Mick McMullen on Deals, Discipline and Activism
What does it take to create billions in value – and reshape an industry? In this episode, industry veteran Mick McMullen shares lessons from the front lines of major deals and corporate strategy, with insights from his roles at Stillwater, Detour, and MAC Copper. With more than $10B in transactions under his belt, Mick discusses what drives successful mergers, what makes copper a battleground for value, and why some deals get done while others stall. We also get candid about shareholder activism – the art of pushing for change inside miner’s – and dig into the week’s biggest stories: Palliser urging Rio to bid for Teck Coeur’s “top of the market” move for New Gold Fresnillo’s cash play for Probe Gold This was recorded on 6.11.2025.
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TIMESTAMPS
(00:00) Gold's Greatest Irony (0:00) - Introduction & Guest Background
(2:10) - Activist Investing & Shareholder Value
(7:10) - Building and Selling Mac Copper
(13:20) - Cap Structure & Operational Challenges
(18:10) - Harmony Acquisition & Deal Process
(22:50) - Reflections on Missed Deals & M&A
(29:30) - Synergies, Cobar, and Regional Assets
(36:40) - Fast Turnarounds & Notable Transactions
(43:50) - Activist Campaigns & Board Dynamics
(50:30) - Capital, Private Equity, & US Mining
(56:40) - Industry Trends, Commodities, and Final Thoughts
(1:02:00) - Book Recommendations & Episode Wrap-Up
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DISCLAIMER
All information in this podcast is for education and entertainment purposes only and is of general nature only. Please ensure you read our full disclaimer.
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An activist's wet dream is when
the incumbents just say no,
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right?
If I turn up in your boardroom
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fronting for an activist, it's
usually not a great day for the
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board because we probably know
more about your company than you
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do.
Maybe it's a good place to
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start.
JD is yeah, maybe some some
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interesting like reflections on
on the the deal making history
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of of particularly Mac, but we
can even go further back in time
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as well.
Making, you know, delighted you
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00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:32,640
are you are joining us for for
our our episode today.
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Lots of experience that you've
had, lots of different
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commodities, lots of parts of
the world, lots of types of
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people, lots of different
operations, lots of deals, lots
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of different, yeah, lots of
deals, lots of different themes,
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some recurring themes.
And yeah, when I, when I, you
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know, in the time we've been
doing the podcast, the, the,
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the, the company that we've
associated with you
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predominantly has of course been
Metals Acquisition Corp, but or,
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or later called Mac copper, But
that wasn't, that's kind of a
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small blip in your, in, in your
history.
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But I do want to start there
because I reckon the most common
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question you would have been
asked in your time at Metals
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Acquisition Corp is what are you
going to buy?
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And in the end, you didn't buy
anything.
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You you got bought so we.
We we were acquired.
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So why?
So why'd you do that?
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Cool.
Look, I think so this is my 8th
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exit that I've done so far and
one of the reasons that I always
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get money out of like big
institutional shareholders,
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right?
Like your black rocks, your
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Wellingtons, your sailing
stones, is that we're all about
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shareholder value.
So, so, and I've done a lot of
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activist investing, which again
is all about share all the value
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and we go through some of my
other transactions.
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So, so we set the business up.
You know, when I was, I'd been
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living in North America, moved
back to Perth during COVID
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thinking, oh, well, I'll be
there for three or four months,
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personal COVID quite well, I'll
be there for a few months and
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I'll come back little knowing
I'd get stuck there for two
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years, right?
And we couldn't leave.
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So we set the business up.
It was a SPAC, as you guys well
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know, because you could do that
remotely and we bought the
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business with a view to growing
to be a mid tier miner, right?
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Like something like a sand fiery
type sort sort of business.
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Multiple assets of scale.
Mac is the smallest thing I've
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run in a decade by a fair
margin.
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And we did have a fairly good
crack at buying a couple of
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other assets that would have
given us that scale.
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Multiple assets, 100,125
thousand tons a year, copper
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production or copper equivalent.
And for whatever reason, we just
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couldn't quite get there.
And so, you know, and I'm sure
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you guys have got the graph
somewhere, but you know, if you
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graph our share price up versus
the US dollar copper price, LME
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copper price, we traded
inversely to the copper price
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for the previous 12 months
before I sold it.
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So if you sort of got a thematic
that copper is going up and
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you're trading inversely to the
copper price, you know, that's
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not a great thematic, right.
So ultimately we, we, we
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couldn't grow.
I've run a few single asset
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companies before where you
inevitably get to a point in
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that single asset companies life
where you've, you've chopped all
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the wood, you fix the business,
you've, you've got as much out
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of it as you can, or you've got
a pathway to, to get where
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you're going to go.
And if you're not buying, then
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you're selling, right?
Like it's, it's difficult as a
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single asset company, no matter
how great that asset is, you
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know, 4% head grade sitting out
in Coburg, Best place actually
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in the world to operate, I
reckon.
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Maybe I'm a bit biased, but if
you can't get shareholder value
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and you can't grow the business,
then you need to consider other
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alternatives, right?
And, and at the same time, as
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you know, when we were looking
at the asset in Portugal, Nevis
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Corvo that we, that we bid hard
on.
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And I honestly, I thought we
had, and you sort of put
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yourself into play a bit.
You know, when you, when the
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market knows like it's all
confidential, but everyone
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right, knew you could read it in
the IFR that we were in that
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process that then spurs other
people to come in and knock on
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your door.
And because we're, our primary
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listing was the US, we weren't
Delaware domiciled, but still
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being US listed, you don't
really have the option as a
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board member to just tell people
to bugger off when they, if
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they're a credible bidder,
cashed up the ability to
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execute, understand the kind of
mining you're in.
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You actually have a director's
duty to engage with them and see
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whether you can get a, a better
result than going your own path.
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And, and ultimately that's what
happened, right?
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Yeah, that, that's where we
ended.
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If we could have grown the
business to have multiple
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assets, you know, to get a
better EBITDA multiple, that
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absolutely was the way we would
have gone.
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So, but again, as a director
CEO, I could have sat there for
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three years and moaned about my
multiple relative to sandfires,
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multiple collected a paycheck
along the way.
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But was that the right thing for
shareholders?
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No, it wasn't.
So we act in the best interests
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of shareholders.
It's it, you know, it was, it
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was, it was always interesting
listening to Mac up his calls.
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You'd always get some operation
operational insights.
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And you know, it was, it was
clear that there were
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operational efficiencies being
driven at the site to to, you
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know, improve, you know, a whole
host of different, different
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figures.
But but it did always, it always
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seemed from the outside like the
the cap structure was just such
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a huge barrier to to push past
in, in generating kind of like
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free cash flow.
Would you would you agree with
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that characterization?
And I know that that cap
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structure was a necessary
component of getting the deal
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done in the 1st place, but is
that a fair characterization?
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I think it's right and partly
I'll say 2 comments.
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So the initial cap structure,
like we were levered, we had a
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fair bit of debt on the balance
sheet when we bought that asset,
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right, You know.
And so we moved aggressively to
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delever the balance sheet, you
know, raise all that money in
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the ASX.
The OPS made a fair bit of free
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cash as well.
So by the time we sold it, you
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know, net debt was, was very
manageable.
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The streams, I think and the
sort of the warrants that we had
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from the SPAC structure and
everyone got their knickers in a
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nod about, oh, you've got these
warrants, there's just some
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options, right?
So we, and the beauty in, in
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America is you can redeem them.
So we called those in, we
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cleaned that up, we cleaned the
debt up.
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The streams you couldn't clean
up.
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Australian investors in
particular really struggle with
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streams and, and you guys did an
episode recently explaining how
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streams work.
That would have been quite
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useful for a few of our
potential Australian
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shareholders or people who
couldn't get, you know, to me,
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I'm just a spreadsheet kind of
guy, right?
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Like I just put it all into a
spreadsheet.
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I run the numbers and it comes
out with an answer and you know,
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if you've got a 3% stream or
let's just, you just don't
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allocate for 3% of the metal,
right?
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Like it's quite, it's quite
simple, but I fully agree with
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you and, and, and I still don't
have an exact answer as to why
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we tried it inversely to the
copper price.
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There's no disputing that.
We did, you know, copper, copper
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fell out of bed.
Our share price went up partly
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because we were quite a low cost
producer, partly I think perhaps
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because we had those copper
contingents with Glencore that,
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you know, perhaps people were
thinking, oh, we're going to
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have to raise equity for that.
The reality is we never were
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going to raise equity.
We always had the money to pay
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them.
But there's no doubt the cap
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structure was in the Australian
market.
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In the North American market, I
don't think the cap structure
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really was a hindrance
whatsoever.
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You'd be you'd be struggling to
find a mid tier gold or copper
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company in Canada that doesn't
have a stream or two on them.
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I've got to, I've got to get
ultimately Harmony was the
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acquirer.
Now we, we, we sort of alluded
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to a potential Harmony Mac deal
a couple of times in our I know
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the director special in the lead
up and not that our Intel was
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ever like concrete, but you
know, what do you know?
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I'll actually, I've been
comfortable admitting how, how,
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how we, how we got tipped off on
this one.
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Apparently, apparently Harmony
came to site wearing Harmony
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shirts for DD.
Surely, surely you think a bit
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00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:14,240
more thoughtfully than that.
Harmony hasn't done a corporate
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MNA and it was running 20
something years ago.
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And notwithstanding we have a
standard protocol of like here's
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your matte copper shirt when you
walk through the door.
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I'm not sure that the cobar hot
bike that they that that rule
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got observed down in town.
But again, look, we took a large
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amount of cash out of you know,
this is the thing, right?
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Yeah.
We'll talk a bit later on about
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where we are in the market, you
know, a, a factor of where you
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think you might be in the mining
cycle.
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You know, Robin Witham's old
clock, you know the, the clock
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that he used to do, you know,
all cash bids you're getting
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towards the end of that clock,
right?
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You're getting towards midnight,
right.
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So these guys fronted up with
the cash, you know, as a board,
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we, we, we seriously considered
just going in our own way.
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But again, if you were to plot
up our and we did a chart for
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the board as part of the pack,
our EBITDA generated versus
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share price, you know, we just
had EBITDA multiple compression
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from when we bought the asset to
when we sold the asset.
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We just saw the multiple just
compress.
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And so it was like, well, I've
got a, I've got a viable bidder
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here.
The alternative is at what point
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am I going to be able to get
that to turn around for my
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shareholders given that we
delivered on everything.
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So, so in the quarter before we
bought it, the C1 cost was about
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$3 and change USA pound and in
the last two months that we that
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we when we you know, June, July
we're at a dollar a pound and my
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EBITDA multiple went down.
So you sort of go, I can sit
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here and moan about that
valuation forever, or I can let
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my shareholders take, you know,
money off the table and make a
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return, redeploy it.
Like I know a bunch of my big
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00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:09,200
holders redeployed it into a
bunch of other things that have
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ripped as well.
So like my job is to make money
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for shareholders and, and as
much as I love Cobar, I'd like,
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I spent a lot of time out there,
you know, far too many chicken
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schnitzels in the Cobar golfy.
And but that's the right thing
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for shareholders, right?
You make money for shareholders
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because you can always go back
and get money again.
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Me, I'm curious to hear when,
when you reflect on the forward
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00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,440
year year journey with a bit of
hindsight now, are there perhaps
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00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:40,760
deals or other things you, you
wish you might have done just
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00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:43,280
along the way expanding?
I mean you mentioned Nevis Corvo
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00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:45,960
there as as one potential
transaction that you went pretty
204
00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:47,880
hard on.
But were there, were there other
205
00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:49,760
really big ones that stand out
when you think back on it?
206
00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:55,320
Look again, it was in the press.
This is not pub non public info.
207
00:10:55,360 --> 00:10:57,080
We had a pretty good look at
North parks.
208
00:10:57,080 --> 00:11:00,440
We quite like N parks at a price
point.
209
00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:03,640
We were not, you know, that that
stream again, you know, big
210
00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:08,400
stream that sat on that really
impinged that asset a fair bit.
211
00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:10,720
Notwithstanding what's happened
to metal prices.
212
00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,880
We we absolutely would have
liked to have bought that for a
213
00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:16,000
price, just not the price that
are traded for.
214
00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:20,640
Obviously there's been a fair
bit of press about us, you know,
215
00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:22,880
having a good look at Mount Isa,
but you know, just
216
00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:26,560
fundamentally, you know,
Glencore, Gary was never quite
217
00:11:26,560 --> 00:11:29,200
ready to transact on it in the
time frame.
218
00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:31,640
And, and again, as a board we
sort of said, well, what if we
219
00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:35,000
don't sell?
You know, do we hang around and
220
00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:38,200
wait for maybe Nevish Corvo in
another two years?
221
00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:42,400
Do we wait for Glencore decide
they do want to sell man eyes or
222
00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:45,120
after they've shut, you know,
obviously shut the copper mine
223
00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:48,200
getting a funding deal on the
smelter.
224
00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:50,840
Smelting world has got really
tough with the Chinese
225
00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:54,200
oversupply of smelting capacity,
you know, so it's that's going
226
00:11:54,200 --> 00:11:58,560
to be a tough asset.
So you know, we looked at lots
227
00:11:58,560 --> 00:12:00,440
of those things.
We looked at some stuff offshore
228
00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:02,920
as well.
You know, we like again, when
229
00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:06,640
you're a single asset company,
you, you, you sort of got to go
230
00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:10,160
big or go home.
So you know, we, we if you think
231
00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:13,720
in the Iberian pyrite belt
there's a 50,000 tonne a year
232
00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:16,480
copper producer there, that's a
single asset company that you
233
00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:19,080
know we quite like.
You know, we like, we like that
234
00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:22,720
Atalaya.
Well, I'm not really saying who.
235
00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,760
But you know, like.
There's a 50,000 tonne a year
236
00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,640
single asset in the idea and
final.
237
00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,680
But yeah, but you know, you sort
of like all of these single
238
00:12:31,680 --> 00:12:33,840
asset companies, you end up in
that position, right?
239
00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:39,200
Like and, and you know, fund
managers tell me when Capstone
240
00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:42,800
listed on the ASX a month after
we listed on the ASX or six
241
00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:47,960
weeks or whatever between then
and when we sold, Capstone got
242
00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:51,440
$0.60 of every new copper dollar
on the ASX.
243
00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:54,880
So that really took the wind out
of our sails.
244
00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:57,240
And then obviously probably the
majority of the rest of it went
245
00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:01,520
into sand fire because you know,
funds these days it's just a
246
00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,400
liquidity and scale game, right?
And so that's why these things
247
00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:07,600
get, you know, big valuation
multiples.
248
00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:11,040
I'm sure you've seen the pitch
decks, you know, it's in gold,
249
00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:13,000
it's been gold forever, it's in
base metals.
250
00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:17,440
There's a clear relationship
between scale and liquidity and
251
00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:21,320
multiple.
And, and so if you're, you know,
252
00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:25,200
let's say you go down a run from
where we were like to the sort
253
00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:29,360
of, you know, there's this, you
know, we've looked at all the 15
254
00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:32,480
to 20,000 ton a year copper
producers in Australia or copper
255
00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:34,160
hopefuls.
But you look at the multiple,
256
00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:36,960
they try that and they'll
probably half the multiple we
257
00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:38,920
were trading at, except for
develop.
258
00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:41,560
Bill does a great job.
Bills got a pretty solid
259
00:13:41,560 --> 00:13:44,560
multiple, shall we say.
And, and in all, you know, I was
260
00:13:44,560 --> 00:13:47,000
a big shareholder and I was on
the board there with Bill for
261
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:49,760
two years.
So, but, but in general, there's
262
00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:53,320
a very clear relationship
between scale liquidity and, and
263
00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,040
and multiple, right.
So you have to get big or you go
264
00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:57,960
home.
Sometimes that multiple is also
265
00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:00,000
just related to the quality of
the assets as well, like you're
266
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:02,480
bigger because you have longer
life and lower cost assets.
267
00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:04,160
And maybe that's when you
justify a big multiple.
268
00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,600
And some, some of that is
presumably a factor of yeah,
269
00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:09,480
scale, like the, the indexes
you're in, which now give you a
270
00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:13,160
bigger, bigger multiple.
The the Does it feel like Iser
271
00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:15,240
is in play again now?
Just out of curiosity?
272
00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:22,400
Look, Glencore is Glencore, and
again, I bought the asset off
273
00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:24,800
them.
You know, my chair was on the
274
00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,840
Glencore board for nine years.
You know, I know Gary very well.
275
00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:29,760
I've had a Glencore go on my
board.
276
00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,000
So, you know, we have a great
relationship with Glencore.
277
00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:34,840
You know, with Glencore,
everything's for sale.
278
00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:38,720
Yeah, at a price.
Always the.
279
00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:44,400
World's for sale.
It's hard to see how having just
280
00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:46,720
taken all that money off the
Queensland government, they
281
00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:50,120
could turn around and sell that
asset right now, I think.
282
00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:54,120
But if someone offered them the
right price, you know, but it
283
00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:57,240
but it wouldn't be an asset that
would be for everyone, right?
284
00:14:57,240 --> 00:15:04,120
Like it is, you know, it is a
turn around specialist job and
285
00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,000
there are people that can do
that in Australia.
286
00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:10,040
But you know, it is it it's it's
got a not small environmental
287
00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:12,000
ability on that thing and a
culture there.
288
00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:16,720
You know, when I look at assets,
I'm always about the culture,
289
00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:19,400
right?
So you look at the culture there
290
00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,080
and there's a fair bit of work
to do on the culture there,
291
00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:24,840
which would be a big opportunity
if you could crack it.
292
00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:28,920
But you know that eyes are old
time culture is interesting.
293
00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:31,760
That, that is really fascinating
to, to hear.
294
00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:34,760
And if we, if we zoom out and
look around the grounds that are
295
00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:37,880
at the other Aussie assets,
that's more the, the undeveloped
296
00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:40,040
ones, because you mentioned
there the, the difference in
297
00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:41,520
multiple.
I think this is a really
298
00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:45,240
interesting lens to kind of take
because there's the transactions
299
00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:48,280
we've seen in recent times, Rex
being one of those ones that
300
00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:50,280
comes to mind.
And then the ones that haven't
301
00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:53,400
quite happened yet that people
chat about the, the Havilars,
302
00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:55,680
the, the caravels that these
types of assets.
303
00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:59,240
Are there ones of that kind of
nature that you got close to,
304
00:15:59,960 --> 00:16:02,040
you know, with the with the
opportunity being that you would
305
00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:06,680
have to develop the project?
We looked at them all.
306
00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:12,400
I've got to say my, you know, I
built Triton out between Lincoln
307
00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:14,280
and Cobar 20 something years
ago, right.
308
00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,720
So like I, you know, I'm not
averse to building a mind.
309
00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:21,240
I generally don't lean in too
hard on development assets
310
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:24,560
unless it's like a sort of an
adjacent brown feely type thing,
311
00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:27,320
mainly because I'm too
impatient.
312
00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:28,800
Right.
Like if you've got a development
313
00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:31,400
asset, you know, yeah, you can
buy it at a peed and have of
314
00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:34,000
point 2.3 whatever the number
is, right?
315
00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:37,560
Much less than a producing
asset, but your risk is much
316
00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:40,640
higher.
But more importantly, the time
317
00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:44,840
to get to the answer is much
longer, right, Because
318
00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:48,680
permitting is only getting
longer, you know, it inevitably
319
00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:52,560
takes more.
There is an asset we really
320
00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:57,840
liked in the US actually that
was a sort of a development
321
00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:00,360
asset, big open pit with an
underground thing that have been
322
00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:04,319
a disaster.
And, and but the big open pit
323
00:17:04,319 --> 00:17:07,920
actually looks, we we quite like
the look of that a lot.
324
00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:14,040
But yeah, we've looked at them
all the all of those things need
325
00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:19,000
$5 plus copper sort of forever,
right?
326
00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,319
So.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
327
00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:27,040
I don't disagree on the, on the,
the development case of those
328
00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:33,080
undeveloped projects, the yeah,
I, I, I mean when you, when,
329
00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:35,880
when you look at the, the
undeveloped stuff that that
330
00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:41,040
totally makes sense.
But I also just I, I wonder if
331
00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:45,040
why didn't you do a deal on any
of the car buy assets like this
332
00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:47,800
will be like you would have been
asked all the time, you know,
333
00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:49,840
what are you going to, are you
going to move on to Irelia?
334
00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:53,880
Are you going to move on, on PL.
You did do a, a kind of a
335
00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:57,560
synergistic arrangement with,
with Poly metals, but everyone
336
00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:00,360
talks about cobar synergies and
maybe the synergies are harder
337
00:18:00,360 --> 00:18:03,080
to have, maybe they're more
complex or are not well
338
00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:06,520
understood, but you know, to
what extent can you enlighten us
339
00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:10,880
and everyone about the nature of
like where synergies lie in the
340
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:13,600
go bar?
I, I, I think there's huge
341
00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:16,720
synergies to be had.
You know, if you sort of start
342
00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:19,600
further away, you've got peel,
which would be the furthest one,
343
00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:23,920
which is a bit sort of stranded
because you know, it's never
344
00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:25,280
going to be big enough to build
a plant.
345
00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:28,840
You know the cost of building a
plant these days is is is
346
00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:31,960
multiples of where it was like
when I built Triton 900,000 ton
347
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:37,200
a year concentrator, 26
kilometre pipeline power line
348
00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:43,400
and a decline down to 200
meters, 2339 million Australian
349
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:47,480
dollars for all of that, right.
Cobar's long infrastructure
350
00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:49,160
though, so you don't need to
build plants, right?
351
00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,240
No, no.
But, well, it's long
352
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:55,920
infrastructure, but management's
are entrenched.
353
00:18:56,120 --> 00:18:59,040
Yeah, and they don't want to do
deals because they're all
354
00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:04,200
hanging on for dear life.
So if we start, you know, Peel
355
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,480
never going to be big enough to
build a build a plant.
356
00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,160
It really has got some
interesting stuff.
357
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:12,040
Got actually probably got the
best expiration package outside
358
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:18,080
of CSA in the whole bill.
Obviously we had discussions
359
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:20,920
with everybody, right?
Like, you know, we were there,
360
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:24,320
we were funded, given my
institutional backing, we could
361
00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:26,480
raise any amount of money you
wanted sort of thing.
362
00:19:28,360 --> 00:19:31,320
Like for Nevis Corvo, we figured
we'd do a billion dollar equity
363
00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:35,440
raise in the morning and I had a
soft circle with eight funds
364
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:42,120
already.
So, you know, I think the assets
365
00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,680
that are really are gone are
interesting, but they're they're
366
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:47,440
all still what somewhat scrappy,
right?
367
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,360
Like there's nothing that's like
a CSA, you know, you haven't got
368
00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:52,960
20 million tons of 5% sitting in
one spot.
369
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:57,080
Holly Metals.
We really liked Endeavour.
370
00:19:57,080 --> 00:20:00,560
I know Sprayly very well.
You know, a tragic accident, you
371
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:05,040
know, the, the recently which
has really affected the town of
372
00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:07,120
my dad, actually the, the whole
town.
373
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,120
And you know, we really like
Endeavour.
374
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:13,720
I've known Sprayly for 20 years.
He's a great operator.
375
00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:18,280
We sort of looked at it and saw
thought well, a, we couldn't buy
376
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,160
it at the right price because he
owns so much of it.
377
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,240
He owned like 45% of it, him and
his mates.
378
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:26,840
We didn't really want to own a
zinc mine, but we wanted an
379
00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:28,960
outlet for our zinc and I wanted
some water off him.
380
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,760
So we did the deal.
Honestly, we made three times
381
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:35,200
our money on that and actually
funded the entire Marin mine
382
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:38,480
development out of out of my
little day trading, you know,
383
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:40,560
little day trading account with
that thing.
384
00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:46,680
And it's got, you know, not a
small amount of acid drainage on
385
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:50,040
that TSF up there that we didn't
really think fit our, you know,
386
00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,360
clean, green, environmentally
friendly mantra.
387
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:57,360
But but look, there's definitely
a consolidation you can do
388
00:20:57,360 --> 00:20:58,680
there.
But, you know, trying to get
389
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:03,240
people to actually have a
conversation is really
390
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,960
difficult.
You know, we, I'm the most
391
00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:08,720
commercial guy you'll ever come
across, right?
392
00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:12,800
Like we just get deals done.
Not everyone is like that.
393
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,800
Not everyone is thinking, is
this the best thing for
394
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:17,880
shareholders and will it do me
out of a job?
395
00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:22,520
Quite frankly, I look at things
and I go if, if you own enough
396
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:25,120
equity in the business and you
end up doing yourself out of a
397
00:21:25,120 --> 00:21:28,640
job, great result for
shareholders and great result
398
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:32,400
for me.
So I, I think there is a, there
399
00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:34,880
is a solution there.
The challenge you'll have now is
400
00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:37,480
Harmony is a monster sized
company.
401
00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:40,120
You know, the huge gold price,
they're making a squillion
402
00:21:40,120 --> 00:21:43,040
dollars.
They don't have a currency to
403
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,000
use in Australia now, whereas we
did.
404
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:49,120
So, you know, again, they'd have
to pay cash for anything and you
405
00:21:49,120 --> 00:21:52,200
know, haven't had a look at
Aurelia for a few weeks, but you
406
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:56,320
know, that's probably a 600
million Aussie, 700 million
407
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:58,880
Aussie bid price.
That's a fair bit for those
408
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:02,640
assets, I think.
Yeah, Your comment on being
409
00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:06,640
being happy to do deals, I mean
like we were, we were, we were
410
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:10,040
struck going through the the
history of how short your tenure
411
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:14,200
was at some, some companies
between getting, yeah, getting
412
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:15,720
the helm and actually
transacting.
413
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:21,400
It was like detour.
April to January detour $4.9
414
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:25,000
billion Canadian deal.
Yeah, it was the I started isn't
415
00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:28,160
on the 1st of May I announced
the deal I think it was like the
416
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:33,840
26th of November closed on the
31st of June, January sorry and
417
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,920
it was 2.1 billion market cap
when I started and sold it for
418
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:42,200
4.9.
Not a bad eight-month, 8 month
419
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:47,760
spell was the, was the, the sort
of thinking when, when you were
420
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:50,160
sort of, you know, vetting the
job, getting, getting involved
421
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,200
that, that type of thing turn
around project.
422
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,920
See what we can kind of do is, I
mean, it's clear in your, your,
423
00:22:55,960 --> 00:23:00,080
your, you know, that you like
doing deals and, and these sorts
424
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:01,640
of things.
Is that always in the in the
425
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,080
back of the mind or just
assessing it as it goes?
426
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:08,240
Thinking about value as you go?
Whichever the best way to
427
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,920
unearth value is right.
So in that particular instance
428
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:14,520
that had been the subject of a
very high profile activist
429
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:18,440
campaign led by a guy out in New
York called John Paulson, who,
430
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:20,720
you know, you may know, short of
the US housing market.
431
00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:24,440
If you watch that movie, the Big
Short, you know, he's one of
432
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:29,720
those guys interesting cat, you
know, ran a campaign on the
433
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,000
basis of it's too cheap.
We're going to say, I think the
434
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:36,040
stock was 10 bucks Canadian.
We're going to fix it and we're
435
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:39,760
going to sell it at 14, right.
And I and I came in as the Ceoi
436
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:43,840
sold it at $28.50 seven months
later.
437
00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,840
And that one, you know, an
amazing wool body.
438
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,920
You know, the, the, the, when I
moved back to Perth, people
439
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:51,920
said, oh, what have you been
doing, Mickey?
440
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,240
You've been gone for 10 years.
And so I ran Detour and they go,
441
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:56,200
what's that?
They go, have you heard of the
442
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,600
Super Pit?
And they go, yeah, Bill, he's
443
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:00,280
done a great job.
Yeah, it's double the size of
444
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:05,040
that.
So we were moving 350,000 tonne
445
00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:08,560
of dirt a day, milling 75,000
tonne a day.
446
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:14,800
I think it'll do 900,000 oz this
year out of the one mine we
447
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:18,560
chopped about 250 bucks an ounce
out of the cost US all in
448
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,320
properly, you know like
sustainable in in seven or eight
449
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,280
months.
There was a lot of issues at
450
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:28,720
that business and so didn't
really bring a lot of people in
451
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,400
from outside brought some guys
out of actually out of Perth,
452
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:34,720
the old RSG global guys that
came in And we did a lot of work
453
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:41,640
in the in the in the pit and and
we just look for value, right.
454
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:45,040
And we actually we're open to
whether that's you're buying,
455
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:47,880
you're selling, if you can get
someone, you know, the stock had
456
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:52,040
gone up.
I don't know, nearly a double in
457
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:54,080
anticipation of stuff that I was
going to do.
458
00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,600
I think it sort of got a little
bit ahead of itself and then
459
00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:58,960
someone turned up with a 48%
premium bid.
460
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:03,080
Well, what are you going to do?
You're going to sit there and,
461
00:25:03,360 --> 00:25:07,120
and grind it out like it, it got
ahead of itself and we hit the
462
00:25:07,120 --> 00:25:11,400
bid and everyone was very happy.
You know, so I have a background
463
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:17,560
in private equity and so I think
in terms of IRR, you know, and,
464
00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:21,800
and time value of money.
And so, yeah, I think the day
465
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,400
I'd buy an asset or go in to run
an asset, I'm already, I've
466
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,280
already thought about four ways
which I can realize value out of
467
00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:34,080
that thing.
I want, I do want to, you know,
468
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:35,880
there's so many different parts
of your career we could, we
469
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,120
could ask you about.
But actually, actually I'm
470
00:25:38,120 --> 00:25:40,680
increasingly interested in
Oceana Gold, Mick, where I know
471
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,520
you're on the board for a while.
What's end game for Oceana?
472
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:49,280
Yeah, again, that was another
activist campaign that never
473
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,640
never got public to be activist,
but it was definitely activists.
474
00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:58,000
So a bunch of shareholders put
me in the chair on the board to,
475
00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:01,680
to, you know, that lost that
sort of tipio that lost the
476
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:07,280
license, how it was a disaster.
You know, like it literally they
477
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:11,360
had holes in the Hall Rd. that
were 5-6 feet deep full of
478
00:26:11,360 --> 00:26:14,880
water.
I think tire life was like 1500
479
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:19,600
hours, 1200 hours on a tire.
You know, it was, it was just so
480
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:23,080
I actually recruited my my
general manager out of detour
481
00:26:23,360 --> 00:26:26,040
out of the pit there and, and
put him into there.
482
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,560
They've had a huge run.
Jared's done a great job.
483
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:35,400
You know, he was first time CEO
and he was, you know, come out
484
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:39,480
of Newcrest, we put him in there
and he was clever enough to know
485
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:41,480
what he didn't know.
And so, you know, he was
486
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:45,320
actually very open and sort of
wanting to know, you know, Nick,
487
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:46,640
you've done this a few times
before.
488
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,560
What should I be doing?
And so we, you know, he was he,
489
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,560
you get some CEOs that don't
really want to listen.
490
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:54,440
He was great.
He done it.
491
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,760
He's done a great job.
What do they do now?
492
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:02,600
Stocks had a great tear.
The the DDPO mine generates an
493
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:05,160
enormous amount of free cash.
But it is in the Philippines,
494
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:06,400
right?
And I had six years in the
495
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:09,800
Philippines.
Not sure that's on my
496
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,120
destination list of where I'm
buying assets again.
497
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:18,920
I think they need to merge, get
bigger, buy something or try and
498
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:22,920
get someone to take them out.
But yeah, it's had a great run,
499
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:25,120
right.
And and I noticed in your in the
500
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,560
Iron Gulls, the other one that's
in your report that I just see
501
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:29,720
come through.
So I know that that one very
502
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:33,160
well also, yeah.
Go on.
503
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:37,760
So also was an activist campaign
that RCF LED actually.
504
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:40,400
Yeah, right.
So how these how these activist
505
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:44,480
campaigns manifest when they're
not always, you know, public
506
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:50,080
facing activist campaigns?
Yeah, so you, you'll like
507
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:55,640
Elliott or someone will or RCF
or someone will, will coalesce
508
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:58,600
people around them, you know,
like Stillwater.
509
00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:01,760
The activists, they're only ever
owned 1.6% of the register, but
510
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:05,480
we still managed to roll half
the board with 1.6% of the
511
00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:11,360
register.
So an activist wet dream is when
512
00:28:11,360 --> 00:28:13,400
the incumbents just say no,
right.
513
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,760
So you, you sort of get
together, you'll have a thesis
514
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:18,480
about how things could be run
better.
515
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:21,680
You know, you'll sort of phone
up the chair or the, you know,
516
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:23,280
say, listen, we want some
changes.
517
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,160
And then they, they'll either
engage or they won't.
518
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:32,640
Where they engage you, you can
sort of depending how much they
519
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,400
engage, you can sort of like get
some of what you want, but not
520
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,120
all of it.
Where they dig their heels in
521
00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,080
and go, no, we, we refuse to
engage with you.
522
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:45,600
Like that's the best thing ever.
Because at that point, you know,
523
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:49,560
you, you just launch into a
public campaign, you put them in
524
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:54,000
a, in a, in a bear hug.
And there's firms in the US that
525
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:58,160
do this very well, right?
If, as I often say, if I turn up
526
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,040
in your boardroom fronting for
an activist, it's usually not a
527
00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:04,720
great day for the board because
we probably know more about your
528
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:09,480
company than you do.
Elliot did a phenomenal job on
529
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:11,840
Iconic when they rolled the
board there.
530
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:18,240
I think they did a 368 page
presentation that went public of
531
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:21,040
literally everything that that
CEO had ever done.
532
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,200
Yeah, there's people that they
do this for a living and
533
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:26,960
they're, they're not always nice
people.
534
00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:32,120
But yeah, when they don't become
public, you know, it's usually
535
00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:35,280
when you'll sort of see, you
know, Aceo fall on their sword
536
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:37,080
or a chair fall on their sword
as well.
537
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:39,320
And stuff's been bubbling away
underneath.
538
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:40,960
And then a few new directors go
on.
539
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:43,840
They don't do a lot of it in
Australia, unfortunately.
540
00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:46,160
Like it's, there should be more
of it.
541
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:49,280
You know, I'm sure you guys can
think of a few companies, I'm
542
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:52,240
not naming names here, but you
know, there's, I can think of
543
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:55,240
one prime example there that
would be great for an activist
544
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:57,440
campaign.
But in Australia, if
545
00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,680
shareholders don't like the
answer, they just sell right and
546
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:01,560
just just move on.
Totally.
547
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:03,560
I think, I think there's
different, yeah, in Australia
548
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:07,440
there's, there's a perception
amongst, amongst even the types
549
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:11,160
of shareholders that like to be
activisty that the more loud you
550
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:15,440
are, the the negative
repercussions are large in terms
551
00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:18,120
of, you know, deal flow because
it's a small, small market with
552
00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:21,040
a lot of equity raises.
You've got the likes of Elliot
553
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:23,920
as well, who that's their bread
and butter activism.
554
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,680
Whereas a lot of these Aussie
funds, it's only a small sort
555
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:29,840
of, you know, it's 1 arrow in
the, in the, in the collection
556
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:34,320
that they've got and time and
reputation is just so taxing,
557
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:36,080
right?
Yeah, yeah.
558
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:38,560
What are you observing about
Barrick, by the way?
559
00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,600
Does that, does that like, just
reek of all the hallmarks of a
560
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,480
of a classic activist campaign?
Who's that?
561
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,240
Sorry.
Barrick, Barrick Gold right now,
562
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:48,800
yeah.
I couldn't really say.
563
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:58,520
Well, look, it's it's it's a
very interesting company with a
564
00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:01,840
lot of a lot of interesting
attributes of things that need
565
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:04,680
to be fixed and, you know, some
unhappy shareholders.
566
00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:07,720
So yeah, who's to say what
happens there?
567
00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:11,600
I, I am curious to, to dive in
even deeper on that making and
568
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:16,720
understand how, how your
perception and your, your
569
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:20,440
relationship with your investor
base has evolved over time.
570
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:22,520
You know, you've, you've
mentioned your, your
571
00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:28,120
institutional backing there.
You clearly have a, a reputation
572
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:30,400
and you know a lot of these big
investors in the mining space
573
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:33,600
very well.
Are there are there plenty of
574
00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:35,600
different models out there that
you've kind of come across?
575
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,280
Obviously you've got your, your
preferred sort of style of, of
576
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,880
staying close with with your
register, but how has that sort
577
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,240
of like changed over time?
I just want to learn more about
578
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:48,320
that whole that relationship.
Sure.
579
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,520
If I go like, you know, when I
was doing stuff in Australia
580
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:55,160
that was sort of generally, you
know, smaller deals, you know,
581
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,480
sort of up to, I don't know,
billion Aussie or something
582
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:02,600
wrong.
When I moved to the US about,
583
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:06,880
well, really about 2012, you
know, I'd go and see these funds
584
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:08,600
that I'd never heard of
literally.
585
00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:11,200
And this is like going back 1213
years ago, never heard of these
586
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:12,240
guys.
And I'd get to the end of the
587
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:15,920
meeting and I'd say, oh, So what
sort of assets under management
588
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:19,560
are you running?
And they'd go 50 billion US and
589
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:21,160
I'd never have heard of these
blokes, right.
590
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,960
And they'd be like many, many
meetings like that.
591
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:30,320
So I would say over time, as
you, as you as you particularly
592
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:35,040
do stuff in North America, the
pond is much, much deeper in
593
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:37,120
terms of pools of capital,
right?
594
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:42,000
And people that can deploy like
really large licks of capital.
595
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:44,640
Now in Australia, you've
obviously got Aussie super and
596
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:47,640
uni super and a few others.
But you know, there's, there's a
597
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:52,160
lot of those in the US and, and
actually based out of London as
598
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:55,360
well, some large amounts of
capital notwithstanding the
599
00:32:55,360 --> 00:33:00,600
London market being pretty dead.
So on that first one, you know,
600
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,960
that was about a three 3 1/2
year timeline to to fix the
601
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:08,480
business, get it sold, sold that
sebanion for all all cash was
602
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,720
2.7 billion US all up, I suppose
including the debt.
603
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:17,840
And that was really interesting
because that was hard, hard
604
00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:18,960
work.
Like that was a heavily
605
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:23,120
unionized asset, phenomenal ore
body, been running for 30 years
606
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:26,400
and never really made any money.
20 grams, the ton PGMS.
607
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:31,920
But you know, it's just and, and
I had big shareholders say to
608
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:37,240
me, we hold shares in this thing
on the hope that one day someone
609
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:38,680
can sort this business out,
right?
610
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,120
Not because it had made X
dollars the year before or
611
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,040
whatever.
It was just like, you know, it
612
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:49,280
had a 50 million oz reserve at
20 grams to the tunnel 2
613
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:53,360
operating mines in a great place
in the US, but never made any
614
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:55,880
money.
Like I think it made money three
615
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,760
years out of 27 before I fronted
up.
616
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,960
And that was the first time
where I fixed that business and
617
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:04,640
we sold it and everyone had a
really good result.
618
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:10,440
We're like the big end of town.
We're all very appreciative and
619
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:13,000
we're like, OK, we're ready to
cut your big checks again,
620
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:14,920
right?
Like in Australia, in the, you
621
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:17,440
know, in Australia, like I'd
sort of done some things, sold a
622
00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:20,960
few things, but you didn't have
those big guys going.
623
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:23,040
What are you doing next?
You know, we'd like to give you
624
00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:26,000
$100 million, right?
Multiple people.
625
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:31,239
And then, and then then I did a
fair bit of private equity work.
626
00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:35,080
So I ran a huge fracs end
business in in West TX for
627
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:38,120
private equity.
Love Texas, it's a great place.
628
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:43,440
It's almost as good as COBA.
And and then out of that, a
629
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,800
bunch of those like the
Carlyle's and Blackstone guys
630
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:47,280
were also prepared to give me
money.
631
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:51,159
So then you sort of and then
went and did detour and made
632
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:54,040
people a lot of money on that
one in that short space of time.
633
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:59,040
Now we're our cities.
I've sort of got I guess an
634
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:03,680
excess of capital and now I need
to find deals to deploy that
635
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:08,280
capital.
And so how things have evolved
636
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:12,880
over time has been you've gone
from scrambling for capital to
637
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,280
then going, well, geez, I've got
all these guys that want to give
638
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:19,000
me more capital or put me in to
go and run, you know, not so
639
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,080
well run businesses for them
where they're all, you know,
640
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:24,480
stuck in these things and they
need someone to fix it and exit
641
00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:27,280
it for them.
So now, quite frankly, my
642
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:32,200
biggest issue is finding those
transactions to deploy that
643
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:36,640
capital into and finding the
right ones where I can maximize
644
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:39,400
the value for my time and
maximize the return for my
645
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,560
shareholders, right?
Because there's only so much I
646
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:45,360
can do in a day.
And as I said, you know, Matt,
647
00:35:45,720 --> 00:35:48,200
great business, loved it.
Smallest thing I run in a
648
00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,760
decade.
So now it's like I've got to get
649
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:55,360
myself into fairly large stuff
in order to generate the return
650
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:57,640
that, you know in absolute
dollars that these guys need to
651
00:35:57,640 --> 00:35:59,680
generate.
Did you ever get sick of us
652
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:02,200
running Sandvic ground support
ads when we talk about Matt
653
00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:05,600
Copper?
No, no, fine.
654
00:36:06,680 --> 00:36:07,800
What did you think of Derek
Heard?
655
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:09,080
Good bloke, great bloke, isn't
he?
656
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:14,520
Great bloke, great bloke.
Operating out in Newcastle, not
657
00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:17,040
too far from from the Cobra
there out on the eastern
658
00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:19,200
seaboard.
But as as Mick Welland truly
659
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:22,880
knows, the greatest ground
support across the world and
660
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,240
most importantly here in our
neck of the woods in Australia,
661
00:36:25,240 --> 00:36:28,240
I've got the Q Dow manufacturing
facility still fighting the good
662
00:36:28,240 --> 00:36:29,600
fight, producing everything on
that track.
663
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:31,880
Hey, hey, Mick's next turn
around, it's going to be an
664
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:33,440
underground mine.
You know what underground mines
665
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:34,440
need they need.
Support.
666
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:36,320
They need ground support.
Sandy Ground support.
667
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:39,440
How do you think about
commodities with the most
668
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:41,440
attractive opportunities at the
moment?
669
00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:44,960
Yeah.
Look, as you say, I've done,
670
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:49,080
I've done PGMS, I've done gold,
I've done copper, I've done
671
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:51,200
zinc.
I've done these like a potash
672
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:52,960
thing in the Ethiopia at some
point.
673
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:54,680
I've like I've done just about
iron ore.
674
00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:57,400
I was a trader in zulk for six
years.
675
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:01,520
You know, like I've done most
jurisdictions, I've done most
676
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:05,520
commodities.
I'm a bit commodity agnostic,
677
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:09,560
although I do look at it like
say, say Cannington, right?
678
00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:12,920
So S 30 twos maybe maybe not
selling Cannington.
679
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:17,200
I think about that buying a
silver asset at a $50 silver
680
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:21,080
price, I'd want to be very
confident that I could strip a
681
00:37:21,080 --> 00:37:23,880
lot of costs and out of that and
get a lot of production out of
682
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:28,040
that to to, you know, because
could you see silver down 10
683
00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:29,760
bucks an ounce?
Absolutely you could.
684
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:33,840
You got to run pretty hard
operationally to, to get around
685
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:36,200
that.
So I'm I'm a bit of a counter
686
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:39,640
cyclical investor as well.
So same thing when I think about
687
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:42,760
gold, would I buy a gold asset
right now?
688
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:47,320
How do I compete using cash
versus some of these guys with
689
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:50,840
this gold paper?
It's pretty hard, right.
690
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:56,000
But would I go and run a gold
company right now that you know
691
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:59,200
is not very well run that I can
see lots of opportunities to
692
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:01,840
unlock value?
Yeah, that's and then I'm pretty
693
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:04,840
good at structuring something to
go or how do we make sure we got
694
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:08,880
some downside protection.
I'll throw it out there.
695
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,920
Lithium, you know, I know it's
been in the toilet, but like
696
00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:15,840
some point lithium, you know, if
you buy the right asset for the
697
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:18,560
right price.
I could think of AI, could think
698
00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:22,040
of a lithium company that needs
needs an activist tilt
699
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,240
Albemarle.
Yeah.
700
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:33,640
Oh well, call me something
tonight, I was thinking I want
701
00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:37,320
to be closer home.
Well, you've, you've put your
702
00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:40,080
feet in the water with with
rarest as well.
703
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:41,960
Mick, how do you, how do you
think about that?
704
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,120
Just really fascinating part of
the market.
705
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:49,120
Yeah.
So recycle private company, I
706
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:52,480
don't know, I'm just under 40%
of the thing in the US.
707
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,880
So I, I got involved in that
about four and a half years ago.
708
00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,600
I had some guys in Perth that
had bought that business in, in
709
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,200
Houston.
So I said, what do you know
710
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:03,120
about recycling?
And in the US?
711
00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:05,640
And I said, well, Stillwater
was, we were the biggest auto
712
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:08,760
catalyst recycler in the world,
right, by large margin.
713
00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:12,880
So a lot is the short answer.
So, and then I sort of, you
714
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:16,160
know, I thought, you know, back
then cyclical economy, you know,
715
00:39:16,160 --> 00:39:18,120
recycling, you know, it'd be a
great thing.
716
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:21,320
So I put some money into it and
in the winters of the rare earth
717
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:24,240
market, I was the only one
funding it for a long period of
718
00:39:24,240 --> 00:39:26,600
time.
So I ended up owning, I don't
719
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:28,320
know, whatever 39% of that
thing.
720
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:34,080
And then of of course, the whole
China, US story blew up in the
721
00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:36,120
back of my mind.
I always had this thing going.
722
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:39,080
You know, China controls 97% of
the rare earth.
723
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:41,560
That might be an important thing
at some point.
724
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:45,360
We, we had Chinese companies
offering US money all the way
725
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:46,840
along.
We would not take it.
726
00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:50,240
That company is funded by the
Department of War.
727
00:39:50,240 --> 00:39:53,720
So lots of people announced U.S.
government funding.
728
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:57,640
Not many people cash the checks.
We, we, well, we're not at the
729
00:39:57,640 --> 00:39:58,680
moment because the government
shut.
730
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:01,200
But yeah, up until a month ago,
we, we cashed the check every
731
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:04,680
month.
So, you know, that is a, you
732
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:08,080
know, producing rare earths has
produced rare earths in the US.
733
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,440
It's about to start again
probably around about February,
734
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:16,440
I think from US sourced, you
know, scrap, you know, magnet
735
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:20,840
scrap.
Let's just say the rare earth
736
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:24,560
bubble has been very bubbly.
A bit of air has come out of it
737
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:27,600
over the last week because China
and the US have Kirsten made-up.
738
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:31,200
But you know, fundamentally I
still see that I think the US
739
00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:35,080
basically will sort of go we've
got a year to to secure a
740
00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:41,400
supply.
It's an amazing thematic and you
741
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:44,720
have to be in the US.
If you are not in the US in rare
742
00:40:44,720 --> 00:40:47,800
earths, you are not going to be
anywhere.
743
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:53,240
And you know that business.
And I know, you know, someone
744
00:40:53,240 --> 00:40:56,080
that's on the board there.
He he's a, you know, great
745
00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:59,240
director and shareholder that is
a is a guest presenter on your
746
00:40:59,240 --> 00:41:03,360
show every now and again.
You know, having that American
747
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:07,520
presence is really important.
The US government is continuing
748
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:12,200
to hand out large amounts of
grants, loans, equity
749
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:17,680
investments in rare earth
production in the US And it is
750
00:41:17,680 --> 00:41:20,000
real money, right?
They are giving out real money.
751
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:22,080
This isn't sort of like some of
the excellent stuff they
752
00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:25,520
announce is remains to be seen
how much of that gets drawn.
753
00:41:25,520 --> 00:41:28,200
But some of the other stuff that
the Department of War is doing
754
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:31,920
is, is serious money.
And so, you know, if you can
755
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:36,960
produce rare earths in in near
term in the US, that's got to be
756
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:40,040
worth something.
Are you noticing more and more
757
00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:43,000
attention beings like put on
you, you know mentioned before
758
00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:45,960
we started recording that you
spend a lot of time in in the
759
00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:47,880
states.
Are you getting more and more of
760
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:51,320
these investors paying
attention, giving you a call
761
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:52,640
asking you about the the mining
world?
762
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:57,240
Yes, is yeah, that's, that's in
short, yes.
763
00:41:59,160 --> 00:42:02,440
And actually some of my large
math investors, you know,
764
00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:05,920
through the Grapevine have sort
of said like on recycle.
765
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:08,280
Oh, tell us about this recycle
thing you've got.
766
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:14,840
We'd like to give you some
money, but yeah, we're, I don't
767
00:42:14,840 --> 00:42:19,960
really comment on, on, on
Trump's politics in the US.
768
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:24,240
Not everyone's a fan.
You know, I look at it this way
769
00:42:24,240 --> 00:42:28,120
and I go, there's a couple of
things I'll say about the US
770
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:32,440
and, and the Donald.
I spend a lot of time in the UK,
771
00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:34,640
Europe and and obviously
Australia.
772
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,920
It seems to me that a lot of
people in those countries are
773
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:41,280
actually almost ashamed of their
own country.
774
00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:46,480
In the US, they're very proud,
particularly, you know, Trump
775
00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:49,320
and the Republicans, whether you
agree with these methods or not,
776
00:42:50,960 --> 00:42:53,000
they want to make the US great
again.
777
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:56,640
And they are throwing
significant amount of capital
778
00:42:56,640 --> 00:43:01,000
into the US, like the mining
industry into funding of all
779
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:06,320
these critical minerals to
actually make like make the US
780
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:09,000
produce a lot more right and not
be relying on the world.
781
00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:12,120
So we touched earlier on sort
of, you know, copper smelters
782
00:43:12,120 --> 00:43:13,920
and what's happening in the
copper smelting world.
783
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,960
And the Chinese, there's no
doubt the Chinese have flooded
784
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:20,800
the market with copper smelting
capacity, have driven TCRC's
785
00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:23,720
down to incredibly low numbers
where basically no one else can
786
00:43:23,720 --> 00:43:27,000
make money.
And that's what these tariffs,
787
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:28,920
you know, so they're trying to
push everyone else out of
788
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:35,080
business and the US is actually
trying to put measures in place
789
00:43:35,640 --> 00:43:37,440
to protect their domestic
industry.
790
00:43:37,440 --> 00:43:40,240
Now whether it's going to end up
like our Australian car industry
791
00:43:40,240 --> 00:43:44,160
with tariffs on your luxury car
tax or not, I don't know.
792
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:48,440
But if you are mining in the US
or want to be mining in the US
793
00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:53,440
right now, this is probably the
best time in the last 30 years,
794
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:57,080
40 years to be doing it.
And I was I have this main lobby
795
00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,440
group in the US called the
National Mining Association.
796
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:03,200
So I used to be an executive
board member of that spends like
797
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:06,160
80 million USA lobbying the
government roughly or more
798
00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:06,800
probably.
Now.
799
00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:12,280
I was there when Trump one point
O came in and the red tape and
800
00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:15,960
green tape that got stripped
away back then.
801
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:18,920
And what he's doing now is like
warp speed relative to what he's
802
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:23,720
did back then.
So actually the US, like if I
803
00:44:23,720 --> 00:44:26,080
was sort of going well, where
would I do something next?
804
00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:29,600
You know, I think the US would
be a great spot to go and do
805
00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:32,000
not, not all of the US, it's
like, you know, really only four
806
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:35,680
states, but you know, the mining
states in the US, that's a spot
807
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:38,760
where you'd go.
And investors, a lot of those
808
00:44:38,760 --> 00:44:42,240
big investors are chasing me for
where's some opportunities in
809
00:44:42,240 --> 00:44:47,360
the US.
Speaking of the, yeah, the
810
00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:50,400
activist type of investors out
there, let's talk about some of
811
00:44:50,520 --> 00:44:54,080
the news we've observed in the
last week, Mick, and if you've
812
00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:56,280
got any, any, any special
comments on it.
813
00:44:57,040 --> 00:45:00,040
There's been a bit heating up
just in relation to Palace's
814
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:03,960
activist campaign to, to, to Rio
Tinto of light.
815
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,360
I'm sure you've been you've been
following this one.
816
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:08,480
We have.
And yeah, they've been added a
817
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:10,200
while.
They made a lot of noise in the
818
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:14,440
lead up to Rio's AGM about the,
the push to to, to, you know,
819
00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:18,760
get rid of its dual listed DLC
structure like BHP done in the
820
00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:22,040
past and have a single listing
entity, which in theory would
821
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:25,320
make it more amenable to using
script for large M&A.
822
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:29,080
And they're now really pointing
out the opportunity to acquire
823
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:30,880
tech.
Of course tech is in play
824
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:37,080
because of the tech Anglo deal.
What do you make of the, you
825
00:45:37,080 --> 00:45:39,920
know, this activist campaign and
and and effectively like do you
826
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:42,040
think, do you, do you do you
look at this and think, you
827
00:45:42,040 --> 00:45:43,880
know, Palliser's got a point?
This makes a lot of sense.
828
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:49,240
Well, what I would say to you
again is someone like Palliser,
829
00:45:49,240 --> 00:45:51,160
I know where some of those
people have come from.
830
00:45:51,240 --> 00:45:58,440
Elliot.
These guys will have researched
831
00:45:58,560 --> 00:46:02,400
every single aspect of that
structural change, right?
832
00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:06,960
They will have done incredibly
detailed work.
833
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:12,760
So I think again, you would sort
of bat people away like this at
834
00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:17,000
your peril because they will
have done, you know, there's
835
00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:19,840
some incredibly smart people at
these kinds of places, right?
836
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:25,080
So the, so the structural thing
again, I'm not coming one way or
837
00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:27,600
another, but if someone like
Palace or Elliot turns up and
838
00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:30,560
says we think you should do
this, I think if I was on that
839
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,080
board, I'd be, I'd be giving it
a bit of consideration.
840
00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:37,720
The tech deal, you know, look,
having just done a deal that
841
00:46:37,720 --> 00:46:42,720
took five months to close from
announced to close, I don't know
842
00:46:42,720 --> 00:46:44,880
how long that Anglo tech deal is
going to take to close, but it's
843
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:47,880
going to be a long, long time.
You know, how do you keep the
844
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,960
wheels on the bus for that whole
time?
845
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:56,120
And it gives interlopers a very
long period of time in which to
846
00:46:57,760 --> 00:47:02,520
get their ducks lined up right.
And so, you know, if tech has
847
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:08,360
any sort of misstep along the
way, you know, I think there's
848
00:47:08,360 --> 00:47:13,160
an opportunity there, whether
whether a brand new CEO, you
849
00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:17,720
know, Simon's been in there for
whatever month to two months,
850
00:47:17,720 --> 00:47:20,880
whatever the number is, it's a
pretty big deal to go out, you
851
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:25,440
know, go out pretty early in
your in your tenure on so.
852
00:47:26,320 --> 00:47:31,840
But I would say because I don't
think Rio is the only people
853
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:37,440
that would be looking at that
interloper scenario, those kinds
854
00:47:37,440 --> 00:47:40,280
of assets come up once in a
generation or not, maybe not
855
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:42,800
even in a generation.
Like it's, you know, putting
856
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:47,080
your foot on those, you know,
good quality tech assets.
857
00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:51,640
There's not much out there on.
What, what, What alternatives
858
00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:53,600
should we be thinking about in
terms of our potential
859
00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:58,480
interlopers?
I'm not sure I really want to go
860
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:00,880
with that.
You know, yeah, Are we, are we
861
00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:03,000
still thinking like major minors
or are we thinking alternative
862
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:04,960
sources of capital?
We're just thinking like.
863
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:08,560
Major, major minors like, you
know, yeah, yeah, you've only
864
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:10,600
got like three or three or so to
pick.
865
00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:14,720
So like you, you know, but
honestly, it like in the Game of
866
00:48:14,720 --> 00:48:16,360
Thrones, it could be any of
them, right?
867
00:48:16,720 --> 00:48:21,600
You know, if you're sitting in
in, you know, a BD role or a or
868
00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:26,760
the chair role of any of those
other big players, you I don't
869
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:29,360
think you can just go, Nah,
we're just not going to look
870
00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:30,600
that way.
We're going to look over here.
871
00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:33,600
We're just going to ignore this.
I just don't think you can do
872
00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:34,040
that.
Right.
873
00:48:34,240 --> 00:48:38,960
So people would haven't have to
run the ruler over all these
874
00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:42,240
things.
Antitrust could be an issue
875
00:48:42,240 --> 00:48:46,720
possibly for some of them.
But yeah, it'll be interesting.
876
00:48:46,720 --> 00:48:51,960
But it's just a long, long time
to go to, to get to the answer,
877
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:53,720
right?
And it's a bit like the two, you
878
00:48:53,720 --> 00:48:56,840
know, two or three large gold
companies, you know, lots of
879
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:59,080
discussion about what could or
could not happen there.
880
00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:02,120
But jeez, that'd be that.
That'd be a long time to close
881
00:49:02,120 --> 00:49:05,600
on any of those, right?
So interlopers would have a lot
882
00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:08,320
of time.
I'm curious to hear you take on
883
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:11,480
the ability for, for Palace to,
to force change because they
884
00:49:11,560 --> 00:49:17,200
they reportedly own 400 million
bucks or or less in $100 billion
885
00:49:17,200 --> 00:49:22,240
plus company in in Rio Tinto.
Is that in in your experience
886
00:49:22,600 --> 00:49:26,080
enough given their their
experience, their nature, their
887
00:49:26,080 --> 00:49:28,080
ability to get other
shareholders on board to to
888
00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:30,440
force change?
Yeah.
889
00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:33,200
Well, again, that might be what
they own on the last filing.
890
00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:36,400
So, you know, there's nothing
stopping them buying more.
891
00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:39,920
I think again, go back to the
Stillwater example where the
892
00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:44,760
activists there owned 1.6% of
the total issued capital and
893
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:48,400
convincingly, you know, cleaned
out the half of the board
894
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:49,680
they're trying to get rid of and
this.
895
00:49:49,680 --> 00:49:51,680
And then we got rid of the CEO
shortly there afterwards.
896
00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:56,200
So, you know, the way these
activist campaigns work, unless
897
00:49:56,200 --> 00:50:00,800
it's some sort of small company
where someone buys 25% and 2 or
898
00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:06,840
20 percent 249-D someone, you
know, they have a force
899
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:08,680
multiplier.
So they own a position.
900
00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:12,240
They got enough to have a voice,
but then they go public and
901
00:50:12,240 --> 00:50:16,120
start, you know, as you've seen
start, you know, ramping up the
902
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:18,320
pressure and putting out more
and more work product.
903
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:21,760
Again, if you got nothing to do
with your time, I would search
904
00:50:21,760 --> 00:50:28,000
up iconic and Elliot and have it
is a fascinating textbook case
905
00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:34,320
of an activist situation about
how and it got very nasty.
906
00:50:36,360 --> 00:50:39,360
Paulson on detour is another
pretty good, pretty good example
907
00:50:39,360 --> 00:50:43,160
as well.
Paulson I think owned four 5%
908
00:50:43,160 --> 00:50:46,480
something like that.
So no, they don't need to own.
909
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:49,080
It's not like not like you need
to own 20% to get there.
910
00:50:49,080 --> 00:50:54,920
If you can make a sensible
rational argument that there's
911
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:58,560
value to be unlocked, then then
particularly in the London
912
00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:00,760
market, as I say, the Aussies
less so.
913
00:51:00,760 --> 00:51:03,200
But you know, in the London
market or international guys
914
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:05,800
rare be well held enough
internationally that you could
915
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:09,480
get you could get other people
on board, I would imagine if it
916
00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:11,080
makes sense, right, it's got to
make sense.
917
00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:16,240
Totally, yeah, I actually, I
listened to the the, the speech
918
00:51:16,240 --> 00:51:22,640
by the, the Palliser guy at the,
at Rio's AGM and yeah, and, and
919
00:51:22,640 --> 00:51:25,080
you, you flick through the deck
and they're incredibly
920
00:51:25,080 --> 00:51:28,960
compelling arguments.
And then the, the, the rebuttal
921
00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:31,960
from, from, from Rio, you know,
like they put together an entire
922
00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:35,960
team to to refute or to push
back on, on, on these activist
923
00:51:35,960 --> 00:51:37,880
pushes.
It's interesting here on your
924
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,600
point that like the best
strategy is actually to engage
925
00:51:40,720 --> 00:51:43,640
thoughtfully as opposed to so I
just refute.
926
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:48,120
Yeah, well, as long as they're
not asking for something
927
00:51:48,120 --> 00:51:52,000
completely unreasonable.
But you, you're always, whether
928
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:54,240
it's in your personal life and
I'm not sure my wife would
929
00:51:54,240 --> 00:51:57,320
agree, but in your personal life
or your professional life,
930
00:51:57,840 --> 00:52:01,360
you're always better to have a
conversation than an argument is
931
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:03,400
is my view.
I don't know if everybody would
932
00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:08,360
agree about about me on that,
but maybe I'll mail out a bit as
933
00:52:08,360 --> 00:52:11,600
I got a bit older.
I think there's a good nugget in
934
00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:15,040
there, Mick, a couple other
deals around the world came to
935
00:52:15,040 --> 00:52:19,760
get your your take on so clear
buying new gold.
936
00:52:20,080 --> 00:52:24,000
This is a sort of circus 7
billion U.S. dollar deal for
937
00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:27,000
those that didn't catch it out
there, 7 North American precious
938
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:29,200
metal assets pretty pretty large
scale.
939
00:52:29,200 --> 00:52:32,600
But the the the big bit of news
to come out the back of this one
940
00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:36,760
was the shareholder reaction
from the on the acquires part.
941
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:41,880
So they fell, I think 13 odd
percent on on the day of
942
00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:43,520
announcement.
And then you start getting
943
00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:47,600
people talking about is the top
end in gold, this type of deal a
944
00:52:47,720 --> 00:52:51,200
a company perhaps with a slight
change in tax silver to to gold,
945
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:53,640
that type of thing.
I'm not sure if you've had the
946
00:52:53,640 --> 00:52:56,680
chance to to study this one in
in detail, but you being in in
947
00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:59,440
North America as well familiar
with the the register and parts
948
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:01,600
of it, I'm sure.
What was your take on on the
949
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:03,880
deal and your reaction to it?
Yeah.
950
00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:05,440
Well, I know both companies
actually.
951
00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:08,760
So cores run by, you know, Mitch
Krebs who who was on the NMA
952
00:53:08,760 --> 00:53:10,400
board with me.
So I've known him for a long
953
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:12,880
period of time.
New Gold.
954
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:16,160
I do know those assets detour We
we did look at buying them
955
00:53:16,160 --> 00:53:20,760
actually they had a a pretty
challenged startup at Rainy
956
00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:25,800
River.
I think Mr. Market doesn't like
957
00:53:25,800 --> 00:53:29,200
that deal as you say it it it
the tape was down pretty
958
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:34,520
convincingly and I think it's
continued to be down and core
959
00:53:34,520 --> 00:53:38,160
has for a very long period of
time, you know, sort of been in
960
00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:41,200
the wilderness, you know, like
it's sort of it struggled for a
961
00:53:41,200 --> 00:53:44,120
long time.
They've they've they're making,
962
00:53:44,240 --> 00:53:46,200
you know, $50 silver.
They're making a squillion
963
00:53:46,200 --> 00:53:52,000
dollars of free cash now.
And it's been either them or
964
00:53:52,000 --> 00:53:54,960
Heckler has been the way in, in,
in let's call it safe North
965
00:53:54,960 --> 00:54:01,120
America to to play silver.
Yeah, it does feel a bit top of
966
00:54:01,120 --> 00:54:03,400
the market sort of to me, you
know, because the mine life like
967
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:06,440
you got new aft and they don't
own all of you've got Rainy
968
00:54:06,440 --> 00:54:09,720
River, which, you know, has been
a bit of a challenge, relatively
969
00:54:09,720 --> 00:54:13,240
short mine life.
Still, it seemed like a lot.
970
00:54:15,040 --> 00:54:17,880
You know, you've got A and
again, I haven't looked at the
971
00:54:17,880 --> 00:54:20,280
deck in detail.
I'm sure somewhere in there
972
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:22,160
someone's put the word
synergies.
973
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:24,800
We're going to save this amount
of money on synergies.
974
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:28,160
The minute I see synergies, if I
do a deal, when the vendor
975
00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:30,360
starts banging on about
synergies, I sort of try.
976
00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:33,080
And because usually I'm selling
so I don't get to control the
977
00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:35,440
narrative, but I'm usually
trying to get them to remove the
978
00:54:35,440 --> 00:54:39,520
word synergies as to the reason
why they bought my company off
979
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:41,800
me.
So yeah, look, that one looked
980
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:46,400
pretty toppy.
You know, not not great assets.
981
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:48,200
Everything looks good at $4000
gold, right?
982
00:54:48,680 --> 00:54:52,680
Yeah, yeah.
I mean, I mean, yeah, the the
983
00:54:53,880 --> 00:54:56,320
the market reaction like when
you when you have the, you know,
984
00:54:56,320 --> 00:55:00,480
the type trail off in the way it
has does that like, you know,
985
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:03,720
sometimes that leads to a whole
plethora of different, different
986
00:55:03,720 --> 00:55:06,360
scenarios and sometimes, you
know, the companies themselves
987
00:55:06,360 --> 00:55:07,640
become in play to other
companies.
988
00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:10,280
Do you think that that's a
possibility here?
989
00:55:12,600 --> 00:55:16,360
Well, it can put you in play,
there's no doubt about that.
990
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:18,720
The break fee is not enormous on
it.
991
00:55:18,720 --> 00:55:20,960
I can't remember the exact
number, but it wasn't, it wasn't
992
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:25,200
egregious.
And, and, and look, the one
993
00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:27,680
thing I would say talking to,
I've been spending a fair bit of
994
00:55:27,680 --> 00:55:31,080
time in Toronto and talking to,
to, to bankers in Perth as well,
995
00:55:31,080 --> 00:55:36,680
is with the unrealized gains,
all these gold and silver CEO
996
00:55:36,760 --> 00:55:40,320
company CEOs are on, everyone's
doing the dance, looking to get
997
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:43,320
off the trade, right.
And so, you know, talking to
998
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:45,960
bankers, there's been, there's
been, this is quite comedic
999
00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:48,520
discussions where people are
doing mergers.
1000
00:55:48,840 --> 00:55:50,920
You can't, you know, most of
mergers of equals because you
1001
00:55:50,920 --> 00:55:53,000
can't put a premium on for the
most part anymore.
1002
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:56,080
And it's like, well, no, I think
you should run it.
1003
00:55:56,080 --> 00:55:58,200
You're a better CEO.
No, no, I think you should run
1004
00:55:58,200 --> 00:56:00,520
it because everyone just
actually out and get the hell
1005
00:56:00,520 --> 00:56:05,280
out of dodge, right, So it could
put them in play.
1006
00:56:05,280 --> 00:56:09,120
I'm not sure someone would come
over the top at that price for
1007
00:56:09,120 --> 00:56:13,040
new gold.
The other angle there, I'm
1008
00:56:13,040 --> 00:56:16,920
curious to hear your take on
Mick, is, is your, your
1009
00:56:16,920 --> 00:56:19,200
shareholders being aware of what
you're doing, being aware of
1010
00:56:19,200 --> 00:56:22,360
your intention to, to do a deal
when they, when they spit the
1011
00:56:22,360 --> 00:56:24,240
dummy like this after you do a
deal.
1012
00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:27,800
Is that a bit of a sign that you
you perhaps haven't signalled as
1013
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:30,400
well as you could have that
you're out on the hunt looking
1014
00:56:30,400 --> 00:56:31,720
to do deals and that sort of
thing?
1015
00:56:33,560 --> 00:56:36,680
Yep, you, you know, there's a
fine line between obviously
1016
00:56:36,680 --> 00:56:38,960
crossing them.
So.
1017
00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:41,560
So again, on the, you know, if I
take the Mac transaction for
1018
00:56:41,560 --> 00:56:45,480
argument's sake, and this is
public, it's in the scheme
1019
00:56:45,480 --> 00:56:48,440
agreement, you know, Harmony
required us to have got sort of,
1020
00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:53,440
you know, relatively soft or
weak voting intention statements
1021
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:55,680
out of 20% of my register ex
Glencore.
1022
00:56:56,640 --> 00:57:01,800
And so we put a fair bit of
thought into who we crossed and
1023
00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:06,760
when because obviously, you
know, you know, the market, some
1024
00:57:06,760 --> 00:57:09,560
of the guys like you, you cross
them, they can't help
1025
00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:13,720
themselves, right?
And so, so like for us, we did
1026
00:57:13,720 --> 00:57:18,000
cross the, the 20% that we
needed or 25 and, and got 20% by
1027
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:23,360
the day.
Again, when I sold detour to
1028
00:57:23,360 --> 00:57:27,640
Kirkland, you know, they were
down 20% on the day of
1029
00:57:27,640 --> 00:57:30,800
announcement because, you know,
literally my stock had doubled
1030
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:34,440
in seven months.
Then they paid a 48% premium and
1031
00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:37,520
they had the hydrate Fosterville
mine and we were running a .9
1032
00:57:37,520 --> 00:57:41,200
grams gold, you know relatively
low cost but you know very
1033
00:57:41,200 --> 00:57:45,280
different thing.
And their CEO depending on which
1034
00:57:45,280 --> 00:57:48,200
version of version of the
litigation transcript you
1035
00:57:48,200 --> 00:57:53,120
believed had or had not told
investors that he would not buy
1036
00:57:53,120 --> 00:57:56,400
a low grade thing six weeks
beforehand.
1037
00:57:57,360 --> 00:58:01,480
And so you know, perhaps could
have could have dealt with that
1038
00:58:01,480 --> 00:58:04,520
a bit better.
So in this one, you know, yeah,
1039
00:58:04,520 --> 00:58:06,800
they probably could have
signaled to the market like, you
1040
00:58:06,800 --> 00:58:10,640
know, we got criticized a bit at
Mac a bit for sort of
1041
00:58:10,640 --> 00:58:13,120
telegraphing that we might be
looking to buy stuff, right?
1042
00:58:13,120 --> 00:58:15,720
And it was like, yeah, but if
I'm getting on buy something for
1043
00:58:15,720 --> 00:58:18,840
a billion dollars, I can't be
telling you a week before that
1044
00:58:18,840 --> 00:58:20,520
we're never going to buy another
asset, right?
1045
00:58:20,520 --> 00:58:23,600
You've sort of there's a very
fine balance between laying the
1046
00:58:23,600 --> 00:58:26,920
bread crumbs, you know, without
having you trade come issue all
1047
00:58:26,920 --> 00:58:30,160
the time, right?
Or in in that case, sell core
1048
00:58:30,160 --> 00:58:36,160
buy buy new gold, right?
Yep, the you know, another case
1049
00:58:36,160 --> 00:58:40,040
of silver company making a
squillion dollars right now at
1050
00:58:40,080 --> 00:58:43,920
$50 silver Fresnelo and they've
they've expressed their
1051
00:58:43,920 --> 00:58:47,000
squillion dollar profits by
buying probe gold.
1052
00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:51,600
So venturing venturing into into
Canada, 24% premium.
1053
00:58:52,560 --> 00:58:55,160
Interesting, interesting kind of
territory here.
1054
00:58:55,240 --> 00:58:59,960
You know, proximate to AG Nico's
home ground in in many respects.
1055
00:59:00,720 --> 00:59:05,400
Sweet deal or sour deal, Mick?
I, I, well, again, Mr. Market
1056
00:59:05,840 --> 00:59:07,800
hasn't vomited on this one quite
so much.
1057
00:59:09,760 --> 00:59:14,560
And it is cash, which I sort of
again tends to tell you that
1058
00:59:14,560 --> 00:59:17,120
you're getting closer to that
midnight, you know, when people
1059
00:59:17,120 --> 00:59:19,600
start, you know, spending all
their cash because they've sort
1060
00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:21,120
of got nothing else better to do
with it.
1061
00:59:21,640 --> 00:59:23,360
And I've been a beneficiary of
that a few times.
1062
00:59:23,360 --> 00:59:28,880
So I'm not complaining.
You know, I think this one, it
1063
00:59:28,880 --> 00:59:33,200
does sort of geographically
spread their risk a little bit
1064
00:59:33,200 --> 00:59:36,800
for them.
You know, it is in Agnico's, you
1065
00:59:36,800 --> 00:59:40,360
know, backyard.
You'd have to imagine Agnico.
1066
00:59:40,360 --> 00:59:42,240
I've looked at it.
Is there an interlocker risk
1067
00:59:42,240 --> 00:59:43,880
there?
Again, I did have a look at the
1068
00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:46,480
break fee.
I think it was like 30 million
1069
00:59:46,480 --> 00:59:48,920
Canadians.
It's not a, it's not like, you
1070
00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:50,120
know, that's when you do a deal,
right?
1071
00:59:50,120 --> 00:59:51,520
You're always looking at what's
the break fee?
1072
00:59:51,520 --> 00:59:57,760
What's the so, you know, again,
this sort of to me looks a bit
1073
00:59:57,760 --> 00:59:59,880
like a sort of slightly more
smarter.
1074
01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:07,280
You know, deal and I don't think
this will take too long to
1075
01:00:07,280 --> 01:00:09,760
close, but you know, you'd be
interested to see whether
1076
01:00:09,760 --> 01:00:12,800
Agnico.
Agnico's not really got a
1077
01:00:12,800 --> 01:00:16,320
history of going aggressive on
things, but it is in their
1078
01:00:16,320 --> 01:00:18,280
backyard and.
They often wait for for
1079
01:00:18,280 --> 01:00:20,560
something to be in play where,
you know, someone else sets the
1080
01:00:20,560 --> 01:00:23,400
floor block price and then they
then they move up and to your
1081
01:00:23,400 --> 01:00:27,480
point on on, you know,
management sitting on pretty
1082
01:00:27,480 --> 01:00:30,080
substantial unrealized gains
given the bull market we're in,
1083
01:00:30,080 --> 01:00:33,600
I wonder if wonder if probe was
maybe maybe just just trying to
1084
01:00:33,600 --> 01:00:36,120
field out someone to set that
floor price because they were,
1085
01:00:36,440 --> 01:00:38,920
you know, pretty damn keen to to
to sell.
1086
01:00:39,000 --> 01:00:41,200
Who knows they.
Might not have been Robinson
1087
01:00:41,200 --> 01:00:47,120
Caruso in doing that either.
Like as we all know, you know,
1088
01:00:47,160 --> 01:00:50,400
once we signed our agreement,
we, we, we had a no shop, no
1089
01:00:50,400 --> 01:00:53,000
talk clause.
But you can be rest assured that
1090
01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:57,600
we ran a very full process.
And if you got nothing to do on
1091
01:00:57,600 --> 01:01:01,280
a Sunday night and you read our
circular, you will see that up
1092
01:01:01,280 --> 01:01:04,120
until an hour before we went
into the board meeting to agree
1093
01:01:04,120 --> 01:01:07,320
to sell the company, we were
talking to the other, another
1094
01:01:07,320 --> 01:01:10,280
company, you know, with their
full team trying to get a, a
1095
01:01:10,520 --> 01:01:12,080
competing bid into the market,
right.
1096
01:01:13,560 --> 01:01:17,240
I'll have to check that one out.
I usually like those circular
1097
01:01:17,240 --> 01:01:19,400
stick, they're good.
Should we wrap it there with
1098
01:01:19,400 --> 01:01:21,160
some hidden gems guys?
Let's do it mate.
1099
01:01:21,160 --> 01:01:24,760
What do you got for us?
I have got a a book that I am
1100
01:01:24,920 --> 01:01:27,160
enjoying started reading.
It's been doing the rounds a
1101
01:01:27,160 --> 01:01:29,720
bit, but it's called breakneck
about the, the kind of
1102
01:01:29,720 --> 01:01:33,440
differences in the, the Chinese
way of doing things in the, in
1103
01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:36,600
the US way of, of doing things.
So that one, that one's pretty
1104
01:01:36,600 --> 01:01:39,040
interesting.
And another one 1929, also quite
1105
01:01:39,040 --> 01:01:43,400
popular by Andrew Ross Sorkin,
bitter reflection on, on the,
1106
01:01:43,920 --> 01:01:46,960
you know, one of the greatest
financial crashes we've ever
1107
01:01:46,960 --> 01:01:50,120
seen in in human history.
So a bit of reading for for
1108
01:01:50,120 --> 01:01:52,600
those that are so inclined.
Mick, have you got anything
1109
01:01:52,600 --> 01:01:55,600
standing out to your podcast
holiday spot that you might be
1110
01:01:55,600 --> 01:01:58,760
taking in the in the next few
days with your your hard earned
1111
01:01:58,760 --> 01:02:00,880
break or or gadget or something
sticking out to you?
1112
01:02:02,520 --> 01:02:06,240
I I'll, I'll keep quiet on my
holiday locations, but 1929, I
1113
01:02:06,240 --> 01:02:08,080
literally just bought a copy of
it yesterday.
1114
01:02:08,080 --> 01:02:10,080
Nice.
The interest.
1115
01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:13,000
So, so an observation I've got
like, you know, I spend a lot of
1116
01:02:13,000 --> 01:02:14,880
time in the US.
I've just been up there again
1117
01:02:14,880 --> 01:02:21,240
now in, you know, I can't get my
head around the fact that the US
1118
01:02:21,240 --> 01:02:23,120
government's been shut for 35
days.
1119
01:02:23,920 --> 01:02:27,000
There's 42,000,000 on food,
people on food stamps in the US
1120
01:02:27,000 --> 01:02:29,000
that just cut out on the 1st of
November.
1121
01:02:30,800 --> 01:02:33,360
I've never, I don't think I've
ever seen so much construction
1122
01:02:33,360 --> 01:02:36,320
going on in Miami and Dallas
where I've been in the last week
1123
01:02:37,240 --> 01:02:40,360
and yet and the stock market
keeps going up and up record
1124
01:02:40,360 --> 01:02:42,520
highs every day.
I can't quite get my head around
1125
01:02:42,520 --> 01:02:44,560
it.
I guess if I could, I, I, I
1126
01:02:44,560 --> 01:02:48,200
wouldn't be working anymore.
But that's my take away from the
1127
01:02:48,200 --> 01:02:52,200
week is that, is that the US
just continues to power on.
1128
01:02:52,720 --> 01:02:55,800
Like I think in Dallas yesterday
I saw more construction in in
1129
01:02:55,800 --> 01:02:58,240
the day than I would have seen
in Perth in the last five years.
1130
01:02:59,280 --> 01:03:01,440
Well, my my hidden gem might
answer the question that you've
1131
01:03:01,560 --> 01:03:02,640
you've got on your mind.
There.
1132
01:03:03,320 --> 01:03:06,760
That's the latest the latest
article from Ray Dalio titled
1133
01:03:06,800 --> 01:03:12,720
Running it Hot into a Bubble.
A bit a bit for all of us to
1134
01:03:12,720 --> 01:03:15,280
think about in there.
Mick, thanks a bunch for for
1135
01:03:15,280 --> 01:03:18,720
joining us on on Money of mine.
Fantastic to to learn about your
1136
01:03:18,720 --> 01:03:20,800
journey and get your take on on
everything happening in the
1137
01:03:20,800 --> 01:03:22,200
mining world.
So I really appreciate it.
1138
01:03:23,280 --> 01:03:24,120
Right.
Thanks, Gav.
1139
01:03:24,280 --> 01:03:24,920
How?
About that mate.
1140
01:03:25,120 --> 01:03:28,120
There we go mate, one of the one
of the most experienced sort of
1141
01:03:28,120 --> 01:03:31,080
guys in in the industry.
Fantastic to to chat and get
1142
01:03:31,080 --> 01:03:34,280
some interesting takes on almost
every commodity under the sun
1143
01:03:34,600 --> 01:03:36,000
jurisdictions all around the
world.
1144
01:03:36,000 --> 01:03:38,320
So yeah, that was that was
fantastic mate and all made
1145
01:03:38,320 --> 01:03:41,640
possible by our fantastic
partners in the show Sand big
1146
01:03:41,640 --> 01:03:45,040
ground support also got the guys
at Introlinks supporting us.
1147
01:03:45,040 --> 01:03:47,600
Check them out.
And last but not least, focus
1148
01:03:47,600 --> 01:03:50,360
the platform by market tech
Hudaru.
1149
01:03:51,520 --> 01:03:54,360
Now remember, I'm an idiot.
JD is an idiot.
1150
01:03:54,680 --> 01:03:56,760
If you thought any of this was
anything other than
1151
01:03:56,760 --> 01:03:59,440
entertainment, you're an idiot
and you need to read out a
1152
01:03:59,440 --> 01:03:59,960
disclaimer.