Is the lithium bottom in?
Plenty to rip through today, starting with the big news out of CATL that lit up lithium markets, followed by the Greatland / Newmont deal.
Next we jumped into IGO’s big strategy day, then we looked at Putin’s comments on commodity markets, before closing off with a chat about Catalyst, De Grey & Astral.
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(0:00:00)Introduction
(0:02:24)CATL light up lithium
(0:14:40)Greatland get the deal done
(0:33:44)What's IGO's new strategy?
(0:50:54)Catalyst eye off 200kozpa
(0:55:11)De Grey set a trend
(0:58:00)Astral on a run
00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:03,960
Rhino muddy mortars.
A bit of bloody green on screen,
2
00:00:03,960 --> 00:00:05,960
mate.
With that, a lithium rebound a
3
00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:09,080
bit.
Uranium's gone off, mate.
4
00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:12,680
There is, mate.
I can feel bloody Greatlands
5
00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:16,720
bloody getting Telfer like it's
all starting to go and everyone
6
00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:18,440
wants to know what the catalyst
is.
7
00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,360
The catalyst was Axis Mining
Technologies exponential growth.
8
00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,080
That was the catalyst that's
given everything else growth.
9
00:00:25,080 --> 00:00:28,880
If Axis are grown, the mining
industry is grown, the stock
10
00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:30,920
market's grown, everyone's money
is growing.
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00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,400
The trusted advisor.
Thanks for making everyone money
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00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:36,120
Axis.
Get in while you still care.
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00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,920
Oh mate, Jesus Christ, stewards
of capital.
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00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:40,200
I'm grateful you're doing ads,
Maddie.
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00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:44,080
The episode that we'll be
uploading tomorrow, interview
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00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:48,280
with the Shrub where Janie and I
had to had to, you know, carry
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00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:49,360
the raw.
Dog carry the.
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Team that had to.
Be a for F it was.
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We don't do it the same.
We'll put it that way.
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It's good.
We.
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Still love them dearly though.
It's.
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The easiest thing for me so.
Yeah.
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Fuck it, it all works, right?
We're going to lead out, boys.
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You've done a bit of bloody
digging on this.
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What's come out of the lithium
market and why we've seen some
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double digit percentages
increase yesterday and today a
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bit as well in the lithium
sector, which is great for all
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the ones that are struggling in
that sector.
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Yeah, the good on them.
The info is as transparent as
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you'd expect out of China, of
course.
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Yeah, I got the so we're gonna
because we didn't have the show
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yesterday.
The the initial stuff come out
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about great land choir and Telfa
with the big bloody 500 odd page
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dock, which like I'm the worst
person to read something like
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that.
But I've picked a couple of
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things out, probably miss shit
loads.
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So I'll go into just a bit more
detail of this.
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What this Telfa acquisition art
means comparably as well.
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00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:51,040
What else we got?
We got anything else?
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Very curious and then open the.
IGO strategy day.
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00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:56,800
So this is like, Oh yeah, yeah,
I I, I tuned into this and I
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read, I read the doc and I'm,
you know, let's see if IG O's
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00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,360
identity crisis is solved or if
it's still apparent.
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00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:06,400
I'll tell you later.
Oh, very good old Ivan is
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00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:07,600
thriving.
He's thriving.
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Trying from oh.
Very right.
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Oh, it's late, JC.
What have you got?
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I've got a few surprise tidbits
at the end just around the
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grounds from this week.
Oh.
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00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,120
I love it.
You're always a good end of week
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injection.
End of week injection.
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Right JD later out mate cattle
reportedly reportedly cuts some
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light out of the market.
So it looks like there's real
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cracks in the the lithium sort
of supply out there starting to
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emerge.
You're sort of air quote marks
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on on reportedly.
We'll kind of get into that in a
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00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,640
little bit about how the news
kind of surfaced.
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00:02:48,640 --> 00:02:52,600
It was, you know, as I kind of
said, fashionably transparent
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from from China with a bit of
digging from some investment
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banks.
And then before we knew it,
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every lithium name is up 10 plus
percent in China.
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00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,720
Gang Fang and Tianji, they're up
limit 10%.
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00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:07,280
I think Albemarle up 14 odd
percent.
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00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:10,880
So there's a sea of green, which
was actually, you know, a bit of
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00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,920
welcomed relief for the SA for a
lot of the the lithium companies
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00:03:13,920 --> 00:03:17,200
and investors out there, unless
you're of course on the short
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side, which a fair few people
are.
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Few of them I think.
Oh Mr Alex Turnbull picked it
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00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:25,240
very timely.
I think his comments in the body
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00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:28,760
were specifically around this
happening soon.
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00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,000
Hmm.
So he's he was on the money
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there, I think.
Yeah, I think, he said.
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If if the lipid light was
retired, you know, maybe prices
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would respond pretty promptly.
Yeah.
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00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:40,160
And I think, but I think he was
saying like, look, it, it was
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alluding to the fact that it
just didn't make sense that it
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was still going, which was
pretty obvious.
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And this might be the first sign
of it.
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Mate you could see it on the
spark chart too.
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Look at it like pretty much
every ASX lithium producer up
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except for it's like core and
say owner last place.
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Course, yeah, you can see on
that sort.
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Of cause, a uranium morning now.
It's all changed.
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00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:05,160
So to give a quick overview of
how yesterday morning kind of
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transpired, essentially start
seeing these rumours that Cat
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will be suspending a bit like
mining operations as well as
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production.
And then, you know, these
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rumours start swirling around.
You have investment banks, UBS
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namely, coming up with a knot.
They called the bottom, they
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said this is the bottom of China
lithium.
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00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:25,200
So, you know, following on from
that, you have Citi and a couple
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other brokers kind of reporting
along similar kind of lines.
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You have fund managers saying,
you know, this is a clear short
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covering reaction that we're
seeing in the market to to give
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00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:40,400
a couple of the snippets of
wording that you see, UBS said
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00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:43,560
according to Channel Cheques,
Cattle has suspended operations,
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00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:47,880
obviously not confirmed as of
yet by the by the company at
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that point in time.
Channel cheques means WeChat.
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00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,480
What did you say?
Was it Bloomberg Newswire?
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00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:56,720
That was later.
So yeah, that came later.
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00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:58,360
Came later, yes.
Then it did get there though.
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And then?
Sheetlines on WhatsApp.
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You see a cattle spokesperson
confirming that they will make
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adjustments to lithium carbonate
production.
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00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:12,600
So again, no definitive wording.
There's a, you know, one, one of
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the rumours was that one of
three lithium carbonate
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production trains would be
switched off.
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But why, you know, 24 hours
later, it's kind of the
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consensus view that they are
shutting this thing off.
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So the whole thing would this,
this mine, you will kind of see
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00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:30,520
it referred to as Jianxi or Yin
Chen.
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00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:36,400
Yeah, in the sort of, yeah, in
in China that feeds into the
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downstream battery facilities
that cattle obviously has their
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core business wrapped around.
So there'd been a lot of
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estimates in the past.
And again, these are all quite
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rough numbers, but there had
been estimates about what the
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actual operating costs might be
for this Yin Chen Lipidlite
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mine.
And the the view that UBS put
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forward was that the cash costs
were just under US 11,000 tonnes
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before VAT and afterwards US 12
1/2 thousand tonnes now lithium.
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Carbonate.
Lithium carbonate, yeah,
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Equivalent, yeah.
So that's not, not, not a spot
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tonne, which is, yeah, this is
what 50?
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It's like 10 times the price,
isn't it?
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10 and a bit times the price.
At, at the moment it's over 10
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and a bit times the price.
Yeah.
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00:06:24,280 --> 00:06:27,240
So the the, the price we've been
seeing lately is sort of circus,
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$750 for sponge.
You mean 6%?
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00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:34,520
Yeah.
So yeah, I think YJ had had his
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00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:37,640
estimate for him between 13 and
14,000 a time as well.
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Yeah.
I mean, this is this is a cash
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cost as well.
Now it everyone's going to sort
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of put forward the the argument
that perhaps they don't
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necessarily need to make a
margin on this.
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They're an integrated battery
maker.
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That is the view.
UBS again highlighted that
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they'd clearly been losing money
on this part of the integration
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for a a good few months now and
that's you know been widely
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00:07:03,840 --> 00:07:05,960
suspected or or known across the
market.
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00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:09,120
There's a few interesting
investment banks and people on
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Twitter out there that put up
cost curves of Chinese lipid
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light will will flash up a chart
in a moment.
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So you can kind of see that.
But I guess the, a lot of the
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bullishness comes from people
anticipating that this is a sign
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that maybe we're going to see a
bit more of it.
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00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:26,800
Who's to know?
I mean, you can see also in the
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00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:30,000
Chinese futures, the GFX, which
was again pretty widely quoted
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00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:33,400
yesterday, they jumped up 8%.
I mean, they're not exactly oil
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00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:35,720
futures, They're not as liquid,
but that's the kind of most
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00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:39,080
liquid gauge you've got of
prices looking forward at the,
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00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:42,280
these were like the November
futures that I'm kind of quoting
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here so.
Daddy, how much like actual
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00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:50,200
lithium does this represent?
Like is it, does it matter or is
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00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:53,560
it more of a sentiment thing or
is it actual quite a chunky
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amount of tonnes?
That's a great question Ali.
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00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:57,560
And again it was not not the
most straightforward to kind of
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00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:00,160
find the numbers.
So again referencing a couple of
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00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:02,360
the investment banks, they'd
sort of put forward that this
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00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:07,160
was 60,000 tonnes of lithium
carbonate equivalent in 2024
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00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,600
expected going to 95,000 next
year.
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00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:16,920
In spot terms, that is roughly
400 thousand 2024 going up to
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00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:21,360
roughly 650,000.
So pretty chunky, but you know
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00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:24,880
it's one decent sized.
Yeah, so it's it's like shutting
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00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:28,720
off most of Bill Gangora.
Yeah, at the moment, even more
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00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:31,400
than that, it's, it's like it's
a regime change, you know what I
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00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:32,760
mean?
It's like, you know, up until at
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00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:38,400
this point, like seemingly China
was just, you know, subsidising
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00:08:38,400 --> 00:08:40,600
loss making activity.
I didn't for an item for 50
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00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:42,440
reasons.
But this is like a regime
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00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:43,240
change.
So you know.
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00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:44,840
It's the read through, right?
Exactly.
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00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:47,520
It's like, yeah, it's like that
amount of times for for this
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00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:48,760
project.
But what about the other
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00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:50,360
projects that are also
uneconomic?
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00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:51,840
Are they, are they to come, you
know?
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00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:54,800
Yeah, yeah.
And then I'll get probably the
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00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,320
other question as well, which
you'll never get an answer for
178
00:08:57,320 --> 00:08:59,320
is if are they shutting this
down because they've got
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00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:02,360
adequate enough inventory to
process and they don't need to
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00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:07,360
mine or or are they going to
need to buy it from somewhere
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00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:09,040
else to supplement shutting this
off?
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00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,120
That's a great point.
So we'd we'd seen across the the
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00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:15,640
visible inventories, which is
obviously again a big question
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00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:18,120
mark about how much you actually
sort of seeing at every stage.
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00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:21,120
But the visible inventories was
a sort of level that had been
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00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:23,240
rising steadily throughout the
year.
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00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:27,360
In the past few weeks or so, it
had, you know, destocked a
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00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,200
little bit.
But, you know, if you're a
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00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:33,280
lithium bull, you firmly want to
see that destocking trend
190
00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:36,680
continue for a good while to
come because those inventory
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00:09:36,680 --> 00:09:39,240
levels are still, you know,
you'd say, far too high.
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00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:42,400
So that's something, you know,
the shorts and the and the
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00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:44,800
people out there that are long
are going to be pretty keen to,
194
00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:48,360
to keep their eyes on and, you
know, to give them confirmation
195
00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:51,120
one way or the other.
There's some of those Chinese
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00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:53,600
companies to go pay a in the
Aussie lithium stocks.
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00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:57,160
Give me the incentive.
Absolutely.
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00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:01,320
I mean, talking of the Aussie
lithium stocks, the we'll Chuck
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00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:04,520
up a chart here quickly.
You can see the the short
200
00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:06,200
interest in a lot of the names
out there.
201
00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:09,040
So no surprise it's been the
case for quite a while now.
202
00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:12,520
We've spoken about it a bunch,
but Pilbara, Lyontown, Siona,
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00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:16,880
Mins are all amongst the most
shorted stocks on the ASX.
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00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:18,640
You know, not just the the
mining space.
205
00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:21,960
And I mean that the number on
Pilbara still kind of blows your
206
00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:23,560
mind.
It has been inching back
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00:10:23,560 --> 00:10:27,680
somewhat from 22 and a bit
percent of the issued capital to
208
00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:31,480
20 ish percent.
But you know, as a quick
209
00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:34,320
reminder, we'll only find out in
a few days time what's actually
210
00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:37,880
happened if this was indeed the
the short covering event that a
211
00:10:37,880 --> 00:10:39,680
lot of people out there
suspected it to be.
212
00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:41,640
Yeah.
And men's is an interesting one
213
00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:44,960
because they, they've gone from
like 30 to back to 38 bucks in a
214
00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:46,640
couple of days.
And it'd be interesting to say
215
00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:49,040
because they they had the
release, the announcement on the
216
00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:51,480
same day that this happened
about the cost cuts and the
217
00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:55,000
roster changes and CapEx
reductions and everything.
218
00:10:55,280 --> 00:10:57,880
So I'd be interested to see how
much of that rise was attributed
219
00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:00,560
to this because they're
obviously got a lot of talk to
220
00:11:00,560 --> 00:11:04,400
the lithium price being
considering Mount Marion and
221
00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:07,400
Bald Hill and everything, how
much was attributed to this and
222
00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:09,920
how much the actual operational
cost.
223
00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,880
So yeah, big rebound from last
week A. 100% it'd been one way
224
00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:16,840
traffic for for quite a while
and things don't happen in a in
225
00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:18,360
a straight line.
But I think the the kind of
226
00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:21,920
point to round out on and go
back to your question Ally, one
227
00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,520
of the numbers that was quoted
quite a bit was that this was
228
00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:29,880
sort of 8% of Chinese supplies.
So talking about 5 to 6000
229
00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:34,080
tonnes of lithium carbonate
equivalent per month at the
230
00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:35,200
moment obviously was changing
it.
231
00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:37,200
So it was sort of suspected to
get bigger.
232
00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:40,600
I'd seen some people quote more,
some people quote less.
233
00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:43,000
But it's really the, the read
through that everyone was
234
00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:46,160
getting really up and about
about thinking, you know, is, is
235
00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:48,160
this the bottom?
Has it kind of set in?
236
00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:49,720
Where can we kind of see it
going from here?
237
00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,480
There's a widely circulated city
note, I think last week that
238
00:11:52,480 --> 00:11:56,120
said only one operation is
making money at current prices.
239
00:11:56,120 --> 00:12:01,080
So, I mean, yeah, I'm hoping for
for a lot of the the names out
240
00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:04,960
there that you know, the the
lowest kind of set in because it
241
00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:08,400
was really starting to to hurt
across a lot of the the
242
00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:11,080
companies on the ASX that we
that we talk about and kind of
243
00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:14,400
want to see do well.
Yeah, I think like expectations
244
00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:16,800
of of price, like price isn't
going to rebound in a straight
245
00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:18,240
line either.
And just like go to the moon
246
00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:20,280
again, it's like, you know, it's
going to find a.
247
00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:24,000
Yeah, I mean, we saw that happy.
Medium in a much lower rate than
248
00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:25,200
some people might have expected
to.
249
00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:29,240
Yeah, we saw it get to 800 spot
that is and then up to 1200 in
250
00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:32,440
early 2024 and then all the way
back down to 700.
251
00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:33,640
Nothing happens in a straight
line.
252
00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:37,520
But the the cost curve, which is
pretty opaque, is the the best
253
00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,600
guide to where things are going
to be in the in the medium to
254
00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:42,280
longer term.
Because there's, there hasn't
255
00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:46,960
been a technically reported
increase in the traded spodumene
256
00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:48,960
price yet.
I remember that.
257
00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:52,120
I like the UBS thing.
I think the Chen Chen or
258
00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:55,400
whatever it was that price went
up and everything was flat on
259
00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:59,240
the note or read this morning.
So this is obviously all a bit
260
00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:01,960
of a sentiment driven equity
rally.
261
00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:03,360
Yeah.
I mean, the best gauge on the
262
00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:05,760
price we had was the the
futures, right?
263
00:13:05,760 --> 00:13:10,360
The, the actual spot price is a
spot market that's made up of a
264
00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:13,880
couple trades a week, a month or
something like that.
265
00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:17,560
So let's just again zoom out a
bit and and look and see what
266
00:13:17,560 --> 00:13:20,520
it's in a few weeks time to to
get a bit of a better feel for
267
00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:21,880
what this actually means for the
price.
268
00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:25,240
Isn't it funny how the influence
that the shittest form of
269
00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:28,080
lithium can have on a market
look?
270
00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:29,600
No.
Well, that's that's cost curves
271
00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:30,040
for you.
Right.
272
00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:32,440
Yeah.
Because yeah, the it's the floor
273
00:13:32,440 --> 00:13:34,920
of the cost curve, you said at
the margin, which is, you know,
274
00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:37,280
the amount of high cost that
still gets sold.
275
00:13:37,560 --> 00:13:39,280
Yeah.
But you know, it's fascinating
276
00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:42,680
lot because this is, I mean,
like we've sort of saying before
277
00:13:42,680 --> 00:13:47,200
everyone's spoken quite, you
know, at lengths about, you
278
00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:50,160
know, how this lipid like
production is, is not
279
00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:52,520
sustainable.
But you know, this is the first
280
00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:58,480
real and material thing we've
seen as far as that getting
281
00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:01,240
pulled back and not just
speculation.
282
00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:05,120
So I think that read through
which is certainly showed itself
283
00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:08,760
in the equities lithium equity
is, is fascinating.
284
00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:10,800
I find it wild.
A lot of these brokers putting
285
00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:15,160
forward, you know, two to three
month price targets like that.
286
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:18,640
That's just kind of crazy in me
that is so hard to so hard to
287
00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:20,240
pick.
You know, people that are closer
288
00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:22,840
to the market than anyone else
in the world are saying, I never
289
00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:25,800
thought we'd get down here.
It's, I mean, I know it's their
290
00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:27,400
job, but you kind of put
yourself out there a bit.
291
00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:30,760
Just drag right?
Chuck a number on it and I think
292
00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:32,280
it might be simpler than we
think.
293
00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:35,000
Maybe it just needs to be a bit
higher.
294
00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:37,600
Yeah, just to get that corporate
work in.
295
00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:40,760
It's a pretty easy formula.
Speaking of corporate work,
296
00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:41,720
Maddie, there's a big deal.
Oh.
297
00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:44,520
Right.
So we alluded to it the other
298
00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:50,120
day, the Greatland New Montel
for bloody Aviron deal.
299
00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:52,840
So we've got the I think, I
don't know if that doc was out.
300
00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:54,280
I think it came out yesterday,
wasn't.
301
00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:56,040
It today, yeah, we didn't have
any details I.
302
00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:59,040
Was trying to read it on the
couch when I was dying of throat
303
00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:01,720
infection.
I'm like, oh, this is just not
304
00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:04,480
good for the trying to remedy
myself.
305
00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:08,080
But day I was I was trying to
for the money miners and the
306
00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:11,560
Greyland gold fans.
So summarise quickly.
307
00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:14,960
I know we went through the other
day greatly and picking up 70%
308
00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:18,200
of Haver on the remaining 70
percent, 100% of Telfer and all
309
00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:21,920
the associated infrastructure
plus the the Newmont JVS, the
310
00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:26,400
Antipa stake, the Tungsten
Bloody, the Tribes Tungsten Mod.
311
00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:28,400
Totally the highest value part
of that.
312
00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:31,200
That is huge right.
Never underestimate look at what
313
00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:34,320
antimony is doing.
So look and this is for
314
00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:38,840
approximately $750 million
Aussie and which the and that
315
00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:42,480
includes the deferred
consideration likely some which
316
00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:45,200
will go through some stockpile
and process adjustments between
317
00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:49,160
now and the acquisition.
So because Newmont are going to
318
00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:53,080
start processing again end of
this month's start of October,
319
00:15:54,000 --> 00:16:00,000
but agree to only process on one
train, so round 10 million
320
00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:01,920
tonne.
Is that from from October when
321
00:16:01,920 --> 00:16:03,440
they or is that when they?
Start, yeah.
322
00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:07,960
So between between Newmont
owning it still and the
323
00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:10,960
completion of the acquisition,
Newmont will process on one
324
00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:13,880
train instead of 2.
So about 10 million tonne run
325
00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:17,720
rate per annum.
So and they're also have been
326
00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:21,960
and will continue to mine and
which will be increasing the
327
00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:27,080
stockpiles.
So to I guess compensate Newmont
328
00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:30,160
for this, there's some
conditions that Great land have
329
00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:33,920
to pay like they'll be the cash,
cash cost adjustments.
330
00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:37,440
So it's 10 bucks a tonne for
every bit effectively how I
331
00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:40,560
understand it, 10 bucks a tonne
for every bit of all over
332
00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:44,280
6,000,000 tonne in rum
stockpiles until the acquisition
333
00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:50,040
completes and then another 20 to
$25 a tonne based on what
334
00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:53,280
Newmont would have processed if
they were running the two
335
00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,800
trains.
So if you when they combine all
336
00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:59,560
that, they've got to pay 40,
another 40 million within 190
337
00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:02,000
days acquisition.
Then if there's anything on top
338
00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:06,000
of that based on what they
process and what they could have
339
00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:11,520
processed, that's due in 366
days after the acquisition.
340
00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:14,760
So all pretty, so should.
We think of it as about 800.
341
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:17,760
Yeah.
Oh, that, that 750 sort of
342
00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:19,720
includes that, I think because
it was like 4.
343
00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:23,760
Was it 476 US times bloody 1/2?
Yeah.
344
00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:28,600
So it's around 7:50 and let's
put $750 million.
345
00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:33,920
And as I said, I think it's
only, what is it, 2, 300 mil
346
00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:36,480
Aussie upfront.
It was, what was it, 205 US
347
00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:38,920
upfront?
Yeah, 303 hundred mil Aussie
348
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:40,640
upfront.
But let's put the total
349
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:43,440
including deferred consideration
in these possible adjustments,
350
00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:47,840
750 mil Aussie in context,
that's half of Spartan's market
351
00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:49,000
cap.
Yeah, when when you say the
352
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,280
upfront as well with with the
the dilution, it's it's.
353
00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:52,760
Upfront cash, but there's
script.
354
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:54,240
Upfront cash and the out of the
script.
355
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:58,320
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
So 750 million Aussie, half of
356
00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:01,840
Spartans market cap Spartans are
one and half or a Bandra is a $1
357
00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:05,080
billion company.
This is without any takeover
358
00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:06,840
premiums if they did get
acquired.
359
00:18:07,120 --> 00:18:11,080
So and so for that 750 million
they're holding, they're holding
360
00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:15,440
the case to a bit over 20
million tonne processing plant,
361
00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:18,840
massive underground mine with
the existing infrastructure to
362
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:20,280
piggyback off.
Along my knife.
363
00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:25,520
All the exploration tenure pitch
them an airstrip, 79, a hundred
364
00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:29,840
man camp, 145 megawatts of
power, 30 million tonne of
365
00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:33,320
stockpiles.
So when you you put it in that
366
00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:35,520
context, what they're paying for
it and the deferred
367
00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:38,920
consideration and everything,
it's a bit of a cracker like
368
00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,040
this.
I guess this what's this is what
369
00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:44,360
happens when you get it out of a
major because the majors like
370
00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:49,080
it's not really hugely material
for them that cash like for
371
00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:51,480
Newmont because they're so big,
but.
372
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:53,400
They wanted the portfolio
simplification and.
373
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:55,440
Yeah, and like getting it,
getting it off their hands when
374
00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:58,440
they they can redeploy people
elsewhere, they don't have to
375
00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,320
worry about a non core asset
anymore.
376
00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:03,360
Like and they've obviously kept
it going because of their, you
377
00:19:03,360 --> 00:19:06,600
know, their social obligation to
keep the workforce there and
378
00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:09,520
keep it going.
So like it's getting it off
379
00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:13,840
their hands, even though they're
an extra fucking 300 mil for new
380
00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,280
mom wouldn't even move the
needle for them really.
381
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:20,520
Like they're freaking huge.
So yeah, a lot to this is
382
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:24,880
obviously a first step lot to go
like towards it to getting this
383
00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:26,240
all harming because it's
frigging big.
384
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:30,160
This is a big operation.
So won't go over the financials
385
00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:33,440
too much.
As you said, like there's 250
386
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:37,200
mil Aussie of Greatland script
to Newmont and then WAILU
387
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:41,800
actually have an option
agreement for some and the
388
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:45,000
remainder of that Newmont script
because WAILU are tipping in 100
389
00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,440
mil US to the rise to maintain
their pro rata.
390
00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:55,200
And So what so that 250 mil half
of it while you have an option
391
00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:58,640
to purchase at a 50% premium to
the placement price.
392
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:02,880
And then they also have a right
of first refusal to purchase the
393
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:06,480
remainder of it should Newmont
choose to divest it.
394
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:10,360
And so I think it's it's in
escrow for the for 12 months and
395
00:20:10,360 --> 00:20:12,840
then 12 months after that
there's like some market can.
396
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,920
Yeah, market conditions, which
is effectively man, and they
397
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,400
can't dump it on the market.
They probably have to block
398
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,600
trade it or something.
Yeah, shouldn't you want to get
399
00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:22,200
rid of it?
But while they do have the
400
00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:24,720
options outside, it protects
them from Newmont.
401
00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:27,320
It's dumping that stake.
I don't think it's a Newmont
402
00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:30,520
thing to do to go and just dump
a stake and fucking drive a
403
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:34,280
share price down.
So and then they've also got
404
00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:37,960
potentially like non binding at
the moment like 750 bucks worth
405
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:44,280
of bank debt from HSBCINZ&ING
$10 capital or also tipping in
406
00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:47,600
75 bucks worth in addition to
why lose bit so they.
407
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:50,480
Probably just yeah, like you
could bet at the Spartan.
408
00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:52,680
Then they just made a heaps of
money in Spartan like oh let's
409
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,560
just better value, let's do
that.
410
00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,920
Do it again.
What they tip in the Spartan A
411
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:02,840
Ridge.
They bought in at $0.10 and
412
00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:04,720
they, I don't know what they put
in, but they got a royalty.
413
00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:07,440
Out of a lot, a lot less than 75
bucks, wasn't it?
414
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:09,400
Yeah, definitely.
Yeah, yeah, this is this is a
415
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,880
bit of a big.
Swing for them 18% or something.
416
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:14,040
Like that, yeah.
And then the listing what, what
417
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:15,480
sort of guidance do they give
about that?
418
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:17,880
Oh.
They pretty much said within six
419
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,360
months after the six months
after the acquisition is when
420
00:21:21,360 --> 00:21:24,840
they'll be looking to list on
the ISX and have a dual listing
421
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:28,120
on the AIM still.
So I think as, as you said the
422
00:21:28,120 --> 00:21:31,320
other day, doing it, trying to
do the listing in transaction
423
00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:33,320
obviously complicates the living
fuck out of it.
424
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:37,200
So I think they're just staging
that to to down the road.
425
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,480
So scroll.
Jesus Christ we've bloody maxed
426
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:43,640
out the OneDrive folder with
screenshots for this on black
427
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:45,120
floors.
Not going to say.
428
00:21:45,120 --> 00:21:46,640
Hammered.
I did it.
429
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:48,160
I did.
I did, I mean.
430
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:49,680
They did the raise at a 30%
discount.
431
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,200
Yeah, but but yeah, down 27.
Percent.
432
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:54,000
Yeah, it's just right.
Still above the issue.
433
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,520
Price still above.
Yeah, in terms of what they've
434
00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:59,360
got in front of them.
So when you read through
435
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:04,440
potentially close to 10 million
tonne of rum run of mine
436
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:08,760
stockpiles by October, that's
essentially what what they've
437
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:11,120
been mining and adding and what
they're going to add.
438
00:22:11,120 --> 00:22:13,560
You might while they're still
operating it, but then you add
439
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:20,080
in another, these aren't
classified, but not like CII
440
00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:24,080
classified, like JAW classified.
There's another 20 million tonne
441
00:22:24,080 --> 00:22:27,360
of low grade stockpiles that are
sitting there as well.
442
00:22:27,360 --> 00:22:30,560
So there and I'm not sure if
some of them are from the dump
443
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,520
leach or like they're actual
just low grade stockpiles, but
444
00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:35,880
they're not part of the actual
resource.
445
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:39,400
So they're pretty an expiration.
Target or something over them,
446
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:41,320
yeah.
I know, but I think it's
447
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,680
included within when they talk
about, I'll bring up the
448
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:45,480
screenshot.
You got the exploration target
449
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:49,200
then the low grade stockpiles
which are classified as inferred
450
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,440
or anything.
So there's 30 million tonnes
451
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:54,600
sitting there.
So this will say them they've
452
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:58,760
got this 15 month plan to pretty
much pump 22 million tonne of
453
00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:01,360
that through the plan.
And I'll assume they'll be using
454
00:23:01,360 --> 00:23:03,320
the dual trains before that.
Yeah.
455
00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:07,320
And so that, that that'll give
them 374,000 ounces of gold and
456
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:11,760
13,000 tonne of copper. 60% of
that is going to be hedged, it
457
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:15,280
says, but not sure on what the
hedging terms are.
458
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:18,200
So I'm not sure if that that
hedging is part of the agreement
459
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:21,800
or not.
So like that's early, early cash
460
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:23,800
flow form.
I would assume that they would
461
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,920
want to maintain, they wouldn't
RIP the whole thing 'cause that
462
00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:30,320
a plant that big, you want a big
stockpile buffer and then you
463
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:32,120
wanna try and maintain it in
some way.
464
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:36,640
So, but yeah, it's like fucking
scrolling.
465
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,200
It's just.
The the the headline kind of,
466
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:41,920
you know, when you think of what
they've actually picked up for
467
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:45,120
750 million bucks in, in the
current valuation environment
468
00:23:45,120 --> 00:23:49,320
for WA kind of projects is, you
know, it's a, it's a, it just,
469
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:50,920
it screens a pretty damned big
deal.
470
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:54,320
Oh that's yeah, just considering
what you pay for a frigging
471
00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:58,200
250,000 oz producer that
probably isn't even developed
472
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:00,600
yet you normally don't get.
A bargain in a sale process, But
473
00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,600
you know, I think to your point,
it's like it's a function of a
474
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:07,600
like buying from a major, but
it's it's B the negotiating
475
00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:09,680
leverage from the right of last
few years and.
476
00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:13,240
Whether they want to say that
was or not, but that was, it's
477
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:15,480
massive because.
It's just it makes you the
478
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,960
preferred party for Newman the
entire way as opposed to, you
479
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:22,120
know, them, them, you know,
creating of attention and sale
480
00:24:22,120 --> 00:24:24,680
process.
And then, you know, you're
481
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,000
having to exercise that right at
some crazy price.
482
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,520
And it's just, you know, yeah,
just just, it just works.
483
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:32,120
It was whoever put that clause
in in that JB game and give
484
00:24:32,120 --> 00:24:35,600
yourself a free bonus.
I don't think it can be.
485
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:39,440
Understated as well as the the
value of that processing
486
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:43,320
infrastructure and holding the
keys to be the holding the keys
487
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:47,040
to basically the only major
processing infrastructure in
488
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:51,960
that region you'd essentially
can can you control your own
489
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:56,160
destiny and everyone else sort
of has to working with you right
490
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,560
that and that's pretty powerful
Oh to you.
491
00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:03,640
And I don't think stepping back
to when we previously talked
492
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:07,600
about great land from memory,
like I'm just trying to think of
493
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:13,440
the sentiment this, the idea of
this happening felt far reached.
494
00:25:14,000 --> 00:25:17,120
Like when we talked about it
like it was like how the like
495
00:25:17,120 --> 00:25:19,720
great land is going to be able
to get Telfer and and
496
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:21,480
everything.
And they've done it.
497
00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:24,960
Like I'm pretty sure thinking
back it was always like, that's
498
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,120
such a someone bigger has to
come in to take.
499
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,400
Great land.
In that asset, but they've done
500
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,000
it themselves.
So I don't think, I think it was
501
00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:36,600
pretty far fetched at the time,
the moment I learned about.
502
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:38,840
That right.
I was like, oh, here we go.
503
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:41,920
Yeah.
Yeah, it's yeah, bloody, bloody
504
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:45,000
impressive.
So in terms of Haveron so far
505
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:47,640
where that's sitting.
So because they've, they've done
506
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:51,800
a lot of work so far the in the
new Crest days, because they've
507
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:55,040
developed the decline, decline
through the two aquifers in
508
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:59,040
this, this Permian cover, which
is, I don't know, Latin for dog
509
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:02,200
shit, just friggin dust that's
been come over.
510
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:04,680
So like it's, I think it's one
of the most expensive decline in
511
00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:06,640
history.
Rd headed and probably a gut
512
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:08,920
load of shot crate and, and
everything.
513
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:11,840
It's so that's they've got
through two of them, but it's on
514
00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:13,760
pause at the moment because
they're waiting for the permits
515
00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:17,640
to put extra evaporation ponds
up the top to deal with the
516
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:19,720
water that's going to come out
of this aquifer.
517
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:22,040
And then obviously got to do it
like looks like they're doing
518
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:26,600
work to depressurize and try and
minimise the pressure coming out
519
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:28,720
of that aquifer.
Like when you talk about
520
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,240
aquifers, it's just fucking
water, water that goes forever.
521
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,920
You just can't, I don't know the
hydrology of it, but
522
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:37,680
hydrogeology or whatever.
But it's not something you can
523
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,800
usually just pump out.
You just got to try and block it
524
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:42,920
off.
But I, I might be proven wrong,
525
00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:45,560
but they might be able to
continually pump it out and
526
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:47,600
monitor it to depressurize it
and everything.
527
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:49,560
So there's a there's a bit of
water to make it sound.
528
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:50,920
Right.
Yeah, and and.
529
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:54,120
Like you look at this thing, the
next big challenge will be the
530
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:57,920
the two ventilation risers that
have to go in because they're
531
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,720
talking pretty much they can't
do a big large diameter rise
532
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:04,560
ball because 1 you got to go
through the aquifer and to the
533
00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:07,280
grounds that pass it.
Probably it just wouldn't hold
534
00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:09,800
up.
So they got a blonde sink those
535
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:13,640
two, which means like developing
vertically down from the surface
536
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:15,880
like a proper shaft sink without
a void.
537
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:19,680
And then they outside, they'll
have to support it the whole way
538
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:24,280
down, like spray it and whatever
they got to do to support it on
539
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:26,800
the way down and then manage the
water out of the aquifer.
540
00:27:27,120 --> 00:27:29,040
I think that's got to be a bit
of a challenge to get through
541
00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:31,080
that.
But I guess what's in their
542
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:34,040
favour is because if that
decline's been done already,
543
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:35,720
they've been through two
aquifers, they would have
544
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,840
learned a fuck load gown.
What about an absolute head fuck
545
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:41,880
when you first hit it?
But you realise what works and
546
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:44,360
what doesn't.
So I think that knowledge is
547
00:27:44,360 --> 00:27:46,120
going to be pretty bloody
important.
548
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:48,560
Bloody it'll be.
Yeah.
549
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,760
She ain't like trace it.
It ain't like chucking up 3
550
00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:53,600
sheets of mesh at Chandi put it
that way.
551
00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:56,280
It's funny.
It'd be pretty challenging.
552
00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:59,040
So probably going to be a pretty
slow and costly process.
553
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:04,000
So and I'll be yeah, just the
big thing will be managing the
554
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,160
water because water just fucks
everything.
555
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,640
So getting the pumping right,
getting the depressurizing
556
00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:12,880
right.
So they put this in the chat
557
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:14,120
group.
Greatland better have
558
00:28:14,120 --> 00:28:16,480
Greenland's equipment on it like
this.
559
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:19,680
Like if you're you want to
control this aquifer bloody and
560
00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:24,600
Chuck these water ponds in odd.
I would feel so comfortable
561
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:29,200
knowing that Greenland's is up
in the Patterson sorting this
562
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:32,280
out.
So buddy, all those all the UK
563
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:36,000
boys get it.
Start a separate thread in the
564
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:39,440
chat group.
Get Greenland's equipment at
565
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:42,720
Haveron.
It is a must I buddy.
566
00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:44,520
I just don't know who else you'd
get.
567
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:45,760
Great land, green land.
Same thing.
568
00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:49,080
Great land, green.
Lands, it's exactly the same.
569
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:51,120
Could be a subsidiary that we
don't.
570
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:54,680
It could be a related party.
So match made in heaven.
571
00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:57,440
Yeah, so I want.
To see green lands up there.
572
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:01,080
So give them a shout, they're in
the show, notes Shawnee.
573
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:04,000
Yeah, give him an email.
That's what Maddie do.
574
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:06,240
The right thing.
So I reckon the hard work.
575
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,000
'S still ahead for him right,
because you've got to be a minor
576
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:11,040
now and like you know it's not
straightforward to just oh but
577
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:12,880
you.
Do you got a lot of workforce
578
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:17,080
coming in like, yeah, they'll be
retained and all the obviously
579
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:20,760
the burn cut people that were in
the contract and the the Newmont
580
00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:23,200
people in the the white collar
sort of things.
581
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,720
So and the all the processing
people.
582
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:29,400
So I assume there's going to be
a a hand a shirt swap there.
583
00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:32,560
So that's that's probably pretty
bloody handy, like, you know,
584
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:38,880
burn Cutter being up there for
20 years, I think long time.
585
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:41,880
So a lot of lot of lot of
knowledge of Telfa.
586
00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:44,840
And then they've obviously been
doing the decline at Havron as
587
00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:48,480
well.
So it's a lot of options.
588
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:51,720
But with how big that processing
plan is and the processing
589
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:55,840
flexibility based on thinking
down down the road of like, you
590
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:58,440
know, talking about J VS and
other dirt coming in as this
591
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:01,480
central facility.
So because looks like Haver on
592
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:03,960
and probably Telfer as well
going to be predominantly a gold
593
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:08,480
mine with copper.
So, but if they've got if
594
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:10,640
they've got more copper coming
through like a more copper
595
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:15,320
predominant deposit going in
like they can, they can change
596
00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:17,560
from what I understand, they can
change a lot in the processing
597
00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:19,200
circuit of how they deal with
it.
598
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:22,320
Like they, I think of recent
times they've been doing just
599
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:26,840
like a they just grind it, Chuck
it in, float it and they have a
600
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:32,320
gold copper concentrate or they
can bloody and change up the
601
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:33,920
chemicals.
They can do like a copper
602
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:35,800
concentrate that has a bit of
gold in it.
603
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:38,760
Then they can, which I think
they're proposing to do here.
604
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:42,720
Then they have a gold float that
then goes through a ray grime,
605
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,360
which they're going to put in
like and then ACIL circuit to
606
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:49,640
produce the door eye bars and
they can then they got that that
607
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:52,400
dump bleach up there, which is
effectively a low grade hate
608
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:54,720
bleach.
Like they can flick things
609
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:59,360
around and based on the
mineralogy to produce a lot of
610
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:02,000
different things because
notoriously it's been a, it's a
611
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:03,320
lot.
It's pretty much the copper
612
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:07,400
concentrate produced itself for
us about half of the grade of
613
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:10,040
copper of what they produce it
like Katie and that normally a
614
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:15,040
copper cons like 25% copper, but
this stuff's like 12% or
615
00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:16,760
something.
Like it's been a high, it's high
616
00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:18,560
pyrite.
But because they've got the
617
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,720
elevated levels of gold, the
smelters fucking love it because
618
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:24,880
they've got the gold in it to
sweeten it, even though it's a
619
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:26,920
lower copper grade.
So get the Mets in there.
620
00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:30,600
Yeah, so.
Yeah, no, it's pretty, pretty
621
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:33,320
exciting, I think.
And obviously that that
622
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:36,600
exploration potential of the
tenure like you can see you've
623
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:40,560
got that West home dates and
this VSC which is below The
624
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:44,400
Cave, but regionally within that
Telfer tenement start peppering
625
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:48,560
that like what else you can find
down date there.
626
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:51,480
The stuff they've got like your
biggest thing at Telfer and have
627
00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:53,400
her on as well, because they're
going to have a refrigeration
628
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:58,000
plan at have her on is the heat.
Like you're up in the fucking up
629
00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:01,760
near Marble Bar, one of the
hottest parts of Australia and
630
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,720
the depth around that cave, a
lot of bits, a lot of seismicity
631
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:07,080
to deal with.
So it's like it's not an easy
632
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:12,440
walk up start, but and then when
when we talk refrigeration, when
633
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:14,720
you have a refrigeration is
evaporative.
634
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:16,520
The one they got up there to my
knowledge.
635
00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:20,680
So when a cyclone comes over and
it's humid up top, you know how
636
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,680
an evaporative air con goes in
your house.
637
00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:26,680
Yeah, good for fuck all.
So it's there's a couple of had
638
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:28,400
a couple of dark days at
Telford.
639
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:30,960
They put it that way.
So yeah.
640
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:34,040
But then though down deep they
they're not they're not tracking
641
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:37,640
it all the way out from 1.2 KS.
They got the freaking shaft
642
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:41,560
infrastructure that already
there that goes down to one KD
643
00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:44,360
and that can fuck.
I think that when that was
644
00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:48,080
harming that could freaking put
through 20,000 tonne a day or
645
00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:49,680
something.
You wouldn't be able to get the
646
00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:53,040
trucks there quick enough now,
probably because it used to just
647
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:57,240
coming out all passes.
But like that western dime dates
648
00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:01,360
that'll just they'll just track
that sort of laterally over
649
00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:02,880
there.
Truck it over the haulage shaft.
650
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,280
Just throw it up the shaft so
you're not tracking.
651
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:09,400
It's not diesel trucks driving
bloody gually or distances or
652
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:11,280
anything.
It's just all that that that
653
00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:15,040
shaft infrastructure and putting
a shaft in like you know, they
654
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:17,280
talk it whether they could do it
at have run or not.
655
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:20,560
It's a fucking huge excavation.
A lot of capital You got to put
656
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:22,920
an underground crusher in.
But in terms of what they can
657
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:26,760
find in and around Telfa, that
shaft's still there, so it's
658
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:28,880
worth.
It's bloody white and gold.
659
00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,000
So it's, yeah, a lot of
potential.
660
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:35,240
So I'm bloody excited to follow
this one.
661
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,680
Underground.
I love underground.
662
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:39,040
OK, Master class.
Matey Oh.
663
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:41,000
Fucking I'll check for that
listing.
664
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:44,120
Next year, yeah.
I'm.
665
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,400
I'm keen to talk about IGO.
Oh yeah, Strategy day.
666
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:49,520
Yeah, we, we.
Finally got to the, you know,
667
00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:53,680
very anticipated strategy day.
You know, I say much anticipated
668
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:58,640
because IGA has taken a bit of a
necessary reinvention at the
669
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:00,360
moment.
Like Once Upon a time, they're
670
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:04,720
basically the most active minor
from a dual perspective on the
671
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,720
ISS for brief period there in
2022, Peter Bradford
672
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:11,120
unfortunately passed away.
Ivan Valour was was hired, but I
673
00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:14,239
don't know, he took his seat
until it was like December 2023.
674
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:16,920
There was kind of a big, big
wait for him to kind of get in
675
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:21,040
the the new head seat.
And like since since then the
676
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:24,880
nickel market has collapsed.
The western areas, you know,
677
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:29,199
acquisition has been proven to
be just a dozy lithium market
678
00:34:29,199 --> 00:34:30,719
has been under tremendous
pressure.
679
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,920
And that's placed, you know, the
inadequacies of their joint
680
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:35,960
venture with with Tianchi kind
of front and centre.
681
00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:39,840
The Kunana hydroxide facility is
still only producing at A at a
682
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:42,400
fraction of of what nameplate is
supposed to be doing.
683
00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:46,480
Nova's My life is fast coming to
an end and it's kind of
684
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:50,159
increasing pressure on, on Igos,
you know, return on exploration
685
00:34:50,159 --> 00:34:53,719
over over a long period of time.
So the market's been kind of
686
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:55,199
eager.
Has there been a return?
687
00:34:55,199 --> 00:34:57,600
At all.
I actually you know what in the.
688
00:34:57,600 --> 00:35:02,640
Annual report they put out there
was like in the well the the
689
00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:04,880
back pages or something that was
there was a bit of a lithium
690
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:06,840
discovery for a Stania right
not.
691
00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:09,640
Not.
Not like to talk about yeah,
692
00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:11,560
yeah, yeah.
It might be the first discovery
693
00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:13,240
that they've had Fucking base.
Metals.
694
00:35:13,240 --> 00:35:15,200
God, the worst thing to try and
find.
695
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:16,880
Yeah, like that.
If it was gold, they would have
696
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:18,160
found something.
Yeah, anyway.
697
00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:23,000
That, that, you know, when I
think the market's been pretty
698
00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:25,760
eager just to understand what
like what IGO is as a, as a
699
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:29,200
company right now.
And and IGO, that kind of
700
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:31,480
brought some time in answering
this question properly by
701
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:33,160
saying, you know, wait until the
strategy day, wait until the
702
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:36,400
strategy day.
Hence we in the market have been
703
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:39,960
pretty, pretty interested.
You know, I read through the 55
704
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:44,240
page deck and I listened to the
to the webcast that that they
705
00:35:44,240 --> 00:35:47,200
did as well.
And to be completely honest,
706
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:50,320
like there wasn't a hell of a
lot there that was new.
707
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,360
I suspect the market will still
have, you know, kind of the same
708
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:58,280
concerns that it's been having.
But like in a nutshell, if I
709
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:00,520
just sort of summarise, you
know, everything that's kind of
710
00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:04,200
going on and been told in this
strategy update, they remain
711
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,200
hitched to battery metals,
unsurprisingly.
712
00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:09,240
So hence super keen on acquiring
copper.
713
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:12,920
They even said they'd go
overseas to, to do it,
714
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:17,240
recognising the, you know, the
you gotta go where your bodies
715
00:36:17,240 --> 00:36:19,760
are sort of thing.
And you know, they even said
716
00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:22,240
they'd be like a minority
shareholder just to get an
717
00:36:22,240 --> 00:36:24,480
equity interest in a project as
opposed to, you know, actually
718
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:26,880
have to acquire something 100%
as well.
719
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:30,160
Lithium a mainstay.
I'll address the the key issues
720
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:33,560
around their lithium portfolio
shortly and look on, on the
721
00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:37,960
nickel front, they're pumping
kind of cash from Nova as fast
722
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:39,600
as they can.
They're trying to bring forward
723
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:43,120
some of the tonnes from the from
the tail a bit forward in the
724
00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:45,600
next two years.
Cosmos was interesting.
725
00:36:45,600 --> 00:36:48,600
They can't, you know, admit that
unless there's a different
726
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:50,880
mining method, it's just
uneconomic.
727
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:56,600
Yeah, yeah, because it was all
stopping and pace fill and
728
00:36:56,720 --> 00:36:59,200
bloody at depth.
Yeah.
729
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:02,640
Don't know else you could.
It'd be tough to start a
730
00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:04,280
ultramythic cave from down
there.
731
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:08,920
No, not not sure.
Yeah, I think I suppose they've
732
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:14,400
got they've taken taken that
first step to sort of identity
733
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:19,440
was with looking to flog
Forrestonia off to medallion.
734
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:22,400
Whether the same thing will
happen with Nova, like actually
735
00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:24,840
starting to divest some of that
nickel and some of the
736
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:26,120
infrastructure?
Yeah.
737
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:28,560
So I like Cosmos.
Yeah.
738
00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:30,760
Don't know what, Don't know
what'll happen with bloody that
739
00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:31,880
one.
Yeah.
740
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:39,080
So it's like in terms of that
ultramatic, ultramatic depth, I
741
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:43,480
guess the only good thing I'll
see about it is it's good for
742
00:37:43,480 --> 00:37:46,280
Derek Herd and DSR.
Like ABC invoices.
743
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,680
Yeah, well, that's bloody spot
on fur.
744
00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:53,320
That's that's a bloody that's a
DSI staple.
745
00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:55,760
Ultra mafic.
It's like you want bolts, you
746
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:58,320
want mesh, you're gonna need a
shit load of them.
747
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,520
You give me a call, I'll keep
the ground up for you.
748
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:05,440
That should be the DSI thing on
the that should be the website
749
00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:07,640
banner.
We'll keep the ground up for
750
00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:08,680
you, for you.
Y.
751
00:38:08,720 --> 00:38:10,120
I.
Yeah.
752
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:13,480
Suck it on there.
We'll keep the ground up for
753
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:16,840
you, DSI.
I should do radio ads.
754
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:20,240
Maybe that's a mining?
Method that Ijo could explore.
755
00:38:20,240 --> 00:38:22,760
It's just way more ground
support than anticipated.
756
00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:25,920
I don't think that what he said
I'm economic.
757
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,760
I think that's to do with how
much fucking ground support has
758
00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:31,840
to go in.
But I think that that was the
759
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:34,600
thing about Cosmos light.
I think that was that was
760
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:38,760
literally needing a frickin
$16.00 a pound price because it
761
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:42,040
wasn't a knockout grades or
anything ended over a kilometre
762
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:45,520
depth and a lot of managing the
stress and and everything and
763
00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:49,040
then trying to they have been
struggled to finish the shaft.
764
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:53,480
It's it was it needed a that's
when everyone was talking about
765
00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:57,120
nickel garnd of freaking 1216
bucks a pound and all that,
766
00:38:57,640 --> 00:39:01,160
which it didn't unfortunately,
but it could who knows, look at
767
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:03,560
lithium.
It could, it could be the return
768
00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:05,080
of lithium.
We might say the return of
769
00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:07,440
nickel.
You just never know what is
770
00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:08,880
going to fuck up around the
world.
771
00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:10,600
What?
What else is?
772
00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:14,320
There to say say about the the
exploration package, there's
773
00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:17,680
been a lot of talk about the the
rationalisation.
774
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:22,320
There's been a Yep, a bit of a
write off of the the portfolio.
775
00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:24,960
This is a big talking.
Point right, 'cause I, you know,
776
00:39:24,960 --> 00:39:27,920
IGOSIGO is a bit of a punching
bag when it when it comes to
777
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:31,600
just their, their, you know,
lack of exploration success.
778
00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:36,000
You might, you might say.
And if, if you're, you know, if
779
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:39,480
the context on, on like why the,
the market has been critical,
780
00:39:39,960 --> 00:39:42,400
look at, look at what they're
sort of spending in this area on
781
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:44,480
FY24 numbers.
So the year just gone,
782
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,240
expiration and evaluation
expenditure was 94,000,000
783
00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:49,600
corporate.
Corporate costs on top of that
784
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:51,920
were another 63 million.
So between expiration corporate,
785
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,560
there's 150 million bucks in
FY24 going out the door.
786
00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:57,360
Arguably that like hasn't
actually been getting a return
787
00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,640
for shareholders.
IGO saying that that what
788
00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:03,320
they're going to do is have
expiration expenditure tie back
789
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:06,880
to beneath $50 million in FY20
6.
790
00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:10,440
And like, it's a pretty vast
exploration portfolio.
791
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:11,480
You can kind of see there,
right?
792
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:15,760
But it's, it's, it's, it's this
slide I want to draw your
793
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:18,840
attention to though, because I
think I think it could be
794
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:21,960
contentious, right?
They sort of explain and define
795
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:23,600
what the new kind of exploration
strategy is.
796
00:40:24,720 --> 00:40:26,200
And there's like a, a few things
here.
797
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:31,160
And I'm, I'm like, I'm a student
of exploration best, best
798
00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:33,240
practise, but I'm certainly no
expert and I've never worked in,
799
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:35,720
in exploration properly, but I'm
curious and trying to learn more
800
00:40:35,720 --> 00:40:39,400
about it.
And like, so there's a few
801
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:41,720
points here, right?
The fail fast mindset.
802
00:40:41,720 --> 00:40:44,320
It's kind of interesting.
Like I'd like, you know, I think
803
00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:46,680
when we talk about some of the
issues in exploration, some of
804
00:40:46,680 --> 00:40:49,080
it is that people get wedded to
projects and you're, you're
805
00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:51,760
trying to substantiate your
project's existence.
806
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:54,800
And maybe the best method to do
is actually, you know, much
807
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:56,800
larger step out drilling
programme and actually see if
808
00:40:56,800 --> 00:40:59,360
this thing's got, you know,
sufficient kind of economics.
809
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:01,720
Even continue spending any more
money as opposed to doing, you
810
00:41:01,720 --> 00:41:03,480
know, your short space step
outs, which cost more money.
811
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:05,640
And then you get you spend all
this money and realise it was
812
00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:08,360
not really meaningful enough for
us to to do any work on in the
813
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:09,360
1st place.
It's fascinating.
814
00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:11,880
Sorry.
It's just like, I'll just you
815
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:15,680
look at these deposits, but
they're so it's so hard to
816
00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:19,080
pinpoint them sometimes, like to
grosser wasn't a fucking huge
817
00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:21,720
ore body like it's one of those
ones where the grade says.
818
00:41:21,880 --> 00:41:24,680
We you see this warrants it.
So it's yeah, but you could, you
819
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:27,160
could do.
Big step out and drill either
820
00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:30,760
side of it for instance, like
it's just the success side but
821
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:34,200
but the. 1st hole where you hit
it, the high grade says I, I I
822
00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:37,080
need a lower step out for this
to warrant the economics.
823
00:41:37,080 --> 00:41:37,840
Yeah.
So you've got to hit it.
824
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:39,000
Exactly.
Yeah, Yeah.
825
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:41,200
So if you don't, if you don't,
you could be drilling near a
826
00:41:41,200 --> 00:41:43,080
conductor.
Yeah, but you don't hit it.
827
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:45,880
These these these.
Aren't like new principles.
828
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,760
This is like, you know, the the
people who are at the forefront
829
00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:51,160
of, you know, had had to be
effective in exploration.
830
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:53,600
Talk about this stuff.
And it's it's it's something you
831
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:55,760
see not done very much at the
small end of town because
832
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:58,760
people, you know, it's much
harder to separate yourself from
833
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:00,280
a project.
But a big companies should be a
834
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:01,680
bit more thoughtful about this
sort of stuff.
835
00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:04,760
I find it interesting.
You mentioned that the people
836
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,120
there and a lot of people do
point to IGO, they did for a
837
00:42:07,120 --> 00:42:10,360
long time at least saying that
they are an exemplar of good
838
00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:14,160
exploration that that was the
narrative for a long time, maybe
839
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,560
more in the markets there.
There were a bit of punching bag
840
00:42:16,560 --> 00:42:19,360
like you say because there
wasn't a return on it, but they
841
00:42:19,360 --> 00:42:21,040
were, you know, spending a lot
of money.
842
00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:24,600
They were getting out there and
having a go that a very vast,
843
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:28,080
you know, portfolio of
exploration projects.
844
00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:30,760
Unfortunately, you know,
obviously I can't comment on the
845
00:42:31,240 --> 00:42:33,880
the expiration methods, but
unfortunately it didn't bear
846
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:35,560
real fruit.
I'm not sure if they.
847
00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:37,960
Turned much of their ground that
they, you know, they picked up a
848
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:39,680
lot of ground as you can see.
I don't know how much of it they
849
00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:41,560
turned.
And there's like these cultural
850
00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:44,800
things on the inside of a
company as well, like different
851
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:46,600
exploration teams at these
different projects are like
852
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:49,360
competing for the same capital
so that you know, or are they,
853
00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:51,520
they understand that they're all
on the same team working for the
854
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:52,600
same thing.
All that stuff matters.
855
00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:56,360
But this, this, this thing I
highlighted here, I think is a
856
00:42:56,360 --> 00:42:58,840
contentious point.
A new external panel of experts
857
00:42:59,120 --> 00:43:02,160
to drive commercial discipline.
External.
858
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:03,360
Panel.
External panel.
859
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:07,520
So I think this is where there
might be maybe disconnect
860
00:43:07,520 --> 00:43:10,280
between like the people at the
forefront of exploration and
861
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:13,240
discoveries versus like the
markets, like desire for
862
00:43:13,240 --> 00:43:14,840
accountability on, on money
spent.
863
00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:17,440
Because like when you hear
people tell the stories of
864
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:19,720
exploration, there's always some
degree of serendipity to them.
865
00:43:19,880 --> 00:43:22,280
There's like it was because the,
you know, the kind of the people
866
00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:26,000
at the on, on the ground, they,
they, there was some intuition,
867
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,040
some data and they had the
freedom and the flexibility to
868
00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:30,200
kind of pursue that enough and
there was enough trust in them.
869
00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:32,520
And there, you know, there's,
there's this this balance
870
00:43:32,520 --> 00:43:35,720
between kind of having, you
know, the ability to to pursue
871
00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:39,120
things in these like, you know,
fruitful dynamic teams and, and,
872
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:42,280
and, and go for them.
But at the moment you have this
873
00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:44,600
kind of like layer of
bureaucracy kind of dictating
874
00:43:44,600 --> 00:43:46,280
things above.
I think it'll, you know, that
875
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:48,720
would be a bit of an alarm bell
to a lot of explorationists out
876
00:43:48,720 --> 00:43:53,880
there too, but also just.
The IP sitting external as far
877
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:57,080
as amongst those exploration
teams and how they go about
878
00:43:57,080 --> 00:44:00,760
things and their approach is
sort of dragging more and more
879
00:44:00,760 --> 00:44:04,720
out more and more of that
externally as rather than
880
00:44:04,720 --> 00:44:09,360
keeping that in inside of IGO.
And, and we sort of spoke about
881
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:13,000
this with our chat with Jon
Ronski, I think, yeah, a few
882
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:16,600
weeks ago.
And there's so much like
883
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:23,320
intangible benefits of that
staying in in the culture and
884
00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:24,840
and in the team and in the
company.
885
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:28,480
So yeah, there'll.
Be a lot of, you know, lost IP
886
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:31,040
that comes with reducing the
size of your exploration team
887
00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:32,560
and all that sort of stuff.
But there's a, you know, a trade
888
00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:35,680
off between that and like
getting returns.
889
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:37,640
And Ronski, he actually talks
about like the, you know, the
890
00:44:37,680 --> 00:44:40,200
what are the four factors you
need to actually get a
891
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:43,760
discovery?
And yeah, so like I think it's
892
00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:46,560
just reorienting your, your,
your exploration kind of works
893
00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:48,520
towards something that can
actually get a return.
894
00:44:48,520 --> 00:44:50,720
And it's not easy in a big like
a big company.
895
00:44:50,720 --> 00:44:52,880
And I think part of it, they
recognise that they're going to
896
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:55,240
do more joint ventures where,
you know, it's a smaller company
897
00:44:55,240 --> 00:44:57,840
that takes on the the risk
that's appropriate and they'll
898
00:44:57,840 --> 00:44:59,440
do AJV and that and that sort of
stuff.
899
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:02,120
But to the more meaningful part
of the equation for IGO though,
900
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:06,320
it's the lithium situation ship
right now the market has a
901
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:09,720
variety of questions here and
you know, the answers, I think
902
00:45:09,720 --> 00:45:15,160
we're kind of flimsy.
Yeah, which you know, but I
903
00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:17,160
think I also think they're kind
of snook it.
904
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:21,160
I'll play a few of them for you
guys just to get a get a taste
905
00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:24,200
for it.
The car got asked about the the
906
00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:27,080
cost competitive cost
competitiveness in in downstream
907
00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:30,440
and like the elephant in the
room there being Kwinana which
908
00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:33,680
is producing sort of seriously
uncompetitively and this is the
909
00:45:33,680 --> 00:45:37,080
response.
From the perspective of Kwinana,
910
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:39,200
I guess it's a different value
proposition given the
911
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:42,280
partnership with Tianxi and the
amount of capital invested prior
912
00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:43,960
to IGO.
And there is excellent
913
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:47,000
capability that Tianxi is
bringing to be able to fully
914
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:48,880
ramp up Kwinana to its full
capacity.
915
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:53,680
Yeah, so.
This was like a bit of a, a
916
00:45:53,680 --> 00:45:56,680
common theme amongst the,
amongst the, you know, the
917
00:45:56,680 --> 00:45:59,280
answers really sort of
highlighting what Tianxi is
918
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:05,000
bringing to the table, you know,
Yeah, if, if it was, if it was
919
00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:07,680
any other company that had a
real, a real vote or ability to
920
00:46:07,680 --> 00:46:09,520
vote, would you, would you
continue pushing ahead with
921
00:46:09,520 --> 00:46:11,400
Konano?
It's just sort of chewing sort
922
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:14,720
of capital at the moment.
I think John, it was John Bishop
923
00:46:14,720 --> 00:46:16,760
who asked a question which kind
of got to the crux of what I
924
00:46:16,760 --> 00:46:20,040
wanted to what I wanted to ask
the value.
925
00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:25,280
Of your partnership with Tianchi
and TLEA and the expertise both
926
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:27,520
technically and commercially
that that brings to the joint
927
00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:31,040
venture.
I guess one of the criticisms of
928
00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:34,960
IGO or a pushback from the
market has been that Chinese
929
00:46:34,960 --> 00:46:37,880
joint venture partnership in
particular and your ability to
930
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:40,200
influence.
Within TLEA.
931
00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:42,000
And certainly within green
bushes.
932
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:44,640
How do you think about
demonstrating that to the market
933
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:46,840
and and demonstrating that you
do have a voice?
934
00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:51,200
OK, maybe, I mean, Cameron and
and Brett, you're both close to
935
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:53,040
that.
Maybe share some of your
936
00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:54,840
reflections.
And Cameron's brand new just
937
00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:57,400
just joined recently and has
been through the agreements and
938
00:46:57,640 --> 00:47:00,360
has a fresh set of eyes on it.
So yeah, I.
939
00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:02,800
Think with the with the joint
venture agreement, there's,
940
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:05,440
there's plenty of scope.
It is, you know, effectively the
941
00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:09,960
vehicle for you know, developing
our, our lithium business.
942
00:47:10,360 --> 00:47:14,920
There's plenty of scope within
that to work, you know, with
943
00:47:14,920 --> 00:47:18,320
Tianchi.
And I think that's that's.
944
00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:21,080
The real challenge and we've got
to build that over time, but
945
00:47:21,080 --> 00:47:22,840
there's certainly those
mechanisms there to do that.
946
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:25,160
And since it's progressing with
that from a commercial
947
00:47:25,160 --> 00:47:27,600
perspective.
So I think the flexibility is
948
00:47:27,600 --> 00:47:30,520
there and the alignment is there
from what I've seen as well,
949
00:47:30,520 --> 00:47:32,400
which I think is is really the
practical point.
950
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:35,440
Right.
Yeah, I think.
951
00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:38,600
Well, in terms of the joint
venture, it's, it is what it is.
952
00:47:38,600 --> 00:47:42,320
We work through the committees
as they are for me the probably
953
00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:45,360
the more important part being
new is to build the
954
00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:47,640
relationships with the key
counterparts on the other side
955
00:47:47,640 --> 00:47:49,960
of the of the joint venture
board that I sit on.
956
00:47:50,280 --> 00:47:53,160
And how do we actually, you
know, reach a common
957
00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:55,080
understanding of what we're
trying to achieve through the
958
00:47:55,200 --> 00:47:56,480
through the joint venture
itself.
959
00:47:57,000 --> 00:48:01,840
It's very clear that we want to
grow in lithium with Tianchi and
960
00:48:01,840 --> 00:48:03,120
this joint venture is our
vehicle.
961
00:48:03,120 --> 00:48:07,520
So the relationships as well as
the contractual underpinning are
962
00:48:07,720 --> 00:48:11,080
are almost as important at this
point as we build them together.
963
00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:14,320
Did you make it that?
It is what it is.
964
00:48:14,440 --> 00:48:16,640
It is the only.
Way they could get exposure to
965
00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:19,360
green bushes was a JV with these
cars.
966
00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:21,800
Yeah, and that's the only way.
They can do anything else in
967
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:23,400
lithium.
Yeah, yeah.
968
00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:27,440
I love how they pass.
It to the new guys, yeah.
969
00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:31,360
I think, you know, I mean, you
kind of summarise it perfectly.
970
00:48:31,360 --> 00:48:35,360
It's kind of obvious to everyone
now that IGE is contractually
971
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:39,400
bound to grow it's lithium
business within the confines of
972
00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:43,320
that TLEA joint venture.
And within that joint venture it
973
00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:46,680
appears from the outside like
TNT effectively has the last
974
00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:48,680
say.
That's how I want to interpret
975
00:48:48,680 --> 00:48:50,800
it.
Like for example, would IGE have
976
00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:54,640
sort of marched ahead with the
loss making at Quinana in the
977
00:48:54,640 --> 00:48:57,920
same way that they kind of have
done if if they had the last
978
00:48:57,920 --> 00:49:00,560
say, or is or is Tianchi pulling
them along, because I get the
979
00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:02,480
impression Tianchi might be
pulling them along on that one.
980
00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:04,640
Would they have been on board
with this kind of supply
981
00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:10,640
curtailment and from from from
green bushes, you know, or was
982
00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:14,320
that which, which was this
lowest cost kind of Hard Rock
983
00:49:14,320 --> 00:49:17,360
producer or was that kind of a
Tianchi decision?
984
00:49:17,760 --> 00:49:21,560
From the outside, it appears as
though what Tianchi wants kind
985
00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:24,400
of Tianchi gets.
And IGO, they skirt around it
986
00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:26,400
like you see it.
You see it in that snip there.
987
00:49:26,400 --> 00:49:29,080
They they speak to the
mechanisms in the joint venture,
988
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:32,480
but they don't name what those
mechanisms are like.
989
00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:34,960
What are they?
Are they committees that IGO
990
00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:38,240
representatives sit on where IGO
has a voice but is outnumbered
991
00:49:38,240 --> 00:49:39,960
by vote?
Is that the mechanism?
992
00:49:40,080 --> 00:49:42,920
I'd love them to be explicit on
that front.
993
00:49:43,280 --> 00:49:44,800
It is what it is.
Like you guys said, that's a
994
00:49:44,800 --> 00:49:46,800
it's a telling statement.
And you know, repeatedly
995
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:49,520
throughout the discussion, they
they do talk about the alignment
996
00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:51,560
that they have with their joint
venture apartment alignment.
997
00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:52,840
They use that word a lot
alignment.
998
00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:56,240
And but it appears to be more
complicated than that.
999
00:49:56,240 --> 00:50:00,920
Like both parties want to make
the most money is what alignment
1000
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:03,200
is.
But because Tian, she's done
1001
00:50:03,200 --> 00:50:06,640
some sort of strange things in
the in the past in this respect,
1002
00:50:07,520 --> 00:50:10,000
you know, it's, I think it's
just more complicated than that.
1003
00:50:10,000 --> 00:50:12,520
It's, you know, it's maybe 10.
She does have different
1004
00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:15,320
objectives at different times
because they're, you know,
1005
00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:17,040
they're just a different kind of
company.
1006
00:50:18,440 --> 00:50:19,960
So we all know it's a it's a bad
JV.
1007
00:50:19,960 --> 00:50:23,760
But like you said, Maddie, that
was the price you had to pay to
1008
00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:26,440
get an interest in the world's
best Hard Rock with your mind
1009
00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:29,160
and and it.
Comes like I guess what happens
1010
00:50:29,160 --> 00:50:33,560
it is what it is when prices
allow and Konanas struggling but
1011
00:50:34,200 --> 00:50:37,520
you'd put up with all of that
because when you're seeing what
1012
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:41,880
happens when it flies it just
comes pouring in and that's
1013
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:46,320
where they that's where the
fruit comes so it is what it is
1014
00:50:46,320 --> 00:50:50,640
till it's real good yeah so yeah
yeah anyway, I'll I'll.
1015
00:50:51,840 --> 00:50:55,280
I'll leave it at that.
Oh very good, Trav.
1016
00:50:55,640 --> 00:50:57,520
Lovely work mate.
Oh good.
1017
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:01,440
Isn't it funny the coincidental
timing of a lot of this stuff
1018
00:51:01,760 --> 00:51:05,760
and the exterior news.
Min Reza's announcement, Bloody
1019
00:51:05,760 --> 00:51:09,160
cattle announcement, audio
strategy day the day after.
1020
00:51:09,160 --> 00:51:10,680
I thought they knew this shit
was coming.
1021
00:51:11,600 --> 00:51:14,000
The Oracle.
Maybe right?
1022
00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:16,760
Alley JC What's your Thursday
injection for us?
1023
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:19,600
Oh, just.
To close off with a few tidbits
1024
00:51:20,080 --> 00:51:26,200
from the wake from May.
So first one, Catalyst put out
1025
00:51:26,200 --> 00:51:28,520
some production and cost
guidance, I believe for the
1026
00:51:28,520 --> 00:51:32,320
first time during the week
saying 1,000,000 oz reserve
1027
00:51:32,320 --> 00:51:36,040
allows Catalyst to double
production for $31 million.
1028
00:51:36,520 --> 00:51:40,440
So they're increasing their gold
production from 100,000 ounces
1029
00:51:40,440 --> 00:51:44,680
to 200,000 oz over the next
three years from three separate
1030
00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:48,840
mine developments being
Platonic, Ace, K2 and Trident.
1031
00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:53,200
And they've also allocated $25
million to expiration in this
1032
00:51:53,200 --> 00:51:56,240
current financial year as well.
I won't get too much into the
1033
00:51:56,240 --> 00:51:59,520
production and mining side, but
I thought this was an
1034
00:51:59,520 --> 00:52:02,360
interesting comment on the front
page and I'll just read the
1035
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:05,720
quote Catalyst existing
infrastructure enables this
1036
00:52:05,720 --> 00:52:08,600
production growth for only $31
million.
1037
00:52:09,160 --> 00:52:12,880
And I saw that number thought
like that just seems, look, I'm
1038
00:52:12,880 --> 00:52:15,360
not a minor, but it just seemed
way too good to be true.
1039
00:52:16,400 --> 00:52:20,200
If you actually go to the table
on Page 3, we'll bring up a
1040
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:25,040
screen grab over here, you'll
see the 31 million of growth
1041
00:52:25,040 --> 00:52:32,200
CapEx over FY25 and FY20 6.
But then sort of just above that
1042
00:52:32,200 --> 00:52:36,400
is a line called non sustaining
operational capital and over the
1043
00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:39,040
next three years that totals $57
million.
1044
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:44,320
I'm not sure specifically what
this is attributed to.
1045
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:47,520
I imagine it's, you know, sort
of parry strip or establishing
1046
00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:49,760
the underground, which is growth
capital.
1047
00:52:49,960 --> 00:52:52,680
Which?
Yes, I'm not sure like how what,
1048
00:52:52,840 --> 00:52:56,520
what the distinction is between
what is growth CapEx and what is
1049
00:52:57,160 --> 00:52:59,600
non sustaining operational
CapEx.
1050
00:52:59,600 --> 00:53:04,720
But anyway, so it's not just
going to cost $31 million is is
1051
00:53:04,720 --> 00:53:09,240
the take away.
So really in FY25 based on my
1052
00:53:09,240 --> 00:53:13,240
sort of back of the envelope
mass on the on the guidance they
1053
00:53:13,240 --> 00:53:17,000
put out, assuming they do the
midpoint of production and cost
1054
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:22,400
guidance, which is 112 1/2
thousand oz at $2400 sustaining
1055
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:27,720
and say they produce it at spot
3700, that's 146 million of
1056
00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:32,760
operational cash flow.
Then between this growth CapEx
1057
00:53:33,080 --> 00:53:36,600
expiration and the non
sustaining operational CapEx,
1058
00:53:36,880 --> 00:53:42,760
there's another 74 million that
goes out the door in FY25, which
1059
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:46,600
then leaves roughly 72 million
in cash after this CapEx and
1060
00:53:46,600 --> 00:53:48,680
expiration.
Then of course you've got tax
1061
00:53:48,680 --> 00:53:50,640
and overhead, corporate
overheads, etcetera.
1062
00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:54,840
And they've currently got 44
million in cash and bullying in
1063
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:57,160
the bank now.
So I guess the lesson is always
1064
00:53:57,160 --> 00:54:02,040
read into the details, but in in
catalyst case, I think even when
1065
00:54:02,040 --> 00:54:05,840
you do take this non sustaining
operational cap, it's into
1066
00:54:05,840 --> 00:54:08,160
account.
It looks like they'll be making
1067
00:54:08,160 --> 00:54:12,120
some pretty decent dosh at these
current spot price levels
1068
00:54:12,120 --> 00:54:15,080
anyway, and the market seems to
like it.
1069
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:18,280
I mean they're trading at 12
month highs and up something
1070
00:54:18,280 --> 00:54:22,000
like 200% just this calendar
gear alone.
1071
00:54:22,000 --> 00:54:25,080
So good luck to Catalyst.
Are they open?
1072
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:31,600
I'd love to see a big catalyst
for them if they sold Henty I
1073
00:54:31,600 --> 00:54:34,480
just feel like.
What with all this going on at
1074
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:35,640
Platonic, Why?
Why?
1075
00:54:35,640 --> 00:54:37,880
Yeah, it's just one of.
The world's they might.
1076
00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:41,040
No, I might want to buy it.
I don't know.
1077
00:54:41,040 --> 00:54:43,560
But it's like that'd simplify
that business so much.
1078
00:54:43,560 --> 00:54:45,880
Like you're not having to go
over there all the time.
1079
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:48,400
Like it's, I think it's a bit
hard work, I think.
1080
00:54:48,400 --> 00:54:50,520
I think they're making money
there, I think.
1081
00:54:50,520 --> 00:54:53,120
Now they're starting to make
money, but it's, I mean, they've
1082
00:54:53,120 --> 00:54:56,120
had it for how many years and
how much hard work's gone into
1083
00:54:56,120 --> 00:54:58,600
it to just sort of start making
money Now it's thinking like,
1084
00:54:58,960 --> 00:55:01,640
jeez, with what they've got
going on platonic, I mean, look,
1085
00:55:01,640 --> 00:55:04,120
from an outsider's perspective,
can you really be bothered?
1086
00:55:04,320 --> 00:55:07,080
I don't know.
Yeah, I don't think it'd.
1087
00:55:07,080 --> 00:55:09,680
Be off the cards.
So be watching that, yeah.
1088
00:55:10,280 --> 00:55:16,080
Then moving on to Degray's
Beaver Creek Prezzo.
1089
00:55:16,200 --> 00:55:19,360
So that's all happening at the
moment in the US So Ding, Ding,
1090
00:55:19,360 --> 00:55:21,600
I have a shareholder.
Is it a Ding?
1091
00:55:21,720 --> 00:55:25,800
Ding Ding.
It is a Ding so look nothing
1092
00:55:25,800 --> 00:55:28,800
major to report here but just a
couple of small things I picked
1093
00:55:28,800 --> 00:55:33,480
up rating there.
Beaver Creek Prezzo, I had, I
1094
00:55:33,480 --> 00:55:36,520
have to say I've never actually
seen this in a, in a Prezzo
1095
00:55:36,520 --> 00:55:38,880
before until now.
They've actually flagged on
1096
00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:42,960
their project approval slide the
fact that they have no Section
1097
00:55:42,960 --> 00:55:45,120
10 applications at Hemi Lodge
today.
1098
00:55:45,120 --> 00:55:48,720
So that's definitely a, a, a
first, at least for me, a good
1099
00:55:48,720 --> 00:55:52,040
disclosure, good disclosure,
very proactive disclosure.
1100
00:55:52,040 --> 00:55:55,120
So it's like an advertisement.
These days, yeah, almost.
1101
00:55:55,120 --> 00:56:00,520
Years and I it's not a great
thing to have to say in Presas,
1102
00:56:00,520 --> 00:56:03,840
but I, I wouldn't be surprised
in light of sort of recent
1103
00:56:03,840 --> 00:56:06,520
events that more mining
companies might actually be
1104
00:56:06,520 --> 00:56:10,640
putting this upfront just to
allay, you know, make it very
1105
00:56:10,640 --> 00:56:14,520
clear what the situation is.
So I did sort of notice that in
1106
00:56:14,520 --> 00:56:20,320
that slide there, but separately
seems like the also on that
1107
00:56:20,320 --> 00:56:22,840
slide sort of talked about state
and federal and bio approvals
1108
00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:27,280
sort of progressing as as
expected with no material
1109
00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:31,560
changes to the existing capital
cost assumptions at this stage.
1110
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:33,760
So we'll keep an eye on that
one.
1111
00:56:34,240 --> 00:56:39,560
And then the other sort of small
updates on the debt financing
1112
00:56:39,560 --> 00:56:42,120
process.
So they've mentioned that
1113
00:56:42,640 --> 00:56:46,960
extensive legal, technical and
financial days being completed
1114
00:56:46,960 --> 00:56:50,560
now and no red flags or sort of
high project risks have been
1115
00:56:51,080 --> 00:56:54,120
raised by the independent
technical review that's been
1116
00:56:54,120 --> 00:56:56,080
undertaken on behalf of the
lenders.
1117
00:56:56,880 --> 00:57:00,000
They've previously flagged that
their preferred lender group and
1118
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:03,680
structure will get selected next
quarter following, you know,
1119
00:57:03,680 --> 00:57:06,240
once all the credit proof term
sheets and everything have been
1120
00:57:06,240 --> 00:57:09,720
reviewed and docs, final docs
will get finalised in that
1121
00:57:09,720 --> 00:57:12,960
quarter as well.
I'm really interested to see
1122
00:57:12,960 --> 00:57:17,640
what the mix of that $1 billion
senior debt facility will be.
1123
00:57:17,640 --> 00:57:22,840
So we've, it's previously been
announced that NAIF have are
1124
00:57:22,840 --> 00:57:27,200
going to provide $150 million.
So there's another 8:50 to go
1125
00:57:27,200 --> 00:57:30,280
there.
Curious to see what banks might
1126
00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:32,520
play in there.
I mean, we saw in the Greatland
1127
00:57:32,520 --> 00:57:40,400
deal this week, A&ZHSBC and ING
provided a $750 million Aussie
1128
00:57:40,920 --> 00:57:46,160
non binding letter of support.
Whether there'll be any hedging
1129
00:57:46,160 --> 00:57:48,880
requirements as part of that
debt facility.
1130
00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:53,960
Yeah, no, just super interested
to see how what, how that's sort
1131
00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:55,800
of comprised and packaged
together.
1132
00:57:57,720 --> 00:57:59,840
Be interested too, Ali.
I'll be interested too,
1133
00:58:00,000 --> 00:58:04,160
definitely.
Yeah, this is that's.
1134
00:58:04,160 --> 00:58:06,760
When we were sort of talking
about early in the week, which
1135
00:58:08,320 --> 00:58:11,160
it was sort of bit under the
radar as far as what their their
1136
00:58:11,160 --> 00:58:16,720
share price has been doing, but
they're up 60% in the last
1137
00:58:16,720 --> 00:58:18,360
month.
Look at the spark chart here
1138
00:58:18,600 --> 00:58:21,320
admittedly.
And this is not just of you know
1139
00:58:21,360 --> 00:58:23,480
like you know, one or two
trades, this isn't sort of
1140
00:58:23,480 --> 00:58:25,520
slightly higher volumes and
average as well.
1141
00:58:25,760 --> 00:58:28,520
Then there are $100 million
market cap company.
1142
00:58:29,160 --> 00:58:32,280
So for context, there are WI
Gold developed developer out in
1143
00:58:32,280 --> 00:58:36,240
the Cambauda region, close to
sort of gold fields and Ives and
1144
00:58:36,240 --> 00:58:39,680
now West Gold's Higginsville
Mill sort of territory.
1145
00:58:40,200 --> 00:58:42,600
And I was trying to figure out
what's actually happened in the
1146
00:58:42,600 --> 00:58:46,800
last month that's may have
caused to go up this much.
1147
00:58:47,240 --> 00:58:49,640
I looked at the gold price,
Aussie dollar gold price that's
1148
00:58:49,640 --> 00:58:51,360
been pretty flat over the last
month.
1149
00:58:51,880 --> 00:58:57,760
I checked about a dozen other WA
Gold developers and no one else
1150
00:58:57,760 --> 00:59:01,080
is nearly up as much as them.
Not but.
1151
00:59:01,080 --> 00:59:05,120
Not even Maker because they sort
of come off after they raise
1152
00:59:05,120 --> 00:59:10,200
their raise their money, but and
taper was next best up about
1153
00:59:10,200 --> 00:59:12,400
40%.
But that's a lot of that's
1154
00:59:12,400 --> 00:59:15,040
largely to do with what's
happened this week with the
1155
00:59:15,040 --> 00:59:19,120
great land deal.
OSGO was up 23%, but most of the
1156
00:59:19,120 --> 00:59:22,400
others are only up on average
sort of in that five to 10%
1157
00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:28,480
range.
Nothing much has oh not nothing
1158
00:59:28,480 --> 00:59:30,400
much.
Nothing major has been announced
1159
00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:34,120
by Astra in the last sort of
month other than a couple of
1160
00:59:34,120 --> 00:59:36,680
sets of dual results, which, you
know, on face fairly looked, you
1161
00:59:36,680 --> 00:59:40,840
know, pretty decent at at
Camperman, but to warrant a +
1162
00:59:40,840 --> 00:59:45,160
60% share price movement just
seemed a lot.
1163
00:59:46,040 --> 00:59:49,080
Camperman for context, is part
of their Facebook asset, which
1164
00:59:49,080 --> 00:59:53,840
currently has about 116,000 oz
which they're looking to do an
1165
00:59:54,200 --> 00:59:58,480
an update updated MRA on that
this quarter, which will be sort
1166
00:59:58,480 --> 01:00:00,360
of some nice satellite feed for
Mandela.
1167
01:00:00,360 --> 01:00:03,640
But yeah, just really, really
strange.
1168
01:00:03,640 --> 01:00:04,440
It'll be.
It's the.
1169
01:00:04,440 --> 01:00:06,200
Biggest presentation Ally.
Everyone's just.
1170
01:00:07,680 --> 01:00:09,960
I think.
They're is it, they're
1171
01:00:09,960 --> 01:00:12,000
progressing towards the DFS,
aren't they?
1172
01:00:12,240 --> 01:00:14,160
So they did a.
Scoping study last year on
1173
01:00:14,160 --> 01:00:16,000
Mandela.
So I think they'll be going
1174
01:00:16,000 --> 01:00:19,080
yeah, to some sort of a PFS or
DFS eventually, but it's not,
1175
01:00:20,440 --> 01:00:22,760
it's not like that's coming out
tomorrow or, you know, something
1176
01:00:22,760 --> 01:00:25,560
like that.
So yeah, just thought that was
1177
01:00:25,880 --> 01:00:28,120
fascinating to see what I can
think of a couple of.
1178
01:00:28,120 --> 01:00:31,240
Reasons I, I, it's probably just
like, you know, people are kind
1179
01:00:31,240 --> 01:00:34,480
of getting comfortable going
down the, the developer risk
1180
01:00:34,480 --> 01:00:38,360
curve again with the huge kind
of raise for, for, for me, Gary
1181
01:00:38,360 --> 01:00:40,720
and, you know, people kind of
looking around and they're, you
1182
01:00:40,720 --> 01:00:43,600
know, relatively speaking,
someone advanced a simple mining
1183
01:00:43,600 --> 01:00:46,240
method like something that
people can get more comfortable
1184
01:00:46,240 --> 01:00:49,280
with.
The other thing too is you know,
1185
01:00:49,280 --> 01:00:51,200
there's a, there's a, there's a
new neighbour in the district
1186
01:00:51,200 --> 01:00:52,800
in, in, in West Coast, which
has.
1187
01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:55,040
Been more acquisitive.
Historically then, and I think,
1188
01:00:55,040 --> 01:00:56,680
I think.
These guys, I think it'd be
1189
01:00:56,680 --> 01:00:59,680
interesting to say the if it's
the pay FS or day FS, I'll
1190
01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:01,440
forget, sorry.
But like I think it's sort of
1191
01:01:01,440 --> 01:01:04,600
pretty skinny tenement and lot
that a big I remember looking at
1192
01:01:04,600 --> 01:01:06,320
the picture.
It's like this big bloody long
1193
01:01:06,320 --> 01:01:09,360
waist dump that lot constrained
by the tenement size.
1194
01:01:09,360 --> 01:01:11,560
But I think with the multiple
pits there, they can sort of
1195
01:01:12,040 --> 01:01:16,600
like like buying one first and
then build a waste, dump them on
1196
01:01:16,600 --> 01:01:18,640
the next one, then Chuck the
waste in that pit.
1197
01:01:18,640 --> 01:01:20,800
And like, I think there's
probably a bit to say in the
1198
01:01:20,800 --> 01:01:23,200
upcoming day fest.
And then they got the options to
1199
01:01:23,640 --> 01:01:26,720
whether they go to a
Higginsville or assign knives
1200
01:01:26,720 --> 01:01:30,760
and take the dirt there or could
be a standalone operation.
1201
01:01:30,760 --> 01:01:35,560
And it's, you know, I think the
native titles progressing along
1202
01:01:35,600 --> 01:01:37,480
there.
So it just could could be that
1203
01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:40,040
it's been around a while.
It just could be that next
1204
01:01:40,720 --> 01:01:44,320
potential bloody developer thing
where a lot of these ones start
1205
01:01:44,320 --> 01:01:48,200
getting a bit of a tension.
So nobody cared about it until
1206
01:01:48,200 --> 01:01:50,960
everyone did Nah Nah and.
That and that might have been
1207
01:01:50,960 --> 01:01:55,040
the like it just you just need a
couple to get gown effectively
1208
01:01:55,040 --> 01:01:58,600
like maker was now that they've
got a bit of a pathway.
1209
01:01:58,600 --> 01:02:02,160
And I think the it's just been
that real delayed response from
1210
01:02:02,160 --> 01:02:06,480
high gold price to developers
starting to get into action and
1211
01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:10,000
could be the start of it now.
So this is definitely one that
1212
01:02:10,680 --> 01:02:14,280
could happen.
So yeah, interesting to see what
1213
01:02:14,440 --> 01:02:15,960
what comes out.
Oh, the bloody.
1214
01:02:15,960 --> 01:02:17,640
We haven't even talked about
uranium.
1215
01:02:18,320 --> 01:02:21,040
Oh, bloody big Poots, big
pooping last night.
1216
01:02:21,040 --> 01:02:23,720
So I know we're probably not
going to export anything, but we
1217
01:02:23,720 --> 01:02:26,040
might be reducing our exports
out of Russia.
1218
01:02:26,040 --> 01:02:28,480
Obviously bloody, but she was
flying last night.
1219
01:02:28,480 --> 01:02:30,720
Bloody wasn't just uranium.
Mate, you said, oh, maybe we
1220
01:02:30,720 --> 01:02:34,040
shouldn't export nickel, maybe
we shouldn't export titanium.
1221
01:02:34,080 --> 01:02:36,240
Yeah.
To be a few things so positive
1222
01:02:36,240 --> 01:02:38,520
things about.
Pretty much every commodity,
1223
01:02:38,520 --> 01:02:41,080
yeah, she's like, she's.
Got a She's got a nice laugh or
1224
01:02:41,160 --> 01:02:42,400
something like that.
And he's Russian.
1225
01:02:42,400 --> 01:02:44,800
Why?
Yeah, so and I suppose the
1226
01:02:44,800 --> 01:02:48,640
export, not exporting was
probably expected to happen
1227
01:02:48,640 --> 01:02:51,320
eventually on the back of US
putting the sanctions on
1228
01:02:51,320 --> 01:02:53,800
importing Russian, Russian
uranium.
1229
01:02:53,800 --> 01:02:58,440
So he's like, Oh well, fuck you.
Well, he has a shot of vodka, so
1230
01:02:59,520 --> 01:03:01,200
yeah.
So that'll be it.
1231
01:03:01,200 --> 01:03:04,240
Said oh, Kamiko was bloody.
They were all flying last night.
1232
01:03:04,240 --> 01:03:07,040
All grain on screen.
Double digit grain on screen for
1233
01:03:07,040 --> 01:03:11,280
the U stocks today on the ISX.
Mate, it's all bloody.
1234
01:03:11,280 --> 01:03:13,560
Whoa, it's all ridiculous.
Like what a good.
1235
01:03:13,720 --> 01:03:16,320
Day they don't send.
They don't send it one way, they
1236
01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:18,360
just send it out the other side
of the country, but it still
1237
01:03:18,360 --> 01:03:20,000
ends up in the global market.
Yeah, I know.
1238
01:03:20,000 --> 01:03:21,240
But what?
If the same thing happened with
1239
01:03:21,240 --> 01:03:23,560
oil.
From the West, that side saying,
1240
01:03:23,640 --> 01:03:26,040
you know, we won't take it, it
just goes at the other end.
1241
01:03:26,040 --> 01:03:29,280
Yeah, but we had some.
Interim phenomenal prices in in
1242
01:03:29,280 --> 01:03:31,880
commodities for a brief period
there in 2022, that's true.
1243
01:03:32,600 --> 01:03:34,680
You know who is also wonder?
Wonder if you're?
1244
01:03:34,680 --> 01:03:37,960
Going to export it to China or
like does that include China?
1245
01:03:37,960 --> 01:03:40,040
Well, a bit of it's already.
Happened right with the the LME
1246
01:03:40,040 --> 01:03:42,880
saying, well, we're not going to
take any more of your your
1247
01:03:42,880 --> 01:03:45,840
nickel aluminium, these sorts of
things that takes time to to
1248
01:03:45,840 --> 01:03:49,280
wind through and stuff.
But it just starts going, going
1249
01:03:49,280 --> 01:03:51,360
out the other way.
They still need to sell it, you
1250
01:03:51,360 --> 01:03:54,360
know, they need the money.
So you know.
1251
01:03:54,360 --> 01:03:56,160
Who's also always green on
screen.
1252
01:03:56,960 --> 01:03:58,600
Access my.
Technology, right?
1253
01:03:58,600 --> 01:04:00,360
It should change the logo from
red to green.
1254
01:04:00,360 --> 01:04:02,400
Red doesn't suit them because
they're never going down.
1255
01:04:02,400 --> 01:04:03,840
They're always going up.
Always.
1256
01:04:03,840 --> 01:04:04,840
Up.
They're never hanging up.
1257
01:04:04,840 --> 01:04:07,360
They're picking up but can try
to say the same.
1258
01:04:07,360 --> 01:04:12,280
For MMS verify Adia DSI
underground Silverstone CRE
1259
01:04:12,280 --> 01:04:15,800
insurance Greenland's equipment
K drew and use a spark chart.
1260
01:04:15,800 --> 01:04:17,880
I love it you get your.
Jaw cleanse when you're doing
1261
01:04:17,880 --> 01:04:20,160
this JD, you're just pumped up
about the sponsors.
1262
01:04:20,160 --> 01:04:21,960
I love it.
It's read their names and they.
1263
01:04:21,960 --> 01:04:23,600
Get excited.
Used to be with the right now,
1264
01:04:23,680 --> 01:04:24,880
yeah.
I know we're going to have a
1265
01:04:24,880 --> 01:04:26,400
bit.
They used to make it cringe when
1266
01:04:26,400 --> 01:04:29,800
we first Madam J, haven't you
come along a bit of cash?
1267
01:04:30,920 --> 01:04:33,640
Hooteroo buddy wants hooteroo.
Information.
1268
01:04:33,640 --> 01:04:36,120
Contained in this episode of
Money of Mine is of general
1269
01:04:36,120 --> 01:04:38,440
nature only and does not take
into account the objectives,
1270
01:04:38,600 --> 01:04:41,800
financial situation or needs of
any particular person.
1271
01:04:42,080 --> 01:04:45,120
Before making any investment
decision, you should consult
1272
01:04:45,120 --> 01:04:48,200
with your financial advisor and
consider how appropriate the
1273
01:04:48,200 --> 01:04:51,880
advice is to your objectives,
financial situation and needs.