520
contract tenders and so on, they
lose their validity.

654
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,640
So there's the opportunity to re
cut and and if there is

655
00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:28,080
inflation in the local
environment, it can find its way

656
00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:31,720
in.
But fundamentally we think that

657
00:36:31,720 --> 00:36:37,240
we by being a producer and
selling pounds into 202920302031

658
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:41,560
that will overwhelmingly produce
a better outcome for

659
00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:44,600
shareholders than being than
basically writing the

660
00:36:44,600 --> 00:36:46,880
spreadsheet.
When you, when you say it all

661
00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:49,920
overshoot, do you effectively
mean there will be a point where

662
00:36:50,240 --> 00:36:52,520
we inevitably end up bringing
too many pounds on the market

663
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:54,680
and we'll have another boom bust
kind of dynamic?

664
00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,640
You want to capture the boom,
but you know, yeah, before,

665
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,840
before an ultimate bust in the
in the future.

666
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:01,440
Yeah.
I mean, that's, that's always

667
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:05,600
the potential in any commodity,
but there's so many constraints

668
00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:09,680
on uranium that in the same way
that post Fukushima the price

669
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:13,880
didn't address the supply glut,
I feel like it'll be very slow

670
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:18,280
to respond in terms of a supply
response to increased prices.

671
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:22,200
So the overshoot when I, I
suppose, I mean a price that

672
00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:25,440
sits above the long term
incentive price that would bring

673
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:28,560
enough production in.
And those constraints are

674
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:32,880
political, they're
environmental, the fact that

675
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:35,760
we're such a tiny little sector
that it's not well developed

676
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:37,920
from a financing point of view
and it's people.

677
00:37:38,240 --> 00:37:40,760
And all of those things add up
to elongate projects.

678
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:43,680
And I mean, Bannerman's been at
it for 20 years.

679
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:47,600
There has been a significant
market event which elongated

680
00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:49,640
that period.
But you know, we're probably

681
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:52,840
best able to judge those
constraints and we're in an

682
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:55,960
environment like Namibia where
there isn't a disproportionate

683
00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:58,640
environmental or social push
back against uranium.

684
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:02,440
On the on the flip side of of
the strategy of your bring it to

685
00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:07,360
market now you can even see in
this in this deal there there's

686
00:38:07,360 --> 00:38:12,640
this evolution of, of financing
dynamics where you know, you've

687
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:16,040
got like compared to two years
ago like a much more attractive

688
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:18,640
kind of, you know, terms of
project financing than would

689
00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:22,240
have otherwise been possible.
The evolution of, of, of

690
00:38:22,240 --> 00:38:24,920
financing is introducing more
strategic equity.

691
00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:27,080
It's introducing even
unconventional forms of

692
00:38:27,080 --> 00:38:29,360
strategic equity to finance
projects.

693
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:32,120
And if you can introduce that at
a time when your market cap is

694
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:34,200
even higher than you kind of,
you know, you can end up

695
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:37,800
diluting the project less and,
and, and the likes as well.

696
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:39,800
So there's a trade off and then
you're trying to find that

697
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:42,400
balance of, of bringing the
pounds to market, but also

698
00:38:43,240 --> 00:38:45,160
understanding that things are
probably going to get more

699
00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:47,680
favourable from a financing
perspective over time.

700
00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:52,040
I think it was, was it Leah on
like recently saying, saying

701
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:56,720
that, you know, this, there's
real interest from data centers

702
00:38:56,720 --> 00:38:58,960
to, to, to, to, to, to finance
some of these undeveloped

703
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:00,840
uranium projects.
Now, I don't, you know, I've

704
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:02,040
taken it, taken it at face
value.

705
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,920
But if that's true, you do have
these, you have these

706
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:07,880
infrastructure projects.
And if you can, you know, the

707
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:10,440
cost of capital for an
infrastructure project is, you

708
00:39:10,440 --> 00:39:13,880
know, single digit low
percentages versus, you know,

709
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:18,440
undeveloped mine in Africa, you
know, approaching N double,

710
00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:22,040
yeah, N teens.
It's a, it's a, it's a, it's a

711
00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:24,640
huge difference.
And, and as you converge that

712
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:27,920
way makes, makes a big
difference for the, for the

713
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,200
financing.
So I just, yeah, it's a bunch of

714
00:39:30,200 --> 00:39:31,880
ramblings, but keen to get your
thoughts on all of that.

715
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:35,120
Yeah, you're right.
The financing options are

716
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:38,440
evolving, but you know, we've
been in the thick of it now for

717
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:44,120
2 1/2 years and we've been able
to have a very think accurate

718
00:39:44,120 --> 00:39:47,040
finger on the pulse at the live
firing end of things.

719
00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:50,760
Not the theoretical discussions,
but you know, what is actually

720
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:53,000
available at the moment.
And some things have come in

721
00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:54,920
such as Nordic bonds.
There's a lot of interest in

722
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:57,600
Nordic bonds, it just wasn't
there a year ago.

723
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:03,400
There are other elements that if
we were trying to finance a

724
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:06,400
project in 12 months, we'd be
working on right now.

725
00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:11,960
The reality, though, is that
we've had to. 2 1/2 years to run

726
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:14,360
this process, we've had broad
interests from a bunch of

727
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:18,000
different parties and this has
come out demonstrably well above

728
00:40:18,360 --> 00:40:21,080
the others as as a preferred
alternative.

729
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:24,200
So there's no regret cost in
wondering if we could have got a

730
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:26,480
better deal.
We're we're confident that this

731
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:30,440
holistically is a great deal for
what we have been able to get at

732
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:33,640
this point in time.
The other thing is if we were in

733
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:37,400
a more stable macro environment,
you know, I might be more

734
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:40,720
inclined to think about what
would an interim raising raise

735
00:40:40,720 --> 00:40:44,080
another 100 million bucks and
keep moving the project forward

736
00:40:44,080 --> 00:40:46,720
and see what's available for us
in 12 months time.

737
00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:49,560
But we're just, we're nowhere
near that sort of an

738
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:52,480
environment.
It's as an investor, you've got

739
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:57,040
the, I think the luxury of
liquidity where something goes

740
00:40:57,040 --> 00:40:58,960
horribly wrong.
You can pull your money out and

741
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,480
lick your wounds when you're
running a company and when the

742
00:41:01,480 --> 00:41:06,240
board's making decisions that a
high consequence like this, you

743
00:41:06,240 --> 00:41:08,680
can't ignore the level of
instability that we've got

744
00:41:08,680 --> 00:41:12,200
around the globe and what could
happen to those sources of

745
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:16,640
financing or equity market
windows or even some of the key

746
00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:19,240
geopolitical levers over the
next 12 months.

747
00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:23,160
So we thought we feel like we're
striking the, the, the

748
00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:26,520
appropriate balance between
getting the certainty of now

749
00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:29,960
moving forward at this time
frame and getting enough

750
00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:35,920
sufficient benefit from these
trends that you described that

751
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:38,280
it's, it's a great deal for us
right now.

752
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:41,760
And the possibility of a better
deal comes with a whole lot of

753
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:46,000
additional risk that we just
don't think is worth taking.

754
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:49,880
To that end, can you remind us
what at what point would Ferb

755
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:53,320
have become involved?
Is there a percentage or if

756
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:55,560
you'd sold the whole project?
I know it's overseas, but Ferb

757
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,840
has done that previously with
you being an Australian company.

758
00:41:59,960 --> 00:42:03,320
So Ferb doesn't have
jurisdiction because there's

759
00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:05,680
nothing taking place at the
headco level.

760
00:42:06,720 --> 00:42:11,520
There was a time before the AVZ
decision during COVID when our

761
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:15,520
advice had been that even at a
headco level, Ferb didn't have

762
00:42:15,520 --> 00:42:16,960
jurisdiction.
But they've taken a more

763
00:42:16,960 --> 00:42:23,440
restrictive view on that since
the AVZ financing and because

764
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:29,040
SAN and C is an SOA, they would
not be able to build a stake at

765
00:42:29,040 --> 00:42:32,040
the head code level above 9.9%
without Ferb.

766
00:42:32,600 --> 00:42:36,480
So it's, it's another layer of,
for anyone who's concerned about

767
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:40,960
any predatory instincts that
they might have, it's another

768
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:43,520
layer of protection in addition
to the standstill that we've

769
00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:44,760
got.
And of course the standstill

770
00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:47,000
like this you'd take to the
takeovers panel and it'd take

771
00:42:47,000 --> 00:42:49,520
about 5 minutes to to be
effective.

772
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:54,160
So the the idea of this being a
step towards a predatory

773
00:42:54,160 --> 00:42:58,560
relationship, just it's an
understandable question, but

774
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:00,160
there's really no basis for
that.

775
00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:05,600
Banneman has two existing
offtakes that struck late last

776
00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:08,760
year with North American
utilities for £1,000,000.

777
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:12,440
How, how does that fit in?
Are they, are they, I mean that

778
00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:15,800
they of course were conditional
on a few things themselves, but

779
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:18,840
is it your anticipation that
they will still like, they'll

780
00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:21,880
feed your overall marketing mix,
they'll be part of your 40%,

781
00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:22,880
correct?
Yeah, right.

782
00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:24,720
Yeah, they'll be part of the
40%.

783
00:43:25,240 --> 00:43:26,800
They're pleased for us.
Yeah.

784
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:28,440
And we've obviously talked to
them about it.

785
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:31,800
They they appreciate that it's
created certainty for us.

786
00:43:31,960 --> 00:43:34,320
We had a lot of flexibility in
those off takes as well.

787
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:39,000
So their base escalated from
2029 to 2033, correct.

788
00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:41,960
Yeah.
But the was the, the the the

789
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:45,040
base which they start from that
was determined at the time that

790
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:47,360
you struck the deal or how does
that work?

791
00:43:47,400 --> 00:43:48,360
Yeah, correct.
Yeah, yeah.

792
00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:52,080
Gotcha, gotcha.
I'm curious with a a broader

793
00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:55,600
uranium kind of question, if
the, if the thesis plays out

794
00:43:56,080 --> 00:43:58,480
like you like you kind of
anticipate it does, Brandon,

795
00:43:59,040 --> 00:44:00,920
what happens to Spartan and
yellow cake?

796
00:44:02,600 --> 00:44:05,640
Well, as we learned a couple of
years ago, you know, sport is

797
00:44:05,800 --> 00:44:11,080
very restricted on what it can
do and that is basically it

798
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:15,400
can't hold more than 10% of its
assets as cash or anything other

799
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:17,440
than uranium.
There was a time when sport

800
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:20,080
actively considered whether it
could introduce a redemption

801
00:44:20,080 --> 00:44:21,880
mechanism.
There was some pressure from

802
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:25,080
some of its biggest shareholders
and they thought that maybe by

803
00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:29,880
introducing a 5% redemption
mechanism under limited

804
00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:34,840
circumstances that would be able
to cap the discount that they

805
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:38,040
could trade to.
And they took it away and they

806
00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:40,360
just simply couldn't do it.
They couldn't even put it to

807
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:44,000
their unit holders.
And that's how bound up that

808
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:46,560
constituent mechanism is for
sport.

809
00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:50,400
So what happens to sport is it
just accumulates in the

810
00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:54,040
foreseeable future and certainly
in the foreseeable cycle over

811
00:44:54,040 --> 00:44:57,280
that period of time, it will
just continue to accumulate

812
00:44:57,280 --> 00:45:00,680
pounce.
And I've had plenty of utilities

813
00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:02,480
say to me, well, that just
doesn't make sense.

814
00:45:02,720 --> 00:45:04,120
You know, why would a company do
that?

815
00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:07,800
And the answer is because Sprott
gets paid 35 basis points to

816
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,280
manage that position and that
NIV.

817
00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:14,400
So where is the incentive to do
anything else?

818
00:45:14,600 --> 00:45:16,960
Nowhere.
They're very attached to those

819
00:45:16,960 --> 00:45:19,400
fees.
And they deserve it.

820
00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:21,760
I mean, they've created
something extraordinary that no

821
00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:23,640
one thought would go in this
direction.

822
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:26,920
Totally.
But do you not think this might

823
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:29,520
draw, draw a marker from
governments in in other

824
00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:32,960
commodities going forward where
it's such a, a concentrated

825
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:34,560
supply?
I know this is a a kind of

826
00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:39,440
bigger philosophical kind of
question about it, but if if the

827
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:41,840
thesis plays out like everyone
investing in spot thinks it will

828
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:44,040
play out, then it's going to
cause a a serious problem, is it

829
00:45:44,040 --> 00:45:46,480
not?
Not really like they're limited

830
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:50,360
to £9 million per annum in terms
of what they can Hoover up now

831
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:52,160
under their at the market
facility.

832
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:55,240
I think that was smart.
It was good news when they

833
00:45:55,240 --> 00:45:59,520
didn't succeed in listing in the
US, which was one of the

834
00:45:59,520 --> 00:46:02,280
conditions when they took over
Uranium Participation Corp.

835
00:46:02,480 --> 00:46:07,960
They needed to go and attempt to
list in the USI was cheering

836
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:11,480
when that didn't go through
because that might have exposed

837
00:46:11,480 --> 00:46:14,800
them geopolitically to having
the the whole thing cracked open

838
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:18,040
by the US government, whereas
now there's just 0 jurisdiction.

839
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:22,040
This is only good for Canada's
uranium sector because it's

840
00:46:22,040 --> 00:46:26,120
supporting uranium prices or
supporting A transparent trade

841
00:46:26,120 --> 00:46:30,720
in the market.
And so again, in the foreseeable

842
00:46:30,720 --> 00:46:34,440
future, and certainly for this
cycle playing out and we've

843
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:38,360
tested it, can't see a pathway
where it would do anything else

844
00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:40,080
other than continuing to
accumulate.

845
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:43,320
And this is a sector that exists
on large levels of inventory.

846
00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:45,840
There's large levels of
strategic government holdings,

847
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:49,720
there are significant levels of
commercial inventory.

848
00:46:50,080 --> 00:46:54,240
So whilst 6570 million pounds
does sound like an awful lot,

849
00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:58,400
not in the context of the
functioning levels of inventory

850
00:46:58,400 --> 00:47:00,800
that this sector has existed on
for decades.

851
00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:05,520
You're now a obviously in
business with a, you know, the

852
00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:09,640
Chinese state owned entity.
And one of the, the, the red

853
00:47:09,640 --> 00:47:12,080
flags about question marks that
a lot of people have in their

854
00:47:12,080 --> 00:47:15,040
models is they can map out
everything, you know, arrow

855
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:17,920
comes online and Rook one comes
online such and such here.

856
00:47:18,280 --> 00:47:22,520
But what Chinese demand is going
to be is a bit more of a Gray

857
00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:25,560
area.
What do you think their approach

858
00:47:25,560 --> 00:47:27,040
is?
And how do you think like the

859
00:47:27,080 --> 00:47:31,560
the consensus western numbers
match up with with yours?

860
00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:38,400
The consensus numbers have
drastically trailed our numbers

861
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:41,720
on China in almost every
dimension for 10 years.

862
00:47:43,040 --> 00:47:45,560
And and that's been for a few
reasons.

863
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:50,680
The, the first one was there was
a huge amount of concern coming

864
00:47:50,680 --> 00:47:54,040
out of some of the consultants,
but also some of investors about

865
00:47:54,240 --> 00:47:58,000
China's got so much inventory,
half a million, half a billion

866
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:00,840
pounds in inventory that's going
to come back into the market.

867
00:48:00,840 --> 00:48:03,440
They're going to use it to
manipulate the market.

868
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:08,600
They're insert perception issue
here.

869
00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:14,080
Now we had a really clear eyed
view of that because we just

870
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:19,440
figured that the Chinese state
apparatus is not going to put

871
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:22,800
themselves at risk of investing
hundreds of billions of dollars

872
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:26,920
in going from 2% of their grid
being nuclear as it was back

873
00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:30,240
then to something more like 15
or 20% of their grid being

874
00:48:30,240 --> 00:48:34,240
nuclear.
If they don't have 100 years of

875
00:48:34,240 --> 00:48:36,480
uranium to make sure that
they're not going to get screwed

876
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,720
by the rest of the world.
You know, bear in mind they've

877
00:48:39,240 --> 00:48:42,840
they've learnt the trade in
other commodities and they're

878
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:44,880
not going to be silly enough to
allow the rest of the world to

879
00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:50,760
do that to them.
So that level of appetite is

880
00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:54,560
baked in and it's voracious and
it's long term.

881
00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:59,040
And we're talking about not even
rounding errors.

882
00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:02,120
When you look at their foreign
reserves, like they would have

883
00:49:02,120 --> 00:49:04,800
converted a tiny percentage of
their U.S.

884
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:07,200
Treasuries into uranium at the
time.

885
00:49:07,560 --> 00:49:11,160
Uranium doesn't go off.
You can store vast quantities of

886
00:49:11,160 --> 00:49:16,160
it in a single secured facility.
And we went back to Japan's

887
00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:18,520
approach to inventory prior to
Fukushima.

888
00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:21,440
Before that, you know, turned
the whole country's nuclear

889
00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:23,720
industry on its head.
Their whole philosophy back in

890
00:49:23,720 --> 00:49:29,600
those days was they needed to
have five years of nuclear fuel

891
00:49:29,800 --> 00:49:33,800
inside their own borders locked
into their own secured warehouse

892
00:49:34,040 --> 00:49:37,280
based on what their demand would
be 5 years from here.

893
00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:41,480
And they found that on a rolling
basis that gave them a fair bit

894
00:49:41,480 --> 00:49:44,200
of protection.
Now Japan's a country that's

895
00:49:44,200 --> 00:49:46,840
very exposed on resource
sovereignty.

896
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:51,560
So that was their approach and
the, the approach that China is

897
00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:53,840
taking and will take is not
dissimilar.

898
00:49:54,320 --> 00:49:59,000
So we just, we just saw that
concern about Chinese

899
00:49:59,120 --> 00:50:01,800
inventories as being totally
misfounded.

900
00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:07,280
We then we're at odds and an
outlier in terms of what we

901
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:10,600
would see the Chinese roll out
of nuclear plants being.

902
00:50:11,160 --> 00:50:14,200
And again, it was a top down
approach where we looked at

903
00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:17,320
their growth of their electrical
grid.

904
00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:20,640
We looked at what renewables,
even in the incredibly

905
00:50:20,640 --> 00:50:23,480
optimistic roll outs that
they've achieved would achieve,

906
00:50:23,960 --> 00:50:26,720
how much coal they would be able
to build, how much hydro they

907
00:50:26,720 --> 00:50:32,880
would be able to build.
And we just saw an, a demand

908
00:50:32,880 --> 00:50:37,160
profile that was with odds, add
odds to, you know, almost

909
00:50:37,160 --> 00:50:38,760
everyone who was public in the
sector.

910
00:50:38,920 --> 00:50:40,240
And we've been vindicated by
that.

911
00:50:40,240 --> 00:50:42,600
In those days, people were
skeptical about whether China

912
00:50:42,600 --> 00:50:45,840
would build 6 to 8 reactors a
year.

913
00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:52,000
And then from 2022, they've been
approving 10 reactors a year and

914
00:50:52,240 --> 00:50:54,760
they've done it in 2022.
They're all in production by

915
00:50:54,760 --> 00:50:59,280
now, all in construction by now.
2023, the same, 24 the same, 25

916
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:01,520
the same.
And we're waiting to see how

917
00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:04,640
many they approve this year.
I think that number will go up.

918
00:51:05,520 --> 00:51:08,880
I think it will go up.
They're still far from Western

919
00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:11,640
levels of penetration of nuclear
power in their grid.

920
00:51:12,520 --> 00:51:20,400
They have proven themselves to
have fundamentally grown every

921
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:25,240
aspect of their supply chain and
they're capable of building more

922
00:51:25,240 --> 00:51:27,760
than 10 reactors a year.
And why wouldn't they?

923
00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:31,040
They're building them at 1/4 of
the cost of what the West can

924
00:51:31,040 --> 00:51:33,880
build them on an in capital
intensity basis.

925
00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:40,320
Each reactor now is being built
in less than five years compared

926
00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:47,080
to what the West is doing, and
the strength of their domestic

927
00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:51,280
nuclear deployment industry and
all of the supply chain that's

928
00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:55,840
attached to them gives them the
most perfect exemplar of what

929
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:58,200
the Belt and Rd. initiative was
originally set up to do.

930
00:51:59,200 --> 00:52:01,000
So I think it's only getting
better from here.

931
00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:05,040
China scale is just phenomenal,
just leaves mature on the

932
00:52:05,040 --> 00:52:07,600
ground.
The the the speed, the the

933
00:52:07,600 --> 00:52:10,680
complexity that they can unlock
the you know everything about it

934
00:52:10,680 --> 00:52:17,920
is is kind of amazing.
A lot of the uranium stocks,

935
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:23,200
uranium technology plays over
the past few years got lumped

936
00:52:23,200 --> 00:52:25,680
together and they had a high
correlation when it came to

937
00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:28,640
trading with AI and these sorts
of things.

938
00:52:28,640 --> 00:52:33,280
And why it sort of came to mind
was the deep sick moment.

939
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:37,080
China again and you would have
seen like all of your peers, the

940
00:52:37,080 --> 00:52:41,960
stock drops 1015% whatever it
was on, on that kind of day.

941
00:52:41,960 --> 00:52:45,080
How do you how do you take in
the correlation with which you

942
00:52:45,080 --> 00:52:48,080
start to trade to all these
other things in in the market

943
00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:53,080
and the big question mark that
that whole energy intensity,

944
00:52:53,080 --> 00:52:56,920
energy usage AI brings to the
uranium landscape.

945
00:52:57,640 --> 00:52:59,160
Yeah.
Well, look, DeepSeek was another

946
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:06,320
example of the market misreading
the implications and quite

947
00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:09,400
quickly correcting like across
the board, our peers were down

948
00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:13,040
20% on the day.
And by the end of the week, most

949
00:53:13,040 --> 00:53:15,480
of the peers, including
ourselves were back to par.

950
00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:19,480
And that's because what DeepSeek
really did for our sector and

951
00:53:19,480 --> 00:53:26,280
for across the whole electricity
spectrum was it turned a

952
00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:32,400
theoretical threat into a hot
war, which was EU s s assumed

953
00:53:32,400 --> 00:53:37,640
ascendancy on AI suddenly was
challenged really quite

954
00:53:37,640 --> 00:53:40,880
fundamentally.
And the US economy is so geared

955
00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:44,480
towards the necessity of those
productivity improvements and

956
00:53:44,480 --> 00:53:47,200
the technology ascendancy from
everything from commerce through

957
00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:52,640
to defence that they simply
cannot lose that warm battle

958
00:53:53,280 --> 00:53:57,560
with China or anyone else on AI.
And so our reading immediately

959
00:53:57,600 --> 00:54:00,800
after seeing that news was that
they will have to double down

960
00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:02,520
and triple down and quadruple
down.

961
00:54:02,560 --> 00:54:08,600
And the immediate reaction
needed to be, we use all of the

962
00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:13,240
tools we've got today, which is
greater capacity, greater,

963
00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:16,320
greater deployment of GPU's,
greater deployment of data

964
00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:18,320
centers.
So what we realized in those

965
00:54:18,320 --> 00:54:23,120
first few hours was that the US
would have to double down with

966
00:54:23,120 --> 00:54:25,240
the tools that they had, and
they'd probably have to triple

967
00:54:25,240 --> 00:54:29,120
down and quadruple down because
they would have to win the AI

968
00:54:29,120 --> 00:54:31,080
fight.
Now, we've had something really

969
00:54:31,080 --> 00:54:34,560
similar just recently.
I think the Spring Festival or

970
00:54:34,560 --> 00:54:40,080
Chinese New Year demonstration
of humanoid robots that Unitary

971
00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:43,720
did has been a huge wake up call
for the West and particularly

972
00:54:43,720 --> 00:54:50,480
when you compare it to what
Chinese robotics manufacturers

973
00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:53,120
were profiling at last year's
Chinese New Year.

974
00:54:53,520 --> 00:55:00,240
So to answer your question,
Jody, I think the AI driven data

975
00:55:00,240 --> 00:55:07,320
centre demand is on balance as
significant as the more

976
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:09,280
optimistic numbers that are
thrown out there.

977
00:55:09,520 --> 00:55:13,480
And it puts an enormous amount
of pressure on every trace load

978
00:55:13,480 --> 00:55:16,320
electrical solution.
It's as good for coal as it is

979
00:55:16,320 --> 00:55:19,520
for nuclear power.
It's as good for gas as it is

980
00:55:19,520 --> 00:55:22,920
for nuclear power.
And coal over time there will be

981
00:55:22,920 --> 00:55:27,960
more of a shift towards nuclear
because it has the attributes of

982
00:55:27,960 --> 00:55:31,760
being clean and these data
centres do have a lowest common

983
00:55:31,760 --> 00:55:34,680
denominator approach to their
customers.

984
00:55:36,600 --> 00:55:41,800
But the the key take away for
nuclear power is there is now

985
00:55:41,960 --> 00:55:46,280
enough demand for whatever level
of deployment the nuclear

986
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:49,000
industry can deliver into data
centres.

987
00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:52,400
And it's all about how quickly
can the nuclear industry expand,

988
00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:54,440
how quickly can they bring the
SMRS on?

989
00:55:54,720 --> 00:55:59,040
That's yeah, it's in the last
day.

990
00:55:59,280 --> 00:56:04,480
We set up one of those clawbots
and I don't know how you can

991
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:07,760
have the experience of, of, of
whipping one of them up using

992
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:10,520
it, seeing how useful it is and
thinking that, that the future

993
00:56:10,520 --> 00:56:13,480
is anything other than
incredibly energy intensive.

994
00:56:13,480 --> 00:56:16,560
The demand for energy is, is
infinite.

995
00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:20,640
The only constraints are going
to literally be the, the

996
00:56:20,640 --> 00:56:23,160
physical ones of how much we can
actually supply.

997
00:56:23,160 --> 00:56:25,520
Like we'll soak it all up.
I could, you know, I want to

998
00:56:25,520 --> 00:56:26,720
program this thing through
everything.

999
00:56:26,720 --> 00:56:30,320
And a lot of it's generative.
And the generative tasks

1000
00:56:31,000 --> 00:56:34,480
require, you know, burning a
small town's worth of

1001
00:56:34,480 --> 00:56:38,720
electricity.
You know, it's, it's yeah, it's

1002
00:56:38,720 --> 00:56:41,440
it's going to be a very energy
intensive future.

1003
00:56:41,440 --> 00:56:43,920
And I totally agree with the
perspective that that benefits

1004
00:56:43,920 --> 00:56:46,200
all forms of energy.
And just going back to the AI

1005
00:56:46,200 --> 00:56:51,000
and we'll come to how we're kind
of unfairly linked because we

1006
00:56:51,000 --> 00:56:54,080
don't seem to get as a uranium
sector, we don't seem to get

1007
00:56:54,080 --> 00:56:55,880
much of the upside from AI at
the moment.

1008
00:56:55,880 --> 00:56:59,000
It doesn't seem to be baked in.
But every time there's a stumble

1009
00:56:59,000 --> 00:57:00,960
in the AI thesis, we seem to cop
it.

1010
00:57:01,680 --> 00:57:06,600
There was that moment when one
of the US states refused

1011
00:57:06,600 --> 00:57:11,800
permission for behind the meter
power solution to a data centre.

1012
00:57:11,800 --> 00:57:15,120
And that that there was several
months after the deep seq event

1013
00:57:15,120 --> 00:57:18,920
that really became an issue for
the AI thesis.

1014
00:57:19,320 --> 00:57:22,560
And what we've just seen from
the Trump administration in he

1015
00:57:22,560 --> 00:57:27,000
stated the in the last couple of
days anyway was he's now saying

1016
00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:30,640
data centres, I will make sure
that they can have their own

1017
00:57:30,640 --> 00:57:33,080
behind the meter access to
power.

1018
00:57:33,360 --> 00:57:36,280
Now he's had to do that because
otherwise data centres will

1019
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:38,760
squeeze out both the power and
the water from the local

1020
00:57:38,760 --> 00:57:41,720
communities.
What we're already seeing is the

1021
00:57:41,720 --> 00:57:45,160
local communities.
You kind of got this dissection

1022
00:57:45,160 --> 00:57:48,640
of the existing grid where all
the clean stuff being taken by

1023
00:57:48,640 --> 00:57:50,920
the data centers and the local
communities.

1024
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:54,200
If there's a coal component to a
grid, they're making sure that

1025
00:57:54,200 --> 00:57:56,720
they run that coal as much as
they can and deliver it into

1026
00:57:56,720 --> 00:57:59,000
households who aren't subject to
the same clean energy

1027
00:57:59,000 --> 00:58:01,640
constraints that are data
centers, which can only do that

1028
00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:05,000
so much.
And I think that really opens up

1029
00:58:05,000 --> 00:58:12,200
the the final constraint on
widespread deployment of small

1030
00:58:12,200 --> 00:58:17,160
modular reactors housed with and
coupled to data centres.

1031
00:58:17,480 --> 00:58:21,720
And as we've seen from the Trump
administration, they they don't

1032
00:58:21,720 --> 00:58:25,280
let fragmented regulation get in
their way when there's a

1033
00:58:25,280 --> 00:58:28,600
priority to be addressed.
And I think some of the grid

1034
00:58:28,600 --> 00:58:32,200
level regulations that have been
a hassle for incorporating

1035
00:58:32,200 --> 00:58:36,080
behind the meter power solutions
for data centres in one way or

1036
00:58:36,080 --> 00:58:37,480
another, I'll just get swept out
of the way.

1037
00:58:38,600 --> 00:58:42,520
And we've seen the, the backlog
of orders for these GE, Vanova

1038
00:58:42,520 --> 00:58:47,400
and other gas turbines, they're
already at 20-30 any longer and

1039
00:58:47,400 --> 00:58:49,680
the West might even be able to
build a nuclear reactor in that

1040
00:58:49,680 --> 00:58:52,840
time.
So SMRS, if we can, if we can

1041
00:58:52,840 --> 00:58:54,840
get it together and the tech can
get there and you can do these

1042
00:58:54,840 --> 00:58:58,280
things in a modularized way,
like a like a factory, hopefully

1043
00:58:58,280 --> 00:59:03,680
that that production time just
comes in and and like a bit of

1044
00:59:03,680 --> 00:59:05,680
the, the gap that I think we
kind of see coming.

1045
00:59:07,520 --> 00:59:10,400
Brandon, it's, it's been, it's
been really enjoyable to learn a

1046
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:13,080
bit about the yeah, the, the
deal, the behind the scenes

1047
00:59:13,080 --> 00:59:16,720
parts of it and get a, get some
insights into the, the wider

1048
00:59:16,720 --> 00:59:19,560
uranium market as well.
I really appreciate you, you

1049
00:59:19,560 --> 00:59:21,600
joining us.
And so anything else you want to

1050
00:59:21,640 --> 00:59:25,440
leave us with?
Look, I think it's in terms of

1051
00:59:25,440 --> 00:59:27,560
just for particularly
shareholders who are listening

1052
00:59:27,560 --> 00:59:29,800
or people who are considering
Bannerman as an investment.

1053
00:59:30,200 --> 00:59:33,000
What this deal has done is it's
really transformed the company.

1054
00:59:33,080 --> 00:59:36,320
We've gone from being an
advanced development asset

1055
00:59:36,320 --> 00:59:40,480
that's in construction, that's
looking at potentially in most

1056
00:59:40,480 --> 00:59:43,440
people's minds an enormous
equity draw.

1057
00:59:43,760 --> 00:59:47,200
And all of the risk associated
with debt, all of the debt

1058
00:59:47,200 --> 00:59:49,640
burden, this restrictive
covenants, the reduction in

1059
00:59:49,640 --> 00:59:53,160
margin that you get from
servicing that debt to still

1060
00:59:53,160 --> 00:59:57,000
having an attributable see
through of £2,000,000 per annum

1061
00:59:57,000 --> 01:00:00,360
without any debt construction
funded.

1062
01:00:01,000 --> 01:00:04,000
And I think what this
partnership does is it really

1063
01:00:04,000 --> 01:00:06,320
gives you a high probability
when you think about our

1064
01:00:06,320 --> 01:00:09,840
expansion going from a T8 to a
T16.

1065
01:00:10,400 --> 01:00:14,000
And our attributable see through
production from that expanded

1066
01:00:14,000 --> 01:00:17,480
case is bigger than the three
and a half million pounds that

1067
01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:18,800
we've started with at the
moment.

1068
01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:21,840
So there's two steps to get
there, but those steps look

1069
01:00:21,840 --> 01:00:24,960
pretty locked in now.
And I think we're just a totally

1070
01:00:24,960 --> 01:00:27,760
different company to what we
were a couple of weeks ago

1071
01:00:28,120 --> 01:00:30,160
before this this deal was
unveiled.

1072
01:00:30,160 --> 01:00:35,040
So I'm excited and appreciate
the opportunity to come on and

1073
01:00:35,240 --> 01:00:38,840
wax about it.
Oh, JD, got an idea before you

1074
01:00:38,840 --> 01:00:41,640
go, Brandon.
I was thinking underrated,

1075
01:00:41,640 --> 01:00:43,040
overrated.
You can talk about all your

1076
01:00:43,040 --> 01:00:45,040
peers, yes.
Yeah, underrated, overrated, but

1077
01:00:45,280 --> 01:00:46,960
you know, might not get but
literally.

1078
01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:49,040
Might not get too many answers.
Generally what I was thinking,

1079
01:00:49,560 --> 01:00:51,320
overrated, underrated.
Are you ready for this?

1080
01:00:51,320 --> 01:00:52,960
You just overrated.
You don't have to justify it.

1081
01:00:52,960 --> 01:00:54,520
You can if you want to be
succinct about it, but.

1082
01:00:56,480 --> 01:00:59,240
Honey, so So is this the sort of
thing that fund managers love to

1083
01:00:59,240 --> 01:01:01,480
do and I just get in a whole lot
of crap because.

1084
01:01:01,480 --> 01:01:03,760
Probably in the end.
But you and bankers and some of

1085
01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:05,840
the I'll.
Ease you into it, Thorium.

1086
01:01:06,920 --> 01:01:10,040
Overrated.
Mauritania as a uranium

1087
01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:14,680
producing destination.
Can I, can I do the elbow one

1088
01:01:14,680 --> 01:01:15,520
word instead?
Yeah.

1089
01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:20,440
You can say more difficult ISR.
So a couple of years ago,

1090
01:01:20,480 --> 01:01:24,000
overrated, but I think the
market's come to understand that

1091
01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:27,160
when it works, it's magic, when
it doesn't work, it's really

1092
01:01:27,160 --> 01:01:30,360
challenged.
So I would say perhaps a bit

1093
01:01:30,360 --> 01:01:33,840
underrated because the market's
got so many concerns about it

1094
01:01:33,840 --> 01:01:38,760
now.
Is the enrichment bottleneck and

1095
01:01:38,760 --> 01:01:41,160
the concerns around that
underrated or overrated?

1096
01:01:44,920 --> 01:01:48,040
Underrated, particularly in the
West.

1097
01:01:49,000 --> 01:01:51,240
Particularly in the West,
China's increasing its

1098
01:01:51,240 --> 01:01:55,480
enrichment capacity in lockstep
with its nuclear demand.

1099
01:01:56,160 --> 01:02:00,760
So they have the problem solved.
The West is still fumbling with

1100
01:02:00,920 --> 01:02:07,280
financing constraints and
commercial entities who want to

1101
01:02:07,520 --> 01:02:10,080
reduce their risk to
infrastructure like levels

1102
01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:12,920
through enrichment contracting
before they'll respond.

1103
01:02:12,920 --> 01:02:16,280
So until government steps in in
the West, it's going to be an

1104
01:02:16,280 --> 01:02:19,200
underrated problem.
The West fumbling the footy?

1105
01:02:19,200 --> 01:02:22,320
That doesn't sound like us.
What what about the sulfuric

1106
01:02:22,320 --> 01:02:25,040
acid problem, which we heard a
lot about over the past kind of

1107
01:02:25,040 --> 01:02:27,640
couple years, particularly in in
Kazakhstan?

1108
01:02:28,200 --> 01:02:33,560
In Kazakhstan, it's probably
overrated now only because they

1109
01:02:33,560 --> 01:02:38,320
seem to be addressing it and
sulfuric acid is an in very

1110
01:02:38,320 --> 01:02:40,920
localized issue.
So broadly speaking, it's

1111
01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:44,560
overrated because hunters are
looking at the problems that

1112
01:02:44,560 --> 01:02:47,840
Kazatomprom's had in Kazakhstan
and assuming that sulfuric acid

1113
01:02:47,840 --> 01:02:51,480
must be a problem anywhere.
If you've got seaborne access to

1114
01:02:51,680 --> 01:02:56,080
sulfuric acid, it's a very
different risk profile to if

1115
01:02:56,080 --> 01:03:00,800
you're dealing with a landlocked
country that's reliant on

1116
01:03:00,800 --> 01:03:03,440
localized domestic sources of
acid, particularly when they're

1117
01:03:03,440 --> 01:03:06,200
industrial sources.
Small changes in those

1118
01:03:06,200 --> 01:03:08,880
industries or the localized
demand, as we've seen in

1119
01:03:08,880 --> 01:03:15,760
Kazakhstan from fertilizers and
probably munitions, creates huge

1120
01:03:15,760 --> 01:03:17,240
distortions there that caught
them.

1121
01:03:17,240 --> 01:03:19,880
If you've got access to seaborne
such as ourselves, it's not an

1122
01:03:19,880 --> 01:03:23,360
issue.
One day being able to

1123
01:03:23,600 --> 01:03:25,480
efficiently extract uranium from
the ocean.

1124
01:03:27,080 --> 01:03:34,200
Overrated ultimately that will
be a solution and that probably

1125
01:03:34,200 --> 01:03:36,720
will set the long term incentive
price.

1126
01:03:37,400 --> 01:03:42,160
So in the industry they say well
that's like 200 two $150.00

1127
01:03:42,160 --> 01:03:45,760
uranium it becomes viable, but
it hasn't been proven at any

1128
01:03:45,760 --> 01:03:47,920
level of scale.
It's all at the sort of the nano

1129
01:03:47,920 --> 01:03:53,520
filter, nano technology stage.
And a lot of the problem is if

1130
01:03:53,520 --> 01:03:58,880
you, if you're filtering sea
water for uranium, the uranium

1131
01:03:58,880 --> 01:04:01,840
molecules are really big and
that's the idea, but you've got

1132
01:04:01,840 --> 01:04:04,400
to filter out an awful lot of
other stuff.

1133
01:04:04,400 --> 01:04:07,440
You you've got to basically
create pure water that's only

1134
01:04:07,440 --> 01:04:10,240
got uranium left in it.
So it's challenging, but

1135
01:04:10,280 --> 01:04:13,520
ultimately I think it's and it's
healthy for the industry because

1136
01:04:14,600 --> 01:04:16,760
if you're going to encourage
countries to build reactors that

1137
01:04:16,760 --> 01:04:19,160
are going to be running for 100
years, you don't want to listen.

1138
01:04:19,160 --> 01:04:21,640
Listen too much to me telling
you that we've got a supply

1139
01:04:21,640 --> 01:04:24,040
crisis.
The the good thing about the

1140
01:04:24,080 --> 01:04:25,960
ocean is you can really have
economies of scale with that

1141
01:04:25,960 --> 01:04:27,440
one.
Indeed.

1142
01:04:28,000 --> 01:04:30,400
What about?
I thought it'd be kind in in

1143
01:04:30,400 --> 01:04:33,160
framing it and not name anyone
individually, but restart

1144
01:04:33,160 --> 01:04:36,920
projects in general.
I think they are what they are

1145
01:04:36,920 --> 01:04:42,640
like all of the restart projects
are in play now and Restart

1146
01:04:42,720 --> 01:04:48,080
present financing advantages and
operational disadvantages over

1147
01:04:48,080 --> 01:04:50,680
green fields.
So the financing advantages are

1148
01:04:50,680 --> 01:04:54,040
obvious because typically you've
got a a good capital investment

1149
01:04:54,040 --> 01:04:55,800
that you can leverage off and
you can add to.

1150
01:04:56,440 --> 01:05:02,720
And operationally, typically
it's a lot harder to get a

1151
01:05:02,720 --> 01:05:07,640
restarted mine back to steady
state than it is when you are

1152
01:05:07,640 --> 01:05:11,000
starting with a new mine.
Does it varies a lot based on

1153
01:05:11,000 --> 01:05:13,840
their complexity.
And we've we've seen examples of

1154
01:05:13,840 --> 01:05:17,680
complexity present challenges in
our sector.

1155
01:05:18,120 --> 01:05:22,560
And because it's just such a
small sector, investors are very

1156
01:05:22,560 --> 01:05:25,480
focused on it because they don't
have enough data points and they

1157
01:05:25,480 --> 01:05:30,080
don't have enough positive data
points to realize that, you

1158
01:05:30,080 --> 01:05:31,640
know, each mine behaves
differently.

1159
01:05:31,760 --> 01:05:34,320
In our case it's it's
greenfields and it's also, you

1160
01:05:34,320 --> 01:05:37,400
know, as far as the uranium
goes, we've got the most boring

1161
01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:40,480
mine in the world.
Uranium mining in Sweden.

1162
01:05:44,320 --> 01:05:50,160
The risk is underrated and I say
that even with the latest

1163
01:05:50,160 --> 01:05:53,920
developments where the
government is mooting the

1164
01:05:54,960 --> 01:06:00,960
empowerment of local communities
to reject applications in to

1165
01:06:00,960 --> 01:06:05,160
mine the alum shale.
Sorry, when you say the risk is

1166
01:06:05,160 --> 01:06:08,360
underrated, what risk
specifically do you refer to

1167
01:06:08,360 --> 01:06:10,120
there?
The risk of being able to do it.

1168
01:06:10,160 --> 01:06:13,200
So I'm saying it's harder than
everyone thinks it is, yeah.

1169
01:06:14,880 --> 01:06:18,360
What about for WA?
I don't know how to think about

1170
01:06:18,360 --> 01:06:20,920
WA.
Like on the one hand, it just

1171
01:06:20,920 --> 01:06:25,400
makes so much sense.
On the other hand, we're so

1172
01:06:25,400 --> 01:06:29,920
lucky in this state that we can
make crazy ass choices like

1173
01:06:29,920 --> 01:06:33,440
banning uranium and there's no
real consequence except to the

1174
01:06:33,440 --> 01:06:36,640
companies who are trying to
develop those assets.

1175
01:06:37,440 --> 01:06:39,680
And that's, that's just the
irony of it.

1176
01:06:39,680 --> 01:06:43,560
We're too blessed in this
country and we're too blessed in

1177
01:06:43,560 --> 01:06:46,640
WA to make sensible decisions.
I compare that to Namibia where

1178
01:06:46,640 --> 01:06:49,120
there's huge amount of support
for uranium.

1179
01:06:49,120 --> 01:06:51,440
And I don't mean tolerance.
I don't mean the locals put up

1180
01:06:51,440 --> 01:06:54,000
with us.
They really want the mines and

1181
01:06:54,000 --> 01:06:56,480
the and our peers to come into
production because they just

1182
01:06:56,480 --> 01:07:01,200
don't have the choices to to
listen to a Greenpeace or to

1183
01:07:01,200 --> 01:07:04,840
listen to a Greens party or to
listen to the Labour Party and

1184
01:07:04,840 --> 01:07:09,080
just say we don't really need
this so we're going to ban it.

1185
01:07:10,520 --> 01:07:12,520
You truly are the the lucky
country.

1186
01:07:12,600 --> 01:07:14,480
That might be a great spot to
leave it or you got another one

1187
01:07:14,480 --> 01:07:16,520
for.
That that's yeah, you've you've,

1188
01:07:16,920 --> 01:07:19,240
you've given me lots to think
about, Brandon, So thank you

1189
01:07:19,240 --> 01:07:21,160
very much for joining.
Us, we'd love to come one day,

1190
01:07:21,160 --> 01:07:24,040
hopefully in maybe 2029 when the
project's built and and check it

1191
01:07:24,040 --> 01:07:26,000
out.
Right well leave yourself for a

1192
01:07:26,000 --> 01:07:27,880
bit of time to tour around
Namibia as well.

1193
01:07:27,880 --> 01:07:30,520
It's it's a fabulous country
there you've.

1194
01:07:30,520 --> 01:07:31,800
Been.
Absolutely, yeah.

1195
01:07:31,800 --> 01:07:33,520
Oh, you've been.
I'd go again in the blink of an

1196
01:07:33,520 --> 01:07:34,600
eye.
Beautiful place.

1197
01:07:34,680 --> 01:07:36,600
Looks like Mars, doesn't it?
Very cool.

1198
01:07:36,960 --> 01:07:38,760
Very cool indeed.
Fantastic.

1199
01:07:38,760 --> 01:07:39,880
Thank you, Brandon.
Thanks guys.

1200
01:07:40,400 --> 01:07:43,560
Katie, are you any more
interested in you after that?

1201
01:07:43,880 --> 01:07:45,960
I actually I actually am.
I thought that was awesome.

1202
01:07:46,000 --> 01:07:47,440
I thought the deal was
fantastic.

1203
01:07:48,000 --> 01:07:53,280
I you know, it hasn't done any
any harm to diminish my fears of

1204
01:07:53,440 --> 01:07:56,560
how good China is at everything,
but teaming up with them.

1205
01:07:56,680 --> 01:07:58,160
Maybe that's the way to go,
right?

1206
01:07:58,720 --> 01:08:02,000
Huge thank you to Sandy Ground
support focus the platform by

1207
01:08:02,000 --> 01:08:05,800
market tech interlinks and
exceed capital go to room money.

1208
01:08:05,960 --> 01:08:09,480
Miners.
Now remember, I'm an idiot.

1209
01:08:09,720 --> 01:08:12,200
JD is an idiot.
If you thought any of this was

1210
01:08:12,200 --> 01:08:14,720
anything other than
entertainment, you're an idiot

1211
01:08:15,080 --> 01:08:16,240
and you need to read out a
disclaimer.