April 15, 2025

Can Greatland pull off the great comeback?

Copper hopeful Prospect Resources has tied up a strategic investment from neighbour First Quantum at a premium, seeing their stock jump. Greatland Gold saw a solid result, and we dive into how rare earths are taking centre stage in the global trade war.


Sign-up for the Director’s Special

 

Please read our Privacy Policy and Disclaimer here


Discounted tickets available for Global Resources Innovation Expo (GRX) exclusively via Money of Mine. 


Austmine and AusIMM Members enter code MOM at checkout for $190 off your registration. Non-members enter code MOMNM at checkout for $160 off your registration. Brisbane, 20 - 22 May, 2025

 

Thank you to our Partners:

 

Mineral Mining Services – Your preferred mining contractor

 

https://www.mineralminingservices.com.au/join-us/ - 1300 546 117

 

Grounded - Infrastructure for remote mining and civil projects Australia wide

 

Paul Natoli - pn@groundedgroup.com.au

 

Sandvik Ground Support – The only ground support you’ll ever need

 

http://www.rocktechnology.sandvik/groundsupport

 

CRE Insurance – Insurance Brokers for the Construction, Resources and Energy sectors

 

davidh@creinsurance.com.au - +61 2 9493 6100

 

K-Drill – Safe, reliable, and productive surface RC drilling

 

drew@k-drill.com.au - +61 416 015 876

 

WA Water Bores – WA’s premier water well drilling company

 

James@wawaterbores.com.au - +61 429 695 538

 

Quattro Project Engineering - Global Engineering partnerships delivered with efficiency, innovation and energy

 

info@quattrope.com - +61 8 9373 1140

 

KCA Site Services - Recruitment services, equipment hire, labour hire, civil works, underground projects & services and shutdown maintenance

 

admin@kcasiteservices.com.au – 1300 143 947

 

Black Diamond Drilling Services – Drilling consumables supplier for the open pit and underground mining industries

 

support@bddrill.com.au - +61 450 944 489

 

Cross Boundary Energy – Independent Power Producer for the global mining industry

 

tim.taylor@crossboundary.com - +61 466 184 943 


(0:00:00)First Quantum put their foot on Prospect


(0:12:47)Greatland start building cash


(0:26:15)Who'll benefit from a rare earth battle?

1
00:00:00,480 --> 00:00:03,120
And mate, they're drilling,
they've listened to me because I

2
00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:05,960
said there's gold everywhere up
there, get the bloody rigs

3
00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,720
spinning.
But they've got this eastern

4
00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:12,840
stock work corridor which 14
half metres and 11 half grams,

5
00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,760
18 metres and 6g.
So it looks like there's some

6
00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:20,400
pretty big potential.
Righto money miners dilly back.

7
00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,400
Mate, that voice is is miles
better than it was yesterday and

8
00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:25,000
I imagine miles better than it
was the day before.

9
00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,440
I'd give you 95% back.
Yeah, mate, I'll tell you what.

10
00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:31,320
On the 23rd of May, it's going
to be back to what it was

11
00:00:31,560 --> 00:00:34,920
because on the 20 to 22nd of
May, I'm going to be at the JRX

12
00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:35,880
conference.
You've got another.

13
00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:39,240
Conference, it's going to be
another voice destroyer, mate,

14
00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:42,280
the industry LED conference that
is the centre for tech

15
00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:46,280
innovation.
The future mine is going to be

16
00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,800
on display from 150 exhibitors,
mate, tell you what.

17
00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:53,440
And we're talking mining
companies, OEMs, mining tech

18
00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:58,160
companies, but and the exclusive
discount code buy money of mine

19
00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:04,280
'cause we're just exclusive. 190
bucks off for members MOM, 160

20
00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:09,960
bucks off MOMNM for non member.
And mate, the links are in the

21
00:01:09,960 --> 00:01:12,120
show notes.
It's on LinkedIn, mate.

22
00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:15,480
You're mad if you don't take the
free cash and you're mad if you

23
00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:17,440
don't go.
You're going to be there again

24
00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:19,240
'cause.
I'm gone, and apparently that

25
00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:23,160
holds some weight these days.
So whatever the world we live

26
00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:28,720
in, go GRX partnered with
between Osman and Oz, IMM can't

27
00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:30,920
can't wait, boys.
What do we got today?

28
00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:32,760
We've got.
We've got a line up that's going

29
00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,640
to be as good as the GRX
conference, Manny, but not quite

30
00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:36,440
as good, you know?
Yeah.

31
00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:39,320
Your love for First Quantum
continues.

32
00:01:39,320 --> 00:01:41,200
They're having a punt.
Yeah, they are.

33
00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,200
They're they've, they've put $15
million into a company called

34
00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:46,160
Prospect Resources.
I'm going to go into that, what

35
00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:47,680
it means, why they need it, and
if there's going to be

36
00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:48,800
competitive tension in the long
run.

37
00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:52,440
JD is going into rare earths and
we're talking about in.

38
00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,720
Honor of the great Stuart Hines.
Telfa.

39
00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:59,120
While he's chilling on in.
Spain, I think he's in Spain.

40
00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:00,320
He's.
Got a yacht, doesn't he?

41
00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:02,320
Yeah, I think he.
Could have got mate.

42
00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:04,240
I'll show you the stock price
chart.

43
00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:06,560
If it keeps going back up, he
can buy a bigger one.

44
00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:10,759
Let's go.
Let's go to Zambia to start Trev

45
00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:13,000
Prospect Resources and 1st
Quantum.

46
00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:15,640
I'm, I'm, I'm going down the
value chain for a change and I

47
00:02:15,640 --> 00:02:18,080
do want to talk about, yeah,
Zambian copper developer

48
00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:21,360
Prospect Resources today they
they revealed that First Quantum

49
00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:23,680
is tipping in $15 million at
$0.15.

50
00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:25,960
And and to end up with a 15%
shareholding in the company,

51
00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:27,680
that's that's a lot of fifteens
gents.

52
00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:30,240
Do you know that discovered that
project in 2015?

53
00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,040
I did not know that.
Because it's not true I.

54
00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:38,280
Was about.
To say that importantly the the

55
00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:42,640
share price that that first
quantum is paying for for that

56
00:02:42,640 --> 00:02:47,200
15% stake is reflects A36
premium to prospects last traded

57
00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:51,560
price and the share price today
is trading at 13.5 cents.

58
00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:53,480
So not quite what what first
quantums paying.

59
00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,400
All right.
Remind us about Prospect, how

60
00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,600
the the assets sort of came into
the company and what sold

61
00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:00,800
happened because there's a
little interesting history in

62
00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:02,360
this one, isn't it?
We've, we've touched on them in

63
00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:05,920
the past and prospect they
acquired the Mumbaisy project in

64
00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:08,760
early 2024.
Before that it was, it was a

65
00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:12,640
fascinating company because two
years earlier they sold their

66
00:03:12,640 --> 00:03:15,920
Arcadia lithium project in
Zimbabwe to a Chinese company

67
00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:20,320
for US, $378 million in cash.
What did they do with the money?

68
00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,120
They distributed the
overwhelming majority of it to

69
00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:26,360
shareholders, 95% of the cash
they they distributed via

70
00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:30,480
dividend and a capital return.
They only serve of the in Aussie

71
00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,760
dollar terms, there was like net
proceeds of 466 million.

72
00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:38,000
The company only kept 34 million
of that in prospect, but that

73
00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,600
was enough for the team to get
their hands on the Mombasi

74
00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:43,760
copper project in due course,
while staying funded enough to

75
00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:45,840
for, for exploration work once
they kind of got hold of it.

76
00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:48,760
And the project is interesting
because it's, it's in the

77
00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,520
Central African Cup about kind
of straddling the border of, of

78
00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:54,680
Zambia and the DRC.
But on the Zambian side, as you

79
00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:58,440
can see on on this map, just
look at the vicinity of, of what

80
00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:01,480
is, is neighboring this, this
project, right?

81
00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:05,040
First Quantum's Sentinel
operation is just 25 kilometres

82
00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:08,040
away to the West.
There now Sentinel has

83
00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:11,040
processing capacity for
62,000,000 tonnes per annum

84
00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:15,480
material and it produces 225,000
tonnes of copper per annum.

85
00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:18,640
It is a monster.
Six, that that's phenomenal

86
00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:21,440
thinking of that amount of
tonnes for that amount of

87
00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:23,280
copper.
It's, it's low grade, right.

88
00:04:23,280 --> 00:04:26,080
But yeah, I mean, I mean,
everything's 2,000,000 tonnes.

89
00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:29,120
Yeah, it's, it's a big, it's a,
it's a big, big, big operation.

90
00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:30,920
I think.
I do think when we interviewed,

91
00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:34,480
yeah, Mike Christie, he, he
referred to 1st Quantum's

92
00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:38,520
acquisition of the project in
2010 for US $230 million.

93
00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:40,400
I think he, I think he referred
to that as Deal of the Century.

94
00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:42,560
Do you remember that quote?
I feel like he did anyway.

95
00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:43,920
No it doesn't.
Let's.

96
00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:46,240
Run with you.
He's he's clearly biased, but

97
00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:48,720
undoubtedly like Sentinel has
been a tremendous asset that has

98
00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:52,240
transformed kind of first
quantum and and then to the to

99
00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:55,600
the east, you can see on this
map a bit more than 30

100
00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:57,680
kilometers away, you've got
barracks Lumwana copper

101
00:04:57,680 --> 00:04:59,760
operation.
Now Lumwana is currently

102
00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:03,400
27,000,000 tons per annum and
that produces 120,000 tons of

103
00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:07,320
copper per year.
But Barrick is planning to turn

104
00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,880
Lumwana into a super pit.
They want to, you know, make it

105
00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:11,880
a tier one asset, which it
currently isn't.

106
00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:13,800
And that means scale.
So they're planning on on

107
00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:16,880
doubling the processing capacity
to 64,000,000 tonnes per annum

108
00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:20,760
and they hope to also double
copper production to 240,000

109
00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:24,160
tonnes per annum.
Just to think back, the gross

110
00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:27,800
was 1.6 million tonne for 65,000
tonne in copper.

111
00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:31,920
Different scale, is it it?
Is it is It is absolutely is.

112
00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:35,080
So how does prospect fit into
this then with the with the

113
00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:39,120
majors around it mate?
This this year prospect they

114
00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:42,480
dropped their their maiden
resource plus they secured 2

115
00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:45,000
large scale mining license from
the Zambian government.

116
00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:48,760
The the maiden mineral resource
estimate 107 million tonnes at

117
00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:54,000
0.5% copper for 514,000 tonnes
of contained copper.

118
00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:56,600
And in the latest trend that's
just everywhere you look.

119
00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:59,880
There was also an expiration
target another, another 420

120
00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:05,080
million to to, you know, 1050
million extra tons of of

121
00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:07,600
material at at a similarish
grade is in the exploration

122
00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:08,800
target.
So there's, there's line of

123
00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:11,520
sight to a fair bit of all there
at at modest grade.

124
00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:14,800
You know, that's 0.5%, right?
The question is that you have to

125
00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:17,800
figure out, does first Quantum
or Barrack need that feed?

126
00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:21,280
And if they do, when do they
need it on Barrack, their

127
00:06:21,280 --> 00:06:23,840
Lumwana super pit ambitions?
I think it's they say the

128
00:06:23,840 --> 00:06:27,320
expansion's going to be about $2
billion, but doing what they're

129
00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:31,160
what they're gonna gonna embark
on at Lumuana, we'll kind of

130
00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:34,680
establish my life there out
until 2060 by super, super

131
00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:38,920
pitting it perhaps yeah
prospects or could displace some

132
00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:41,160
of some of the mine plant
earlier or provide blending

133
00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:42,680
benefits.
I'm not not entirely sure, but

134
00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:45,000
let's let's move on from now to
to 1st Quantum.

135
00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:49,080
First Quantum Sentinel is a
massive 62 million tons per

136
00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:52,280
annum and the current feed grade
is around that 0.5% copper mark

137
00:06:52,280 --> 00:06:55,160
right now too, maybe kind of
slightly lower than that.

138
00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:58,520
But there's also this technical
report on Sentinel that came out

139
00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:03,320
in 2020 and what it showed was
the mill could be fed at 60, you

140
00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:05,960
know, 62 million tons per annum
up until 2032.

141
00:07:06,280 --> 00:07:10,480
However, the grade really falls
off substantially between 2029

142
00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:13,640
and 2033.
Look at this, this chart and you

143
00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:17,360
can just see like that, you
know, between 2028 and 2029

144
00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:21,560
there, it just falls from 0.49%
to 0.34% where it where it

145
00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:24,200
unfortunately stays for quite a
quite a number of years.

146
00:07:24,200 --> 00:07:26,720
And and that's a very
substantial drop off in grade,

147
00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:28,760
which of course would mean no
much lower production.

148
00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:34,160
So you can you can pretty easily
see now why first quantum is, is

149
00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:37,200
going to be interested in, you
know, putting its claim on

150
00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:39,360
prospect resources right now.
There's there's feed that could

151
00:07:39,360 --> 00:07:42,840
clearly displace the low grade
ore there and, and have a have a

152
00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:46,400
substantial impact on, on the
incremental value that that

153
00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:47,560
first quantum get out of
Sentinel.

154
00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:50,080
Yeah, wow.
Once you convince yourself that

155
00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:52,480
first quantum need this and that
they they, they need it before

156
00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,000
2029, then you just have to do
the math on like what the

157
00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:56,840
incremental value to 1st quantum
is.

158
00:07:56,920 --> 00:08:01,480
The, the market cap of, of, of
prospect resources is under $100

159
00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:02,920
million Australian at the
moment.

160
00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,240
I read Hoffy's analysis sort of
suggesting incremental value to

161
00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:10,480
1st quantum could be between US
450 million and US 600 million.

162
00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:13,080
If you know, if if that were
that were feeding us through

163
00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:17,200
through Sentinel in time, but I
don't think like a a deal gets

164
00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:21,200
done at full MPV here.
You a deal like if if a deal

165
00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:23,000
happens, there's gotta be
something on the table for first

166
00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:25,600
quantum to to to still get
benefit out of it as well, you

167
00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:27,800
know, so.
Yeah, they've got their foot on

168
00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:28,880
them.
They've got their foot on them

169
00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:31,040
and that's important because
you've got you've got barrack in

170
00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:33,400
the region who like the, you
know, the all could, could have

171
00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:37,320
reasonably also gone towards if,
if it, if it suited the mind

172
00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:38,799
plan too.
But you know, first quantum's

173
00:08:38,799 --> 00:08:39,720
there, they've got their foot on
that.

174
00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:41,559
There's rights that come with
the the investment too,

175
00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,039
including board representation
and and the like.

176
00:08:44,039 --> 00:08:46,720
So yeah, it's, it is, it's, it's
an interesting one, but I'll

177
00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:48,360
watch it.
You know, I'd expect in due

178
00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:50,800
course, no, no, no sense of
urgency now because I've got the

179
00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:52,120
foot on them.
But in due course, like I

180
00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,640
wouldn't be surprised to see
this kind of wrapped up by first

181
00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:55,760
quarter.
Yeah, right.

182
00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,360
So what?
Anything else interesting about

183
00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:00,880
this?
In addition to 1st Quantum's

184
00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:04,280
investment here prospect, they
have this existing 15%

185
00:09:04,280 --> 00:09:07,840
shareholder called Eagle Eye
Asset Holdings.

186
00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:11,800
They are also tipping in
$3,000,000 at $0.15 to retain

187
00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:14,280
their own 15% shareholding in
the company.

188
00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:17,240
Equal eye is interesting.
I, I had to look into them

189
00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:20,240
because I was like, I think I
got another strategic, but it's

190
00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:22,440
not a strategic investor on the,
on the register.

191
00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:24,920
It's, it's the mining investment
division of a family office

192
00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:27,880
called Fortuna Holdings SFO.
And if you're trying to figure

193
00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:31,080
out a family office, which
family, good luck finding kind

194
00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:32,720
of public disclosure of which
family it is.

195
00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:36,040
It's not it's not available in
the kind of the public domain

196
00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:39,720
of, of Fortuna.
All all it refers to in in all

197
00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:41,400
of their docs is the the
promoter family.

198
00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:47,440
However, one of the other
companies that that Eagle Eye is

199
00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:50,560
a substantial shareholder of on
the ASX is Canyon Resources and

200
00:09:50,560 --> 00:09:53,240
you can see the signatory on the
recent change in substantial

201
00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:58,360
notice for them on Canyon is is
Gaurav Gupta now.

202
00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,640
Aussie fella.
Aussie fella, Yeah, you won't

203
00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:05,600
find any kind of public details
that link Gaurav Gupta.

204
00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:07,680
I'm probably saying his first
name wrong to the Gupta that is

205
00:10:07,680 --> 00:10:09,400
very controversial in South
Australia right now.

206
00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:13,360
Sanjeev Gupta Gaurav is the CEO
of Adani Capital.

207
00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:16,840
Adani of course is you know,
there's lots of links to

208
00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:19,960
different sort of set of Guptas,
but they all there is a lot of

209
00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:21,160
connection.
There's connection between

210
00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:22,000
Guptas.
But anyway.

211
00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:24,160
It's simply not the same Adani
that was doing the.

212
00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:25,760
Coal Board and.
Well, it's land.

213
00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:27,760
Or a different Adani?
That's Adani Group.

214
00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:29,560
And then there was these
financial divisions and then you

215
00:10:29,560 --> 00:10:32,320
had kind of, you know, because
the whole Greensill drama, it

216
00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,320
kind of got chopped up.
And anyway, this is just like

217
00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:36,400
one of the the financial bits
that was chopped up.

218
00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:38,400
It's the way I read it.
Yeah, right.

219
00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:41,680
Anyway, but but eagle eye isn't
isn't Adani.

220
00:10:41,680 --> 00:10:45,920
That's just somehow Grave is
signatory and Grave is also CEO

221
00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,760
of Adani Capital.
For simplicity, it appears to be

222
00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:50,280
Gupta money.
I'm just not sure which Gupta's.

223
00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:53,080
But anyway, I found I found all
that fascinating.

224
00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:54,200
Yeah, cool.
Right.

225
00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:56,160
Looking at that region, you know
what I'm thinking.

226
00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:58,880
What are you thinking, Maddie?
What would be the most out there

227
00:10:58,880 --> 00:11:00,840
thing that you think could pop
into my head after your

228
00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:04,680
discussion?
It's it's you've, you've known

229
00:11:04,680 --> 00:11:08,280
me for two years.
Could you imagine a mega merger

230
00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:10,000
between Barrick and 1st?
Quantum.

231
00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:11,840
It's it's.
It's I was about to say that

232
00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:13,600
they've tried and it makes
perfect sense.

233
00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:15,760
Quite literally 2 years ago they
Barrick.

234
00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:19,000
Bid for First Quantum.
Yeah, no, no joy.

235
00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:22,720
But but yeah, it's, it's, it's,
it's certainly, I mean, there's

236
00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:25,880
massive synergies there, right?
And I think LA Minor has been a

237
00:11:25,880 --> 00:11:27,960
fair bit harder for Barrack than
Barrack envisaged.

238
00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:31,640
And yeah, Sentinel was, was, was
maybe kind of would would help

239
00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:34,880
unlock it in a way that that was
more straightforward.

240
00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:38,640
And yeah, First Quantum had, you
know, I think they've got a big

241
00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:41,520
shareholder on the register
which helped them knock it back,

242
00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:43,880
but I can't remember.
Best quantum of a very big

243
00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:46,680
Chinese shareholder.
Yeah.

244
00:11:46,680 --> 00:11:49,000
Do you see Barrick also dropped
gold from or they're trying to

245
00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:51,240
drop gold from their name right
now because they want to become

246
00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:54,800
a copper miner.
Too bad that ticker is GOLD.

247
00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:56,400
Like to work on that one.
That's a bit.

248
00:11:57,080 --> 00:12:00,280
Yeah.
But yeah, with Rico Dick and

249
00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:02,600
everything, they are moving more
and more toward being a copper

250
00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:05,000
miner.
And I, I, I don't think First

251
00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:08,440
Quantum would ever want that, by
the way, even even though maybe

252
00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:10,040
they could get a premium all
that sort of stuff.

253
00:12:10,040 --> 00:12:14,280
But the, the, the culture, the
culture of, of First Quantum,

254
00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,360
like we've talked about is, is
nothing like the culture in a

255
00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:20,480
place like barrack and that
place would, you know, the, the,

256
00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:23,600
the thing that really drives it
and, and why it's efficient and

257
00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:25,320
why it's lean and why they can
do so much, yada, yada.

258
00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:27,720
That would be, that would be
completely eroded if it was, you

259
00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:30,040
know, engulfed by a barrack.
Yeah, because Barrack can't

260
00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:31,840
lean.
Not they're not lean, they're

261
00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:34,760
not entrepreneurial, they don't
kind of take bold risks in a

262
00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:37,200
nimble and fast way in the same
way that that First Quantum is

263
00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:39,120
empowered to do.
I think it would be a lot harder

264
00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:43,320
for Barrack to deploy capital to
get a lot of lot of change to go

265
00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,800
through to get that happening.
For sure, yeah.

266
00:12:46,680 --> 00:12:53,280
Right, buddy, sit back Stewie
Hines most famous great 1 gold

267
00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,320
shareholder.
And if anyone can become a more

268
00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:58,840
famous one, I'll buy you a cart
and a piece.

269
00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,800
Most famous retail shareholder.
Yeah, most definitely.

270
00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:08,160
So at least we've got a free up
a free link coming up on Twitter

271
00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:10,000
because he always gives us a
share.

272
00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:14,600
Have a look at Greatland up she
was he's up what 120% in the

273
00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:19,720
past year up to 14 lbs.
And I think they like after the

274
00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:21,480
rise and stuff they'll back down
at six.

275
00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:24,920
So it's had a good, good bloody
rise since they've it's all gone

276
00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:26,800
through after the after the
capital rise.

277
00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:28,400
If you look at the long term
chart here.

278
00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:31,200
It's a pounds or Pence, Pence,
Pence, Pence.

279
00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:31,880
Sorry.
Yeah.

280
00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:35,520
What's What's the difference
between a pound and a pence?

281
00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:38,600
So pence, Pence is like 0.60
cents.

282
00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:40,400
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Cents in dollars.

283
00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:43,840
Oh yeah, that's why bloody
Glencoe is like fucking 284.

284
00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:46,840
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Yeah, it's like 2 bucks, 80 or

285
00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,360
280 pence.
It is confusing with that.

286
00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:52,240
I put the decimal though and
yeah and it says GBP but it's

287
00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:54,400
fucking.
Got it, Got it now.

288
00:13:54,560 --> 00:13:58,280
Yeah, Lord saved the coin.
Yeah, bloody now.

289
00:13:58,280 --> 00:14:02,120
God saved the coin.
God save the queen, the king,

290
00:14:02,680 --> 00:14:04,440
right?
Oh yeah, true.

291
00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:06,920
Go, Charles.
He's the king.

292
00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:09,840
Yeah.
Lose track of all these, right.

293
00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:12,120
Great.
Look at the bloody long term.

294
00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,240
It's like Stewie, you might get
the bloody.

295
00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:16,480
It's it's coming back.
It is coming back.

296
00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:19,000
Look at the ultimate high.
I think what was the high about

297
00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:20,560
38.
So right it is.

298
00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:24,080
It is on the rise again.
Plenty of happening at Telfa.

299
00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,520
Plenty happening at bloody have
her on.

300
00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:32,280
With that much going on they
definitely need to bloody call

301
00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:35,400
KCI.
That is like just pretty mate.

302
00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:39,360
They probably need 38 I TS on
site up there, probably more Oh

303
00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:43,360
mate and no one else in
Australia has 38 I TS other than

304
00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:45,960
KCI.
And if they need more KCI got

305
00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:47,960
more coming in the next 6 months
mate.

306
00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:52,400
That road between Telford and
Haveron needs to be maintained.

307
00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:57,920
AKCA grader arrived this month.
Perfect bloody home for that.

308
00:14:57,920 --> 00:14:59,280
And they'll probably need people
too.

309
00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:01,880
Maddie.
Mate and KCA can deliver them in

310
00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:05,600
all shapes and forms on a
variety of arrangements and I'll

311
00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:10,680
tell you like we're talking
ITSITSITS, machinery, machinery,

312
00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,160
people, people, people, people.
And you just have to pick up the

313
00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:18,080
phone and call KCA.
It's a.

314
00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:21,640
Pretty simple message.
Oh bloody hell, what a bloody oh

315
00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:25,200
and oh.
Cheers guys.

316
00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,920
Yeah.
Alrighty, tell us about the.

317
00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:31,800
Cording so the the the
highlights 250 these are in

318
00:15:31,800 --> 00:15:37,320
Aussie dollars 253 mil of free
cash flow debt free closing cash

319
00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:41,600
balance of nearly 400 Aussie.
So there's about been three and

320
00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:46,560
a bit months, three, nearly four
months of great land production

321
00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:50,080
because they released their
those partial December numbers.

322
00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:54,600
Now this is their first you'd
say full quarter side, 90,000

323
00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:58,360
ounces of gold produced all in
sustaining costs 2100 Aussie.

324
00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:02,600
Remember they've got copper
associated well, so 3 1/2

325
00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:04,320
thousand tonne of copper as
well.

326
00:16:04,640 --> 00:16:08,160
I assume they'd have a little
bit of like impet, what would

327
00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:11,600
you call it rehandling under the
all in sustaining 'cause there's

328
00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:13,760
some stockpiles they produced as
well.

329
00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:19,240
So gold recoveries, there was a
big, big improvement, 86.7%.

330
00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:22,320
So previously I think they were
modelling 78%.

331
00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:26,080
So recovery was really good.
And they've just approved and

332
00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:29,320
commenced mining in the stage 7
cutback for the new West Ham

333
00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:32,200
open pit.
So they've released a guidance

334
00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:38,080
which they hadn't previously.
So gold production for FY25 S

335
00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:43,680
essentially 6 and a bit months,
196 to 210,000 ounces and

336
00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:46,200
looking to pump about 100 mil of
growth capital in it.

337
00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:50,200
So that's gonna be around seven
months of great land ownership.

338
00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:53,480
So, and mate, they're drilling.
They've listened to me 'cause I

339
00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:55,080
said there's gold everywhere up
there.

340
00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:59,400
Get the bloody rig spinning and
they are they're I think they're

341
00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:02,800
gonna well they say they're
gonna have 6 by by June quarter

342
00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:05,560
they're adding another two and
they're gonna have 6 drill rigs

343
00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:08,839
up there, which is the most
they've had up there since 2020.

344
00:17:08,839 --> 00:17:10,599
I'll go over some of the results
later.

345
00:17:10,599 --> 00:17:16,040
So, so you can see here the the
beauty of the gold price, their

346
00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:20,000
average realised price for the
quarter four and a half 4585 and

347
00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:23,359
just look at how much bloody
better this is environment is

348
00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:26,520
compared to new Crest.
So the new Crest days and that's

349
00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:30,240
so 4585 and then you can imagine
this quarter.

350
00:17:30,360 --> 00:17:32,440
So it is.
It's pretty awesome that that

351
00:17:32,440 --> 00:17:36,600
the yeah, that gold price
dynamic is also just let them I

352
00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:39,080
completely clean up the balance
sheet to you know, there's no

353
00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:41,680
yada yada.
And the reinvested into the

354
00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:44,400
growth of, of Telfer as well at
the same time as they bring in

355
00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:47,800
everyone online because that,
that can, that can, you know,

356
00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:51,320
buy you more, more time as well
in terms of replenishing your

357
00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:54,600
stockpiles and, and the locks.
Yeah, yeah.

358
00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:58,600
And and like in terms so for you
know, 250 free cash this

359
00:17:58,600 --> 00:18:01,640
quarter, so up the gold price
and I think there's going to be

360
00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:03,920
a bit less lower recovery in the
coming quarter.

361
00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:08,320
But like that's, you know, what
was Havron's, I think the latest

362
00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:14,440
CapEx was 480 US predicted in
the 2021 numbers.

363
00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:16,920
So like it's gonna be, it's
gonna be a billion plus.

364
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:20,640
But they they've got a good
opportunity here to generate a

365
00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:24,760
lot of free cash to take the
pressure off that that CapEx and

366
00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:28,160
not have to tap the market or
the debt facility maybe maybe.

367
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:32,160
But the IPO on ASX is, I think
scheduled for June.

368
00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:34,240
Scheduled for June, Yeah.
I think they're just going

369
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:38,600
through the process of the the
admission from the AIM that all

370
00:18:38,600 --> 00:18:41,880
the votes that go, the scheme
votes and all that to go with

371
00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:44,640
it, so scheduled for June.
And look at this, an AIM company

372
00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:46,400
and everything's reported in
Aussie dollars.

373
00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:51,360
Yeah, yeah, it's 'cause they're
looking after Oh no, Stewie Ions

374
00:18:51,360 --> 00:18:53,760
is over there.
I think it's probably Stewie

375
00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:56,360
might have asked that can we
have it all in Aussie dollars?

376
00:18:56,360 --> 00:19:01,120
So good on you.
So all milled so for nearly 4.6

377
00:19:01,120 --> 00:19:08,120
million tonne milled .68g gold.
So from that there was 4.2 point

378
00:19:08,120 --> 00:19:15,880
6 of actual ore mine from open
pits, 278,000 tonne from

379
00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:18,040
underground.
So it looks like they they went

380
00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:25,280
through about 1.9 million tonne
of stockpiles for so remember

381
00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:28,120
they got and the 2/3 of that
stockpile you got 20 million

382
00:19:28,120 --> 00:19:31,920
tonne at very low grade at .33
and they got 9.2 million tonne

383
00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:34,600
at .64 which is around what
they're doing.

384
00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:38,200
So they've they're not just
running that whole stockpile

385
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:42,160
through the dual trains.
They've buddy just chipping away

386
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:45,760
as they need it courtesy of the
Newmont folk that left him

387
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:47,040
there.
So that's giving him a good

388
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:51,440
runway.
But so they're, yeah, not, not

389
00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:53,240
just sitting there 'cause that,
that that's what would have

390
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:55,000
killed him because they just
bloody sat there and processed

391
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:56,640
stockpiles.
But they're, they're hammering

392
00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:59,080
the underground, it's bloody and
the open pits, it's good.

393
00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:04,200
And you see the recovery 86.7%
compared to historically ranging

394
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,600
from 78 to 82.
But they've actually they've

395
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:11,800
flagged at the June 2025
quarters, probably gonna be back

396
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:16,160
around 82 saying the Stage 7
area of the West Dome was

397
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,520
historically.
A lot lower recovery due to the

398
00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:22,760
oxidation state.
So they I don't think you'd get

399
00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,920
used to the 86%.
So you can see in this picture

400
00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:31,880
here they've got the stage 7 and
the stage 2 five and eight.

401
00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:33,880
I think it is they're mining in
the West time.

402
00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:37,720
Then they're down the bottom of
the mine in the A reef, the rye

403
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,680
and then doing some mining up in
the M reefer, which is a bit

404
00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:42,520
higher up.
So that's where all the ores

405
00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:45,920
coming from at the moment.
So, and you look at the, the

406
00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:49,320
drilling they're doing.
So this looks like pretty close

407
00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:54,960
to the bottom, the a reef and
you know, 5 metres at 6 grams,

408
00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,160
8.3 at 4.6.
So as I said, there's bloody

409
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:02,320
gold and it's look like it's
only from like 16 metres from 85

410
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,680
metres.
So they've like must be just

411
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:08,640
these parallel structures
they've punching off an existing

412
00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:11,280
or drive or a drill drive to
find those new lights.

413
00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:14,640
So based on those distances,
it's not that far to develop out

414
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:17,320
to those areas.
Then they got this, this looked

415
00:21:17,360 --> 00:21:19,840
bloody pretty cool.
The up in the MRF.

416
00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:24,400
So the MRF is higher up sort of
halfway down effectively like

417
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:28,920
the caves at bottom of The Cave
was about thousand 1100 MRF was

418
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:32,240
sort of top bitten down to
halfway.

419
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:36,920
So they've got this eastern
stock work corridor, which 14

420
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,080
half metres at 11 half grams, 18
metres at 6g.

421
00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:44,360
So it looks like there's some
pretty big potential and that's

422
00:21:44,360 --> 00:21:48,880
a looks like 1000 metre strike
target, 100 metres wide, 40

423
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:51,240
metres high.
So that's like that's, that's

424
00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:52,800
what I said.
Just got to get those friggin

425
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:56,680
drills pumping.
So there's looks like and as you

426
00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,480
mentioned before, ASX listening
in June 2025.

427
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:03,520
I think what they're so they
market cap I think is I think it

428
00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:06,560
works out at the moment.
Aussie 3.8 billion.

429
00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:09,960
So it's actually a couple 100
million less than Genesis.

430
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:15,040
But how you compare that look at
what they're producing, look at

431
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:21,320
the infrastructure they've got
Haveron is that's the the best

432
00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:25,600
thing about the this Haveron job
is for them.

433
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:29,080
It's going to be a freaking big
job and it and it will have

434
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,440
challenges with the water, but
they've got Telford ticking

435
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:34,200
along.
So not like, it's not like it's

436
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:38,120
all going to have this bloody
primary focus like a single

437
00:22:38,120 --> 00:22:42,880
asset company on what Haveron's
doing because you've got Telford

438
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:44,760
ticking away and you're still
going to be producing and you're

439
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:46,440
hopefully going to be making
money.

440
00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:50,080
So because it's, I think the
last one was, I think what are

441
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:51,760
they talking about 2.8 million
tonne?

442
00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:53,200
I think that was their last
study.

443
00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:56,080
No doubt they're probably going
to want to get more out of it.

444
00:22:56,080 --> 00:23:02,680
That was for US 46476 CapEx.
So, but I would imagine probably

445
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:05,480
going to need at least a billion
like because they're going to

446
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:07,080
have to Chuck.
Aussie, yeah.

447
00:23:07,120 --> 00:23:10,200
Oh yeah, because that number's
7/7/58 hundred.

448
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:13,640
Oz They're they're going to like
the haulage system or because

449
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,240
they won't be just hauling it up
a bloody single decline.

450
00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:21,640
So there'd be either a haulage
shaft or a another decline going

451
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,360
in which will be a conveyor
system.

452
00:23:23,360 --> 00:23:25,640
Could be well over a billion.
Oh well, over.

453
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:27,320
Yeah, yeah, it's going to be a
big job.

454
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:33,120
And then that's Primary Crusher
underground, you've got all the

455
00:23:33,120 --> 00:23:37,280
ventilation shafts And remember,
every piece of shaft decline,

456
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:39,720
everything has to go through
that water table.

457
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:43,040
And I don't think they're
actually at the big water yet.

458
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:47,880
So there's a lot of and I know
they've probably done it, done

459
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:49,360
it before.
They know what's coming up.

460
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:51,720
So they'll, they'll know how to
get through it, but it doesn't

461
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:53,560
still make it quicker to get
through.

462
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:55,920
It's gonna it's gonna be a big a
big job.

463
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:59,560
It's not just gonna be a let's
RIP in and get 3,000,000 tonne

464
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,440
out of the joint.
So size the price a lot of and a

465
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:04,480
lot of infrastructure to deal
with that water.

466
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,360
I assume you gotta you gotta put
it somewhere.

467
00:24:07,360 --> 00:24:11,160
I just Gerard James needs to run
his eye over that joint mate

468
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:15,840
that the team at WA water balls
have seen more water than the

469
00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,440
Titanic.
They've like mate, and you know

470
00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:21,440
how long the Titanic's been
dealing with water, mate.

471
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:23,480
It's a 3 hour long movie.
It's a long time mate.

472
00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:26,720
Just.
Titanic looks at it all day,

473
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,480
just like Gerard James and the
WI.

474
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:33,400
And they're not just the best
drillers in the best mud Rotary

475
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:35,760
drillers in the world.
They're just the best water

476
00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:38,280
people in the world.
They know how to find it.

477
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:41,760
They know the methods, how to
get rid of it, to store it, to

478
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:44,520
put the ball fields in, to put
the dewatering balls.

479
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:47,720
Like mate, you just need him up
there as an expert water

480
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:49,560
consultant to run his eye over
this.

481
00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:51,800
I'll get one further Not just
the best water people in the

482
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:53,520
world, the best, one of the best
people in the world.

483
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:56,280
Just best, definitely the best
people in Jarrah, yeah.

484
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:59,040
Yeah.
That's it I heard, probably got

485
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:00,640
good people probably in
Australia.

486
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:04,720
So right, just get him up there.
He's the only man in Australia

487
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,000
that can do it.
I reckon if it's the aquifers,

488
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,160
tricky water board then, then
Jerry James will help you.

489
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:13,080
Hey, to get him up there.
So yeah, no exciting done.

490
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:15,920
Bloody good job.
Good, good numbers, good cash

491
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,320
under the transition crew on
site.

492
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:20,760
So I look forward to seeing more
of it.

493
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:22,720
Yeah, I think they're on the RSX
then.

494
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,200
The presentations are just
easier to get to I think.

495
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:27,320
I think the last comment on that
one would be it's very

496
00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:29,840
interesting.
It'd be interesting to see how

497
00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:31,360
they go about their their Aussie
raising.

498
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:33,120
They're not.
They're not raising money.

499
00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,640
Well, they, they said that in in
the past, obviously.

500
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:36,880
So I don't think they're
raising.

501
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:38,480
I mean they, they, they.
Shouldn't need to.

502
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:39,840
It's it's a compliance list,
Yeah, I think.

503
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:41,320
Yeah.
It was just interesting that

504
00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:43,960
that had three brokers for it.
Sort of thought that was a bit

505
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,600
curious, yeah.
They say they're not raising

506
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:48,880
money, but the.
Companies have said that before.

507
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:50,720
Yeah, that's true.
I I.

508
00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:54,760
It's just, it's just a way to
get like an invest like funds as

509
00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:57,520
well.
Love buying in a in a whack like

510
00:25:57,520 --> 00:25:59,320
that.
Not that it's great for existing

511
00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:02,280
shareholders and that's kind of
why they did the previous raise.

512
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:06,040
It might be, it might be a big
shareholder that can like sell

513
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:09,040
kind of like when Capstone came
over, they didn't didn't raise

514
00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:12,280
money, but that the Ryan sold
down and then obviously brokers

515
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:13,960
placed that stock and yeah,
depend on that.

516
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:16,800
There we go.
Right, let's get on to rarest

517
00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:19,200
JD.
The bloody bit going on, the

518
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:24,360
rarest bit against today.
Yeah, quite, quite a bit going

519
00:26:24,360 --> 00:26:26,280
on.
And I'll start up with Santa

520
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:29,080
feel pretty, pretty unqualified
to speak about this because

521
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:31,880
it's, you know, it's.
Been doing this for two years,

522
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:34,920
you are quite fine.
There are big forces at play

523
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:38,920
here in in the rarest market and
I think what we're seeing right

524
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,120
now is one of the most
influential stories in the

525
00:26:42,120 --> 00:26:45,040
commodities market and it will
be for for the year and for

526
00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:48,040
quite some time to come.
So let's give it a bit of a go

527
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:50,560
and and chat about it.
I think the the eye-catching

528
00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:53,600
part of this story is what we've
seen in stocks like MP

529
00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:57,280
materials.
So they jumped over 20% last

530
00:26:57,280 --> 00:26:59,320
night.
Obviously MP materials is

531
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:02,160
America's golden child when it
comes to rare earths.

532
00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:08,160
They are the owner of the sole
operating rare earth mine in in

533
00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:09,840
the USA.
It's in California Mountain

534
00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:11,800
Pass.
Wasn't always the golden child,

535
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,400
but it was Molly Corp.
It certainly wasn't it had a it

536
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:17,520
had a tough time, but the the
new owners have done a bit

537
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:19,440
better out of it than previous
owners have.

538
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:23,920
Now that positivity is being
seen on the ASX as well.

539
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,120
Not so much in Linus, although
they've gone sort of from

540
00:27:26,120 --> 00:27:28,480
strength to strength.
But you've seen big jumps at the

541
00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:32,640
the smaller end of town from the
likes of Meteoric and others,

542
00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:34,360
and.
Great data release of mineral

543
00:27:34,360 --> 00:27:37,760
resource upgrade.
A good a good day indeed.

544
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:39,800
Yeah, we're seeing sort of plus
20% moves.

545
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:42,360
And I just want to make a quick
comment.

546
00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:46,560
I think with how mainstream this
kind of debate about rare earths

547
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:49,600
and and critical minerals has
gone, I think you need to kind

548
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:51,600
of be careful.
There's pretty kind of liberal

549
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,680
use of the words critical
minerals, rare earths and

550
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,040
everything.
And you know, it's, it's a bit

551
00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,000
confusing at times because I
think people use it very

552
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:02,200
interchangeably.
You know, rare earths, critical

553
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:03,880
minerals, they're all getting
tied in.

554
00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:07,080
And I think the perspective we
all kind of have is like, if you

555
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:09,640
need it, if you can't produce
it, it is critical.

556
00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:13,080
You know, rarest is something
completely different, obviously,

557
00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:16,680
but the US is learning pretty
quickly that a lot of these

558
00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:21,000
minerals are quite critical for
them because they don't have the

559
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:24,200
capacity to produce them.
That's why they're at the crux

560
00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:27,880
of this trade war, and that's
why we've seen these pretty

561
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:30,800
dramatic moves.
There's been an evolution in the

562
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,120
trade war and to be honest, I
think people were kind of

563
00:28:33,120 --> 00:28:36,840
actually sleeping on it a little
bit like what we saw with how

564
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:40,120
China reacted to the tariffs
coming on was over a week ago

565
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:43,120
now.
And yeah, the US has started to

566
00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:47,040
do bits and pieces, but people
didn't quite perhaps

567
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:50,000
acknowledge, and I put myself in
that camp as well, how kind of

568
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:54,120
positive this would be for
national champions being MP

569
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,200
materials, being lioness here in
Australia and the other kind of

570
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,680
main players.
And yeah, I mean, it's no

571
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:03,480
surprise to ask like China
refines 85% of, of rare earths,

572
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:06,800
even the operation in in the
States, like the US is actually

573
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:10,240
the second biggest producer of,
of rare earths, but 2/3 of their

574
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:12,160
stuff gets sent to China for
processing.

575
00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:16,680
So these are all challenges that
the West needs to tackle.

576
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:22,600
And rare earths are one of, you
know, the best, maybe the the

577
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:26,080
kind of perfect market for China
to put the squeeze on, right?

578
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:29,360
Because if you're Chinese and
you look at the railroads

579
00:29:29,360 --> 00:29:31,840
market, it's really not a
massive part of your economy,

580
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:36,840
but it's crucial to a whole heap
of things downstream in the US.

581
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:41,800
So it's it's something they can
really pinch and really hurt

582
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:45,120
their, you know, enemies
overseas.

583
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:48,800
And yeah, I think this is
nothing new to to most of the

584
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:50,400
people who listen to to the
party.

585
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,360
So we can kind of get in, get
into get into it in a bit more

586
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:57,400
detail, but I think the wider
world outside the very small

587
00:29:57,400 --> 00:30:00,240
audience that that knows about
commodities is learning about

588
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:03,520
this very quickly.
So what was the actual news that

589
00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:08,680
made the stocks soar overnight?
So Trump came out and, and spoke

590
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:12,240
about creating sort of a
critical metals stockpile.

591
00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:15,160
And it was kind of interesting
how it all came about.

592
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:19,240
He it was reports that he would
sign an executive order that

593
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:23,400
will allow the US to create this
stockpile from minerals that

594
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,960
would be mined from the floor of
the Pacific Ocean, but kind of

595
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:30,440
ignore that that last bit about
mining from the the bottom of

596
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:31,800
the ocean.
And I think that's what most

597
00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:36,240
investors did, piling into MP
materials because the US does

598
00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:38,600
have projects and deposits in
its country.

599
00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:41,680
It just hasn't been interested
in developing them because the

600
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,960
Chinese have flooded the market
for the last 20 or 30 years.

601
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:49,960
We spoke about Trevor and I last
week what the Chinese had done

602
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:52,720
and they were very specific.
They hand picked a certain

603
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:55,040
number of, of elements,
particularly the heavy rare

604
00:30:55,040 --> 00:30:58,240
earth elements.
And what they did was more or

605
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:00,720
less put export controls on
without kind of saying that.

606
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:02,680
And we've seen it in the numbers
already.

607
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:06,440
Shipments and exports of these
minerals have slowed right down.

608
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,000
So people are feeling the the
pinch already.

609
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:12,160
And you can see that there's
sort of quotes in some articles

610
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:14,960
going around from chemical
supplies in places like Los

611
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:18,720
Angeles saying that it's going
to take 45 days for them to get

612
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:23,080
an export license.
And, you know, in that interim,

613
00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:26,160
they're not getting anything
shipped over from China.

614
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,680
So if they don't have the
inventory, they're caught pretty

615
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,960
short at the moment.
And as well as that, you've got

616
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,720
the Chinese adding a lot of
American companies, specifically

617
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,360
military related companies to
their kind of naughty list,

618
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:41,240
which means Chinese companies
can't deal with them whatsoever,

619
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:42,600
can't do any sort of business
with them.

620
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:47,400
So it's getting pretty, pretty
sort of cagey in in that realm.

621
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:51,320
And if you look around the
world, go to say, Japan, for

622
00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:55,600
instance, they felt the brunt of
rare earths specifically, you

623
00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:58,720
know, it's a trade war when they
send some of their ships into

624
00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:03,640
Chinese water.
And they, because of that

625
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,920
lesson, some of them keep over a
year's worth of inventory on

626
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,400
hand.
Now, American companies don't do

627
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:11,040
that.
That is, that is dead capital.

628
00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:14,320
That's a drag on your returns.
They're holding maybe a few

629
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:16,960
months at most in inventory of
these these magnets and other

630
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:18,680
bits and pieces that you might
need.

631
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:20,480
Exactly.
It's it's the world we live in.

632
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:24,400
Just in time manufacturing and
the Japanese who went through

633
00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:27,360
that painful experience and at
the back of that we saw lioness

634
00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:30,840
and everything sort of emerged.
They they learnt their lesson

635
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:33,360
and they, they keep a lot of
inventory on hand.

636
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:38,640
So, yeah, I mean, if we if we go
around and and look back in the

637
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:42,280
states at a company like MP
Materials, they still have

638
00:32:42,280 --> 00:32:45,080
Chinese ties, right?
Like Shanghai, the the Chinese

639
00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:48,440
rare earth player was a big
backer of them getting their

640
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:52,200
feet off the ground from being a
spec in the late twenty 10s to

641
00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:55,720
to where we are today.
And they still send 2/3 of their

642
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:59,400
concentrate to China.
So it's really the implicit

643
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:02,280
backing that the the US
government would be behind them

644
00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:07,400
that is sent a fair bit of
capital, you know, chasing them.

645
00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:11,160
They're up I think 40% on the
year now in, in the face of a

646
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:13,880
pretty tough broader market as
we all know.

647
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:16,840
And yeah, closer to home, Linus
is trading very strongly, pretty

648
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:22,600
far away from any kind of basic
valuations that we we kind of

649
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:25,080
like to employ.
I could say why you were talking

650
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:28,000
to your computer today, JD.
You've gone deep and

651
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,480
philosophical on rare earths
today, like a real global

652
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:33,720
understanding of this.
Trying to.

653
00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:35,520
I'm trying to because.
You're trying, you're trying to

654
00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:38,000
make sense of like, what does
the politics actually mean to

655
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:41,040
that the, the free cash flow of
these of these companies?

656
00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:44,040
Because if you have a hefty
valuation, it's got to be kind

657
00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:47,000
of substantiated by some, some
free cash flow at the end of the

658
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:48,320
day.
And just trying to piece all

659
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:50,840
that together is the the
question mark, is it, are they

660
00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:52,440
trading?
When it changes every night.

661
00:33:52,600 --> 00:33:54,000
Yeah.
Are they, are they, is it

662
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:55,800
thematic?
Is it just like a thematic move

663
00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:58,320
and then kind of that will fall
off and nothing really changes

664
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,600
or is there actually a
meaningful difference into free

665
00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:02,480
cash flow?
Yeah, I mean, we spoke about it

666
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:05,120
maybe two months ago now and
thought like, when's Linus going

667
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:08,600
to do a capital raising?
And I I don't feel that

668
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:10,960
differently about that.
You know, their, their cash pile

669
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:13,520
is kind of dwindling.
We haven't seen rare earth

670
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:16,199
prices tick up massively.
It's obviously a very kind of

671
00:34:16,199 --> 00:34:18,080
opaque market.
So take that with a pinch of

672
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:21,040
salt.
But you're not getting there on

673
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:24,440
on valuation grounds right now.
But with the the backing of

674
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:26,440
Western governments around the
world, maybe you do kind of get

675
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:27,960
there.
It's a, it's a different way of

676
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:29,840
kind of looking at it.
Because you don't know.

677
00:34:30,199 --> 00:34:31,719
You don't know if the price
ticks up.

678
00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:34,520
You don't know what the
payability is doing in China.

679
00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:37,960
Like, who knows?
Yeah, yeah, absolutely to to add

680
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:41,320
a few more comments to US and
Western policy because there

681
00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:43,719
there has been some more
comments made to to what we

682
00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:46,560
heard about Trump just before.
I actually don't think what

683
00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:49,719
we're seeing right now is a
massive change in the states

684
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:51,800
from the previous
administration.

685
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:55,320
The the previous Biden
administration, they spoke about

686
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:58,480
this a fair bit.
They, they allocated money to

687
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:01,240
sort of certain similar buckets,
rare earths and these types of

688
00:35:01,240 --> 00:35:05,560
projects being one of them.
There are certainly varying

689
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,440
opinions and how effective they
were with spraying that cash

690
00:35:08,440 --> 00:35:09,920
around.
That's that's fair enough.

691
00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:12,720
But you can't accuse them of
sort of not putting the capital

692
00:35:12,720 --> 00:35:14,200
up.
We saw it with a lot of ASX

693
00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:17,160
listed companies.
They were recipients of of this

694
00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:20,320
sort of money.
There was still a lot of delays,

695
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:22,720
regulatory, environmental, all
these sort of hold UPS.

696
00:35:22,720 --> 00:35:25,320
They were an impediment even if
the money was dealt out.

697
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,400
And I think Lioness is the
perfect example of this.

698
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:32,240
They were awarded nearly US $260
million in 2023 to build a

699
00:35:32,240 --> 00:35:34,800
processing facility at Sea Drift
in Texas.

700
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:37,560
And as of today, construction
hasn't started.

701
00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:41,360
We're two years later and that
comes down to environmental and

702
00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:43,120
wastewater management delays,
so.

703
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:46,360
On those delays, it's part of
the new administration is like a

704
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,360
promise to fast track.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.

705
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:51,680
And the same goes for for
resolution copper mine or all

706
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:55,040
these, you know, there is
Trilogy Metals is another one.

707
00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:58,720
Those stock ticked up massively
because of the the understanding

708
00:35:58,720 --> 00:36:02,400
that these the sort of red tape
around projects is going to get

709
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,160
pulled back.
So we'll we'll wait and see what

710
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:06,760
kind of happens on that.
I was also listening to an

711
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:10,320
interview at lunch today when I
was just eating before an

712
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:12,280
interview with Treasure.
What you do at lunch?

713
00:36:13,400 --> 00:36:16,440
It's true.
This is an interview with

714
00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:20,400
Treasury Secretary Scott Besson,
who I'm sure most listeners will

715
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:25,400
be pretty familiar with now.
And something he said in this

716
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,960
interview, I wasn't listening to
this for any sort of take on on

717
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:31,200
minerals or anything mining
related, but he said something

718
00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:34,200
that really sort of stood out to
me, so I'll play it now.

719
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:37,720
There's been an early focus on
Latin America writ large from

720
00:36:37,720 --> 00:36:39,880
the Trump administration in the
1st 100 days.

721
00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:43,920
Is Latin America policy also in
a sense China policy for this

722
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:47,400
administration?
Well, I, I think that might be a

723
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,760
good description because what we
are trying to keep from

724
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:54,080
happening is what has happened
on the African continent where

725
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:57,920
China has signed a number of
these kind of rapacious deals

726
00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:02,760
marked as aid where they are
really, they take, they've taken

727
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:07,240
mineral rights, they've added
huge amounts of debt on to these

728
00:37:07,240 --> 00:37:11,000
countries balance sheets.
It's undisclosed to any of the

729
00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:12,680
other international
organizations.

730
00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:14,040
They've got tolling
arrangements.

731
00:37:14,240 --> 00:37:18,080
So they're they're guaranteeing
that future generations are

732
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:21,400
going to be, they are poor and
without resources and we don't

733
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:23,920
want that to happen any more
than already has in Latin

734
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:25,920
America.
I, I find that super

735
00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:28,840
fascinating.
And that is much wider than rare

736
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:32,200
earths, obviously.
But for one, I think Latin

737
00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:35,600
America is going to be a winner
in the, in the years ahead.

738
00:37:35,600 --> 00:37:39,840
We saw with all these tariffs
that came out, Latin America to

739
00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:41,640
an extent was carved out of a
lot of them.

740
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:45,160
They didn't cop the, the brunt
of it because America is

741
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:49,120
realizing how important that is.
So I, I think, you know, maybe

742
00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:51,600
we see some Aussie juniors be
winners, you know, the ones

743
00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:54,280
maybe with Brazilian rare earth
projects and these sorts of

744
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:56,240
things be winners.
I think first and foremost,

745
00:37:56,240 --> 00:37:58,000
you're a winner if you're in
America.

746
00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:03,600
But that is a, that is a notable
different tone from, from the US

747
00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:05,560
than it has been for the last 20
or 30 years.

748
00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:08,040
I'm not sure if you guys had a
different take on that.

749
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:10,600
Yeah, I agree.
I agree.

750
00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:13,200
I am, I am curious.
I mean, this is, this is talk of

751
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:15,960
a of a stockpile or strategic
reserve.

752
00:38:16,640 --> 00:38:18,880
You've been, you've been
thinking a bit more about the

753
00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:22,000
rationale for stockpiles versus
versus downstream.

754
00:38:22,240 --> 00:38:23,680
Yeah.
I mean, we, we heard about this,

755
00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:25,600
we spoke about it when we were
in Africa.

756
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:29,280
And you have the kind of debate
of should a country that doesn't

757
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,840
know how to do this, say in rare
earths in Australia, just build

758
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:35,560
the downstream processing or
should they build up a strategic

759
00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:38,920
reserve?
And then if a particularly

760
00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:42,040
prickly moment happens in
future, then you have to kind of

761
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:45,200
hit the ground running and build
your downstream capability.

762
00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:47,760
Are those stockpiles going to be
like just mixed rare earth

763
00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:52,280
concentrate stockpiles or
finished rare earth stockpiles

764
00:38:52,520 --> 00:38:55,200
I.
Would be stockpiling if I was

765
00:38:55,200 --> 00:38:59,880
going to build a stockpile, the
product that your manufacturing

766
00:38:59,880 --> 00:39:02,680
needs or you need because
there's no point having a yeah,

767
00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:04,640
there's no point having a
stockpile, right.

768
00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:07,920
If if there's a gap between that
what that stockpile is and what

769
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:11,280
you actually need it for, you
know, IE if you're in America

770
00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:14,080
and you've got car makers,
there's no point having

771
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:15,600
stockpiles of rare earth
concentrate.

772
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:18,560
You know, you want stockpile of
magnets or something like that

773
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:23,080
much further downstream.
And this is very kind of early

774
00:39:23,080 --> 00:39:25,080
discussion.
Madeleine King, our resource

775
00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:28,480
minister, was actually speaking
about this yesterday.

776
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:31,760
There was a few articles
circling about.

777
00:39:32,040 --> 00:39:35,000
I'm not sure how far Australia
gets along in the process

778
00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:39,360
because we don't have the
manufacturing and there isn't a

779
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:42,760
massive interest around
Australia to build that

780
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:46,280
manufacturing capacity.
So what what exactly what we be

781
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:50,120
stockpiling it for send it back
to China so they can build the

782
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:51,760
stuff for us.
I don't quite know.

783
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:55,560
But I think it is something with
America's kind of made in

784
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:57,640
America policy that they're
going to be considering pretty

785
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:02,040
heavily over the over the coming
decades and particularly over

786
00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:05,000
the next year or two.
So certainly sort of 1 to watch.

787
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:06,040
I don't think there's any kind
of.

788
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:11,320
Easy, easy answers out there,
but I think, but what's most

789
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,240
relevant to to listeners of this
podcast, I think there are

790
00:40:14,240 --> 00:40:18,520
projects like in in America
specifically that are maybe

791
00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:20,800
going to get favourable
treatment and going to do quite

792
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:22,600
well.
And MP Materials is the best

793
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:24,720
example of that.
But there's other players that I

794
00:40:24,720 --> 00:40:26,600
think might have a good run of
it too.

795
00:40:27,240 --> 00:40:30,000
Very good, good buddy.
I'm going to, I'm going to

796
00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:32,240
really listen to that.
Very good.

797
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:35,000
Hopefully it made sense, yeah.
No, it didn't.

798
00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:39,720
That's why I'm going.
To many peaks, Trev.

799
00:40:40,720 --> 00:40:42,320
Yeah, I just, I just thought it
was funny.

800
00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:44,480
I've got nothing to say about
this other than the fact that

801
00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:46,200
the many Peaks share price now
looks like it's logo.

802
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:49,080
There you go, many.
Peaks.

803
00:40:50,120 --> 00:40:54,080
I love to plug.
Oh beautiful good work boys.

804
00:40:54,080 --> 00:40:57,280
Alright, thanks to the partners
GRX tickets as talked about at

805
00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:59,400
the start of the show going to
the show nights.

806
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:02,800
Get your discount Get there
Brisbane Twenty 22nd of May Our

807
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:07,040
great other partners the Star
Mates General mining services,

808
00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:11,120
grounded Samba ground support,
CR insurance, K drill WA

809
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:15,880
waterboards, Quattro KCA black
diamond drilling services cross

810
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:18,080
boundary.
Energy.

811
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:21,040
Information contained in this
episode of Money of Mine is of

812
00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:23,120
general nature only and does not
take into account the

813
00:41:23,120 --> 00:41:26,720
objectives, financial situation
or needs of any particular

814
00:41:26,720 --> 00:41:28,760
person.
Before making any investment

815
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:31,840
decision, you should consult
with your financial advisor and

816
00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:34,960
consider how appropriate the
advice is to your objectives.

817
00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:37,120
Financial situation in need.