Nov. 7, 2025

Mick McMullen on Deals, Discipline and Activism

What does it take to create billions in value – and reshape an industry? In this episode, industry veteran Mick McMullen shares lessons from the front lines of major deals and corporate strategy, with insights from his roles at Stillwater, Detour, and MAC Copper. With more than $10B in transactions under his belt, Mick discusses what drives successful mergers, what makes copper a battleground for value, and why some deals get done while others stall. We also get candid about shareholder activism – the art of pushing for change inside miner’s – and dig into the week’s biggest stories: Palliser urging Rio to bid for Teck Coeur’s “top of the market” move for New Gold Fresnillo’s cash play for Probe Gold This was recorded on 6.11.2025.

…………… 

    

TIMESTAMPS  

(00:00) Gold's Greatest Irony (0:00) - Introduction & Guest Background
(2:10) - Activist Investing & Shareholder Value
(7:10) - Building and Selling Mac Copper
(13:20) - Cap Structure & Operational Challenges
(18:10) - Harmony Acquisition & Deal Process
(22:50) - Reflections on Missed Deals & M&A
(29:30) - Synergies, Cobar, and Regional Assets
(36:40) - Fast Turnarounds & Notable Transactions
(43:50) - Activist Campaigns & Board Dynamics
(50:30) - Capital, Private Equity, & US Mining
(56:40) - Industry Trends, Commodities, and Final Thoughts
(1:02:00) - Book Recommendations & Episode Wrap-Up

…………… 

Join 14k+ subscribers to the ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Director’s Special⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠: one daily email with all the news that matters in mining

……………

PARTNERS

Thank you to the mining services businesses that make this content possible:

⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Sandvik Ground Support⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ – The only ground support you’ll ever need

⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Focus by Marketech⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ – All your mining news and market needs in one powerful platform | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠10-day free trial⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

……………

FOLLOW & CONNECT

• YouTube: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MoneyofMine⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

• Twitter / X: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@moneyofminepod⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

• Travis Ricciardo: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@TRAVmoneyofmine⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

• Jonas Dorling: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@JDmoneyofmine⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

• Email us Word on the Decline: gc@moneyofmine.com

……………

JOIN THE GROUP CHAT

Note: the Messenger group chat has been sunset by Facebook. We have migrated to a Discord server

• Join the Money of Mine ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Discord Server⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

……………

DISCLAIMER

All information in this podcast is for education and entertainment purposes only and is of general nature only. Please ensure you read our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠full disclaimer⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.

1
00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,160
An activist's wet dream is when
the incumbents just say no,

2
00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:05,880
right?
If I turn up in your boardroom

3
00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:08,720
fronting for an activist, it's
usually not a great day for the

4
00:00:08,720 --> 00:00:11,720
board because we probably know
more about your company than you

5
00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:15,720
do.
Maybe it's a good place to

6
00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:18,640
start.
JD is yeah, maybe some some

7
00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:23,440
interesting like reflections on
on the the deal making history

8
00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,480
of of particularly Mac, but we
can even go further back in time

9
00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:28,640
as well.
Making, you know, delighted you

10
00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:32,640
are you are joining us for for
our our episode today.

11
00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:34,800
Lots of experience that you've
had, lots of different

12
00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,200
commodities, lots of parts of
the world, lots of types of

13
00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,640
people, lots of different
operations, lots of deals, lots

14
00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:43,600
of different, yeah, lots of
deals, lots of different themes,

15
00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:47,280
some recurring themes.
And yeah, when I, when I, you

16
00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:49,600
know, in the time we've been
doing the podcast, the, the,

17
00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:52,360
the, the company that we've
associated with you

18
00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:55,520
predominantly has of course been
Metals Acquisition Corp, but or,

19
00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:58,680
or later called Mac copper, But
that wasn't, that's kind of a

20
00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:00,400
small blip in your, in, in your
history.

21
00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:04,280
But I do want to start there
because I reckon the most common

22
00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:06,200
question you would have been
asked in your time at Metals

23
00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:07,840
Acquisition Corp is what are you
going to buy?

24
00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:09,880
And in the end, you didn't buy
anything.

25
00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:13,960
You you got bought so we.
We we were acquired.

26
00:01:13,960 --> 00:01:15,560
So why?
So why'd you do that?

27
00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:20,880
Cool.
Look, I think so this is my 8th

28
00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:26,320
exit that I've done so far and
one of the reasons that I always

29
00:01:26,320 --> 00:01:28,680
get money out of like big
institutional shareholders,

30
00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:30,000
right?
Like your black rocks, your

31
00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:34,400
Wellingtons, your sailing
stones, is that we're all about

32
00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:38,200
shareholder value.
So, so, and I've done a lot of

33
00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,920
activist investing, which again
is all about share all the value

34
00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:42,880
and we go through some of my
other transactions.

35
00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:47,640
So, so we set the business up.
You know, when I was, I'd been

36
00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:51,040
living in North America, moved
back to Perth during COVID

37
00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,280
thinking, oh, well, I'll be
there for three or four months,

38
00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:56,480
personal COVID quite well, I'll
be there for a few months and

39
00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:59,200
I'll come back little knowing
I'd get stuck there for two

40
00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:00,360
years, right?
And we couldn't leave.

41
00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:02,920
So we set the business up.
It was a SPAC, as you guys well

42
00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:06,480
know, because you could do that
remotely and we bought the

43
00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:10,160
business with a view to growing
to be a mid tier miner, right?

44
00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:13,080
Like something like a sand fiery
type sort sort of business.

45
00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:16,760
Multiple assets of scale.
Mac is the smallest thing I've

46
00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:18,760
run in a decade by a fair
margin.

47
00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:23,720
And we did have a fairly good
crack at buying a couple of

48
00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:26,240
other assets that would have
given us that scale.

49
00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:30,280
Multiple assets, 100,125
thousand tons a year, copper

50
00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,440
production or copper equivalent.
And for whatever reason, we just

51
00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:38,480
couldn't quite get there.
And so, you know, and I'm sure

52
00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:41,160
you guys have got the graph
somewhere, but you know, if you

53
00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:44,440
graph our share price up versus
the US dollar copper price, LME

54
00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:47,680
copper price, we traded
inversely to the copper price

55
00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:49,760
for the previous 12 months
before I sold it.

56
00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:53,320
So if you sort of got a thematic
that copper is going up and

57
00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:56,800
you're trading inversely to the
copper price, you know, that's

58
00:02:56,800 --> 00:03:00,200
not a great thematic, right.
So ultimately we, we, we

59
00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:03,520
couldn't grow.
I've run a few single asset

60
00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:07,040
companies before where you
inevitably get to a point in

61
00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:09,880
that single asset companies life
where you've, you've chopped all

62
00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:13,600
the wood, you fix the business,
you've, you've got as much out

63
00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:15,920
of it as you can, or you've got
a pathway to, to get where

64
00:03:15,920 --> 00:03:19,040
you're going to go.
And if you're not buying, then

65
00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:21,360
you're selling, right?
Like it's, it's difficult as a

66
00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:24,480
single asset company, no matter
how great that asset is, you

67
00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:28,760
know, 4% head grade sitting out
in Coburg, Best place actually

68
00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:30,320
in the world to operate, I
reckon.

69
00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:35,240
Maybe I'm a bit biased, but if
you can't get shareholder value

70
00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:39,480
and you can't grow the business,
then you need to consider other

71
00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,040
alternatives, right?
And, and at the same time, as

72
00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:45,400
you know, when we were looking
at the asset in Portugal, Nevis

73
00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:47,400
Corvo that we, that we bid hard
on.

74
00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:52,160
And I honestly, I thought we
had, and you sort of put

75
00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:54,320
yourself into play a bit.
You know, when you, when the

76
00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:56,880
market knows like it's all
confidential, but everyone

77
00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:00,120
right, knew you could read it in
the IFR that we were in that

78
00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:04,440
process that then spurs other
people to come in and knock on

79
00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:08,000
your door.
And because we're, our primary

80
00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,920
listing was the US, we weren't
Delaware domiciled, but still

81
00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:14,200
being US listed, you don't
really have the option as a

82
00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:17,320
board member to just tell people
to bugger off when they, if

83
00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:20,519
they're a credible bidder,
cashed up the ability to

84
00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:23,240
execute, understand the kind of
mining you're in.

85
00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:27,240
You actually have a director's
duty to engage with them and see

86
00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:31,040
whether you can get a, a better
result than going your own path.

87
00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:32,640
And, and ultimately that's what
happened, right?

88
00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:33,920
Yeah, that, that's where we
ended.

89
00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:36,840
If we could have grown the
business to have multiple

90
00:04:36,840 --> 00:04:41,760
assets, you know, to get a
better EBITDA multiple, that

91
00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:43,280
absolutely was the way we would
have gone.

92
00:04:43,280 --> 00:04:47,040
So, but again, as a director
CEO, I could have sat there for

93
00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:50,120
three years and moaned about my
multiple relative to sandfires,

94
00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:52,960
multiple collected a paycheck
along the way.

95
00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:54,680
But was that the right thing for
shareholders?

96
00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:57,560
No, it wasn't.
So we act in the best interests

97
00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:00,240
of shareholders.
It's it, you know, it was, it

98
00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,720
was, it was always interesting
listening to Mac up his calls.

99
00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:05,960
You'd always get some operation
operational insights.

100
00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:07,920
And you know, it was, it was
clear that there were

101
00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:11,000
operational efficiencies being
driven at the site to to, you

102
00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:14,680
know, improve, you know, a whole
host of different, different

103
00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:17,040
figures.
But but it did always, it always

104
00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:21,240
seemed from the outside like the
the cap structure was just such

105
00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:25,440
a huge barrier to to push past
in, in generating kind of like

106
00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:27,160
free cash flow.
Would you would you agree with

107
00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:29,040
that characterization?
And I know that that cap

108
00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:31,600
structure was a necessary
component of getting the deal

109
00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:34,160
done in the 1st place, but is
that a fair characterization?

110
00:05:35,280 --> 00:05:38,600
I think it's right and partly
I'll say 2 comments.

111
00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:42,480
So the initial cap structure,
like we were levered, we had a

112
00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:44,800
fair bit of debt on the balance
sheet when we bought that asset,

113
00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:49,520
right, You know.
And so we moved aggressively to

114
00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:51,880
delever the balance sheet, you
know, raise all that money in

115
00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:54,040
the ASX.
The OPS made a fair bit of free

116
00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:56,720
cash as well.
So by the time we sold it, you

117
00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,240
know, net debt was, was very
manageable.

118
00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,480
The streams, I think and the
sort of the warrants that we had

119
00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,800
from the SPAC structure and
everyone got their knickers in a

120
00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:08,560
nod about, oh, you've got these
warrants, there's just some

121
00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:10,920
options, right?
So we, and the beauty in, in

122
00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:13,480
America is you can redeem them.
So we called those in, we

123
00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:15,000
cleaned that up, we cleaned the
debt up.

124
00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:17,840
The streams you couldn't clean
up.

125
00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:21,960
Australian investors in
particular really struggle with

126
00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:26,680
streams and, and you guys did an
episode recently explaining how

127
00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:29,040
streams work.
That would have been quite

128
00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:32,520
useful for a few of our
potential Australian

129
00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:35,240
shareholders or people who
couldn't get, you know, to me,

130
00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:36,960
I'm just a spreadsheet kind of
guy, right?

131
00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:38,600
Like I just put it all into a
spreadsheet.

132
00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,600
I run the numbers and it comes
out with an answer and you know,

133
00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:44,800
if you've got a 3% stream or
let's just, you just don't

134
00:06:44,800 --> 00:06:46,400
allocate for 3% of the metal,
right?

135
00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:49,440
Like it's quite, it's quite
simple, but I fully agree with

136
00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:53,800
you and, and, and I still don't
have an exact answer as to why

137
00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:56,000
we tried it inversely to the
copper price.

138
00:06:56,280 --> 00:06:59,440
There's no disputing that.
We did, you know, copper, copper

139
00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:02,160
fell out of bed.
Our share price went up partly

140
00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:06,120
because we were quite a low cost
producer, partly I think perhaps

141
00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:10,400
because we had those copper
contingents with Glencore that,

142
00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:12,520
you know, perhaps people were
thinking, oh, we're going to

143
00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:14,560
have to raise equity for that.
The reality is we never were

144
00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:16,520
going to raise equity.
We always had the money to pay

145
00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:19,440
them.
But there's no doubt the cap

146
00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:23,120
structure was in the Australian
market.

147
00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:26,360
In the North American market, I
don't think the cap structure

148
00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:27,760
really was a hindrance
whatsoever.

149
00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:31,520
You'd be you'd be struggling to
find a mid tier gold or copper

150
00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:33,920
company in Canada that doesn't
have a stream or two on them.

151
00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:37,920
I've got to, I've got to get
ultimately Harmony was the

152
00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,600
acquirer.
Now we, we, we sort of alluded

153
00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:44,480
to a potential Harmony Mac deal
a couple of times in our I know

154
00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:47,680
the director special in the lead
up and not that our Intel was

155
00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:50,760
ever like concrete, but you
know, what do you know?

156
00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,480
I'll actually, I've been
comfortable admitting how, how,

157
00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:55,120
how we, how we got tipped off on
this one.

158
00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:58,880
Apparently, apparently Harmony
came to site wearing Harmony

159
00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:07,560
shirts for DD.
Surely, surely you think a bit

160
00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:14,240
more thoughtfully than that.
Harmony hasn't done a corporate

161
00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:18,040
MNA and it was running 20
something years ago.

162
00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:22,760
And notwithstanding we have a
standard protocol of like here's

163
00:08:22,760 --> 00:08:24,840
your matte copper shirt when you
walk through the door.

164
00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:31,080
I'm not sure that the cobar hot
bike that they that that rule

165
00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:38,520
got observed down in town.
But again, look, we took a large

166
00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:40,280
amount of cash out of you know,
this is the thing, right?

167
00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:41,600
Yeah.
We'll talk a bit later on about

168
00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:47,520
where we are in the market, you
know, a, a factor of where you

169
00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:49,240
think you might be in the mining
cycle.

170
00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:51,880
You know, Robin Witham's old
clock, you know the, the clock

171
00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:56,880
that he used to do, you know,
all cash bids you're getting

172
00:08:57,120 --> 00:08:58,480
towards the end of that clock,
right?

173
00:08:58,480 --> 00:08:59,840
You're getting towards midnight,
right.

174
00:08:59,960 --> 00:09:04,400
So these guys fronted up with
the cash, you know, as a board,

175
00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:07,800
we, we, we seriously considered
just going in our own way.

176
00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:11,760
But again, if you were to plot
up our and we did a chart for

177
00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:15,240
the board as part of the pack,
our EBITDA generated versus

178
00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:18,520
share price, you know, we just
had EBITDA multiple compression

179
00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:22,120
from when we bought the asset to
when we sold the asset.

180
00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:24,080
We just saw the multiple just
compress.

181
00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:28,040
And so it was like, well, I've
got a, I've got a viable bidder

182
00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:32,400
here.
The alternative is at what point

183
00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:34,840
am I going to be able to get
that to turn around for my

184
00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:37,760
shareholders given that we
delivered on everything.

185
00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:41,720
So, so in the quarter before we
bought it, the C1 cost was about

186
00:09:42,560 --> 00:09:47,560
$3 and change USA pound and in
the last two months that we that

187
00:09:47,560 --> 00:09:52,840
we when we you know, June, July
we're at a dollar a pound and my

188
00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:57,360
EBITDA multiple went down.
So you sort of go, I can sit

189
00:09:57,360 --> 00:10:01,000
here and moan about that
valuation forever, or I can let

190
00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:03,680
my shareholders take, you know,
money off the table and make a

191
00:10:03,680 --> 00:10:06,240
return, redeploy it.
Like I know a bunch of my big

192
00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:09,200
holders redeployed it into a
bunch of other things that have

193
00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,560
ripped as well.
So like my job is to make money

194
00:10:11,560 --> 00:10:16,600
for shareholders and, and as
much as I love Cobar, I'd like,

195
00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:20,400
I spent a lot of time out there,
you know, far too many chicken

196
00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:25,040
schnitzels in the Cobar golfy.
And but that's the right thing

197
00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:27,200
for shareholders, right?
You make money for shareholders

198
00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:29,160
because you can always go back
and get money again.

199
00:10:29,480 --> 00:10:33,400
Me, I'm curious to hear when,
when you reflect on the forward

200
00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,440
year year journey with a bit of
hindsight now, are there perhaps

201
00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:40,760
deals or other things you, you
wish you might have done just

202
00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:43,280
along the way expanding?
I mean you mentioned Nevis Corvo

203
00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:45,960
there as as one potential
transaction that you went pretty

204
00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:47,880
hard on.
But were there, were there other

205
00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:49,760
really big ones that stand out
when you think back on it?

206
00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:55,320
Look again, it was in the press.
This is not pub non public info.

207
00:10:55,360 --> 00:10:57,080
We had a pretty good look at
North parks.

208
00:10:57,080 --> 00:11:00,440
We quite like N parks at a price
point.

209
00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:03,640
We were not, you know, that that
stream again, you know, big

210
00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:08,400
stream that sat on that really
impinged that asset a fair bit.

211
00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:10,720
Notwithstanding what's happened
to metal prices.

212
00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,880
We we absolutely would have
liked to have bought that for a

213
00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:16,000
price, just not the price that
are traded for.

214
00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:20,640
Obviously there's been a fair
bit of press about us, you know,

215
00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:22,880
having a good look at Mount Isa,
but you know, just

216
00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:26,560
fundamentally, you know,
Glencore, Gary was never quite

217
00:11:26,560 --> 00:11:29,200
ready to transact on it in the
time frame.

218
00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:31,640
And, and again, as a board we
sort of said, well, what if we

219
00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:35,000
don't sell?
You know, do we hang around and

220
00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:38,200
wait for maybe Nevish Corvo in
another two years?

221
00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:42,400
Do we wait for Glencore decide
they do want to sell man eyes or

222
00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:45,120
after they've shut, you know,
obviously shut the copper mine

223
00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:48,200
getting a funding deal on the
smelter.

224
00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:50,840
Smelting world has got really
tough with the Chinese

225
00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:54,200
oversupply of smelting capacity,
you know, so it's that's going

226
00:11:54,200 --> 00:11:58,560
to be a tough asset.
So you know, we looked at lots

227
00:11:58,560 --> 00:12:00,440
of those things.
We looked at some stuff offshore

228
00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:02,920
as well.
You know, we like again, when

229
00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:06,640
you're a single asset company,
you, you, you sort of got to go

230
00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:10,160
big or go home.
So you know, we, we if you think

231
00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:13,720
in the Iberian pyrite belt
there's a 50,000 tonne a year

232
00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:16,480
copper producer there, that's a
single asset company that you

233
00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:19,080
know we quite like.
You know, we like, we like that

234
00:12:19,200 --> 00:12:22,720
Atalaya.
Well, I'm not really saying who.

235
00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,760
But you know, like.
There's a 50,000 tonne a year

236
00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,640
single asset in the idea and
final.

237
00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,680
But yeah, but you know, you sort
of like all of these single

238
00:12:31,680 --> 00:12:33,840
asset companies, you end up in
that position, right?

239
00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:39,200
Like and, and you know, fund
managers tell me when Capstone

240
00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:42,800
listed on the ASX a month after
we listed on the ASX or six

241
00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:47,960
weeks or whatever between then
and when we sold, Capstone got

242
00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:51,440
$0.60 of every new copper dollar
on the ASX.

243
00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:54,880
So that really took the wind out
of our sails.

244
00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:57,240
And then obviously probably the
majority of the rest of it went

245
00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:01,520
into sand fire because you know,
funds these days it's just a

246
00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,400
liquidity and scale game, right?
And so that's why these things

247
00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:07,600
get, you know, big valuation
multiples.

248
00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:11,040
I'm sure you've seen the pitch
decks, you know, it's in gold,

249
00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:13,000
it's been gold forever, it's in
base metals.

250
00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:17,440
There's a clear relationship
between scale and liquidity and

251
00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:21,320
multiple.
And, and so if you're, you know,

252
00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:25,200
let's say you go down a run from
where we were like to the sort

253
00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:29,360
of, you know, there's this, you
know, we've looked at all the 15

254
00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:32,480
to 20,000 ton a year copper
producers in Australia or copper

255
00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:34,160
hopefuls.
But you look at the multiple,

256
00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:36,960
they try that and they'll
probably half the multiple we

257
00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:38,920
were trading at, except for
develop.

258
00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:41,560
Bill does a great job.
Bills got a pretty solid

259
00:13:41,560 --> 00:13:44,560
multiple, shall we say.
And, and in all, you know, I was

260
00:13:44,560 --> 00:13:47,000
a big shareholder and I was on
the board there with Bill for

261
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:49,760
two years.
So, but, but in general, there's

262
00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:53,320
a very clear relationship
between scale liquidity and, and

263
00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,040
and multiple, right.
So you have to get big or you go

264
00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:57,960
home.
Sometimes that multiple is also

265
00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:00,000
just related to the quality of
the assets as well, like you're

266
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:02,480
bigger because you have longer
life and lower cost assets.

267
00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:04,160
And maybe that's when you
justify a big multiple.

268
00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,600
And some, some of that is
presumably a factor of yeah,

269
00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:09,480
scale, like the, the indexes
you're in, which now give you a

270
00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:13,160
bigger, bigger multiple.
The the Does it feel like Iser

271
00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:15,240
is in play again now?
Just out of curiosity?

272
00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:22,400
Look, Glencore is Glencore, and
again, I bought the asset off

273
00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:24,800
them.
You know, my chair was on the

274
00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,840
Glencore board for nine years.
You know, I know Gary very well.

275
00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:29,760
I've had a Glencore go on my
board.

276
00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,000
So, you know, we have a great
relationship with Glencore.

277
00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:34,840
You know, with Glencore,
everything's for sale.

278
00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:38,720
Yeah, at a price.
Always the.

279
00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:44,400
World's for sale.
It's hard to see how having just

280
00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:46,720
taken all that money off the
Queensland government, they

281
00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:50,120
could turn around and sell that
asset right now, I think.

282
00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:54,120
But if someone offered them the
right price, you know, but it

283
00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:57,240
but it wouldn't be an asset that
would be for everyone, right?

284
00:14:57,240 --> 00:15:04,120
Like it is, you know, it is a
turn around specialist job and

285
00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:06,000
there are people that can do
that in Australia.

286
00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:10,040
But you know, it is it it's it's
got a not small environmental

287
00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:12,000
ability on that thing and a
culture there.

288
00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:16,720
You know, when I look at assets,
I'm always about the culture,

289
00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:19,400
right?
So you look at the culture there

290
00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,080
and there's a fair bit of work
to do on the culture there,

291
00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:24,840
which would be a big opportunity
if you could crack it.

292
00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:28,920
But you know that eyes are old
time culture is interesting.

293
00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:31,760
That, that is really fascinating
to, to hear.

294
00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:34,760
And if we, if we zoom out and
look around the grounds that are

295
00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:37,880
at the other Aussie assets,
that's more the, the undeveloped

296
00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:40,040
ones, because you mentioned
there the, the difference in

297
00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:41,520
multiple.
I think this is a really

298
00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:45,240
interesting lens to kind of take
because there's the transactions

299
00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:48,280
we've seen in recent times, Rex
being one of those ones that

300
00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:50,280
comes to mind.
And then the ones that haven't

301
00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:53,400
quite happened yet that people
chat about the, the Havilars,

302
00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:55,680
the, the caravels that these
types of assets.

303
00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:59,240
Are there ones of that kind of
nature that you got close to,

304
00:15:59,960 --> 00:16:02,040
you know, with the with the
opportunity being that you would

305
00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:06,680
have to develop the project?
We looked at them all.

306
00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:12,400
I've got to say my, you know, I
built Triton out between Lincoln

307
00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:14,280
and Cobar 20 something years
ago, right.

308
00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,720
So like I, you know, I'm not
averse to building a mind.

309
00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:21,240
I generally don't lean in too
hard on development assets

310
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:24,560
unless it's like a sort of an
adjacent brown feely type thing,

311
00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:27,320
mainly because I'm too
impatient.

312
00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:28,800
Right.
Like if you've got a development

313
00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:31,400
asset, you know, yeah, you can
buy it at a peed and have of

314
00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:34,000
point 2.3 whatever the number
is, right?

315
00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:37,560
Much less than a producing
asset, but your risk is much

316
00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:40,640
higher.
But more importantly, the time

317
00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:44,840
to get to the answer is much
longer, right, Because

318
00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:48,680
permitting is only getting
longer, you know, it inevitably

319
00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:52,560
takes more.
There is an asset we really

320
00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:57,840
liked in the US actually that
was a sort of a development

321
00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:00,360
asset, big open pit with an
underground thing that have been

322
00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:04,319
a disaster.
And, and but the big open pit

323
00:17:04,319 --> 00:17:07,920
actually looks, we we quite like
the look of that a lot.

324
00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:14,040
But yeah, we've looked at them
all the all of those things need

325
00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:19,000
$5 plus copper sort of forever,
right?

326
00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,319
So.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.

327
00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:27,040
I don't disagree on the, on the,
the development case of those

328
00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:33,080
undeveloped projects, the yeah,
I, I, I mean when you, when,

329
00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:35,880
when you look at the, the
undeveloped stuff that that

330
00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:41,040
totally makes sense.
But I also just I, I wonder if

331
00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:45,040
why didn't you do a deal on any
of the car buy assets like this

332
00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:47,800
will be like you would have been
asked all the time, you know,

333
00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:49,840
what are you going to, are you
going to move on to Irelia?

334
00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:53,880
Are you going to move on, on PL.
You did do a, a kind of a

335
00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:57,560
synergistic arrangement with,
with Poly metals, but everyone

336
00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:00,360
talks about cobar synergies and
maybe the synergies are harder

337
00:18:00,360 --> 00:18:03,080
to have, maybe they're more
complex or are not well

338
00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:06,520
understood, but you know, to
what extent can you enlighten us

339
00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:10,880
and everyone about the nature of
like where synergies lie in the

340
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:13,600
go bar?
I, I, I think there's huge

341
00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:16,720
synergies to be had.
You know, if you sort of start

342
00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:19,600
further away, you've got peel,
which would be the furthest one,

343
00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:23,920
which is a bit sort of stranded
because you know, it's never

344
00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:25,280
going to be big enough to build
a plant.

345
00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:28,840
You know the cost of building a
plant these days is is is

346
00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:31,960
multiples of where it was like
when I built Triton 900,000 ton

347
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:37,200
a year concentrator, 26
kilometre pipeline power line

348
00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:43,400
and a decline down to 200
meters, 2339 million Australian

349
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:47,480
dollars for all of that, right.
Cobar's long infrastructure

350
00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:49,160
though, so you don't need to
build plants, right?

351
00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,240
No, no.
But, well, it's long

352
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:55,920
infrastructure, but management's
are entrenched.

353
00:18:56,120 --> 00:18:59,040
Yeah, and they don't want to do
deals because they're all

354
00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:04,200
hanging on for dear life.
So if we start, you know, Peel

355
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,480
never going to be big enough to
build a build a plant.

356
00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,160
It really has got some
interesting stuff.

357
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:12,040
Got actually probably got the
best expiration package outside

358
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:18,080
of CSA in the whole bill.
Obviously we had discussions

359
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:20,920
with everybody, right?
Like, you know, we were there,

360
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:24,320
we were funded, given my
institutional backing, we could

361
00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:26,480
raise any amount of money you
wanted sort of thing.

362
00:19:28,360 --> 00:19:31,320
Like for Nevis Corvo, we figured
we'd do a billion dollar equity

363
00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:35,440
raise in the morning and I had a
soft circle with eight funds

364
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:42,120
already.
So, you know, I think the assets

365
00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,680
that are really are gone are
interesting, but they're they're

366
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:47,440
all still what somewhat scrappy,
right?

367
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,360
Like there's nothing that's like
a CSA, you know, you haven't got

368
00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:52,960
20 million tons of 5% sitting in
one spot.

369
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:57,080
Holly Metals.
We really liked Endeavour.

370
00:19:57,080 --> 00:20:00,560
I know Sprayly very well.
You know, a tragic accident, you

371
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:05,040
know, the, the recently which
has really affected the town of

372
00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:07,120
my dad, actually the, the whole
town.

373
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,120
And you know, we really like
Endeavour.

374
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:13,720
I've known Sprayly for 20 years.
He's a great operator.

375
00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:18,280
We sort of looked at it and saw
thought well, a, we couldn't buy

376
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,160
it at the right price because he
owns so much of it.

377
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,240
He owned like 45% of it, him and
his mates.

378
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:26,840
We didn't really want to own a
zinc mine, but we wanted an

379
00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:28,960
outlet for our zinc and I wanted
some water off him.

380
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,760
So we did the deal.
Honestly, we made three times

381
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:35,200
our money on that and actually
funded the entire Marin mine

382
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:38,480
development out of out of my
little day trading, you know,

383
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:40,560
little day trading account with
that thing.

384
00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:46,680
And it's got, you know, not a
small amount of acid drainage on

385
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:50,040
that TSF up there that we didn't
really think fit our, you know,

386
00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,360
clean, green, environmentally
friendly mantra.

387
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:57,360
But but look, there's definitely
a consolidation you can do

388
00:20:57,360 --> 00:20:58,680
there.
But, you know, trying to get

389
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:03,240
people to actually have a
conversation is really

390
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,960
difficult.
You know, we, I'm the most

391
00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:08,720
commercial guy you'll ever come
across, right?

392
00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:12,800
Like we just get deals done.
Not everyone is like that.

393
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,800
Not everyone is thinking, is
this the best thing for

394
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:17,880
shareholders and will it do me
out of a job?

395
00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:22,520
Quite frankly, I look at things
and I go if, if you own enough

396
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:25,120
equity in the business and you
end up doing yourself out of a

397
00:21:25,120 --> 00:21:28,640
job, great result for
shareholders and great result

398
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:32,400
for me.
So I, I think there is a, there

399
00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:34,880
is a solution there.
The challenge you'll have now is

400
00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:37,480
Harmony is a monster sized
company.

401
00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:40,120
You know, the huge gold price,
they're making a squillion

402
00:21:40,120 --> 00:21:43,040
dollars.
They don't have a currency to

403
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,000
use in Australia now, whereas we
did.

404
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:49,120
So, you know, again, they'd have
to pay cash for anything and you

405
00:21:49,120 --> 00:21:52,200
know, haven't had a look at
Aurelia for a few weeks, but you

406
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:56,320
know, that's probably a 600
million Aussie, 700 million

407
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:58,880
Aussie bid price.
That's a fair bit for those

408
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:02,640
assets, I think.
Yeah, Your comment on being

409
00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:06,640
being happy to do deals, I mean
like we were, we were, we were

410
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:10,040
struck going through the the
history of how short your tenure

411
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:14,200
was at some, some companies
between getting, yeah, getting

412
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:15,720
the helm and actually
transacting.

413
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:21,400
It was like detour.
April to January detour $4.9

414
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:25,000
billion Canadian deal.
Yeah, it was the I started isn't

415
00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:28,160
on the 1st of May I announced
the deal I think it was like the

416
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:33,840
26th of November closed on the
31st of June, January sorry and

417
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,920
it was 2.1 billion market cap
when I started and sold it for

418
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:42,200
4.9.
Not a bad eight-month, 8 month

419
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:47,760
spell was the, was the, the sort
of thinking when, when you were

420
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:50,160
sort of, you know, vetting the
job, getting, getting involved

421
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,200
that, that type of thing turn
around project.

422
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,920
See what we can kind of do is, I
mean, it's clear in your, your,

423
00:22:55,960 --> 00:23:00,080
your, you know, that you like
doing deals and, and these sorts

424
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:01,640
of things.
Is that always in the in the

425
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,080
back of the mind or just
assessing it as it goes?

426
00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:08,240
Thinking about value as you go?
Whichever the best way to

427
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,920
unearth value is right.
So in that particular instance

428
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:14,520
that had been the subject of a
very high profile activist

429
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:18,440
campaign led by a guy out in New
York called John Paulson, who,

430
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:20,720
you know, you may know, short of
the US housing market.

431
00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:24,440
If you watch that movie, the Big
Short, you know, he's one of

432
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:29,720
those guys interesting cat, you
know, ran a campaign on the

433
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,000
basis of it's too cheap.
We're going to say, I think the

434
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:36,040
stock was 10 bucks Canadian.
We're going to fix it and we're

435
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:39,760
going to sell it at 14, right.
And I and I came in as the Ceoi

436
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:43,840
sold it at $28.50 seven months
later.

437
00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,840
And that one, you know, an
amazing wool body.

438
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,920
You know, the, the, the, when I
moved back to Perth, people

439
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:51,920
said, oh, what have you been
doing, Mickey?

440
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,240
You've been gone for 10 years.
And so I ran Detour and they go,

441
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:56,200
what's that?
They go, have you heard of the

442
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,600
Super Pit?
And they go, yeah, Bill, he's

443
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:00,280
done a great job.
Yeah, it's double the size of

444
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:05,040
that.
So we were moving 350,000 tonne

445
00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:08,560
of dirt a day, milling 75,000
tonne a day.

446
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:14,800
I think it'll do 900,000 oz this
year out of the one mine we

447
00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:18,560
chopped about 250 bucks an ounce
out of the cost US all in

448
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,320
properly, you know like
sustainable in in seven or eight

449
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,280
months.
There was a lot of issues at

450
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:28,720
that business and so didn't
really bring a lot of people in

451
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,400
from outside brought some guys
out of actually out of Perth,

452
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:34,720
the old RSG global guys that
came in And we did a lot of work

453
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:41,640
in the in the in the pit and and
we just look for value, right.

454
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:45,040
And we actually we're open to
whether that's you're buying,

455
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:47,880
you're selling, if you can get
someone, you know, the stock had

456
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:52,040
gone up.
I don't know, nearly a double in

457
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:54,080
anticipation of stuff that I was
going to do.

458
00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,600
I think it sort of got a little
bit ahead of itself and then

459
00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:58,960
someone turned up with a 48%
premium bid.

460
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:03,080
Well, what are you going to do?
You're going to sit there and,

461
00:25:03,360 --> 00:25:07,120
and grind it out like it, it got
ahead of itself and we hit the

462
00:25:07,120 --> 00:25:11,400
bid and everyone was very happy.
You know, so I have a background

463
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:17,560
in private equity and so I think
in terms of IRR, you know, and,

464
00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:21,800
and time value of money.
And so, yeah, I think the day

465
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,400
I'd buy an asset or go in to run
an asset, I'm already, I've

466
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,280
already thought about four ways
which I can realize value out of

467
00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:34,080
that thing.
I want, I do want to, you know,

468
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:35,880
there's so many different parts
of your career we could, we

469
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,120
could ask you about.
But actually, actually I'm

470
00:25:38,120 --> 00:25:40,680
increasingly interested in
Oceana Gold, Mick, where I know

471
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,520
you're on the board for a while.
What's end game for Oceana?

472
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:49,280
Yeah, again, that was another
activist campaign that never

473
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:52,640
never got public to be activist,
but it was definitely activists.

474
00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:58,000
So a bunch of shareholders put
me in the chair on the board to,

475
00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:01,680
to, you know, that lost that
sort of tipio that lost the

476
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:07,280
license, how it was a disaster.
You know, like it literally they

477
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:11,360
had holes in the Hall Rd. that
were 5-6 feet deep full of

478
00:26:11,360 --> 00:26:14,880
water.
I think tire life was like 1500

479
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:19,600
hours, 1200 hours on a tire.
You know, it was, it was just so

480
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:23,080
I actually recruited my my
general manager out of detour

481
00:26:23,360 --> 00:26:26,040
out of the pit there and, and
put him into there.

482
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,560
They've had a huge run.
Jared's done a great job.

483
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:35,400
You know, he was first time CEO
and he was, you know, come out

484
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:39,480
of Newcrest, we put him in there
and he was clever enough to know

485
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:41,480
what he didn't know.
And so, you know, he was

486
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:45,320
actually very open and sort of
wanting to know, you know, Nick,

487
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:46,640
you've done this a few times
before.

488
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,560
What should I be doing?
And so we, you know, he was he,

489
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,560
you get some CEOs that don't
really want to listen.

490
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:54,440
He was great.
He done it.

491
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,760
He's done a great job.
What do they do now?

492
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:02,600
Stocks had a great tear.
The the DDPO mine generates an

493
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:05,160
enormous amount of free cash.
But it is in the Philippines,

494
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:06,400
right?
And I had six years in the

495
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:09,800
Philippines.
Not sure that's on my

496
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,120
destination list of where I'm
buying assets again.

497
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:18,920
I think they need to merge, get
bigger, buy something or try and

498
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:22,920
get someone to take them out.
But yeah, it's had a great run,

499
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:25,120
right.
And and I noticed in your in the

500
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,560
Iron Gulls, the other one that's
in your report that I just see

501
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:29,720
come through.
So I know that that one very

502
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:33,160
well also, yeah.
Go on.

503
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:37,760
So also was an activist campaign
that RCF LED actually.

504
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:40,400
Yeah, right.
So how these how these activist

505
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:44,480
campaigns manifest when they're
not always, you know, public

506
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:50,080
facing activist campaigns?
Yeah, so you, you'll like

507
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:55,640
Elliott or someone will or RCF
or someone will, will coalesce

508
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:58,600
people around them, you know,
like Stillwater.

509
00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:01,760
The activists, they're only ever
owned 1.6% of the register, but

510
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:05,480
we still managed to roll half
the board with 1.6% of the

511
00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:11,360
register.
So an activist wet dream is when

512
00:28:11,360 --> 00:28:13,400
the incumbents just say no,
right.

513
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,760
So you, you sort of get
together, you'll have a thesis

514
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:18,480
about how things could be run
better.

515
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:21,680
You know, you'll sort of phone
up the chair or the, you know,

516
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:23,280
say, listen, we want some
changes.

517
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,160
And then they, they'll either
engage or they won't.

518
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:32,640
Where they engage you, you can
sort of depending how much they

519
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,400
engage, you can sort of like get
some of what you want, but not

520
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,120
all of it.
Where they dig their heels in

521
00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,080
and go, no, we, we refuse to
engage with you.

522
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:45,600
Like that's the best thing ever.
Because at that point, you know,

523
00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:49,560
you, you just launch into a
public campaign, you put them in

524
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:54,000
a, in a, in a bear hug.
And there's firms in the US that

525
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:58,160
do this very well, right?
If, as I often say, if I turn up

526
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,040
in your boardroom fronting for
an activist, it's usually not a

527
00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:04,720
great day for the board because
we probably know more about your

528
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:09,480
company than you do.
Elliot did a phenomenal job on

529
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:11,840
Iconic when they rolled the
board there.

530
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:18,240
I think they did a 368 page
presentation that went public of

531
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:21,040
literally everything that that
CEO had ever done.

532
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,200
Yeah, there's people that they
do this for a living and

533
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:26,960
they're, they're not always nice
people.

534
00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:32,120
But yeah, when they don't become
public, you know, it's usually

535
00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:35,280
when you'll sort of see, you
know, Aceo fall on their sword

536
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:37,080
or a chair fall on their sword
as well.

537
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:39,320
And stuff's been bubbling away
underneath.

538
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:40,960
And then a few new directors go
on.

539
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:43,840
They don't do a lot of it in
Australia, unfortunately.

540
00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:46,160
Like it's, there should be more
of it.

541
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:49,280
You know, I'm sure you guys can
think of a few companies, I'm

542
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:52,240
not naming names here, but you
know, there's, I can think of

543
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:55,240
one prime example there that
would be great for an activist

544
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:57,440
campaign.
But in Australia, if

545
00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,680
shareholders don't like the
answer, they just sell right and

546
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:01,560
just just move on.
Totally.

547
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:03,560
I think, I think there's
different, yeah, in Australia

548
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:07,440
there's, there's a perception
amongst, amongst even the types

549
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:11,160
of shareholders that like to be
activisty that the more loud you

550
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:15,440
are, the the negative
repercussions are large in terms

551
00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:18,120
of, you know, deal flow because
it's a small, small market with

552
00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:21,040
a lot of equity raises.
You've got the likes of Elliot

553
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:23,920
as well, who that's their bread
and butter activism.

554
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,680
Whereas a lot of these Aussie
funds, it's only a small sort

555
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:29,840
of, you know, it's 1 arrow in
the, in the, in the collection

556
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:34,320
that they've got and time and
reputation is just so taxing,

557
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:36,080
right?
Yeah, yeah.

558
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:38,560
What are you observing about
Barrick, by the way?

559
00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,600
Does that, does that like, just
reek of all the hallmarks of a

560
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,480
of a classic activist campaign?
Who's that?

561
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,240
Sorry.
Barrick, Barrick Gold right now,

562
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:48,800
yeah.
I couldn't really say.

563
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:58,520
Well, look, it's it's it's a
very interesting company with a

564
00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:01,840
lot of a lot of interesting
attributes of things that need

565
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:04,680
to be fixed and, you know, some
unhappy shareholders.

566
00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:07,720
So yeah, who's to say what
happens there?

567
00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:11,600
I, I am curious to, to dive in
even deeper on that making and

568
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:16,720
understand how, how your
perception and your, your

569
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:20,440
relationship with your investor
base has evolved over time.

570
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:22,520
You know, you've, you've
mentioned your, your

571
00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:28,120
institutional backing there.
You clearly have a, a reputation

572
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:30,400
and you know a lot of these big
investors in the mining space

573
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:33,600
very well.
Are there are there plenty of

574
00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:35,600
different models out there that
you've kind of come across?

575
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,280
Obviously you've got your, your
preferred sort of style of, of

576
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,880
staying close with with your
register, but how has that sort

577
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,240
of like changed over time?
I just want to learn more about

578
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:48,320
that whole that relationship.
Sure.

579
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,520
If I go like, you know, when I
was doing stuff in Australia

580
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:55,160
that was sort of generally, you
know, smaller deals, you know,

581
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,480
sort of up to, I don't know,
billion Aussie or something

582
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:02,600
wrong.
When I moved to the US about,

583
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:06,880
well, really about 2012, you
know, I'd go and see these funds

584
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:08,600
that I'd never heard of
literally.

585
00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:11,200
And this is like going back 1213
years ago, never heard of these

586
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:12,240
guys.
And I'd get to the end of the

587
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:15,920
meeting and I'd say, oh, So what
sort of assets under management

588
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:19,560
are you running?
And they'd go 50 billion US and

589
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:21,160
I'd never have heard of these
blokes, right.

590
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,960
And they'd be like many, many
meetings like that.

591
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:30,320
So I would say over time, as
you, as you as you particularly

592
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:35,040
do stuff in North America, the
pond is much, much deeper in

593
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:37,120
terms of pools of capital,
right?

594
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:42,000
And people that can deploy like
really large licks of capital.

595
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:44,640
Now in Australia, you've
obviously got Aussie super and

596
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:47,640
uni super and a few others.
But you know, there's, there's a

597
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:52,160
lot of those in the US and, and
actually based out of London as

598
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:55,360
well, some large amounts of
capital notwithstanding the

599
00:32:55,360 --> 00:33:00,600
London market being pretty dead.
So on that first one, you know,

600
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,960
that was about a three 3 1/2
year timeline to to fix the

601
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:08,480
business, get it sold, sold that
sebanion for all all cash was

602
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,720
2.7 billion US all up, I suppose
including the debt.

603
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:17,840
And that was really interesting
because that was hard, hard

604
00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:18,960
work.
Like that was a heavily

605
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:23,120
unionized asset, phenomenal ore
body, been running for 30 years

606
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:26,400
and never really made any money.
20 grams, the ton PGMS.

607
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:31,920
But you know, it's just and, and
I had big shareholders say to

608
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:37,240
me, we hold shares in this thing
on the hope that one day someone

609
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:38,680
can sort this business out,
right?

610
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,120
Not because it had made X
dollars the year before or

611
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,040
whatever.
It was just like, you know, it

612
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:49,280
had a 50 million oz reserve at
20 grams to the tunnel 2

613
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:53,360
operating mines in a great place
in the US, but never made any

614
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:55,880
money.
Like I think it made money three

615
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,760
years out of 27 before I fronted
up.

616
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,960
And that was the first time
where I fixed that business and

617
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:04,640
we sold it and everyone had a
really good result.

618
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:10,440
We're like the big end of town.
We're all very appreciative and

619
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:13,000
we're like, OK, we're ready to
cut your big checks again,

620
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:14,920
right?
Like in Australia, in the, you

621
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:17,440
know, in Australia, like I'd
sort of done some things, sold a

622
00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:20,960
few things, but you didn't have
those big guys going.

623
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:23,040
What are you doing next?
You know, we'd like to give you

624
00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:26,000
$100 million, right?
Multiple people.

625
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:31,239
And then, and then then I did a
fair bit of private equity work.

626
00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:35,080
So I ran a huge fracs end
business in in West TX for

627
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:38,120
private equity.
Love Texas, it's a great place.

628
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:43,440
It's almost as good as COBA.
And and then out of that, a

629
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,800
bunch of those like the
Carlyle's and Blackstone guys

630
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:47,280
were also prepared to give me
money.

631
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:51,159
So then you sort of and then
went and did detour and made

632
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:54,040
people a lot of money on that
one in that short space of time.

633
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:59,040
Now we're our cities.
I've sort of got I guess an

634
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:03,680
excess of capital and now I need
to find deals to deploy that

635
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:08,280
capital.
And so how things have evolved

636
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:12,880
over time has been you've gone
from scrambling for capital to

637
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,280
then going, well, geez, I've got
all these guys that want to give

638
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:19,000
me more capital or put me in to
go and run, you know, not so

639
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,080
well run businesses for them
where they're all, you know,

640
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:24,480
stuck in these things and they
need someone to fix it and exit

641
00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:27,280
it for them.
So now, quite frankly, my

642
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:32,200
biggest issue is finding those
transactions to deploy that

643
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:36,640
capital into and finding the
right ones where I can maximize

644
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:39,400
the value for my time and
maximize the return for my

645
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,560
shareholders, right?
Because there's only so much I

646
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:45,360
can do in a day.
And as I said, you know, Matt,

647
00:35:45,720 --> 00:35:48,200
great business, loved it.
Smallest thing I run in a

648
00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,760
decade.
So now it's like I've got to get

649
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:55,360
myself into fairly large stuff
in order to generate the return

650
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:57,640
that, you know in absolute
dollars that these guys need to

651
00:35:57,640 --> 00:35:59,680
generate.
Did you ever get sick of us

652
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:02,200
running Sandvic ground support
ads when we talk about Matt

653
00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:05,600
Copper?
No, no, fine.

654
00:36:06,680 --> 00:36:07,800
What did you think of Derek
Heard?

655
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:09,080
Good bloke, great bloke, isn't
he?

656
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:14,520
Great bloke, great bloke.
Operating out in Newcastle, not

657
00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:17,040
too far from from the Cobra
there out on the eastern

658
00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:19,200
seaboard.
But as as Mick Welland truly

659
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:22,880
knows, the greatest ground
support across the world and

660
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,240
most importantly here in our
neck of the woods in Australia,

661
00:36:25,240 --> 00:36:28,240
I've got the Q Dow manufacturing
facility still fighting the good

662
00:36:28,240 --> 00:36:29,600
fight, producing everything on
that track.

663
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:31,880
Hey, hey, Mick's next turn
around, it's going to be an

664
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:33,440
underground mine.
You know what underground mines

665
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:34,440
need they need.
Support.

666
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:36,320
They need ground support.
Sandy Ground support.

667
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:39,440
How do you think about
commodities with the most

668
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:41,440
attractive opportunities at the
moment?

669
00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:44,960
Yeah.
Look, as you say, I've done,

670
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:49,080
I've done PGMS, I've done gold,
I've done copper, I've done

671
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:51,200
zinc.
I've done these like a potash

672
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:52,960
thing in the Ethiopia at some
point.

673
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:54,680
I've like I've done just about
iron ore.

674
00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:57,400
I was a trader in zulk for six
years.

675
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:01,520
You know, like I've done most
jurisdictions, I've done most

676
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:05,520
commodities.
I'm a bit commodity agnostic,

677
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:09,560
although I do look at it like
say, say Cannington, right?

678
00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:12,920
So S 30 twos maybe maybe not
selling Cannington.

679
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:17,200
I think about that buying a
silver asset at a $50 silver

680
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:21,080
price, I'd want to be very
confident that I could strip a

681
00:37:21,080 --> 00:37:23,880
lot of costs and out of that and
get a lot of production out of

682
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:28,040
that to to, you know, because
could you see silver down 10

683
00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:29,760
bucks an ounce?
Absolutely you could.

684
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:33,840
You got to run pretty hard
operationally to, to get around

685
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:36,200
that.
So I'm I'm a bit of a counter

686
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:39,640
cyclical investor as well.
So same thing when I think about

687
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:42,760
gold, would I buy a gold asset
right now?

688
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:47,320
How do I compete using cash
versus some of these guys with

689
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:50,840
this gold paper?
It's pretty hard, right.

690
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:56,000
But would I go and run a gold
company right now that you know

691
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:59,200
is not very well run that I can
see lots of opportunities to

692
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:01,840
unlock value?
Yeah, that's and then I'm pretty

693
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:04,840
good at structuring something to
go or how do we make sure we got

694
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:08,880
some downside protection.
I'll throw it out there.

695
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,920
Lithium, you know, I know it's
been in the toilet, but like

696
00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:15,840
some point lithium, you know, if
you buy the right asset for the

697
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:18,560
right price.
I could think of AI, could think

698
00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:22,040
of a lithium company that needs
needs an activist tilt

699
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,240
Albemarle.
Yeah.

700
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:33,640
Oh well, call me something
tonight, I was thinking I want

701
00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:37,320
to be closer home.
Well, you've, you've put your

702
00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:40,080
feet in the water with with
rarest as well.

703
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:41,960
Mick, how do you, how do you
think about that?

704
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,120
Just really fascinating part of
the market.

705
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:49,120
Yeah.
So recycle private company, I

706
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:52,480
don't know, I'm just under 40%
of the thing in the US.

707
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,880
So I, I got involved in that
about four and a half years ago.

708
00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,600
I had some guys in Perth that
had bought that business in, in

709
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,200
Houston.
So I said, what do you know

710
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:03,120
about recycling?
And in the US?

711
00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:05,640
And I said, well, Stillwater
was, we were the biggest auto

712
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:08,760
catalyst recycler in the world,
right, by large margin.

713
00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:12,880
So a lot is the short answer.
So, and then I sort of, you

714
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:16,160
know, I thought, you know, back
then cyclical economy, you know,

715
00:39:16,160 --> 00:39:18,120
recycling, you know, it'd be a
great thing.

716
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:21,320
So I put some money into it and
in the winters of the rare earth

717
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:24,240
market, I was the only one
funding it for a long period of

718
00:39:24,240 --> 00:39:26,600
time.
So I ended up owning, I don't

719
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:28,320
know, whatever 39% of that
thing.

720
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:34,080
And then of of course, the whole
China, US story blew up in the

721
00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:36,120
back of my mind.
I always had this thing going.

722
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:39,080
You know, China controls 97% of
the rare earth.

723
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:41,560
That might be an important thing
at some point.

724
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:45,360
We, we had Chinese companies
offering US money all the way

725
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:46,840
along.
We would not take it.

726
00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:50,240
That company is funded by the
Department of War.

727
00:39:50,240 --> 00:39:53,720
So lots of people announced U.S.
government funding.

728
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:57,640
Not many people cash the checks.
We, we, well, we're not at the

729
00:39:57,640 --> 00:39:58,680
moment because the government
shut.

730
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:01,200
But yeah, up until a month ago,
we, we cashed the check every

731
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:04,680
month.
So, you know, that is a, you

732
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:08,080
know, producing rare earths has
produced rare earths in the US.

733
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,440
It's about to start again
probably around about February,

734
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:16,440
I think from US sourced, you
know, scrap, you know, magnet

735
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:20,840
scrap.
Let's just say the rare earth

736
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:24,560
bubble has been very bubbly.
A bit of air has come out of it

737
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:27,600
over the last week because China
and the US have Kirsten made-up.

738
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:31,200
But you know, fundamentally I
still see that I think the US

739
00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:35,080
basically will sort of go we've
got a year to to secure a

740
00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:41,400
supply.
It's an amazing thematic and you

741
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:44,720
have to be in the US.
If you are not in the US in rare

742
00:40:44,720 --> 00:40:47,800
earths, you are not going to be
anywhere.

743
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:53,240
And you know that business.
And I know, you know, someone

744
00:40:53,240 --> 00:40:56,080
that's on the board there.
He he's a, you know, great

745
00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:59,240
director and shareholder that is
a is a guest presenter on your

746
00:40:59,240 --> 00:41:03,360
show every now and again.
You know, having that American

747
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:07,520
presence is really important.
The US government is continuing

748
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:12,200
to hand out large amounts of
grants, loans, equity

749
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:17,680
investments in rare earth
production in the US And it is

750
00:41:17,680 --> 00:41:20,000
real money, right?
They are giving out real money.

751
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:22,080
This isn't sort of like some of
the excellent stuff they

752
00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:25,520
announce is remains to be seen
how much of that gets drawn.

753
00:41:25,520 --> 00:41:28,200
But some of the other stuff that
the Department of War is doing

754
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:31,920
is, is serious money.
And so, you know, if you can

755
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:36,960
produce rare earths in in near
term in the US, that's got to be

756
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:40,040
worth something.
Are you noticing more and more

757
00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:43,000
attention beings like put on
you, you know mentioned before

758
00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:45,960
we started recording that you
spend a lot of time in in the

759
00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:47,880
states.
Are you getting more and more of

760
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:51,320
these investors paying
attention, giving you a call

761
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:52,640
asking you about the the mining
world?

762
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:57,240
Yes, is yeah, that's, that's in
short, yes.

763
00:41:59,160 --> 00:42:02,440
And actually some of my large
math investors, you know,

764
00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:05,920
through the Grapevine have sort
of said like on recycle.

765
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:08,280
Oh, tell us about this recycle
thing you've got.

766
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:14,840
We'd like to give you some
money, but yeah, we're, I don't

767
00:42:14,840 --> 00:42:19,960
really comment on, on, on
Trump's politics in the US.

768
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:24,240
Not everyone's a fan.
You know, I look at it this way

769
00:42:24,240 --> 00:42:28,120
and I go, there's a couple of
things I'll say about the US

770
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:32,440
and, and the Donald.
I spend a lot of time in the UK,

771
00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:34,640
Europe and and obviously
Australia.

772
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,920
It seems to me that a lot of
people in those countries are

773
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:41,280
actually almost ashamed of their
own country.

774
00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:46,480
In the US, they're very proud,
particularly, you know, Trump

775
00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:49,320
and the Republicans, whether you
agree with these methods or not,

776
00:42:50,960 --> 00:42:53,000
they want to make the US great
again.

777
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:56,640
And they are throwing
significant amount of capital

778
00:42:56,640 --> 00:43:01,000
into the US, like the mining
industry into funding of all

779
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:06,320
these critical minerals to
actually make like make the US

780
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:09,000
produce a lot more right and not
be relying on the world.

781
00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:12,120
So we touched earlier on sort
of, you know, copper smelters

782
00:43:12,120 --> 00:43:13,920
and what's happening in the
copper smelting world.

783
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,960
And the Chinese, there's no
doubt the Chinese have flooded

784
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:20,800
the market with copper smelting
capacity, have driven TCRC's

785
00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:23,720
down to incredibly low numbers
where basically no one else can

786
00:43:23,720 --> 00:43:27,000
make money.
And that's what these tariffs,

787
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:28,920
you know, so they're trying to
push everyone else out of

788
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:35,080
business and the US is actually
trying to put measures in place

789
00:43:35,640 --> 00:43:37,440
to protect their domestic
industry.

790
00:43:37,440 --> 00:43:40,240
Now whether it's going to end up
like our Australian car industry

791
00:43:40,240 --> 00:43:44,160
with tariffs on your luxury car
tax or not, I don't know.

792
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:48,440
But if you are mining in the US
or want to be mining in the US

793
00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:53,440
right now, this is probably the
best time in the last 30 years,

794
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:57,080
40 years to be doing it.
And I was I have this main lobby

795
00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,440
group in the US called the
National Mining Association.

796
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:03,200
So I used to be an executive
board member of that spends like

797
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:06,160
80 million USA lobbying the
government roughly or more

798
00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:06,800
probably.
Now.

799
00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:12,280
I was there when Trump one point
O came in and the red tape and

800
00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:15,960
green tape that got stripped
away back then.

801
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:18,920
And what he's doing now is like
warp speed relative to what he's

802
00:44:18,920 --> 00:44:23,720
did back then.
So actually the US, like if I

803
00:44:23,720 --> 00:44:26,080
was sort of going well, where
would I do something next?

804
00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:29,600
You know, I think the US would
be a great spot to go and do

805
00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:32,000
not, not all of the US, it's
like, you know, really only four

806
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:35,680
states, but you know, the mining
states in the US, that's a spot

807
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:38,760
where you'd go.
And investors, a lot of those

808
00:44:38,760 --> 00:44:42,240
big investors are chasing me for
where's some opportunities in

809
00:44:42,240 --> 00:44:47,360
the US.
Speaking of the, yeah, the

810
00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:50,400
activist type of investors out
there, let's talk about some of

811
00:44:50,520 --> 00:44:54,080
the news we've observed in the
last week, Mick, and if you've

812
00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:56,280
got any, any, any special
comments on it.

813
00:44:57,040 --> 00:45:00,040
There's been a bit heating up
just in relation to Palace's

814
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:03,960
activist campaign to, to, to Rio
Tinto of light.

815
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,360
I'm sure you've been you've been
following this one.

816
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:08,480
We have.
And yeah, they've been added a

817
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:10,200
while.
They made a lot of noise in the

818
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:14,440
lead up to Rio's AGM about the,
the push to to, to, you know,

819
00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:18,760
get rid of its dual listed DLC
structure like BHP done in the

820
00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:22,040
past and have a single listing
entity, which in theory would

821
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:25,320
make it more amenable to using
script for large M&A.

822
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:29,080
And they're now really pointing
out the opportunity to acquire

823
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:30,880
tech.
Of course tech is in play

824
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:37,080
because of the tech Anglo deal.
What do you make of the, you

825
00:45:37,080 --> 00:45:39,920
know, this activist campaign and
and and effectively like do you

826
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:42,040
think, do you, do you do you
look at this and think, you

827
00:45:42,040 --> 00:45:43,880
know, Palliser's got a point?
This makes a lot of sense.

828
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:49,240
Well, what I would say to you
again is someone like Palliser,

829
00:45:49,240 --> 00:45:51,160
I know where some of those
people have come from.

830
00:45:51,240 --> 00:45:58,440
Elliot.
These guys will have researched

831
00:45:58,560 --> 00:46:02,400
every single aspect of that
structural change, right?

832
00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:06,960
They will have done incredibly
detailed work.

833
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:12,760
So I think again, you would sort
of bat people away like this at

834
00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:17,000
your peril because they will
have done, you know, there's

835
00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:19,840
some incredibly smart people at
these kinds of places, right?

836
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:25,080
So the, so the structural thing
again, I'm not coming one way or

837
00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:27,600
another, but if someone like
Palace or Elliot turns up and

838
00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:30,560
says we think you should do
this, I think if I was on that

839
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,080
board, I'd be, I'd be giving it
a bit of consideration.

840
00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:37,720
The tech deal, you know, look,
having just done a deal that

841
00:46:37,720 --> 00:46:42,720
took five months to close from
announced to close, I don't know

842
00:46:42,720 --> 00:46:44,880
how long that Anglo tech deal is
going to take to close, but it's

843
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:47,880
going to be a long, long time.
You know, how do you keep the

844
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,960
wheels on the bus for that whole
time?

845
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:56,120
And it gives interlopers a very
long period of time in which to

846
00:46:57,760 --> 00:47:02,520
get their ducks lined up right.
And so, you know, if tech has

847
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:08,360
any sort of misstep along the
way, you know, I think there's

848
00:47:08,360 --> 00:47:13,160
an opportunity there, whether
whether a brand new CEO, you

849
00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:17,720
know, Simon's been in there for
whatever month to two months,

850
00:47:17,720 --> 00:47:20,880
whatever the number is, it's a
pretty big deal to go out, you

851
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:25,440
know, go out pretty early in
your in your tenure on so.

852
00:47:26,320 --> 00:47:31,840
But I would say because I don't
think Rio is the only people

853
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:37,440
that would be looking at that
interloper scenario, those kinds

854
00:47:37,440 --> 00:47:40,280
of assets come up once in a
generation or not, maybe not

855
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:42,800
even in a generation.
Like it's, you know, putting

856
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:47,080
your foot on those, you know,
good quality tech assets.

857
00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:51,640
There's not much out there on.
What, what, What alternatives

858
00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:53,600
should we be thinking about in
terms of our potential

859
00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:58,480
interlopers?
I'm not sure I really want to go

860
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:00,880
with that.
You know, yeah, Are we, are we

861
00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:03,000
still thinking like major minors
or are we thinking alternative

862
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:04,960
sources of capital?
We're just thinking like.

863
00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:08,560
Major, major minors like, you
know, yeah, yeah, you've only

864
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:10,600
got like three or three or so to
pick.

865
00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:14,720
So like you, you know, but
honestly, it like in the Game of

866
00:48:14,720 --> 00:48:16,360
Thrones, it could be any of
them, right?

867
00:48:16,720 --> 00:48:21,600
You know, if you're sitting in
in, you know, a BD role or a or

868
00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:26,760
the chair role of any of those
other big players, you I don't

869
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:29,360
think you can just go, Nah,
we're just not going to look

870
00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:30,600
that way.
We're going to look over here.

871
00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:33,600
We're just going to ignore this.
I just don't think you can do

872
00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:34,040
that.
Right.

873
00:48:34,240 --> 00:48:38,960
So people would haven't have to
run the ruler over all these

874
00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:42,240
things.
Antitrust could be an issue

875
00:48:42,240 --> 00:48:46,720
possibly for some of them.
But yeah, it'll be interesting.

876
00:48:46,720 --> 00:48:51,960
But it's just a long, long time
to go to, to get to the answer,

877
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:53,720
right?
And it's a bit like the two, you

878
00:48:53,720 --> 00:48:56,840
know, two or three large gold
companies, you know, lots of

879
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:59,080
discussion about what could or
could not happen there.

880
00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:02,120
But jeez, that'd be that.
That'd be a long time to close

881
00:49:02,120 --> 00:49:05,600
on any of those, right?
So interlopers would have a lot

882
00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:08,320
of time.
I'm curious to hear you take on

883
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:11,480
the ability for, for Palace to,
to force change because they

884
00:49:11,560 --> 00:49:17,200
they reportedly own 400 million
bucks or or less in $100 billion

885
00:49:17,200 --> 00:49:22,240
plus company in in Rio Tinto.
Is that in in your experience

886
00:49:22,600 --> 00:49:26,080
enough given their their
experience, their nature, their

887
00:49:26,080 --> 00:49:28,080
ability to get other
shareholders on board to to

888
00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:30,440
force change?
Yeah.

889
00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:33,200
Well, again, that might be what
they own on the last filing.

890
00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:36,400
So, you know, there's nothing
stopping them buying more.

891
00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:39,920
I think again, go back to the
Stillwater example where the

892
00:49:39,920 --> 00:49:44,760
activists there owned 1.6% of
the total issued capital and

893
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:48,400
convincingly, you know, cleaned
out the half of the board

894
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:49,680
they're trying to get rid of and
this.

895
00:49:49,680 --> 00:49:51,680
And then we got rid of the CEO
shortly there afterwards.

896
00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:56,200
So, you know, the way these
activist campaigns work, unless

897
00:49:56,200 --> 00:50:00,800
it's some sort of small company
where someone buys 25% and 2 or

898
00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:06,840
20 percent 249-D someone, you
know, they have a force

899
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:08,680
multiplier.
So they own a position.

900
00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:12,240
They got enough to have a voice,
but then they go public and

901
00:50:12,240 --> 00:50:16,120
start, you know, as you've seen
start, you know, ramping up the

902
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:18,320
pressure and putting out more
and more work product.

903
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:21,760
Again, if you got nothing to do
with your time, I would search

904
00:50:21,760 --> 00:50:28,000
up iconic and Elliot and have it
is a fascinating textbook case

905
00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:34,320
of an activist situation about
how and it got very nasty.

906
00:50:36,360 --> 00:50:39,360
Paulson on detour is another
pretty good, pretty good example

907
00:50:39,360 --> 00:50:43,160
as well.
Paulson I think owned four 5%

908
00:50:43,160 --> 00:50:46,480
something like that.
So no, they don't need to own.

909
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:49,080
It's not like not like you need
to own 20% to get there.

910
00:50:49,080 --> 00:50:54,920
If you can make a sensible
rational argument that there's

911
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:58,560
value to be unlocked, then then
particularly in the London

912
00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:00,760
market, as I say, the Aussies
less so.

913
00:51:00,760 --> 00:51:03,200
But you know, in the London
market or international guys

914
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:05,800
rare be well held enough
internationally that you could

915
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:09,480
get you could get other people
on board, I would imagine if it

916
00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:11,080
makes sense, right, it's got to
make sense.

917
00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:16,240
Totally, yeah, I actually, I
listened to the the, the speech

918
00:51:16,240 --> 00:51:22,640
by the, the Palliser guy at the,
at Rio's AGM and yeah, and, and

919
00:51:22,640 --> 00:51:25,080
you, you flick through the deck
and they're incredibly

920
00:51:25,080 --> 00:51:28,960
compelling arguments.
And then the, the, the rebuttal

921
00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:31,960
from, from, from Rio, you know,
like they put together an entire

922
00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:35,960
team to to refute or to push
back on, on, on these activist

923
00:51:35,960 --> 00:51:37,880
pushes.
It's interesting here on your

924
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,600
point that like the best
strategy is actually to engage

925
00:51:40,720 --> 00:51:43,640
thoughtfully as opposed to so I
just refute.

926
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:48,120
Yeah, well, as long as they're
not asking for something

927
00:51:48,120 --> 00:51:52,000
completely unreasonable.
But you, you're always, whether

928
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:54,240
it's in your personal life and
I'm not sure my wife would

929
00:51:54,240 --> 00:51:57,320
agree, but in your personal life
or your professional life,

930
00:51:57,840 --> 00:52:01,360
you're always better to have a
conversation than an argument is

931
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:03,400
is my view.
I don't know if everybody would

932
00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:08,360
agree about about me on that,
but maybe I'll mail out a bit as

933
00:52:08,360 --> 00:52:11,600
I got a bit older.
I think there's a good nugget in

934
00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:15,040
there, Mick, a couple other
deals around the world came to

935
00:52:15,040 --> 00:52:19,760
get your your take on so clear
buying new gold.

936
00:52:20,080 --> 00:52:24,000
This is a sort of circus 7
billion U.S. dollar deal for

937
00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:27,000
those that didn't catch it out
there, 7 North American precious

938
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:29,200
metal assets pretty pretty large
scale.

939
00:52:29,200 --> 00:52:32,600
But the the the big bit of news
to come out the back of this one

940
00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:36,760
was the shareholder reaction
from the on the acquires part.

941
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:41,880
So they fell, I think 13 odd
percent on on the day of

942
00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:43,520
announcement.
And then you start getting

943
00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:47,600
people talking about is the top
end in gold, this type of deal a

944
00:52:47,720 --> 00:52:51,200
a company perhaps with a slight
change in tax silver to to gold,

945
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:53,640
that type of thing.
I'm not sure if you've had the

946
00:52:53,640 --> 00:52:56,680
chance to to study this one in
in detail, but you being in in

947
00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:59,440
North America as well familiar
with the the register and parts

948
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:01,600
of it, I'm sure.
What was your take on on the

949
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:03,880
deal and your reaction to it?
Yeah.

950
00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:05,440
Well, I know both companies
actually.

951
00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:08,760
So cores run by, you know, Mitch
Krebs who who was on the NMA

952
00:53:08,760 --> 00:53:10,400
board with me.
So I've known him for a long

953
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:12,880
period of time.
New Gold.

954
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:16,160
I do know those assets detour We
we did look at buying them

955
00:53:16,160 --> 00:53:20,760
actually they had a a pretty
challenged startup at Rainy

956
00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:25,800
River.
I think Mr. Market doesn't like

957
00:53:25,800 --> 00:53:29,200
that deal as you say it it it
the tape was down pretty

958
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:34,520
convincingly and I think it's
continued to be down and core

959
00:53:34,520 --> 00:53:38,160
has for a very long period of
time, you know, sort of been in

960
00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:41,200
the wilderness, you know, like
it's sort of it struggled for a

961
00:53:41,200 --> 00:53:44,120
long time.
They've they've they're making,

962
00:53:44,240 --> 00:53:46,200
you know, $50 silver.
They're making a squillion

963
00:53:46,200 --> 00:53:52,000
dollars of free cash now.
And it's been either them or

964
00:53:52,000 --> 00:53:54,960
Heckler has been the way in, in,
in let's call it safe North

965
00:53:54,960 --> 00:54:01,120
America to to play silver.
Yeah, it does feel a bit top of

966
00:54:01,120 --> 00:54:03,400
the market sort of to me, you
know, because the mine life like

967
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:06,440
you got new aft and they don't
own all of you've got Rainy

968
00:54:06,440 --> 00:54:09,720
River, which, you know, has been
a bit of a challenge, relatively

969
00:54:09,720 --> 00:54:13,240
short mine life.
Still, it seemed like a lot.

970
00:54:15,040 --> 00:54:17,880
You know, you've got A and
again, I haven't looked at the

971
00:54:17,880 --> 00:54:20,280
deck in detail.
I'm sure somewhere in there

972
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:22,160
someone's put the word
synergies.

973
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:24,800
We're going to save this amount
of money on synergies.

974
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:28,160
The minute I see synergies, if I
do a deal, when the vendor

975
00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:30,360
starts banging on about
synergies, I sort of try.

976
00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:33,080
And because usually I'm selling
so I don't get to control the

977
00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:35,440
narrative, but I'm usually
trying to get them to remove the

978
00:54:35,440 --> 00:54:39,520
word synergies as to the reason
why they bought my company off

979
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:41,800
me.
So yeah, look, that one looked

980
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:46,400
pretty toppy.
You know, not not great assets.

981
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:48,200
Everything looks good at $4000
gold, right?

982
00:54:48,680 --> 00:54:52,680
Yeah, yeah.
I mean, I mean, yeah, the the

983
00:54:53,880 --> 00:54:56,320
the market reaction like when
you when you have the, you know,

984
00:54:56,320 --> 00:55:00,480
the type trail off in the way it
has does that like, you know,

985
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:03,720
sometimes that leads to a whole
plethora of different, different

986
00:55:03,720 --> 00:55:06,360
scenarios and sometimes, you
know, the companies themselves

987
00:55:06,360 --> 00:55:07,640
become in play to other
companies.

988
00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:10,280
Do you think that that's a
possibility here?

989
00:55:12,600 --> 00:55:16,360
Well, it can put you in play,
there's no doubt about that.

990
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:18,720
The break fee is not enormous on
it.

991
00:55:18,720 --> 00:55:20,960
I can't remember the exact
number, but it wasn't, it wasn't

992
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:25,200
egregious.
And, and, and look, the one

993
00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:27,680
thing I would say talking to,
I've been spending a fair bit of

994
00:55:27,680 --> 00:55:31,080
time in Toronto and talking to,
to, to bankers in Perth as well,

995
00:55:31,080 --> 00:55:36,680
is with the unrealized gains,
all these gold and silver CEO

996
00:55:36,760 --> 00:55:40,320
company CEOs are on, everyone's
doing the dance, looking to get

997
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:43,320
off the trade, right.
And so, you know, talking to

998
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:45,960
bankers, there's been, there's
been, this is quite comedic

999
00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:48,520
discussions where people are
doing mergers.

1000
00:55:48,840 --> 00:55:50,920
You can't, you know, most of
mergers of equals because you

1001
00:55:50,920 --> 00:55:53,000
can't put a premium on for the
most part anymore.

1002
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:56,080
And it's like, well, no, I think
you should run it.

1003
00:55:56,080 --> 00:55:58,200
You're a better CEO.
No, no, I think you should run

1004
00:55:58,200 --> 00:56:00,520
it because everyone just
actually out and get the hell

1005
00:56:00,520 --> 00:56:05,280
out of dodge, right, So it could
put them in play.

1006
00:56:05,280 --> 00:56:09,120
I'm not sure someone would come
over the top at that price for

1007
00:56:09,120 --> 00:56:13,040
new gold.
The other angle there, I'm

1008
00:56:13,040 --> 00:56:16,920
curious to hear your take on
Mick, is, is your, your

1009
00:56:16,920 --> 00:56:19,200
shareholders being aware of what
you're doing, being aware of

1010
00:56:19,200 --> 00:56:22,360
your intention to, to do a deal
when they, when they spit the

1011
00:56:22,360 --> 00:56:24,240
dummy like this after you do a
deal.

1012
00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:27,800
Is that a bit of a sign that you
you perhaps haven't signalled as

1013
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:30,400
well as you could have that
you're out on the hunt looking

1014
00:56:30,400 --> 00:56:31,720
to do deals and that sort of
thing?

1015
00:56:33,560 --> 00:56:36,680
Yep, you, you know, there's a
fine line between obviously

1016
00:56:36,680 --> 00:56:38,960
crossing them.
So.

1017
00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:41,560
So again, on the, you know, if I
take the Mac transaction for

1018
00:56:41,560 --> 00:56:45,480
argument's sake, and this is
public, it's in the scheme

1019
00:56:45,480 --> 00:56:48,440
agreement, you know, Harmony
required us to have got sort of,

1020
00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:53,440
you know, relatively soft or
weak voting intention statements

1021
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:55,680
out of 20% of my register ex
Glencore.

1022
00:56:56,640 --> 00:57:01,800
And so we put a fair bit of
thought into who we crossed and

1023
00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:06,760
when because obviously, you
know, you know, the market, some

1024
00:57:06,760 --> 00:57:09,560
of the guys like you, you cross
them, they can't help

1025
00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:13,720
themselves, right?
And so, so like for us, we did

1026
00:57:13,720 --> 00:57:18,000
cross the, the 20% that we
needed or 25 and, and got 20% by

1027
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:23,360
the day.
Again, when I sold detour to

1028
00:57:23,360 --> 00:57:27,640
Kirkland, you know, they were
down 20% on the day of

1029
00:57:27,640 --> 00:57:30,800
announcement because, you know,
literally my stock had doubled

1030
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:34,440
in seven months.
Then they paid a 48% premium and

1031
00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:37,520
they had the hydrate Fosterville
mine and we were running a .9

1032
00:57:37,520 --> 00:57:41,200
grams gold, you know relatively
low cost but you know very

1033
00:57:41,200 --> 00:57:45,280
different thing.
And their CEO depending on which

1034
00:57:45,280 --> 00:57:48,200
version of version of the
litigation transcript you

1035
00:57:48,200 --> 00:57:53,120
believed had or had not told
investors that he would not buy

1036
00:57:53,120 --> 00:57:56,400
a low grade thing six weeks
beforehand.

1037
00:57:57,360 --> 00:58:01,480
And so you know, perhaps could
have could have dealt with that

1038
00:58:01,480 --> 00:58:04,520
a bit better.
So in this one, you know, yeah,

1039
00:58:04,520 --> 00:58:06,800
they probably could have
signaled to the market like, you

1040
00:58:06,800 --> 00:58:10,640
know, we got criticized a bit at
Mac a bit for sort of

1041
00:58:10,640 --> 00:58:13,120
telegraphing that we might be
looking to buy stuff, right?

1042
00:58:13,120 --> 00:58:15,720
And it was like, yeah, but if
I'm getting on buy something for

1043
00:58:15,720 --> 00:58:18,840
a billion dollars, I can't be
telling you a week before that

1044
00:58:18,840 --> 00:58:20,520
we're never going to buy another
asset, right?

1045
00:58:20,520 --> 00:58:23,600
You've sort of there's a very
fine balance between laying the

1046
00:58:23,600 --> 00:58:26,920
bread crumbs, you know, without
having you trade come issue all

1047
00:58:26,920 --> 00:58:30,160
the time, right?
Or in in that case, sell core

1048
00:58:30,160 --> 00:58:36,160
buy buy new gold, right?
Yep, the you know, another case

1049
00:58:36,160 --> 00:58:40,040
of silver company making a
squillion dollars right now at

1050
00:58:40,080 --> 00:58:43,920
$50 silver Fresnelo and they've
they've expressed their

1051
00:58:43,920 --> 00:58:47,000
squillion dollar profits by
buying probe gold.

1052
00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:51,600
So venturing venturing into into
Canada, 24% premium.

1053
00:58:52,560 --> 00:58:55,160
Interesting, interesting kind of
territory here.

1054
00:58:55,240 --> 00:58:59,960
You know, proximate to AG Nico's
home ground in in many respects.

1055
00:59:00,720 --> 00:59:05,400
Sweet deal or sour deal, Mick?
I, I, well, again, Mr. Market

1056
00:59:05,840 --> 00:59:07,800
hasn't vomited on this one quite
so much.

1057
00:59:09,760 --> 00:59:14,560
And it is cash, which I sort of
again tends to tell you that

1058
00:59:14,560 --> 00:59:17,120
you're getting closer to that
midnight, you know, when people

1059
00:59:17,120 --> 00:59:19,600
start, you know, spending all
their cash because they've sort

1060
00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:21,120
of got nothing else better to do
with it.

1061
00:59:21,640 --> 00:59:23,360
And I've been a beneficiary of
that a few times.

1062
00:59:23,360 --> 00:59:28,880
So I'm not complaining.
You know, I think this one, it

1063
00:59:28,880 --> 00:59:33,200
does sort of geographically
spread their risk a little bit

1064
00:59:33,200 --> 00:59:36,800
for them.
You know, it is in Agnico's, you

1065
00:59:36,800 --> 00:59:40,360
know, backyard.
You'd have to imagine Agnico.

1066
00:59:40,360 --> 00:59:42,240
I've looked at it.
Is there an interlocker risk

1067
00:59:42,240 --> 00:59:43,880
there?
Again, I did have a look at the

1068
00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:46,480
break fee.
I think it was like 30 million

1069
00:59:46,480 --> 00:59:48,920
Canadians.
It's not a, it's not like, you

1070
00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:50,120
know, that's when you do a deal,
right?

1071
00:59:50,120 --> 00:59:51,520
You're always looking at what's
the break fee?

1072
00:59:51,520 --> 00:59:57,760
What's the so, you know, again,
this sort of to me looks a bit

1073
00:59:57,760 --> 00:59:59,880
like a sort of slightly more
smarter.

1074
01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:07,280
You know, deal and I don't think
this will take too long to

1075
01:00:07,280 --> 01:00:09,760
close, but you know, you'd be
interested to see whether

1076
01:00:09,760 --> 01:00:12,800
Agnico.
Agnico's not really got a

1077
01:00:12,800 --> 01:00:16,320
history of going aggressive on
things, but it is in their

1078
01:00:16,320 --> 01:00:18,280
backyard and.
They often wait for for

1079
01:00:18,280 --> 01:00:20,560
something to be in play where,
you know, someone else sets the

1080
01:00:20,560 --> 01:00:23,400
floor block price and then they
then they move up and to your

1081
01:00:23,400 --> 01:00:27,480
point on on, you know,
management sitting on pretty

1082
01:00:27,480 --> 01:00:30,080
substantial unrealized gains
given the bull market we're in,

1083
01:00:30,080 --> 01:00:33,600
I wonder if wonder if probe was
maybe maybe just just trying to

1084
01:00:33,600 --> 01:00:36,120
field out someone to set that
floor price because they were,

1085
01:00:36,440 --> 01:00:38,920
you know, pretty damn keen to to
to sell.

1086
01:00:39,000 --> 01:00:41,200
Who knows they.
Might not have been Robinson

1087
01:00:41,200 --> 01:00:47,120
Caruso in doing that either.
Like as we all know, you know,

1088
01:00:47,160 --> 01:00:50,400
once we signed our agreement,
we, we, we had a no shop, no

1089
01:00:50,400 --> 01:00:53,000
talk clause.
But you can be rest assured that

1090
01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:57,600
we ran a very full process.
And if you got nothing to do on

1091
01:00:57,600 --> 01:01:01,280
a Sunday night and you read our
circular, you will see that up

1092
01:01:01,280 --> 01:01:04,120
until an hour before we went
into the board meeting to agree

1093
01:01:04,120 --> 01:01:07,320
to sell the company, we were
talking to the other, another

1094
01:01:07,320 --> 01:01:10,280
company, you know, with their
full team trying to get a, a

1095
01:01:10,520 --> 01:01:12,080
competing bid into the market,
right.

1096
01:01:13,560 --> 01:01:17,240
I'll have to check that one out.
I usually like those circular

1097
01:01:17,240 --> 01:01:19,400
stick, they're good.
Should we wrap it there with

1098
01:01:19,400 --> 01:01:21,160
some hidden gems guys?
Let's do it mate.

1099
01:01:21,160 --> 01:01:24,760
What do you got for us?
I have got a a book that I am

1100
01:01:24,920 --> 01:01:27,160
enjoying started reading.
It's been doing the rounds a

1101
01:01:27,160 --> 01:01:29,720
bit, but it's called breakneck
about the, the kind of

1102
01:01:29,720 --> 01:01:33,440
differences in the, the Chinese
way of doing things in the, in

1103
01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:36,600
the US way of, of doing things.
So that one, that one's pretty

1104
01:01:36,600 --> 01:01:39,040
interesting.
And another one 1929, also quite

1105
01:01:39,040 --> 01:01:43,400
popular by Andrew Ross Sorkin,
bitter reflection on, on the,

1106
01:01:43,920 --> 01:01:46,960
you know, one of the greatest
financial crashes we've ever

1107
01:01:46,960 --> 01:01:50,120
seen in in human history.
So a bit of reading for for

1108
01:01:50,120 --> 01:01:52,600
those that are so inclined.
Mick, have you got anything

1109
01:01:52,600 --> 01:01:55,600
standing out to your podcast
holiday spot that you might be

1110
01:01:55,600 --> 01:01:58,760
taking in the in the next few
days with your your hard earned

1111
01:01:58,760 --> 01:02:00,880
break or or gadget or something
sticking out to you?

1112
01:02:02,520 --> 01:02:06,240
I I'll, I'll keep quiet on my
holiday locations, but 1929, I

1113
01:02:06,240 --> 01:02:08,080
literally just bought a copy of
it yesterday.

1114
01:02:08,080 --> 01:02:10,080
Nice.
The interest.

1115
01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:13,000
So, so an observation I've got
like, you know, I spend a lot of

1116
01:02:13,000 --> 01:02:14,880
time in the US.
I've just been up there again

1117
01:02:14,880 --> 01:02:21,240
now in, you know, I can't get my
head around the fact that the US

1118
01:02:21,240 --> 01:02:23,120
government's been shut for 35
days.

1119
01:02:23,920 --> 01:02:27,000
There's 42,000,000 on food,
people on food stamps in the US

1120
01:02:27,000 --> 01:02:29,000
that just cut out on the 1st of
November.

1121
01:02:30,800 --> 01:02:33,360
I've never, I don't think I've
ever seen so much construction

1122
01:02:33,360 --> 01:02:36,320
going on in Miami and Dallas
where I've been in the last week

1123
01:02:37,240 --> 01:02:40,360
and yet and the stock market
keeps going up and up record

1124
01:02:40,360 --> 01:02:42,520
highs every day.
I can't quite get my head around

1125
01:02:42,520 --> 01:02:44,560
it.
I guess if I could, I, I, I

1126
01:02:44,560 --> 01:02:48,200
wouldn't be working anymore.
But that's my take away from the

1127
01:02:48,200 --> 01:02:52,200
week is that, is that the US
just continues to power on.

1128
01:02:52,720 --> 01:02:55,800
Like I think in Dallas yesterday
I saw more construction in in

1129
01:02:55,800 --> 01:02:58,240
the day than I would have seen
in Perth in the last five years.

1130
01:02:59,280 --> 01:03:01,440
Well, my my hidden gem might
answer the question that you've

1131
01:03:01,560 --> 01:03:02,640
you've got on your mind.
There.

1132
01:03:03,320 --> 01:03:06,760
That's the latest the latest
article from Ray Dalio titled

1133
01:03:06,800 --> 01:03:12,720
Running it Hot into a Bubble.
A bit a bit for all of us to

1134
01:03:12,720 --> 01:03:15,280
think about in there.
Mick, thanks a bunch for for

1135
01:03:15,280 --> 01:03:18,720
joining us on on Money of mine.
Fantastic to to learn about your

1136
01:03:18,720 --> 01:03:20,800
journey and get your take on on
everything happening in the

1137
01:03:20,800 --> 01:03:22,200
mining world.
So I really appreciate it.

1138
01:03:23,280 --> 01:03:24,120
Right.
Thanks, Gav.

1139
01:03:24,280 --> 01:03:24,920
How?
About that mate.

1140
01:03:25,120 --> 01:03:28,120
There we go mate, one of the one
of the most experienced sort of

1141
01:03:28,120 --> 01:03:31,080
guys in in the industry.
Fantastic to to chat and get

1142
01:03:31,080 --> 01:03:34,280
some interesting takes on almost
every commodity under the sun

1143
01:03:34,600 --> 01:03:36,000
jurisdictions all around the
world.

1144
01:03:36,000 --> 01:03:38,320
So yeah, that was that was
fantastic mate and all made

1145
01:03:38,320 --> 01:03:41,640
possible by our fantastic
partners in the show Sand big

1146
01:03:41,640 --> 01:03:45,040
ground support also got the guys
at Introlinks supporting us.

1147
01:03:45,040 --> 01:03:47,600
Check them out.
And last but not least, focus

1148
01:03:47,600 --> 01:03:50,360
the platform by market tech
Hudaru.

1149
01:03:51,520 --> 01:03:54,360
Now remember, I'm an idiot.
JD is an idiot.

1150
01:03:54,680 --> 01:03:56,760
If you thought any of this was
anything other than

1151
01:03:56,760 --> 01:03:59,440
entertainment, you're an idiot
and you need to read out a

1152
01:03:59,440 --> 01:03:59,960
disclaimer.