Nov. 28, 2025

The Copper Sleeper that Nobody’s Watching (Anthony Kavanagh)

Today’s episode is a bit different.  

Joining us is show favourite Anthony Kavangh, to share his view on a specific stock… Havilah. 

Kav has been on a long and winding road as an investor in the South Australian copper hopeful and today he shares the whole story. 

As a fund manager whose performance speaks for itself, we’re intrigued to learn about his thought process as well as the entertaining story that he tells.  

Plus, we get his take on the big question: Where does it go from here. 

Stocks mentioned: HAV, COI, DVP, EQU, AZY

This was recorded on 26.11.2025.   

…………… 

    

TIMESTAMPS  

(0:00) Intro & Guest Welcome
(4:10) The HAV Story Begins
(6:50) Early Impressions & First Encounters
(10:00) The Oz Minerals Deal
(13:00) BHP Takeover & Asset Uncertainty
(16:30) Investment Approaches & Management
(20:00) The Sandfire Deal Explained
(24:00) Share Registry & Bob Johnson
(27:00) South Australia Copper Potential
(30:00) Deal Valuation & Market Reaction
(34:00) Risks & Technical Challenges
(37:00) Sizing the Investment
(40:10) Final Thoughts(43:14) What's the next HAV?

…………… 

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1
00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:03,200
Travis Ricciardo We've got a bit
of a different episode today,

2
00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:05,080
don't we?
It is, it is a bit different.

3
00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:08,680
We've we've coached our good
friend Anthony Cavanagh, Cav as

4
00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:12,880
as we call him of, of Chester.
I think he runs the Chester

5
00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:16,239
Opportunities Fund 1 of Cavs.
You know, things he's been

6
00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:20,680
talking about a fair bit.
In fact, he, he alluded to this

7
00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:24,240
stock and this company, this
opportunity when we when we

8
00:00:24,240 --> 00:00:28,520
spoke to him a year ago when we
did our like Fundy predictions.

9
00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:31,880
This is a a, you know, a copper
junior that Cav he's he's had a

10
00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:33,360
long history with.
We're going to peel that out.

11
00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:35,960
Why it's interesting to him, why
he's sort of, you know, why he

12
00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:39,320
thinks there's a special
situation on hand right now and

13
00:00:40,160 --> 00:00:41,480
probably just got to get out of
the way.

14
00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:44,800
Disclaimers upfront, mate.
We own stock in this company,

15
00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:46,600
which is have all the resources.
Ding, Ding, Ding.

16
00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:50,200
We're conflicted.
Ignore any of our perspectives

17
00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:52,280
from that angle, or just just
take that grain of salt.

18
00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:54,840
But I I think it's super
entertaining for a number of

19
00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:56,080
reasons.
Kev has wanted to do this

20
00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:58,400
episode for a long time.
It's a fascinating company.

21
00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:01,080
As he explains in the whole
story, he got involved quite

22
00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:04,319
some time ago, but he's just
that's an interesting thinker to

23
00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,240
understand and hear from him.
How we try to sort of create

24
00:01:07,240 --> 00:01:10,760
value here is both entertaining
and insightful.

25
00:01:10,960 --> 00:01:14,360
And for that reason, I'm pretty
keen to to share this story on

26
00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:16,360
the back of obviously the deal
with Sandfire that's come out.

27
00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:20,600
Yeah, mate, I I totally agree.
Hopefully money mind as you get

28
00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:22,280
some value.
We invite a bit of feedback on

29
00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,240
this one.
If you've got a a contrary

30
00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:27,400
perspective to us and Cav, drop
a comment, let us know.

31
00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:30,400
Let us know why why our view
might be with the wrong view.

32
00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:32,000
I'm sure it'll come back one way
or another.

33
00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,840
Yeah mate, we've got a new
partner as well, Switch

34
00:01:34,960 --> 00:01:36,880
Technologies.
I'm very excited to share this.

35
00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:38,240
Yeah.
Tell me about switch mate.

36
00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,960
Mate Switch, an engineering
company based right in the heart

37
00:01:41,960 --> 00:01:43,680
of Perth.
They've got 5000 square meters

38
00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:46,280
in the middle of North Bridge.
There's an old Toyota facility

39
00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:50,360
there and what they do is really
cool. 25 engineers working in

40
00:01:50,360 --> 00:01:53,600
the company and they are a bunch
of problem solvers mate.

41
00:01:53,600 --> 00:01:55,760
So if you are running a process
plant, you're at a mining

42
00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:59,520
company in one form or another,
and you've got problems you want

43
00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:02,840
solved, which is the team you
need to get in in touch with.

44
00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:06,000
So they turn ideas into.
Into solutions, that's it.

45
00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:08,639
They execute the ideas and I'm
sure there's people at mining

46
00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:10,919
sites right now that have a
bunch of ideas and they just

47
00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:13,480
don't have the bandwidth to
execute on them.

48
00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:15,800
So Switch are the team you need
to get in touch with.

49
00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:18,480
They've got Mike's details in
the show notes which you can

50
00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:21,520
check out, but they've also got
a bunch of solutions that

51
00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:23,040
they've put into the market out
there right now.

52
00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,560
So they had this Wicked project
with Pilbara Minerals.

53
00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:31,560
They retrofit a CAT78550 ton
dump truck, put this wicked

54
00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:33,680
hybrid system in there.
So a bunch of.

55
00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:37,920
Really existing mechanical yeah
truck with with a hybrid hybrid

56
00:02:37,920 --> 00:02:38,960
retrofits it's.
Really.

57
00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:40,080
What happening here in Perth
mate?

58
00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:43,400
Cost savings off the back of it.
And that is that is a big part

59
00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:45,480
of the message here, mate.
These are cutting edge kind of

60
00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,920
tech where there's a commercial
business case and it saves

61
00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,720
dollar per ton because this is
their expertise, their

62
00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:53,920
capability.
JD, I thought here's here's

63
00:02:53,920 --> 00:02:56,680
here's my pitch to switch.
This is to you, Mark.

64
00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:59,240
I've got some gears myself on
how you might be able to save

65
00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,480
some dollars per ton in your
processing facilities.

66
00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,920
First one, I call this one the
stop running it till it explodes

67
00:03:05,920 --> 00:03:08,560
alert system.
So you have a little sensor box

68
00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:11,320
and it warns you when a pump or
a gearbox, it's about to become

69
00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:14,240
a crime scene instead of being
run proudly into the ground

70
00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:16,360
because it survives, survived
the last shift.

71
00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:18,520
That sounds like a problem
Switch can help you with.

72
00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:20,520
Second one, I don't know if this
ones better.

73
00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:23,600
I call it the stop over grinding
everything meal whisperer.

74
00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:26,000
So it's just just a control
overlay system that stops the

75
00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:29,320
meal from, you know, turning
decent 200 Micron feet into baby

76
00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:31,480
powder.
Not bad, not bad, I'm sure.

77
00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:34,520
I'm sure the folks out there at
the mine sites have hundreds of

78
00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:36,120
these problems.
They're probably better problems

79
00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:38,200
than economic.
They're probably very real world

80
00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:40,480
problems mate, and it's a good
thing we've got people like

81
00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:41,960
Switch solving these problems
for us.

82
00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:44,240
If you've got an idea, just
e-mail

83
00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:48,200
mike@switchtechnologies.com.
We will come up with well, that

84
00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:50,400
will come up with the solution
for your problems to save you

85
00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:51,440
money.
Go switch.

86
00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:56,320
Go switch.
All right, let's RIP in.

87
00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:57,760
We've got a hell of a story to
tell.

88
00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:00,160
How do we, I don't know how to
intro this story other than to

89
00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:06,120
say, Kev, through knowing you've
lured us into the appeal of a

90
00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:11,040
very intriguing South Australian
undeveloped copper stock called

91
00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,000
Havila HIV.
We are in stock in this.

92
00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:15,120
We are conflicted.
Anything that comes out of here,

93
00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:17,920
like just assume that that, you
know, we have every incentive

94
00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:20,720
for the for, for an outcome
higher than where the share

95
00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:22,320
price is today.
So just count everything we're

96
00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:23,360
going to say from that
perspective.

97
00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:25,200
But we bought shares on market
with our own money.

98
00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:27,360
So hopefully there's some
alignment on that front.

99
00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:31,320
I don't even know where to begin
here mate, because.

100
00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:34,960
I actually did check my notes
and I'm like, where did it begin

101
00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:37,080
for me?
Like it was kind of one of those

102
00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:40,960
stories as a S Australian and
someone who's caught up in the,

103
00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,320
I guess the man year of copper
and everyone trying to find a

104
00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:46,920
copper asset to develop.
You kind of look at everything

105
00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:51,240
that's available, right?
And it turns out the first I

106
00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:54,480
guess instance that I had with
the company was actually April

107
00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:57,400
2022.
And it was in kind of the

108
00:04:57,400 --> 00:05:00,920
madness of it was one of the
lockdowns in Melbourne where a

109
00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:02,800
lot of people couldn't actually
get out of the state.

110
00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:06,600
And I was in Adelaide at the
time with my family and UBS had

111
00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:09,840
organised a, a visit to some
Adelaide companies.

112
00:05:09,840 --> 00:05:13,720
A lot of them were at the time
you'd say subscale and semi

113
00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:15,680
economic.
But amongst it, you know, when I

114
00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:17,800
saw I was minerals and we saw an
aspirin, a few of the other

115
00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:20,680
larger plays, but in the mix was
Havilah.

116
00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:24,920
And so at the time it was like a
$60 million company.

117
00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,480
And I remember going out there
and seeing all the optionality

118
00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:29,480
of the assets and just turning
to a few of the guys going.

119
00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,160
That was really interesting.
But like, it's a $60 million

120
00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:33,960
company.
Like, what the hell is going on

121
00:05:33,960 --> 00:05:37,360
here?
And as a family member of mine

122
00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:39,480
who'd previously mentioned it to
me and I called them up and I'm

123
00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:41,760
like, what?
What were you telling me about?

124
00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:44,480
Haven't they like, oh, yeah,
it's my only PA position and I

125
00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:45,560
think you should really take a
look at it.

126
00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:48,000
I'm like, oh, look, it's
probably too small for us,

127
00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:52,560
really subscale.
And on that same day, we saw Oz

128
00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:54,920
Minerals later in the Arvo.
And Oz Minerals was talking

129
00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:57,000
about how they've done these
deep dives and all the copper

130
00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:59,440
assets literally globally, not
just in Australia.

131
00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:03,440
And I couldn't help but think to
myself, maybe there's something

132
00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:05,120
in it.
Like the conversation we'd had

133
00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:09,640
from Havilah needing a big
capital partner to help develop

134
00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:13,640
that asset to Oz Minerals
needing a ready to develop

135
00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:16,040
copper asset that literally had
done all the exploration work,

136
00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:17,240
they just needed to get into
production.

137
00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,880
I was kind of like, at the time,
it was one of those thoughts you

138
00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:21,760
never really do anything about.
It's just like, geez, there's

139
00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,880
something probably there, but
nothing's going to happen.

140
00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,200
And I can't remember when
exactly the deal got

141
00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:30,880
consummated, but it would have
been say six months later down

142
00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:33,720
the track that OZ Minerals ended
up kind of putting an offer on

143
00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:36,880
to that asset in Kakaru.
Yeah, there's an option, an

144
00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,880
option agreement that they they
entered there from memory.

145
00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,560
Yeah, 100%.
And at the time I was just like,

146
00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:46,320
wow, like one of those instances
where just fortuitously you saw

147
00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:48,800
the two companies in the same
day, both South Australian

148
00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:51,120
companies.
You thought maybe you'd be great

149
00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:53,320
synergies to see those two
together, one needing capital,

150
00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:56,280
one with capital, one wanting a
growth project, 1 needy

151
00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:59,800
desperately a growth partner.
And then they come together and

152
00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:01,240
you're like, oh, wow, we were
there.

153
00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:03,040
And I'll send a message to some
of the guys that are on the same

154
00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:05,280
site because they're going.
Isn't that neat that that kind

155
00:07:05,280 --> 00:07:08,360
of happened together and kind of
nothing came of it at the time.

156
00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,360
And just like, yeah.
And I mean, I think at the time

157
00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:13,200
it was probably around a $400
million deal.

158
00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:14,800
I know there was different
structures to it.

159
00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:16,520
The, the recent Samphi deal has
been announced.

160
00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:20,640
But lo and behold, obviously the
BHP as minerals takeover

161
00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:23,600
occurred and in the mix was kind
of like this small asset that

162
00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:27,160
probably didn't really fit
within the BHP portfolio,

163
00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,720
obviously didn't the way kind of
transpired.

164
00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:32,920
But at the time you're like,
what's going to happen with the

165
00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:35,440
with that asset?
And I started getting interested

166
00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:39,080
probably as the potential
investment thesis when I've got

167
00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:42,560
a feeling that Havilah had gone
to $0.27 at the time, which

168
00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:47,680
would have been, I'm going to
say about 100 million market cap

169
00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:49,440
maybe.
No, no, probably even less.

170
00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:54,160
When it was kind of almost, it
felt to me 5050 almost where the

171
00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:57,520
BHP was going to kind of
progress with that option that

172
00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:00,120
that OZ Minerals originally
entered into once they'd taken

173
00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:04,200
over OZ Minerals.
But yeah, and then BHP kind of

174
00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:09,280
reneged from that option.
And it kind of, I think I, I, I

175
00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,000
should pull up my chart, but
from memory, Haveler went down

176
00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:15,200
to like, I think 15 or 16 cents.
And everyone just thought

177
00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:18,920
there's, there's nothing here.
But all the information that I

178
00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,600
was hearing from everyone
involved was that Haveler was

179
00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,640
going to be, well, technically
it stood up.

180
00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:27,000
It's just that it was too small
for BHP.

181
00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:31,400
It had no technical flaws.
There was a lot of interest in

182
00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:35,000
the asset because of the grades,
because of the oxide layer that

183
00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:38,480
sat on the top, because the
location and because of some of

184
00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:41,480
the exploration hits nearby that
almost, you know, became a

185
00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:45,760
province play in have a look.
But it kind of nothing really

186
00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:50,200
was ever going to happen at that
stage because it just was became

187
00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:52,520
one of those small cap companies
that just didn't have the

188
00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:57,160
capital and didn't have the
eyeballs And no offense the

189
00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:58,840
management team, but I don't
think it was marketed

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00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:02,160
appropriately.
So we I'm having to have to go

191
00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:04,120
whatever direction you want to
take those kind of comments,

192
00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:06,120
but.
I remember, I remember you first

193
00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:08,840
like mentioning it to us like,
yeah, must must have, must have

194
00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:13,760
been subsequent to that option
lapsing that would that BHP let

195
00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:15,600
lapse.
And I remember you saying like,

196
00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:18,080
I still think it was a good
trade because you know, what was

197
00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,800
the probability that BHP
exercised that option or not,

198
00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:22,280
yada, yada.
And even if the stock failed,

199
00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:24,640
like you still remember
articulating to ask that you

200
00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:27,680
still thought that was a good, a
good, a good bet to have made.

201
00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:31,320
Then another bit of context on
this.

202
00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:36,520
I'd heard from someone that the,
the, the BHP, like, you know,

203
00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:39,640
deal with Oz Minerals is part of
the rationale why OZ Minerals

204
00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:41,640
signed the option agreement in
the 1st place.

205
00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:43,920
Would have like maybe, maybe
that option agreement was

206
00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:46,840
actually part of the defense,
you know, value negotiation

207
00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:50,440
stance from, from Oz minerals in
the 1st place.

208
00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:52,640
Maybe they didn't actually
necessarily have the view to

209
00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:54,720
exercise that option, but at
least having that on the table

210
00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,480
gave them some links to
negotiate an uplift in price

211
00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:00,880
from, from BHP, which ultimately
did come to fruition.

212
00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:05,040
But you still zoom out and you
think there were two 22 copper

213
00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:07,760
projects in Osmond's backyard
that they could have chosen

214
00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:09,920
from.
And, and the knock on both of

215
00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:12,160
them for the longest period of
time is that they haven't come

216
00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:14,240
knocking on, on either of them.
And that was that was Rex

217
00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,280
Mineral Hillside and that was
Havilus Kalkuru.

218
00:10:17,680 --> 00:10:23,160
And the one that they they did A
at least a paper deal on was was

219
00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:27,080
Havilus Kalkuru.
Yeah, I I definitely heard

220
00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:30,600
something similar.
So in amongst my interest in

221
00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:33,960
this company, I've spoken to
most of the key players I think

222
00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:36,840
that have been involved with it.
Excellence Mineral staff

223
00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:41,200
members, other people associated
with the deal, geologists who've

224
00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:43,280
who've looked at the data,
people within the South

225
00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:45,920
Australian government, all types
of different parties.

226
00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:49,200
Just to understand why this
asset still sat there as like

227
00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:52,280
this undeveloped asset that has
approximately .9% copper

228
00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:53,640
equivalent grade for another
pit.

229
00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:56,600
It almost became a semi
obsession of mine to understand

230
00:10:56,600 --> 00:10:58,680
why this asset was still left
undeveloped.

231
00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:02,520
I think it might have those
conversations might have

232
00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:05,640
progressed one night over dinner
when there was another money in

233
00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:08,880
mine guest that kind of been on
your show when I was discussing

234
00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:11,120
with him what his thoughts were
and potentially trying to

235
00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:14,920
progress a deal with them.
And, and I could, I could take

236
00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:17,560
you through a story, but I don't
necessarily want to reveal who

237
00:11:17,560 --> 00:11:19,800
that was in case they, they
don't necessarily want their

238
00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:24,920
name to be associated with it.
But certainly worked our own

239
00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:28,040
angle to try and help the
management team, I guess

240
00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:31,520
liberate value from this asset.
And there was probably, I would

241
00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:36,680
say at least three different
approaches so that for the

242
00:11:36,680 --> 00:11:42,240
management team of this company
between let's say 2020 like 2023

243
00:11:42,240 --> 00:11:47,640
and probably early to mid 2025
in different forms.

244
00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:51,120
And that's three from three from
you and and your group Kev, not

245
00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:54,800
to mention the the others that
we correct that have sort of,

246
00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,440
you know, we've been inferred
that have approached the company

247
00:11:57,440 --> 00:12:01,160
with with alternate proposals.
Yeah, correct.

248
00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:05,720
So I would say that I, I kind of
almost had a investment

249
00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:08,840
consortium and I was inspired by
someone I'd saying that put

250
00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:12,760
together a few deals of a
similar type of, I guess

251
00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:14,600
methodology to what I was
thinking.

252
00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:18,080
And that like, if we could help
them, I guess build out their

253
00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:20,560
management team a little and
also kind of help capitalize the

254
00:12:20,560 --> 00:12:22,840
balance sheet.
It might give them a bit of a, a

255
00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:27,000
stronger footing to go approach
the investment community with a

256
00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:31,160
more institutional type of
company than than what they,

257
00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:33,160
what they have.
I mean, they've, they've

258
00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:36,480
operated a pretty shoestring
budget as long as I've known

259
00:12:36,480 --> 00:12:39,040
them and gone by piece meal with
their own drill rig.

260
00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:41,960
And I kind of thought to myself,
well, if you can actually have

261
00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:46,120
the money behind this company
and actually be well capitalized

262
00:12:46,280 --> 00:12:50,360
with a pathway to getting a, a
fee completed with your own

263
00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:53,440
capital and you actually bulk
out the management team.

264
00:12:53,680 --> 00:12:55,040
You know, there was a few guys
at Oz Murals.

265
00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:57,240
I would have loved to say that
we were able to get Andrew Cole

266
00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:59,560
and convince him to come join
the, the board or the, OR the

267
00:12:59,560 --> 00:13:01,600
management team of Haveland,
which was my original, original

268
00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:03,640
thought.
It wasn't to be, but there was a

269
00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:05,960
few guys in the mix.
And I don't, I don't want to say

270
00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:08,320
who they were in in case they
didn't want to be named either.

271
00:13:08,320 --> 00:13:10,800
But we've spoken to a few guys
that we thought might have been

272
00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:14,320
appropriate to, to help with the
management team there and, and

273
00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:16,840
thought what, what we had was a
good proposal, including maybe a

274
00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:20,440
corporate that might have given
some added credibility to the

275
00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:25,200
project and to the asset.
And so, yeah, the most recent

276
00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,520
approach, and I might have
alluded to it on your Christmas

277
00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:31,200
crackers special like I, I did
mention the fact that I was, I

278
00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,800
was pretty interested in a
couple of cover plays and, and

279
00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:36,280
one of them was this potential
deal that we were, we were

280
00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:40,760
thinking about at the time.
But obviously that deal didn't

281
00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:42,200
eventuate.
And at the time I was kind of a

282
00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,920
bit confused as to why
management would rebuff such a,

283
00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:48,280
such an approach.
I mean us potentially helping

284
00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:51,480
them fund their balance sheet
and and take that project to A

285
00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:56,960
to a PFS level and also do some
further exploration drilling,

286
00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:58,840
which is kind of what the
Sapphire dealers look like.

287
00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,320
So maybe they did learn
something from from our our

288
00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:05,240
approaches is kind of what the
Sapphire dealers kind of come

289
00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:07,960
out with.
But we were going to help them

290
00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:11,720
to basically develop that to a,
to a PFS sage themselves or to a

291
00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:15,840
prefit Sage themselves.
Yeah.

292
00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:21,560
So there's a lot to it, but what
I think is transpired ultimately

293
00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,120
is that there's been a lot of
people that have have looked at

294
00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,720
the asset and most of the
feedback I've had is that

295
00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:29,960
there's been no technical flaws
with the asset, which is the

296
00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,720
same feedback that we've had
from our independent technical

297
00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:34,880
experts that have looked at it
they've.

298
00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:38,240
Had an open data room for for a
very long time here, right?

299
00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,280
Yeah, correct.
They have had an open data room

300
00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:44,480
and there's been quite a number
of parties I believe that have

301
00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:48,480
gone through that data room.
Our fund had personally been

302
00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:52,560
approached by two or three of
those parties asking for

303
00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:57,360
opinions, advice, asking for
someone that might actually be

304
00:14:57,360 --> 00:14:59,560
able to push management in a
certain direction.

305
00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:03,760
So I was certainly around
diggers expecting that maybe

306
00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:06,160
something might occur of, of
this type of standing.

307
00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:09,720
That's not to say we're 100%
happy with the price or the way

308
00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:12,680
the share price has reacted
since, but there's certainly

309
00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:16,280
been a number of parties that
have expressed interest and done

310
00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:18,760
the detail as far as I'm aware
on, on the asset.

311
00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:23,280
And I mean, my, my, my business
colleague and I, Rob, we, we

312
00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:26,200
were in Perth 12 months ago, I'd
say now.

313
00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:29,000
And I remember having the
meetings with most of the

314
00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:32,400
companies in Perth.
You know, your, your standard

315
00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:35,320
companies and you know, your S
30 twos, your sand fires, your

316
00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:39,800
even some of the gold names.
And the consistent feedback we

317
00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:42,840
kept getting was that everyone
would have loved a developable,

318
00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:45,560
developable copper asset in
Australia, right?

319
00:15:45,640 --> 00:15:48,480
And it just was consistent over
and over again.

320
00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:52,440
Oh, we just love a 50,000 tonne
per annum asset in Australia for

321
00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:54,040
copper.
And obviously, you know, Mac was

322
00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:57,960
there, but you know, that was
already developed and you, you

323
00:15:57,960 --> 00:15:59,880
had to pay a pretty full price
tag is what we're seeing in

324
00:15:59,880 --> 00:16:02,680
Harmony to acquire that asset.
But everyone just consistently

325
00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:04,640
said we'd love a developable
copper asset in Australia.

326
00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:07,360
And I just kept thinking to
myself, well, has anyone

327
00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:11,040
actually looked at this asset?
I mean, I know that there's been

328
00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:13,000
some assets up in Queensland
that have transacted and

329
00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:17,160
obviously the Rex Minerals deal.
But my understanding of Rex is

330
00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:20,320
it's, you know, probably more
pristine pastoral land than than

331
00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:23,720
what they have in Broken Hill.
The Gray is probably a little

332
00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:26,920
bit lower and it's probably a
bit bit more complexity in the

333
00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:31,000
build it at Rex's project and
there is a Kakaruso it was it

334
00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:31,560
was that.
Coming.

335
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,760
Yeah, it was that Rex deal that
got JD and I very interested in

336
00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:38,120
Havelock because the moment you
saw this, you know, yeah, $400

337
00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:41,160
million deal for Rex, it was
like, well, if Oz thought that

338
00:16:41,400 --> 00:16:44,040
Havelock was the better asset
then and and this company's got

339
00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:46,800
a market cap, I think at the
time was like 6065 million bucks

340
00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:49,400
or something like that.
We touched on the the winner one

341
00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:51,040
as well, which you.
Know has got.

342
00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:53,280
Strengths to it, but.
You stole my winner Thunder,

343
00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:54,960
right?
I think I was half the winner.

344
00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:56,760
Deal got announced.
I think I sent you a message

345
00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:01,560
similar to the line of if we
know he's worth XXX, then Kakaru

346
00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,760
is worth dot dot Don.
I think he used that and put out

347
00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:06,720
a tweet at the time.
But at the time you were trying

348
00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:10,079
to kind of, I guess yeah, he he
discrete the fact that like

349
00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,880
paddler and Kakaru were the
companies and the and the copper

350
00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:14,280
name that I was talking about in
my Christmas crack.

351
00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:17,920
But anyway, yes, what will be
will be, but unless we see that

352
00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:20,599
today, I mean, we could we could
delve into the deal because I'm

353
00:17:20,599 --> 00:17:23,359
I'm still sitting here going.
Before the deal, let's talk

354
00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:26,319
about the the share registry of
have a lot like why has there

355
00:17:26,319 --> 00:17:29,920
been an impediment to to, I
don't know, do a deal like

356
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:31,600
what's the the shareholder
dynamic and the influence on the

357
00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:32,840
company.
And it's not necessarily like a

358
00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:34,960
bad one.
There's just a hold out on on

359
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:38,040
value, yeah.
Someone actually asked me about

360
00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:40,520
this today and they're like, oh,
what can you tell me about the

361
00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:44,480
the havless share registry?
And I'm, I'm like, well, he's

362
00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:46,680
pretty devoid of institutions.
I think there might be one or

363
00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:49,320
two.
Some of them aren't necessarily

364
00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:52,520
institutions in your black and
white scheme of institutions.

365
00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:55,960
There's an interesting character
called Bob Johnson.

366
00:17:57,040 --> 00:18:00,640
And I, I don't think we've got
enough time to go through the

367
00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:04,280
whole history of Bob, but Bob
was the founder of, of Haveler,

368
00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:07,040
also the founder of Chemical Map
Tech, the company.

369
00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:08,800
The company.
Yeah.

370
00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:11,560
And Bob has a lot of influence
within the company to the point

371
00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:15,200
where I had presented to the
board previously some of my

372
00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:19,160
thoughts on on Habler and Bob
was in the room at the time,

373
00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:23,960
which I thought was interesting
because I think he he's

374
00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,800
basically as a material
shareholder and an ex founder of

375
00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:30,160
the company, he still has a fair
bit of sway with the with the

376
00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:31,520
current board and the management
team.

377
00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:36,040
So sometimes to the point where
it's extremely influential.

378
00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:39,960
So and he's his position on the
share register has been

379
00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:42,400
questioned at times in terms of
how much stock he actually

380
00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:46,400
controls.
So I think that's an interesting

381
00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:49,800
aspect to the whole register.
And I think sometimes the

382
00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:53,240
companies end up doing some
things that aren't necessarily

383
00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:55,640
interested of all shareholders
might be the best interest of

384
00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:57,920
Bob.
But when you're a founder of a

385
00:18:57,920 --> 00:18:59,680
business, sometimes that's what
happens.

386
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,640
We've seen plenty of examples of
founder LED businesses doing

387
00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:05,680
some things this, this year in
particular that might not

388
00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,240
necessarily be for all
shareholders, but I think he's

389
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:11,440
gotten really interesting past
Bob.

390
00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:15,560
And I think I, I believe when I
presented to him and the board

391
00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:19,000
that we shared some similar
philosophies and into what

392
00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:23,000
Haveler and Kakaru could be for
particularly SA and, and the

393
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:26,320
industry at large.
I generally see kind of Kakaru

394
00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:28,480
and the province that they're in
has kind of almost been a

395
00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:32,120
foundational asset for copper in
SA beyond obviously there's

396
00:19:32,120 --> 00:19:36,840
Olympic dam, prominent hill and
Carapatina, but I, I think SA

397
00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:39,800
could be a lot more than that.
And, and this province, the

398
00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:43,640
Carapatina province that sorry,
the Kunamara province that

399
00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:48,120
they've got has the potential
for a couple of Kaparu look

400
00:19:48,120 --> 00:19:49,480
alikes.
I mean, we've seen some really

401
00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:52,000
interesting hits that have been
there that just haven't been

402
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:53,600
followed up because they've had
the capital to drill.

403
00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:56,840
And I'm really excited as to
what could actually transpire

404
00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:58,920
from some of the some of the
drill holes that might be

405
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,920
drilled with the expiration
money that Sanfi is throwing it

406
00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:05,160
at the province.
So, yeah, like, I mean, there's

407
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:09,280
so much, so much to it, but I
think that, yeah, Bob.

408
00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:13,400
Bob Johnson is very super.
Interesting to, to, to the the

409
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:17,520
credit of management, it's not
like they were like spending a

410
00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:19,960
crazy amount of money and, and
diluting, diluting existing

411
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:22,000
shareholders a massive amount
along that way.

412
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:24,960
They've just been there's been a
holdout for a deal that has been

413
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:28,440
somewhat comparable to the one
that was was tabled by by Oz

414
00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:31,440
Minerals.
And and now as of a couple weeks

415
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:35,480
ago, we've finally gotten a deal
that is comparable to the the

416
00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:38,960
one that was tabled by Oz
Minerals in 2022, which you want

417
00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:42,400
to run us through what what that
deal was Kev with sapphire?

418
00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:44,640
Yeah.
I think, I think as to your

419
00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:48,080
point, some of the challenges
have been that like that deal

420
00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:52,000
being a couple of years old now,
that was at a copper price I'm

421
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,840
guessing now about 3 bucks, 50 a
pound and obviously we're about

422
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:57,400
5 bucks today.
And I'd say gold prices are

423
00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:01,560
probably 1500 US and and we're
you know 4th around 4000 today.

424
00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:05,480
So you've had a pretty strong
commodity price environment

425
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:08,720
since the OZ Minerals deal when
the deal implied was $400

426
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:10,920
million.
So I can understand management's

427
00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:14,080
I guess anchoring to thinking
that maybe they should be

428
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:16,560
holding out for a $600 million
type of price tag.

429
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:19,920
But this probably comes to your
original point, Trev, when you

430
00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:23,200
mentioned that some people had
suggested that HAVA was almost

431
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:27,280
used as a bargaining chip to BHP
where some people might have

432
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,400
suspected that maybe the price
tag that which OZ Minerals have

433
00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:33,080
struck that that deal might have
been probably 100 or $200

434
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:35,680
million higher than.
So what might have otherwise

435
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,360
been the case if BHP wasn't
lurking there as a, as a

436
00:21:38,360 --> 00:21:40,520
takeover bidder that they were
trying to I guess push in One

437
00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:42,840
Direction.
So that probably created some

438
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:45,120
issues for management and the
expectations from I guess

439
00:21:45,120 --> 00:21:49,560
shareholders and even themselves
going well, geez, $400 million

440
00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:53,280
price tag with copper price and
gold price now higher, you know,

441
00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:57,440
how can we how can we transact
on anything in you know, and

442
00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:00,640
some of the price tags that I
suspect have been floating

443
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:02,480
around have been two $300
million, right.

444
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:07,160
So this this deal that they've
now got with, with Sandfire $105

445
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:11,440
million upfront script and cash.
So that 105 does swing around a

446
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:15,160
bit with a Sandfire share price
that literally gets them an

447
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:19,800
option to potentially acquire
another or 80% of the asset for

448
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:24,240
another $105 million.
So that in itself is I think

449
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,440
extremely interesting for have
the shareholders.

450
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:30,800
I think the price tag itself,
even though the headline looks

451
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,880
like it's $210 million for 80%,
you've got to remember they're

452
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:38,760
also funding Atfs which could be
anywhere $50 million, I think

453
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:41,240
could be a little bit higher
than that even they're they're

454
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:44,360
putting $30 million into
expiration into into ground that

455
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,000
otherwise wouldn't have seen
that that type of capital spent.

456
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:50,080
And then at the end of all of
that, people have said to me

457
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:52,280
that the biggest risk is that
Sam file might do all that work,

458
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:56,440
work and then walk away.
I mean, if they did spend that

459
00:22:56,440 --> 00:23:02,000
money, let's call it 100 and
what, $185,000,000 including the

460
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:06,680
PFS costs and the expiration
costs and then walked away, I

461
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:09,240
mean, is that a risk to tablet?
Because then they would end up

462
00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:12,760
with 100% of this asset, right,
That has had a fair bit of

463
00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:15,040
interest beyond just sand, fire
and oz minerals.

464
00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:17,360
That upfront is non is non
refundable.

465
00:23:17,360 --> 00:23:19,680
They get to keep.
Worth, yeah, 100% is binding,

466
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:23,360
yeah, and it's non refundable as
long as at the EGM the

467
00:23:23,360 --> 00:23:25,200
shareholders vote for it to
occur, right.

468
00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:27,520
So yeah, that is itself
extremely interesting.

469
00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:31,760
If then Sand Fire wants to
progress with the 80%, they then

470
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:34,440
need to spend another $105
million in cash and script,

471
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:36,280
which is in itself extremely
interesting.

472
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:42,200
So that then sets the price tag
85 plus 105, he goes, what

473
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,480
what's that 200 and a bit, let's
call it $300 million for round

474
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:48,400
numbers and that's for 80% of
the asset, right.

475
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:51,920
So then Havla are then free
carried on the remaining 20%,

476
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:55,680
almost like the Onslow situation
for the joint venture partners

477
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:59,120
to min res.
Now you'll need to pay back the

478
00:23:59,120 --> 00:24:01,120
capital.
So let's let's say that this is

479
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:06,280
AI don't know $1.2 billion
project 20% of that, you're then

480
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,920
going to be talking $250 million
that needs to be repaid from the

481
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:12,440
cash flow of the asset might
take two years to to repay it if

482
00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:14,240
I'm I'm being optimistic and
generous, but.

483
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:15,960
Importantly, Havlet don't have
to fund that.

484
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:18,080
They don't have to.
Havlet don't have to fund right.

485
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:20,880
So you're talking about a
company that's, you know,

486
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:22,360
literally gotten by on a
shoestring.

487
00:24:22,360 --> 00:24:24,760
And you rightly pointed out that
I think management have done a

488
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:26,280
really good job in controlling
costs.

489
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:28,240
Like people can call this a
lifestyle company, but it's not

490
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:30,040
a lifestyle company that's going
been going out there and

491
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,160
spending a lot of money.
I think Chris has done really

492
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:33,880
well for the the budget that
they've had.

493
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,360
I just, I just think maybe at
times they could have been a bit

494
00:24:36,360 --> 00:24:39,920
more market facing and kind of
driven a lower cost of capital

495
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:41,640
for themselves and had the
ability with more capital.

496
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:44,880
But what will be, will be that's
in the past, but they've done

497
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:46,560
really well with the, with the
budgets they've got.

498
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:50,120
They're now in a position where
they're going to be fully funded

499
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:52,960
for that asset, don't have to
put any dollars in themselves,

500
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:56,000
gets to a point where they're
going to have 20% of it.

501
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:57,880
That's free carry, don't have to
put in any capital.

502
00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:00,840
And you're getting a 20% stake
in what is originally going to

503
00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:04,280
be probably a 40 to 50,000 tonne
per annum project, maybe could

504
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,120
get upscale to an 80,000 tonne
per annum project with a 20

505
00:25:07,120 --> 00:25:08,680
million tonne per annum mil.
I don't know.

506
00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:13,120
But at the same time, in a small
cap copper space, you know, as

507
00:25:13,120 --> 00:25:15,240
well as I do, there aren't a
huge amount of ways to play it

508
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:18,120
like we're playing develop
because you know, we, we love

509
00:25:18,120 --> 00:25:20,720
everything that Bill's doing.
Maybe not so much the Woodlawn

510
00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:22,360
ramp up today, but I think it's
going to come good.

511
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:25,480
But there's not, there's not
many ways to play copper, right.

512
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:29,080
And this is kind of almost to
look through it a stand fire

513
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:32,880
type of asset, a non operated
position in an asset that's

514
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:34,440
operated by Sand Fire in
Australia.

515
00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:41,720
So yeah, I still think at these
prices, if the look through

516
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:46,240
before you even think about the
20% is $300 million for that 80%

517
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,840
stake.
And then that 20% stake you'd

518
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,680
assume would get transacted
close to MPV.

519
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:54,880
You know if you've got Japanese
or Korean money looking to buy

520
00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:58,480
into that project when it gets
to an FID decision, I'd assume

521
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:01,720
it a transactor close to NPV.
Now our MPV are the project

522
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:05,000
using gold prices close to where
they are now and and long term

523
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:08,320
commodity prices in line with
consensus like a copper price of

524
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:12,320
4:50 to 5:00, we get $1.5
billion Australian and 10%

525
00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:14,680
whack.
So that 200, so that 20% sorry

526
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:18,240
could be worth as much as $300
million in its own right, which

527
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:20,720
gets you to about a $600 million
type of valuation.

528
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,360
Now, this is a small cap company
that has always struggled for

529
00:26:23,360 --> 00:26:26,680
capital and, you know, has got
a, an interesting register, as

530
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:29,000
you said in the management team
that I guess a lot of people in

531
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:30,400
the market don't necessarily
bat.

532
00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:33,120
So you've got to trade a
discount to that $600 million.

533
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:36,000
But I was still seated today and
I think I said it to you guys

534
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:39,000
the day of the deal.
I thought the day after the,

535
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:41,120
the, or the day the deal had
been announced, particularly

536
00:26:41,120 --> 00:26:44,400
when it opened up at I think
3334 cents was cheaper than it

537
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,960
was the day before.
Even I was up 30%.

538
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:49,440
I think it's a funny thing to
say, but on a risk reward basis

539
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:51,880
when the asset is potentially
now going to be operated by sand

540
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:56,320
fire with a clout that they have
and and their ability to develop

541
00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,280
projects as as we've seen with
Mathiary, I I just think it's a

542
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:01,200
completely different company to
what it was before.

543
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:04,080
So Kev, with, with all the work
you did over over the years

544
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:07,560
looking at it, the the proposals
you put together, what did you

545
00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:10,040
actually think of the deal that
that Sandfire and and the

546
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:14,400
company agreed to?
I've had a couple of people ask

547
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:20,760
me this and I, yeah, I, I don't
want to go too detailed as to

548
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:23,520
why I got asked this by someone
in particular, but I actually

549
00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:25,720
said to this person, I, I
thought it was a really good

550
00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:28,360
deal.
I thought it was a really good

551
00:27:28,360 --> 00:27:33,000
deal in the fact that Sand Fire
have entered into a binding

552
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:35,040
situation.
Whereas the Oz Minerals deal,

553
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:36,800
there was an option over the
asset for one or two years.

554
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:38,280
He kind of was sitting half
pregnant.

555
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:43,040
Whereas this, once the EGM gets
voted on, assuming it hasn't

556
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:45,600
been an interlope bar, then it's
binding, right?

557
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:49,320
So Sand Fire are obligated to
give Havilah that that that

558
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:51,560
capital upfront.
Yeah, you can still say there's

559
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:53,800
a question mark where they're
going to take the other 80%, but

560
00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:56,440
that puts Haveler in a very
strong position at that point.

561
00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,920
I would say that the the the
fact that they've still been

562
00:27:59,920 --> 00:28:02,560
able to retain some of the
southern tenements 100% owned

563
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:05,440
like that was one of the
sticking points with anyone

564
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,640
trying to approach the company
for a full company takeover.

565
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:11,360
Is that the management team and
and Bob genuinely believe in the

566
00:28:11,360 --> 00:28:14,200
southern tenements.
There is going to be a cavalry

567
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,680
look alike.
Now I haven't seen all the data.

568
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:20,000
I, I, I can't confirm or deny
whether that's going to be the

569
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:24,240
case, but like Bergscape for
them stands as a really

570
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:26,840
interesting prospect.
And, you know, they almost have

571
00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:28,480
dreams that it could be bigger
than Kakaru.

572
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,560
I think the fact that they're
still able to retain a stake in

573
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:33,480
Muturu, which I haven't even
mentioned when I was talking

574
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,920
about the $600 million in value
they've potentially got at

575
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:38,880
Kakaru.
Muturu for me, you know, 20

576
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:42,560
million tons plus, you know, one
plus percent copper or some

577
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,320
cobalt and a little bit of gold
I think stands as a really

578
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,480
interesting asset as well.
And JX Advanced Metals from

579
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,560
Japan have been negotiating with
them on that asset.

580
00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:53,320
I think the exclusivity period
has expired on that, but I still

581
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:56,400
think there's optionality for a
deal to occur there and maybe

582
00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:58,360
that could be $100 million of
value in its own right.

583
00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:02,280
We certainly see value 100 plus
particularly thing come up with

584
00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:06,160
a an infrastructure solution.
So I actually think the deal

585
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:10,560
picks a lot of boxes in my mind.
I would have loved to see a

586
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,680
higher price, but at the same
time, you know, compared to the

587
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:17,280
Oz Minerals deal, you know, we
can, we can argue how I've just

588
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,920
cut it that maybe there is $600
million worth of value here,

589
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:24,760
which you know, means that Bob
and Chris did the right thing

590
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,960
in, in not kind of selling out
the company for a cheaper price

591
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:30,480
or selling the asset at a
cheaper price than what they

592
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:32,560
have.
Because you know, if they if San

593
00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:34,600
Fi can get this project to an
FID decision.

594
00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:37,280
And then if they did want to
sell that 20% stake, which is

595
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:40,880
free carried and maybe you can
get 200 million plus for it,

596
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:44,640
then yeah, maybe we can see five
$600 million worth of value,

597
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:46,640
which with where the share price
is trading.

598
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,280
Like I get it's a small cap.
I get that there's been a

599
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:52,800
discount for this team and and
everything associated with it,

600
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:56,600
but I don't know what the
appropriate discount is.

601
00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:59,080
I just think it's way too much
at the moment, right.

602
00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:02,320
Like, yeah, I mean.
I think of the data trading the

603
00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:04,920
day the trade was announced, it
was $0.34 and the upfront

604
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:08,840
consideration alone was it's
$0.30 per share on the on you

605
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:11,120
know, it's just it was a it's a
table banger.

606
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:16,160
And now it's like like trading
like 4340 ish 4344 cents per

607
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:19,480
share.
And yeah, the C, the C through

608
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,800
even after tax you can you can
be constructive on and.

609
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:24,800
But yeah, yeah, $150 million,
right.

610
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:28,680
So, you know, you're literally
paying for the upfront capital

611
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:31,880
and maybe mood row not even like
you're paying for the upfront

612
00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:33,560
capital, you're paying for the
expiration that you're going to

613
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,640
spend and you're paying some of
it TFs costs.

614
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:41,400
So yeah, like you've literally
got a free option at their 20%

615
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,120
free carried holding.
You've got a free option that

616
00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:47,400
sand fire comes on, gives them
another $105 million, which was

617
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:51,440
what's that is $0.22 I think.
Yeah.

618
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:56,480
So like I, I still see kind of a
dollar as being reasonable line

619
00:30:56,480 --> 00:31:00,920
in the sand, right?
And that's 350 million bucks at

620
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:04,000
this stage of where they're at.
But maybe the market's waiting

621
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,720
for the EGM vote to go through.
Because I know if you look back

622
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:09,400
at the the history of this
company, there has been some

623
00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:12,280
some funny situations with
assets in the past where deals

624
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:15,600
have been voted back.
But yeah, I mean, it's extremely

625
00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:17,000
interesting where it's sitting
today There's.

626
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:21,800
An EGM vote end of Jan and and
if there's, if there, if there

627
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:25,200
were any other like interest in
the asset, you've effectively

628
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:31,360
got a you've got to move before
that EGM. 300% So like when I

629
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,080
said I like the deal, I think
another aspect I like about the

630
00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:37,120
deal is there's been question
marks whether the process that

631
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:39,440
they've run has been as thorough
as it could be and whether it's

632
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:40,680
create enough competitive
tension.

633
00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:44,160
I don't know the insurance and
outs of that whole process

634
00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:46,240
because it's you know, subject
to confidentiality agreements.

635
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:49,320
But now we've got a very live
option, right.

636
00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,920
So if you are really interested
in this asset and you want to

637
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:54,720
acquire it, you've got until the
end of January.

638
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:59,280
And what will be will be, right
as as a shareholder, like if no

639
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,200
one else bids for the asset and
it comes the end of January,

640
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:04,080
I'll say then Sanfi won the
auction and fair play to them.

641
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:06,480
It's still a really good price
and the share price certainly

642
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:07,720
doesn't reflect what that price
is.

643
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:10,400
But if someone else is
interested, then we're gonna

644
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,360
find that out hopefully before
the end of January.

645
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:15,720
And yeah, and and and we'll see
what what will be.

646
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:18,520
One, one of the other
interesting details here is that

647
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:20,400
the stock just doesn't trade
that much.

648
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:23,440
The, the liquidity is pretty low
and obviously you've got the

649
00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:27,160
massive shareholders and, and a
few others speaking for a good

650
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:30,440
few percent here and there,
which all culminates in a good

651
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:32,320
few.
But as always is the case on the

652
00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:33,920
day of the deal, you see
heightened volume.

653
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:36,440
But even on that day it wasn't
massive.

654
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:39,520
It's, it's a few percent of the
company and that's completely

655
00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:42,840
died down.
So to that end, if, if somebody

656
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,560
were to come in and, and try and
buy a stake there, they're not

657
00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:47,440
going to have an awful lot of
luck without pushing the share

658
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:50,920
price up, in my mind at least.
Do you see that the same way?

659
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:55,440
Yeah, I think that's right.
And I think, yeah, what can I

660
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:57,440
say?
I would suspect that maybe

661
00:32:57,440 --> 00:33:00,840
parties might have tried to
consider acquiring the whole

662
00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:04,080
company and, and maybe that
might have been a bit too hard.

663
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:06,720
Hence they've had to negotiate
in this type of fashion.

664
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:09,400
Like if, if I was San file, I
would have thought it'd just be

665
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:11,440
easier to, to try and acquire
the whole business, right?

666
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,320
And I, I don't know if they
approached him with that

667
00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:17,320
proposal.
I, I know other parties in the

668
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:22,120
past have done so and it's been
harder because of like some of

669
00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:26,960
the desires of and Chris and,
and you know, they pretty much

670
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,440
don't want to see this asset go
at almost any price, but

671
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:31,360
eventually they've got to
realise the limits of their

672
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:33,680
capital and, and, and other
shareholders desires.

673
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:38,680
So, yeah, I think that the
right, if the right approach was

674
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,120
made, I think they'd have to
entertain the consideration of

675
00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:42,680
the whole company being
acquired.

676
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:46,560
But I mean, if we can see $600
million worth of value in that

677
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,840
deal, like you're going to have
to see a price a fair bit higher

678
00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:52,080
than where it is today to at
least entertain an offer.

679
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:57,040
Can we talk about Knox?
Knock Knox to the thesis, Kev,

680
00:33:58,520 --> 00:34:01,320
One that comes up a bit is, is
is met?

681
00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:03,320
What do you say to that
critique?

682
00:34:04,520 --> 00:34:07,120
I'm just going to say I'm, I'm
not technical, I'm, I'm not a, a

683
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:10,480
Geo, I'm not a, I'm not a
engineer or any, any stretch of

684
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:13,800
the imagination that the people
that I have spoken to and, and I

685
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:18,400
have kind of, I wouldn't say
what's the, what's the correct

686
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:20,639
word.
I've certainly asked a lot of

687
00:34:20,639 --> 00:34:24,000
people who've looked at this in
detail, their opinions and

688
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:26,719
people that I trust, family
members that have the expertise

689
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:29,520
and the technical know know how.
And I'd say that a lot of the,

690
00:34:29,639 --> 00:34:31,639
the commentary that I received
back is that a lot of the, lot

691
00:34:31,639 --> 00:34:34,600
of the mistakes that get made is
that people just think you can

692
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:38,159
just blend the oxides and the
sulfides at the same time, the

693
00:34:38,159 --> 00:34:40,440
carbonates and the sulfides.
And it just, that's probably

694
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:41,719
where you're going to get
tripped up.

695
00:34:41,880 --> 00:34:45,040
Like you, you probably need 2
separate processing circuits for

696
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:46,480
the oxides and, and for the
sulfides.

697
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:50,840
And if you are to process them
separately, it's my

698
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,400
understanding and, and all the,
the work that has been done on

699
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,600
recoveries and even probably the
work that BHP did that supports,

700
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:58,880
you know, some reasonable
recoveries.

701
00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:01,240
You're not talking high 90s, but
you're talking 90% types of

702
00:35:01,240 --> 00:35:05,600
recoveries comes from processing
those in, in, in separate kind

703
00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:09,480
of circuits.
But yeah, I mean, a number of

704
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:14,360
people have mentioned it, but
it's not a like the reason why

705
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:16,880
the asset is where it is.
It's is, it's not as simple as

706
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:19,480
as it could be.
You know, if it was an amazing

707
00:35:19,480 --> 00:35:21,520
piece of geology and it was an A
grade asset, it would have

708
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:23,760
already been like bought by
someone.

709
00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:28,760
I would say that we've heard
plenty of other, I guess assets

710
00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:33,400
that, you know, during certain
markets that most people

711
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:35,280
question them, right.
Like I think we've thrown out

712
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,520
different examples where people
questioned Doug Ranger, people

713
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:40,840
questioned, you know,
Capricorn's color window asset,

714
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:42,560
right?
Like a slow grade, it's, you

715
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:44,840
know, tough ore body, whatever.
But like in the right

716
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,680
environment and the right
operators, you find solutions to

717
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:50,240
these types of things, right?
There's plenty of examples

718
00:35:50,240 --> 00:35:54,080
where, you know, in the right
priced environment that these

719
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:58,080
assets work.
You know, at gold prices of 1000

720
00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:01,360
bucks an ounce and copper price
of 3 bucks 50 today, maybe

721
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:03,400
Kakaru would be a bit more of a
challenging asset.

722
00:36:03,400 --> 00:36:06,760
But like with that oxide layer
that they've got on top, there's

723
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:08,760
500,000 oz there that's in the
pre strip.

724
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:11,320
But if you can get the right
processing circuit, that can

725
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:14,720
create a pretty attractive
income stream to help you do the

726
00:36:14,720 --> 00:36:16,320
pre strip.
That can help you get into the

727
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:20,320
sulfides that you know.
Then hopefully you can process

728
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:26,320
at the right economics.
The the do you get get any

729
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,720
comfort out of the fact that
like, you know, sand fire under

730
00:36:28,720 --> 00:36:31,120
under Brendan Harris has
obviously been looking at a

731
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:32,280
bunch of different growth
options.

732
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:35,800
This is the first first deal
that they've, you know, publicly

733
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:40,920
come out with since since
Brendan's been MMD there, you

734
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:44,080
wouldn't think that they they
pay themselves upfront non

735
00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:47,120
refundable component of of of
one O 5 without having some

736
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:50,240
degree of comfort on on the met
themselves, even if they

737
00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:53,440
they're, you know, proven to be
wrong over time, like they

738
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:56,040
themselves must have a view that
they're constructive on on the

739
00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:58,680
met to pay a non refundable one
O 5, right?

740
00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:02,360
Yeah, I mean, I get that
everyone wants to have an

741
00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:06,080
opinion, but sometimes I'm I'm
almost surprised that like guys

742
00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:09,360
on X who'll come out and and
knock the project fail to

743
00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:14,120
recognize the fact that Oz
Minerals, BHP, Sandfire and

744
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:17,680
probably at least three or four
other parties that maybe can't

745
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,920
name at the moment have gone and
done the network and said, you

746
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:24,120
know, give them the thumbs up.
And yet, you know, they've

747
00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:26,920
looked at old feasibility
studies and some of the data

748
00:37:26,920 --> 00:37:29,800
that they've seen and, you know,
from from old announcements and

749
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:32,360
going, oh, the Met doesn't work.
And it's like, well, to your

750
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,160
point, yeah, Sandfire invented a
non binding agreement, right?

751
00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:38,680
And people say, Oh yeah, it's
$105 million, it's an option.

752
00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:40,480
They'll go, yeah.
But this is what they're putting

753
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:43,200
their name to, as you said, like
they've, they've looked at, I

754
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:45,360
don't know how many projects
they've looked at, but quite a

755
00:37:45,360 --> 00:37:47,800
number of projects.
And Oz Minerals, I, I sat down

756
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,400
and they've literally looked at
every single copper asset that

757
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,760
was available.
And, and whether or not it was

758
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:55,400
just a bargaining chip for BHP,
you're not going to enter that

759
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:58,040
type of agreement if you didn't
believe in it and you hadn't

760
00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:01,800
done the work.
So, yeah, yeah, I agree.

761
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:04,200
Like there's, there's, there's
enough credibility and behind

762
00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:07,480
the names that have put their
name to it to go, well, you

763
00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:09,840
know, there's enough detail to
show that it does work.

764
00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:14,200
So, so you've, you know, you've
made the, the opportunity pretty

765
00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:15,840
clear to us.
We've spoken about it a bunch,

766
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:17,520
Cav It's it's super kind of
interesting.

767
00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:20,560
I'm, I'm really curious to hear
about how you think about

768
00:38:20,720 --> 00:38:24,360
sizing, positioning in, in the
name right now, because we've

769
00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:27,320
spoken about it for so long.
But the story has really changed

770
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:30,240
the the past couple weeks.
And you've always been very

771
00:38:30,240 --> 00:38:32,920
disciplined about how you think
about sizing and, and the like.

772
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:36,080
But obviously we touched on the
fact that we, we personally

773
00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:37,840
bought more after the the deal
came out.

774
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:40,960
How do you think about that?
Yeah.

775
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:44,960
I mean, like we kind of think
twos, fours, sixes in our in our

776
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:48,680
fund and and this is this sits
within our smaller opportunities

777
00:38:48,680 --> 00:38:51,640
fund rather than a big fund that
at times when we were talking

778
00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:53,640
about potentially helping them
with a capital solution, we were

779
00:38:53,640 --> 00:38:57,480
entertaining the idea of, of, of
maybe entering into our our

780
00:38:57,480 --> 00:39:00,400
larger fund.
But within our smaller

781
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:03,640
opportunities funds.
It was originally a kind of a 3%

782
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:05,400
position.
Like when we got comfort that

783
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:09,280
maybe they were going to come
along and and potentially accept

784
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:12,320
our proposal to kind of fund the
the company.

785
00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:15,120
Then with with the capital
raise, then we're thinking of

786
00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:16,560
potentially taking it higher
because I could see the

787
00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:19,200
potential on the day of the
announcement, even though I was

788
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:21,840
only a 3% position.
I just, we just thought it was

789
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:24,320
just too attractive an
opportunity with the risk reward

790
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:28,000
having improved from the deal
and potentially like at least a

791
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:31,000
dollar worth of value sitting
there at you know, 30-3 cents

792
00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:35,080
that we just had to upsize it.
Now whether it stays in the

793
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:37,400
upsize state.
So it's got, it's gone above a

794
00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,120
4% position now, which is one of
the larger positions in that

795
00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:43,720
opportunities fund.
But yeah, it's not, we haven't

796
00:39:43,720 --> 00:39:46,080
bet the absolute farm on it.
We're not taking a 10 to 20%

797
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,200
position because that's just not
how we we position size at

798
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:51,160
Chester, but it is one of the
larger positions just because we

799
00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:53,240
say the risk, risk reward is
extremely attractive.

800
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:55,760
Yeah, I like it.
Kev.

801
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:58,320
Is there is there anything in
the, in the narrative, in, in

802
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:01,400
the story or in the thesis that
we that we kind of haven't

803
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:05,800
touched upon?
I'd love for you to guys do a

804
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:08,680
deep dive on Bob Johnson and and
some of the interesting kind of

805
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:11,200
history that he's had with map
tech because it is a pretty

806
00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:13,240
interesting story.
I think the whole map kept story

807
00:40:13,240 --> 00:40:16,480
and then I think there was some
interesting kind of court cases

808
00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:20,760
that might have evolved revolved
around Bob and I'm not quite

809
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:22,880
sure where they all got to, but
there was there was certainly

810
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:25,120
some late night reading that I
did that was pretty interesting

811
00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:28,040
on the matter.
I'm not sure how much that has

812
00:40:28,240 --> 00:40:33,000
impacted havless decision making
positively or negatively, but

813
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,800
there's certainly some
interesting features around him

814
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:39,160
and what else, what else around
the story?

815
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:44,160
I mean, I, I just think that
maybe we might see some other

816
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:46,880
interlopers, maybe.
I mean, that data room has been

817
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:49,800
open in a long time.
And, and you know, we were

818
00:40:49,800 --> 00:40:51,600
personally approached by a few
parties that were, were

819
00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:53,920
interested in that asset.
And the conversations we'd had

820
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:56,280
with other parties in Perth
suggest that maybe there are

821
00:40:56,280 --> 00:40:58,040
others that are extremely
interested.

822
00:40:58,040 --> 00:41:01,400
And I don't, you know how
things, these things work.

823
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:03,520
When one person's interested,
all of a sudden you've got other

824
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:05,400
people interested.
You know, like I remember when I

825
00:41:05,400 --> 00:41:08,120
was a single guy, as soon as you
had one girl that was interested

826
00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:10,160
in you, all of a sudden you get
a few more other offers.

827
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:14,120
So yeah, mate, maybe there's
going to be a couple of parties

828
00:41:14,120 --> 00:41:16,600
that come out, but I mean, you
know, we've got two months and

829
00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:18,720
it'll be interesting over
Christmas to see what unfolds.

830
00:41:18,720 --> 00:41:21,440
You know, if not, if nothing
else unfolds, then I'm pretty

831
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:24,480
happy with the way that Sanfi
deal looks on on paper, right.

832
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:27,320
And and hopefully we'd see that
de risk over time as as people

833
00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:30,760
see them kind of I guess enter
into that, that binding and you

834
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:33,680
get hopefully get a Sanfi share
distributed to you as a, as a

835
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:36,960
HABLA shareholder or, or, or
whatever it is and see how

836
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:39,960
things play out from there.
Yeah, absolutely.

837
00:41:39,960 --> 00:41:42,840
How the the company goes about
allocating the the funds is is

838
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:45,240
the kind of next step to think
through if if no interloper

839
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:48,800
emerges.
Kev, it's always awesome to to

840
00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:51,160
have you on the show to to chat
through your ideas and your

841
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:52,400
thinking.
So appreciate you coming on

842
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:56,200
again mate.
I, I do like to say that I, I, I

843
00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:59,280
don't usually like to peg myself
to one stock, but I mean, I did

844
00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:02,080
promise you guys during the
Christmas cracker special that

845
00:42:02,080 --> 00:42:04,000
like whenever something
transpired with this company,

846
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:05,320
because I was a bit mysterious
about it.

847
00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:06,800
I don't like being too
mysterious.

848
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:08,640
I'm usually pretty transparent
with everything that I do.

849
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:10,800
But I did say that when
something happened with this

850
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:14,520
company that had come on.
So this was as, as I promised, I

851
00:42:14,520 --> 00:42:17,240
didn't expect to honestly take
November till it occurred.

852
00:42:17,240 --> 00:42:19,200
I honestly thought it was going
to be a couple of months away at

853
00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:21,520
the time when we filmed it.
But as you know, with all these

854
00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:23,600
things, sometimes everything
takes a little bit longer than

855
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:25,680
you hope.
But let's see what happens.

856
00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:27,960
I, I seriously think there might
be another chapter to this

857
00:42:27,960 --> 00:42:29,880
story, but there certainly will
be.

858
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:31,880
But it's just whether or not
there's another chapter in

859
00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:35,240
between kind of the end of end
of January in terms of another

860
00:42:35,240 --> 00:42:37,280
bid.
So fingers crossed and let's see

861
00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:39,400
how we go.
Fingers crossed mate, let's see

862
00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:42,080
if the the next Christmas
prediction is as good as this

863
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:45,000
one.
Crossed for a for a special gift

864
00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:48,160
from Santa this Christmas.
I don't even mind if it comes in

865
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:48,760
January.
Well.

866
00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:55,360
Yeah, I don't know what I mean,
Maybe maybe getting an M and a

867
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:58,800
specialist on to to figure out
what's the best kind of time to

868
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:00,640
lob a bid.
But I know some people that have

869
00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:02,640
tried over Christmas when it's,
it's hard work.

870
00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:05,000
It's it's pretty, it's pretty
inconvenient for some people.

871
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:07,320
But you know, it certainly puts
pressure on other parties during

872
00:43:07,320 --> 00:43:08,800
that time.
So we'll see what happens.

873
00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,440
Yeah.
Yeah, yeah, it absolutely does

874
00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:13,240
put pressure on.
No, Appreciate, appreciate.

875
00:43:13,720 --> 00:43:16,440
What's the next Havilah, Kev,
you got anything else in the

876
00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:18,000
works?
Anything for us to study?

877
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:19,400
Up.
Oh, I can.

878
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:21,360
I can recycle some of the old
names that we've got.

879
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:23,120
I mean, like we still think
there's a deal to be done on

880
00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:26,760
Comet Ridge and I, I get what
you're saying about the trim

881
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:28,720
through, but I, I seriously
think there's still a deal to be

882
00:43:28,720 --> 00:43:31,480
done there.
I think, you know, 400 BCF worth

883
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:34,840
of gas that you know, is still
unencumbered apart from one

884
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:38,200
small contract on it.
I'm also really interested in

885
00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:40,320
this Equus gas that's coming
into the market in December.

886
00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:42,120
I think that looks really
interesting.

887
00:43:43,360 --> 00:43:45,920
You know, it's almost 2 TCF
worth of gas with 40 million

888
00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:49,400
barrels of condensate that's
coming on with a, oh, an EV of

889
00:43:49,400 --> 00:43:51,920
maybe twenty $25 million, which
I think might be a bit

890
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:53,520
mispriced.
I think it's complexity with

891
00:43:53,520 --> 00:43:55,440
that asset as well.
But I think the price tag that's

892
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:57,480
coming on that is it's pretty
attractive.

893
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:01,280
I still think there's a lot to
come from, from developing bill

894
00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:05,200
or just was without a Woodlawn.
I guess I did kind of make a

895
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:08,040
joke about his, his ramp up, but
I, I think that's back on track

896
00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:09,760
now.
I think I think the, the ramp up

897
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:11,960
is looking pretty good and I'm,
I'm looking forward to the next

898
00:44:11,960 --> 00:44:14,360
couple of quarters that they
produce there.

899
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:16,880
Oh, what else?
There's, there's quite a few.

900
00:44:16,880 --> 00:44:19,520
I mean, Antifa, we're still
waiting on some, some resolution

901
00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:21,040
there maybe.
So there's a few.

902
00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:24,280
There is indeed, mate.
I need to read up on there,

903
00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:26,160
appreciate.
Appreciate you.

904
00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:29,800
Yeah, being being willing to
Bang Bang the table on this.

905
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:32,160
One mate, there's there's one
thing I'll I'll never stop doing

906
00:44:32,160 --> 00:44:33,920
that's banging the table on on
the on the stocks.

907
00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:35,920
I know I should have, I should
have done the big Ding Ding

908
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:37,880
Ding, but obviously you can tell
I'm a shower, so.

909
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:42,000
Ding Ding Ding around.
If that is not completely

910
00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:44,080
obvious, just.
Put the dinging gong through the

911
00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:45,800
whole episode, all right?
Just make sure that people

912
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:48,400
realize that this is a
completely biased opinion.

913
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:51,320
Yeah, but.
Like brought to you by biased

914
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:52,800
people.
Yeah.

915
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:55,760
Like I'd love to, I'd love to
hear some retort like because

916
00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:58,320
when you see it on paper and you
see it's binding and you see

917
00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:01,360
like the deal that's been
struck, I mean, obviously there

918
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:04,480
are retorters because people are
selling the stock at 4243 cents.

919
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:06,960
But I just kind of think the
risk water here is pretty

920
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:08,320
pretty.
Pretty attractive, I think

921
00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:10,440
putting your views out there is
the best way to get the feedback

922
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:12,000
mate.
So keen to hear what comes back

923
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:13,080
our way after.
This I'm sure.

924
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:16,120
I'm sure I'll get some stuff.
One way or another.

925
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:19,320
See how we go.
Ding Ding Ding if it wasn't loud

926
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:21,480
and clear.
There we go mate.

927
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:23,000
Fantastic to have Cav back on
the show.

928
00:45:23,000 --> 00:45:25,880
It's been far too long.
I always love chatting with our

929
00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:28,640
good man and all made possible
thanks to our fantastic

930
00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:30,400
partners.
Switch Technology new one at the

931
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:33,280
beginning of the show there as
well as the classics sandwich

932
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:36,040
ground support focus the
platform by Market Tech and

933
00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:38,440
Infralinks.
Hoodoo money minus hoodoo.

934
00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:43,520
Now remember, I'm an idiot.
JD's an idiot if you thought.

935
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:45,720
Any of this was anything other
than entertainment.

936
00:45:46,160 --> 00:45:47,920
You're an idiot and you need to
read out of.